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Valentines Weekend Snow


Tony

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6 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

12z Euro through 84 hours.  I'd be more than happy with this amount.

Looks like me, @Clinton and the KC folks are going to have to call in an Exorcist or sacrifice chickens in the backyard or something to get rid of this bad mojo. These maps are getting ridiculous.

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23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24)

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It'll be nice to get a snowfall outside of the early morning hours again. Unfortunately I'll be stuck at work on Friday lol. Regardless I'm happy to get more snow and another snowpack refresher before we head into the worst of the cold. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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2 minutes ago, james1976 said:

Thats advisory stuff. NWS continues to not say a lot about it.

Par for the course.  They absolutely blew the forecast on the blizzard and didn't make anything of the 2-5" that fell on Monday.  I feel like models have done a much better job in the near term (within 48 hours) of not over blowing accumulations.  It used to be standard that you took a model output and subtracted 25-50% from it, but this season models have done really well with total qpf and snow totals.  I think the NWS is still subtracting totals off the top of model output, which may be why they have been underselling storms.  

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1 hour ago, bud2380 said:

Par for the course.  They absolutely blew the forecast on the blizzard and didn't make anything of the 2-5" that fell on Monday.  I feel like models have done a much better job in the near term (within 48 hours) of not over blowing accumulations.  It used to be standard that you took a model output and subtracted 25-50% from it, but this season models have done really well with total qpf and snow totals.  I think the NWS is still subtracting totals off the top of model output, which may be why they have been underselling storms.  

The storm to close out January really dried up on the models, so that's not entirely true.

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2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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Solid little snow shower happening now. Looks like a light dusting so far. It’s also gotten a bit breezy this evening. 3 feels like -15. We’ve been blessed with minimal wind with this cold wave so far.

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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That's literally a week strung out of snow upon snow. Maybe a 36 hour break. I'm standing on a foot through 6 days, easily.

Closer to two feet in western Oklahoma. This will be a historic February before it's over, and at the very least, an introduction to real winter like the "old days". There are folks who think a bad winter here is any in the last 9 years. They were wrong. Lol.

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2 hours ago, OKwx2k4 said:

That's literally a week strung out of snow upon snow. Maybe a 36 hour break. I'm standing on a foot through 6 days, easily.

Closer to two feet in western Oklahoma. This will be a historic February before it's over, and at the very least, an introduction to real winter like the "old days". There are folks who think a bad winter here is any in the last 9 years. They were wrong. Lol.

Hey bud, are you going to start a thread for the storm down south or what???  I literally asked a couple times on here but I'm not sure if your reading these posts or not...LOL  Anyway, if not, I'll fire one up right now.

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This is turning into a total dud in Iowa.  This has been a dream pattern for most of NE.  The energy just dies once it gets to the Missouri River though.  Oh well.  We have enough snow now anyways.  I wouldn't mind a warm up and melt off and then maybe one more big dog in early March.  If I had my way.  

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1 hour ago, bud2380 said:

This is turning into a total dud in Iowa.  This has been a dream pattern for most of NE.  The energy just dies once it gets to the Missouri River though.  Oh well.  We have enough snow now anyways.  I wouldn't mind a warm up and melt off and then maybe one more big dog in early March.  If I had my way.  

To touch on further about Nebraska, it’s been great west of Omaha.

I have maybe 4-5” of snowcover in my backyard. We might get another inch or two today, but even that is down from 3-4” they were calling for earlier.

Goes back to what I’ve said before, brutally cold weather gets old really fast. You rarely get any decent snows unless you’re close enough to the baroclinic zone and a strong system rides along it close enough to your backyard. Most of the time is just hoping you get hit with nickel and dimers but those are a crap shoot and aren’t that exciting anyway.

Give me 20s and big storms any day over this garbage!

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This event is light for my area, but I'll accept a couple of inches. They are calling for 2-3."

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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GRR saying "meh" at 1-3" non-headline event cuz we know what that looks like already now that it's real winter. Y'day was calling it a 2-4" deal. Nothing trends bigger here in this frigid pattern. Only those like Chicago that have the wild card of lake enhancement are getting surprised. Oh and way west in far Neb ofc!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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