Hawkeye 4578 Posted February 4 Report Share Posted February 4 Extreme cold could harm my bushes and trees, which it did a couple years ago when Cedar Rapids hit -30º. The rhododendron failed to bloom that spring and the serviceberry trees failed to produce berries. I don't want that to happen again. However, as a weather geek extreme cold is interesting. 2 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Jarod 11 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 LES really coming down nicely over here. Probably got 6-8" of system snow yesterday/last night, so I think we can fairly easily close in on 1 foot in the next day or 2. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16870 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, Jarod said: LES really coming down nicely over here. Probably got 6-8" of system snow yesterday/last night, so I think we can fairly easily close in on 1 foot in the next day or 2. Are you near GRR?? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jarod 11 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, Tom said: Are you near GRR?? Yeah I'm about 15 minutes to the west in Hudsonville. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16870 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, Jarod said: Yeah I'm about 15 minutes to the west in Hudsonville. Pound Town! @Stacshis near there also so he must be getting hit pretty hard also. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tStacsh 70 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 18 minutes ago, Tom said: Pound Town! @Stacshis near there also so he must be getting hit pretty hard also. Pic doesn’t do it justice. Off and on heavy squalls. Banding setting up right over my neighborhood, then fluctuating 5 miles north/south. Really adding up. 18.4 degrees. Haven’t measured. But our stone wall that’s about 3ft high is drifted over. I think we hit 12” by Sunday. Probably 8-10” depth. 7 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tStacsh 70 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 I’m the blue dot. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16870 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 7 minutes ago, tStacsh said: I’m the blue dot. Awesome! Enjoy the snow day! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 4578 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Models are still trying to figure out what will happen with the heart of the PV cold, if/when it will drop down through our region. The 12z GFS once again drops the motherlode down through the midwest. It has -36ºC at 850 mb, and record-tying cold at the surface, over Iowa Saturday morning. That's still a week out, though. Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 2 hours ago, tStacsh said: Pic doesn’t do it justice. Off and on heavy squalls. Banding setting up right over my neighborhood, then fluctuating 5 miles north/south. Really adding up. 18.4 degrees. Haven’t measured. But our stone wall that’s about 3ft high is drifted over. I think we hit 12” by Sunday. Probably 8-10” depth. What is your location??? Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
tStacsh 70 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Niko said: Nice pic. What is your location? Posted above Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Arctic cold is arriving as the CF has rolled on through. Teens outta do it for high temps and lows in the S.D's. Even colder air possible by late next week. 1 Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
Niko 7225 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, tStacsh said: Posted above I know your are in West Mi, but what county?? Quote Snowfall as of today: Feb, 2021: 41.2" Link to post Share on other sites
Grizzcoat 3783 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Don't think if seen 474 thickness levels that far S in mid FEB. Only 1996 and that was Feb 2nd 3rd. The stratosphere is literally about 1/2 to 2/3rds closer than in the summer. Unreal when you think about. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Currently 5°F with full sun. Sun doesn't matter with a wind chill of -16°F though, now does it? After today, it stays below 0 till at least Wednesday. 3 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2023 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Euro much warmer for Fri/Saturday 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
Grizzcoat 3783 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 Yeah, but it looks more expansive and last longer.... Ouch. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to post Share on other sites
tStacsh 70 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 4 hours ago, Niko said: I know your are in West Mi, but what county?? Kent county. Just NE of GR. Just puking fatties from this band that just blew up. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
tStacsh 70 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
mlgamer 504 Posted February 5 Report Share Posted February 5 This is from TOP AFD this afternoon. I agree it has been some time since we last had a long lasting cold snap with highs generally in the teens for days. Possibly back to the early 1980s though I guess I could be forgetting something since then. "...Beyond Sunday, little change in the pattern is expected with continued bitter cold and periods of snow chances. Wind chill values are expected to range from -10 to -20 each morning next week. This magnitude and duration of bitter cold has not been seen in eastern KS for quite some time. Now is the time to take those precautions to ensure your home/vehicle has been properly winterized along with extra blankets/coats in your vehicle." 3 Quote 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4") 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace) as of 3/17 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+7.5) as of 3/17 Link to post Share on other sites
