CentralNebWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z Euro through 84 hours. I'd be more than happy with this amount. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: 12z Euro through 84 hours. I'd be more than happy with this amount. Looks like me, @Clinton and the KC folks are going to have to call in an Exorcist or sacrifice chickens in the backyard or something to get rid of this bad mojo. These maps are getting ridiculous. 1 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 It'll be nice to get a snowfall outside of the early morning hours again. Unfortunately I'll be stuck at work on Friday lol. Regardless I'm happy to get more snow and another snowpack refresher before we head into the worst of the cold. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Euro Friday night into Saturday. Subtract about an inch for today's snow from this. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Euro Friday night into Saturday. Subtract about an inch for today's snow from this. Thats advisory stuff. NWS continues to not say a lot about it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, james1976 said: Thats advisory stuff. NWS continues to not say a lot about it. Par for the course. They absolutely blew the forecast on the blizzard and didn't make anything of the 2-5" that fell on Monday. I feel like models have done a much better job in the near term (within 48 hours) of not over blowing accumulations. It used to be standard that you took a model output and subtracted 25-50% from it, but this season models have done really well with total qpf and snow totals. I think the NWS is still subtracting totals off the top of model output, which may be why they have been underselling storms. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Snow is drying up as it is moving into CR. It is snowing, but it's staying pretty light and the radar is weakening just as it hits town. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, bud2380 said: Par for the course. They absolutely blew the forecast on the blizzard and didn't make anything of the 2-5" that fell on Monday. I feel like models have done a much better job in the near term (within 48 hours) of not over blowing accumulations. It used to be standard that you took a model output and subtracted 25-50% from it, but this season models have done really well with total qpf and snow totals. I think the NWS is still subtracting totals off the top of model output, which may be why they have been underselling storms. The storm to close out January really dried up on the models, so that's not entirely true. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 OAX out with an advisory (1-4") for E Central Neb. 18z NAM looks the same basically Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 NAM would be a solid advisory event starting Friday evening for a decent amount of the area. Subtract 1-2" for all of WI and northern Iowa for today's snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 DVN with a snow graphic. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 11, 2021 Report Share Posted February 11, 2021 Nice steady snow continues here. Just measured 1.4" in driveway 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 Does today's wave count for this thread? Measured 1.6" before I shoveled the driveway. Right when I got done it started snowing again. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just because I'll never see a model like this again. Hahaha. 1 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 Solid little snow shower happening now. Looks like a light dusting so far. It’s also gotten a bit breezy this evening. 3 feels like -15. We’ve been blessed with minimal wind with this cold wave so far. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 NAM's tonight really crapped the bed in Iowa... 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 And so has the GFS... Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 12, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: And so has the GFS... The GFS was never even in this. Was and is on a different planet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 GFS with another solid 8-12" run through Monday. Crazy... Don't really know which storm to consider it a part of at this point. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Grizzcoat said: NAM's tonight really crapped the bed in Iowa... Yeah they did. Really dried up. 1-2” now for most areas on the NAMs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said: GFS with another solid 8-12" run through Monday. Crazy... Don't really know which storm to consider it a part of at this point. You have another big dog right on it's heels. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Clinton said: You have another big dog right on it's heels. Yeah, I'm waiting on that part to run right now. I should add, I used Kuchera ratios in my comment. Snow at 10-17 degrees is going to be really fluffy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 That's literally a week strung out of snow upon snow. Maybe a 36 hour break. I'm standing on a foot through 6 days, easily. Closer to two feet in western Oklahoma. This will be a historic February before it's over, and at the very least, an introduction to real winter like the "old days". There are folks who think a bad winter here is any in the last 9 years. They were wrong. Lol. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Tony said: The GFS was never even in this. Was and is on a different planet But if it was never in it and now other models are not in it then maybe it scored a win? I guess we'll see tomorrow 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 hours ago, OKwx2k4 said: That's literally a week strung out of snow upon snow. Maybe a 36 hour break. I'm standing on a foot through 6 days, easily. Closer to two feet in western Oklahoma. This will be a historic February before it's over, and at the very least, an introduction to real winter like the "old days". There are folks who think a bad winter here is any in the last 9 years. They were wrong. Lol. Hey bud, are you going to start a thread for the storm down south or what??? I literally asked a couple times on here but I'm not sure if your reading these posts or not...LOL Anyway, if not, I'll fire one up right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 00z Euro...seems like a reasonable 2-5" is on the way for most of us in the Lower Lakes/MW... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 NWS NDFD... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 06z NAM... 06z NAM 3km... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 06z NAM sends a lead wave up through the MW/Lower Lakes on Valentine's Day as the main energy from the big President's Day storm digs into AZ/NM/TX on Sunday. Wonder if this will be a trend or just subtle model to model variations... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 Euro is the way to go. They don’t call it king for nothing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 DMX with a widespread 1-3" later today into Saturday with 20:1 ratios or higher. And I might not even make it to 0F today. Currently -9 and a wind chill of -33. #Epic 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 12z HRRR 48 hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 This is turning into a total dud in Iowa. This has been a dream pattern for most of NE. The energy just dies once it gets to the Missouri River though. Oh well. We have enough snow now anyways. I wouldn't mind a warm up and melt off and then maybe one more big dog in early March. If I had my way. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 12z NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: 12z NAM The Nam is finally being nice to the folks in KC 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, bud2380 said: This is turning into a total dud in Iowa. This has been a dream pattern for most of NE. The energy just dies once it gets to the Missouri River though. Oh well. We have enough snow now anyways. I wouldn't mind a warm up and melt off and then maybe one more big dog in early March. If I had my way. To touch on further about Nebraska, it’s been great west of Omaha. I have maybe 4-5” of snowcover in my backyard. We might get another inch or two today, but even that is down from 3-4” they were calling for earlier. Goes back to what I’ve said before, brutally cold weather gets old really fast. You rarely get any decent snows unless you’re close enough to the baroclinic zone and a strong system rides along it close enough to your backyard. Most of the time is just hoping you get hit with nickel and dimers but those are a crap shoot and aren’t that exciting anyway. Give me 20s and big storms any day over this garbage! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 12z GFS through 54 hours 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 This event is light for my area, but I'll accept a couple of inches. They are calling for 2-3." 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 GRR saying "meh" at 1-3" non-headline event cuz we know what that looks like already now that it's real winter. Y'day was calling it a 2-4" deal. Nothing trends bigger here in this frigid pattern. Only those like Chicago that have the wild card of lake enhancement are getting surprised. Oh and way west in far Neb ofc! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 -2 with a steady light snow 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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