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1 hour ago, FAR_Weather said:

The low was -20*F here. Could have gotten much lower if it weren't for the wind. It was -28*F where @Beltrami Islandlives. -30 in Park Rapids which is a normal cold spot.

Atm, it's -11*F owing to greater than expected sunlight. 

I think -30 is about the floor for temps until the winds calm down for me.

The sun has warmed my home  thermometer to -7.  

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The -50F has been confirmed. It was at a lodge on Snowbank Lake- an entry point to the great Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness.

Lincoln got down to -31 this morning, the second coldest ever recorded there! -30 degrees was common in South Central Nebraska. My weather station had -25 for the min this morning. 

We didn't get the extreme cold lows, but Cedar Rapids officially spent 108 consecutive hours below zero, ending midday today.  That's the most since 1996.

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This cold wave might rival Dec. of 1983 when it is finally over.  Both had deep snowpacks.  Both will be long in nature.   Dec. 1983 happened when the amount of daylight hours is the shortest, and sun angle is at a minimum.  I will have to find information on wind chills from 1983.  Temps this coming weekend will rival the lowest temps of that cold wave for sure, Central Nebraska wise.

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1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

This cold wave might rival Dec. of 1983 when it is finally over.  Both had deep snowpacks.  Both will be long in nature.   Dec. 1983 happened when the amount of daylight hours is the shortest, and sun angle is at a minimum.  I will have to find information on wind chills from 1983.  Temps this coming weekend will rival the lowest temps of that cold wave for sure, Central Nebraska wise.

Was thinking the same thing. That by far is the gold standard when it comes to bitter cold. There was a week straight leading up to x-mas where temps never rose above zero. I remember a stretch in Jan. of 1996 that was pretty bad but not as long in duration as this event. Pretty amazing seeing what the models are forecasting for this coming weekend with temps. 

 

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1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

This cold wave might rival Dec. of 1983 when it is finally over.  Both had deep snowpacks.  Both will be long in nature.   Dec. 1983 happened when the amount of daylight hours is the shortest, and sun angle is at a minimum.  I will have to find information on wind chills from 1983.  Temps this coming weekend will rival the lowest temps of that cold wave for sure, Central Nebraska wise.

Snow pack looks like Dec 83 for sure. Lincoln spent a week straight below zero and clocked in a -27 reading. I think in terms of cold in may be more similar to Dec 89/Feb 96 even though snow depth was lower. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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GFS and Euro now agree on the bottom falling out Sunday. Would rival Feb 96 for sure. (-4 high, -22 low)

1612785600-rhlHUDKV62E.png

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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I agree with everyone comparing this stretch of weather to December 1983. If nothing else, it certainly reminds me of winters in the 1970s, early 1980s where we regularly had very cold spells in these parts. Pretty amazing.

 

 

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  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace)
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+5.0)
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Record breaking cold for KC this weekend.

Climate...
Issued at 229 PM CST MON FEB 8 2021

Record breaking cold is forecast for this coming Valentines
weekend. The maximum temperature forecast for Kansas City
International on Saturday February 13th is 5 F. This would tie the
daily cold maximum record set in 1905. Sunday morning, February
14th, Valentines Day, the low is forecast to reach -12 F, if this
forecast holds, it will break the record low temperature or -4 F
set in 1936. Additionally, the forecast high on Valentine`s day is
currently 4 F, this would set a new cold maximum record, breaking
the previous cold max of 7 F set in 1936.
 

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NWS Hastings and North Platte have already issued Wind Chill Advisories for tomorrow morning.  WC of -25 will be common.  They mention more advisories and WC warnings are likely later in the week.  I believe when it gets to WC Warning, schools are closed, as they don't want to take a chance at kids standing at bus stops or if you car has problems.  

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59 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Record breaking cold for KC this weekend.

Topeka has not gotten down to -10 in 20 years (Jan 2, 2001) and is currently not forecast to but it is not out of the question.  The brutal cold everywhere is even more remarkable considering how warm the winter has been, since early November really.

Edit: My NWS point forecast now shows -11 for Sunday morning.

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  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace)
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+5.0)
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Really insane to see some of the daily records from 1936 in jeopardy. That month had a -20.8 depature in Lincoln. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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You know it's a cold week when 13 is the mild day. OAX is usually conservative with mid range temps and they already have it pretty low.

Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -17. North northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Tuesday
Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 8. Calm wind becoming east northeast around 6 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 6. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph after midnight.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 13. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0. North northeast wind around 7 mph.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 8.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around -6.
Friday
A chance of snow, mainly after noon. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 2.
Friday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -10.
Saturday
A slight chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 0.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around -17.
Sunday
Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 1.
Sunday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -8.
Washington's Birthday
A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11.

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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This would be new to me. I have never experienced two or more consecutive days of below zero temps. 

Friday
A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy and cold, with a high near 0.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -12.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of snow. Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -3.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around -19.
Sunday
Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -1.
Sunday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -9.
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16 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said:

gfs_T2m_us_23.png

Amazing that the model is picking up on the snow that’s on the ground vs bare ground. Montana, North Dakota down to the south east through the central part of South Dakota have brown grass.....