Grizzcoat 3783 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 DMX actually mentions the word "historic" in length of brutal cold- Higher confidence that the Arctic high center will drop south over Iowa on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Temperatures may crash Tuesday night if prime radiational cooling conditions do develop considering the deep snow pack. This is the time period where going overnight low temperatures may be too "warm" and may need to be lowered if trends persist. Another system looks favored to move across Iowa again late Wed/Thu with more light snow chances followed by the Arctic high forcing south into Iowa once again to end the week. Temperatures Sunday through next week will feature high temperatures in above/below zero north and low teens south with overnight lows well below zero. While any individual night may not have record cold, the length of these temperatures at forecast levels may approach historic levels. Stay tuned and bundle up! 4 1 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to post Share on other sites
CentralNebWeather 4703 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 2 hours ago, mlgamer said: This is from TOP AFD this afternoon. I agree it has been some time since we last had a long lasting cold snap with highs generally in the teens for days. Possibly back to the early 1980s though I guess I could be forgetting something since then. Around here December of 1983 is historic. I don’t think this cold will match that, but the length is comparable. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Madtown 1086 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 0 atm Quote Link to post Share on other sites
james1976 3976 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 DMX talking Polar Vortex! The forecast the next 7 days is dealing with the prolong Arctic cold and the numerous snow chances. The polar vortex is essentially dropping straight south from the Arctic north and will hang out over Canada into the Northern Plains with several waves dropping the cold air into Iowa. Begin to have wind chills drop at or below wind chill criteria (-20) over far northern Iowa tonight with little improvement during the day Saturday before falling further and approaching warning criteria (-30) Saturday night. Will issue a Wind Chill Advisory for that area tonight through Sunday morning. The plan is to expand the areal coverage of the advisory for Sat night with later forecasts and potential upgrade a portion to warning. Additional wind chill headlines possible into next week. The deep snow pack should slow frost depth penetration but water pipes under snow free surfaces could freeze or break. Ice depths on rivers and streams will increase and may increase the ice jam risk in March. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 KFAR is likely going to drop below zero at the next update. It won't rise back above zero for 7-8 days afterwards. The EXTREME cold is gone on the models, but it's been replaced by more sustained cold. 4 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
tStacsh 70 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 It just keeps snowing! Been watching my rose bush stems disappear all day. They had about 6 inches to go earlier and are about 2 inches from disappearing. Easily a foot depth now. 4 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Beltrami Island 427 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 I went below 0 a few hours ago. My nws point forecast doesn't get back to 0 until next Friday. It doesn't look like any extreme over night lows thanks to the wind. But I would take a calm -40 over a windy -20f. In fact the coldest feeling stretch of weather I can recall was actually mid December 2013 where the wind howled for days but the temp never dropped below -20. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 48 minutes ago, Beltrami Island said: I went below 0 a few hours ago. My nws point forecast doesn't get back to 0 until next Friday. It doesn't look like any extreme over night lows thanks to the wind. But I would take a calm -40 over a windy -20f. In fact the coldest feeling stretch of weather I can recall was actually mid December 2013 where the wind howled for days but the temp never dropped below -20. Temps will probably get colder than forecasted where you are because of snowpack, same for most of Western MN. We traded extreme once-in-five-years cold, for sustained moderately below normal temps with NW flow and a tight pressure gradient. That's gonna literally blow. I'm surprised FGF turned the warning into an advisory as North as they did. Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
Hawkeye 4578 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Tonight's 00z Euro is much less cold through the run. This run never does bring the PV down into the US. Past runs suggested we could go double-digits below zero every morning next week. The new run has us well below zero Sunday morning, but then actually above zero for much of the rest of the run. The high temp gets back into the teens, or even 20º, later in the week. Meanwhile, the GFS is brutally cold following the Thursday wave. Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 The trade-off for "lack of cold" (it's still well into the negatives here next weekend) on Euro is the fact that I get in on a clipper train. Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Full sun. -13°F, wind chill -38°F. 1 1 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
