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Super Bowl Weekend Multiple Waves


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Both RDPS and NAM (06Z) are showing accumulating snow in NE,IA and N. MO at late in their respective runs --snku_012h.us_mw.pngsnku_012h.us_mw.png

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Probably 1.5 to 2" of squeaky cotton. 6F and the sounds and sights are surely a winter lovers delight!!!

One of our church lot piles. These are everywhere around town. Some even higher. Oh, it is snowing again. 

I just measured 6.3”” and it’s still snowing. There is quite a bit of blowing so might be off a little. Have heard reports of 6-7” from North Platte and East of there to the southeast towards Central

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NWS Hastings has snow starting Friday night and snow likely for Saturday.  They have given no possible accumulations yet.  Will be interesting to see what model they choose.  By the 0z runs tonight, I think things will come into better view.  With this cold entrenched by this weekend, any disturbance could produce higher than expected snows.

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29 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Last 12 hours of 12Z NAM-- snku_012h.us_mw.png

No offense to the Iowa folks, but if this one goes from being forecast to get squelched to the south of KC to now giving Iowa (to the north) yet another 6+ inch snowfall while we get nothing, I'm going to throw up.   

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1 minute ago, someweatherdude said:

No offense to the Iowa folks, but if this one goes from being forecast to get squelched to the south of KC to now giving Iowa (to the north) yet another 6+ inch snowfall while we get nothing, I'm going to throw up.   

Most models have it farther south and west.  I guess that could be changing, but I'll wait to see.  ICON is a good hit for KC, though never know if you can trust it.

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1 minute ago, CentralNebWeather said:

12z ICON through 90 hours.  Very different than the NAM and RGEM which are farther east.  Which solution verifies?  Or will it be something in the middle?   Should be another interesting stretch of days to watch the models.  

12z ICON.png

I like the way this model is trending

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Tracking this storm and cold.. brings back memories of the Bears Super Bowl Weekend 15 years ago. It won’t get as cold as that Sunday but If I’m not mistaken it was below zero with snow. I remember grilling out side and it wasn’t fun. @Tom might remember it better then me

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12z GFS is similar to it's 06Z run. S and W of NAM and RDPS

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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GFS has added a nice wave Monday.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_21.png

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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That's 4 or 5 waves. Tomorrow- Sat / Sun / MON and Tues in MO.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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IF the GFS were to hold, it would be the first time I think I can remember KC benefitting from a train of waves in a northwest flow since I moved here in 2011.  I remember getting those in Mpls/St. Paul and in Chicago.  I don't remember having that happen here.  

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CMC shows similar waves for the weekend> I can't keep up posting maps.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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43 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

This is getting insane.

I was just thinking the same thing.  There are so many systems showing up, I can't even keep track of them.  And with temps in the deep freeze, the Kuchera totals are off the charts. 

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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The models sure do love Nebraska and Iowa this year. All conceivable weather parameters and circumstances result in primary snow tracks across those states. Weather is weird. 😐

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  • 20-21 snowfalls >=3": (Jan 1 - 4.5"); Season total (12.4")
  • 20-21 monthly: Oct (0.6"); Nov (Trace); Dec (Trace); Jan (7.6"); Feb (4.2"); Mar (Trace)
  • 20-21 temps: Oct(-3.2); Nov (+4.8); Dec (+4.5); Jan (+5.1); Feb (-11.3); Mar (+5.0)
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Of course, being as cold as it will be, a 10:1 ratio will be way too low.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Probably looking at 18-20:1 optimistically.

2020-21 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 51.6"

(Oct. 18: 0.6") (Oct 19: 2.0") (Nov. ?: 1.5") (Dec. 12: 3.7") (Dec. 23: 0.5") (Dec. 27: 1.2") (Dec. 29: 9.2") (Jan. 15: 2.3”) (Jan 17. 1.1”)  (Jan. 24: 2.5”) (Jan. 26: 6.8") (Jan. 31: 8.5") (Feb. 4: 5.0") (Feb. 6: 0.5") (Feb. 8: 1.0") (Feb. 11: 1.2") (Feb. 13: 1.3") (Feb. 21: 2.7")

 

 

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There is not a lot of agreement with how far north or south the weekend waves will be.  If the latest Euro is right, the snow pack here will be very deep.

I'm certainly liking the trend toward a very cold, but clippery, pattern, rather than an extremely cold and dry pattern.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Euro is amping up a Monday system as well.

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_mw.png

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Another 4" for E Iowa Monday.  Wow.  Different pattern and setup, but reminiscent of Dec 2000 when we were hit with one clipper right after the other.  Storm Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.  All capable of several inches for many areas.  Saturday's looking the weakest.  

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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We really are gonna try and make a play for 24-30" OTG...

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2020-21 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 51.6"

(Oct. 18: 0.6") (Oct 19: 2.0") (Nov. ?: 1.5") (Dec. 12: 3.7") (Dec. 23: 0.5") (Dec. 27: 1.2") (Dec. 29: 9.2") (Jan. 15: 2.3”) (Jan 17. 1.1”)  (Jan. 24: 2.5”) (Jan. 26: 6.8") (Jan. 31: 8.5") (Feb. 4: 5.0") (Feb. 6: 0.5") (Feb. 8: 1.0") (Feb. 11: 1.2") (Feb. 13: 1.3") (Feb. 21: 2.7")

 

 

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