F0FA2E1A-7407-4FAF-9315-02895D4A2BF6.jpeg

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11 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

Amazing that the model is picking up on the snow that’s on the ground vs bare ground. Montana, North Dakota down to the south east through the central part of South Dakota have brown grass.....

F0FA2E1A-7407-4FAF-9315-02895D4A2BF6.jpeg

Ironically, even though it accounts for the bare ground over the dakotas pretty well. It treats lake winnepig as open water, moderating temps over it, even though the lake is long frozen over.

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Ope KLNK fell off the wagon. -14 with a -29 WCF at the midnight obs. I guess that advisory is verfying. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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7 minutes ago, Madtown said:

-27 last night...brrr

I noticed a pocket of deep cold up in N WI this morning and was thinking to myself “I bet @Madtown posts a rediculous reading this morning.”  Now that’s cold!

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-17 at the airport this morning. I believe my neighborhood bottomed out around -13, so that's the new coldest temp I've experienced. I had to start my car and it made a really ugly sound, hopefully the clunker handles the weekend well. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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22 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

NWS Hastings says it will be the coldest week since 1983, just as I mentioned yesterday.  Will fall short of 1983, but you are in rare company when compared to that outbreak.

 

What's crazy neither 1983 or today even comes close to the winter of 1936!

Despite the numerous individual cold records in jeapordy through the
middle of the month, if the current forecast holds, the first half
of February (1-15) will average almost 10 degrees warmer than the
same period in 1936, when the average temperature through the 15th
of the month was only -4.1 degrees in Grand Island.
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-11.3 in my backyard this morning. Saw -14 at the airport here in Omaha.

Was thinking Jan 1st 2018 was the last time we were this cold when it was down to -20, but I went back and looked at my history saved on my weather station and I was down to -15.8 on 1/30/19.

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 Feb 1936- is the King when to comes to cold relative to the means. I will look up some maps later, but places in ND ( if my memory is correct) avg -5 to -10F  for the entire month. And than July of 36' came, the greatest extreme switch I know of  in all of climate.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Wind chills neared -60 last night in ND near the Canadian border. Toasty -36 down here.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Feb 1936- this stat alone is nuts-

At Devil's Lake, North Dakota, the average temperature for five weeks ending in February was −21 °F (−29.4 °C).

 

This is INSANE- FEB 1936 AVERAGE TEMPhttps://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c0/February_1936_US_Temperature.gif

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Followed by this-- simply no words. July of 36' avg temp

Image result for feb 1936 cold wave

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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3 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Followed by this-- simply no words. July of 36' avg temp

Image result for feb 1936 cold wave

My late grandparents told stories about 1936 and the complete extremes from winter to summer.   Throw on top of that, one of the driest times in history.  This without access to irrigation, A/C, and other modern conveniences that we take for granted today. 

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On 2/8/2021 at 12:18 PM, CentralNebWeather said:

This cold wave might rival Dec. of 1983 when it is finally over.  Both had deep snowpacks.  Both will be long in nature.   Dec. 1983 happened when the amount of daylight hours is the shortest, and sun angle is at a minimum.  I will have to find information on wind chills from 1983.  Temps this coming weekend will rival the lowest temps of that cold wave for sure, Central Nebraska wise.

Xmas day 1983 was the coldest  day i ever  witnessed  in Maryland  where i grew up, 18 below!  Have experienced  colder in Iowa.

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Euro is back to looking more "mild" for the weekend. Already through the worst of the cold if it's right. Meanwhile GFS is trending colder if anything. Kind of important when its the difference between uncomfortable cold and "frostbite within minutes" cold. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Miraculously climbed up to 2*F at my place thanks to higher than normal sunlight and light wind. Already back down to 0 now.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Its funny how much higher the sun angle is in Feb. I had ice in front of my house this morning and w full sun throughout the day w temps in the teens, it melted away. Just amazing!

Arctic air gets reinforced by the weekend here in mby w temps going below zero at nite, perhaps -5 or colder.

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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8 hours ago, Tom said:

I noticed a pocket of deep cold up in N WI this morning and was thinking to myself “I bet @Madtown posts a rediculous reading this morning.”  Now that’s cold!

Meh. An evening window thermometer temp during the "Big Freeze" for 7 weeks Jan/Feb '94 in NMI. As mentioned earlier my place was balmy due to proximity to the shoreline. Much colder inland where I worked so I was glad to seek the heat LOL

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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3 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

Feb 1936- this stat alone is nuts-

At Devil's Lake, North Dakota, the average temperature for five weeks ending in February was −21 °F (−29.4 °C).

 

This is INSANE- FEB 1936 AVERAGE TEMPhttps://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c0/February_1936_US_Temperature.gif

S MI actually experience an even colder Feb in 2015. I remember someone posting how it beat '36.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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The airport officially didn't get above 0 today! High of 0. 

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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7 hours ago, jaster220 said:

S MI actually experience an even colder Feb in 2015. I remember someone posting how it beat '36.

Keep in mind, we're in the toasty Mitt. Even more crazy is that it was the last week of the month which was worst.

Here's the colder lows I kept track of that month:  -19F (2/5), -23F (2/21), -15F (2/23), -21F (2/27), -16F (2/28)

 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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