Beltrami Island 427 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 44 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Full sun. -13°F, wind chill -38°F. Yes, Full sun! Makes such a difference and what makes Feb arctic air so much more tolerable than Nov-Mid January when it doesn't get fully light til 9am and by 3pm the shadows are already long. Sun today was fully up by 8am and stays light til 4:30pm before the shadows get long. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Beltrami Island said: Yes, Full sun! Makes such a difference and what makes Feb arctic air so much more tolerable than Nov-Mid January when it doesn't get fully light til 9am and by 3pm the shadows are already long. Sun today was fully up by 8am and stays light til 4:30pm before the shadows get long. The wind kinda cancels out any potential benefit the sun would have lol. It's like being in the shade on a summer day with a DP of 75. 1 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2023 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Euro looks toasty. Has us getting up to 14 Thursday lol. Back to single digits after though. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 At 14:15, it is -14°F with a -40°F wind chill. 1 3 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2023 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: At 14:15, it is -14°F with a -40°F wind chill. Oof. That would be a slam dunk WCW for Lincoln. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2023 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 EPS much colder than the OP for Thurs/Fri. Looks more like the GFS. Interesting. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2023 Posted February 6 Report Share Posted February 6 Happy Valentines Day 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
OmahaSnowFan 1381 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 Already down to -1.5 degrees here. First of many nights in a row. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Madtown 1086 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 Any snow up this way next weekend before more cold. Haven't had time to look into it? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 Been a while since we've seen a Barney rampage on Euro, yet here we are. 4 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
Madtown 1086 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 well neg 13 atm. Was a little chilly sledding at -5 today but fantastic trails 5 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 The temp is -15°F, but the wind has died down a bit. The wind chill is now a warm -31°F. 2 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
Grizzcoat 3783 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 GFS with 3rd run in a row of having -28F at DSM next Sunday Morning. Not likely with current placement of temp sensor (at airport) as even in the Great Cold of early FEB 96' it got to -26F while -47 in NE IOWA and -60F in Minny and I believe -fifty something in WI (All - ALL TIME records for states) DSM coldest low ever was -30F on JAN 5th 1884, measured in a river valley at Fort Des Moines. And people wonder why so many cold records are held from the 1800's? Check sensor placement- it's not apples to apples.-- or even measured the same way. Rant over.. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 Not a single positive temp in my grid. Quote Overnight Mostly clear, with a low around -21. Wind chill values as low as -40. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -8. Wind chill values as low as -40. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -19. Wind chill values as low as -35. West northwest wind around 9 mph. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near -3. Wind chill values as low as -35. West wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around -15. West wind 10 to 13 mph. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near -1. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -14. West northwest wind around 10 mph. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near -3. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -18. Northwest wind around 11 mph. Thursday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -5. Northwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -19. Northwest wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Friday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -7. Northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -20. Northwest wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near -1. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. 1 1 Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
Tom 16870 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 22 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Not a single positive temp in my grid. Well, you planned on living up near Fargo for a winter season and now your getting a taste of what you came for. While your lacking in the snow dept, your certainly getting a taste of the "Nanook From the North"! How's the experience been so far? I stepped outside not long ago and got a taste of my 1st sub-zero reading of -1F. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BMT 357 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 Currently -18 degrees and -41 windchill at the CR airport. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Madtown 1086 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 -15 atm low was -24 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FAR_Weather 5214 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 The low was -20*F here. Could have gotten much lower if it weren't for the wind. It was -28*F where @Beltrami Islandlives. -30 in Park Rapids which is a normal cold spot. Atm, it's -11*F owing to greater than expected sunlight. Quote >1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4") Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6" Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15) First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT Link to post Share on other sites
snowstorm83 2023 Posted February 7 Report Share Posted February 7 Euro looking quite balmy on Sun/Mon. Haha. At least compared to the GFS which has a high of -6 on Sunday. Trade off is that Euro has more snow around that time frame. Still model madness for next weekend. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" (so far) Average: 25.9" Link to post Share on other sites
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