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West side of Olympia as of 7 PM is up to approximately 5 inches and still snowing steadily. 

I've been a part of several weather forums for the past 15 years and they more or less run the same. There is discussion among individuals with a large range in knowledge about weather and then there'

My front door in Troutdale this morning. Last night was incredible with 45-55 mph gusts for many hours. I'm on a hill around 300' directly facing east.

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Seems that people are ignoring the fact that it’ll be in the 40s and raining early next week, and our extended cold is outta sight. Spring is just around the corner....

 

whaaaat? Someone had to do it!!!

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11 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

06z EPS expanded the area of 90-100% chance of 3+ inches of snowfall through Sunday morning.

2021-02-10 09_23_30-Window.png

Anything less then a foot will not sit well with me,  somehow I’ve been seduced by pink disease :( 

My guard is totally down and expectation HUGE! 
 

I may need help after all is said and done

33* and 23* dp

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Just now, hawkstwelve said:

Looks like Seattle might have a shot at a top-10 snowfall depending on how things play out.

 

Wait you’re saying they didn’t have more than 8” in 24 hours in December 1996?

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2 minutes ago, Brennan said:

Seems that people are ignoring the fact that it’ll be in the 40s and raining early next week, and our extended cold is outta sight. Spring is just around the corner....

 

whaaaat? Someone had to do it!!!

If this plays out as it should I’m sure we will all be ready for Spring :) 

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37 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Hopefully.  It could follow the trend of the first low and actually it is some. 

I was going to comment on your post about it being impossible for Seattle to have another big snow soon after Feb 2019.  Obviously there in no scientific basis at all to say that....

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 37

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Great way to start off the morning

8F6061B0-FB14-4588-8A43-9FA43EF8DF72.jpeg

Pretend you are in the pit crew.......2 minutes starting ......now! 
Did that by the Tacoma dome on I-5....had to get it done fast

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image.thumb.png.066827febe1c4e0966c9033bd30678d2.png

image.thumb.png.fbb97dfc59ff4f8d0b433a9a5775992d.png

GFS ensemble member locations for lows 1 and 2.  PDX looks solid for being on the snow side of things for both lows.  Obviously little precip with low 1 for Puget sound but low 2 should be Ok there.

freezing rain extent in Willamette Valley looks to me to extend to Eugene. 
 

if there is white stuff on the Willamette Valley floor much of it will be sleet

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1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said:

image.thumb.png.066827febe1c4e0966c9033bd30678d2.png

image.thumb.png.fbb97dfc59ff4f8d0b433a9a5775992d.png

GFS ensemble member locations for lows 1 and 2.  PDX looks solid for being on the snow side of things for both lows.  Obviously little precip with low 1 for Puget sound but low 2 should be Ok there.

freezing rain extent in Willamette Valley looks to me to extend to Eugene. 
 

if there is white stuff on the Willamette Valley floor much of it will be sleet

God that's beautiful!!!!

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5 minutes ago, Brennan said:

Seems that people are ignoring the fact that it’ll be in the 40s and raining early next week, and our extended cold is outta sight. Spring is just around the corner....

 

whaaaat? Someone had to do it!!!

Some runs have hinted at nights staying cold and a decent follow up cold shot next week.  If the big totals happen snow could be on the ground for a while.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 37

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said:

image.thumb.png.066827febe1c4e0966c9033bd30678d2.png

image.thumb.png.fbb97dfc59ff4f8d0b433a9a5775992d.png

GFS ensemble member locations for lows 1 and 2.  PDX looks solid for being on the snow side of things for both lows.  Obviously little precip with low 1 for Puget sound but low 2 should be Ok there.

freezing rain extent in Willamette Valley looks to me to extend to Eugene. 
 

if there is white stuff on the Willamette Valley floor much of it will be sleet

Wow, much more consensus for the Saturday low now. Should increase confidence a bit, depending on what the Euro is about to do.

Don't like seeing those weaker solutions though. Hope we can keep it sub-1000mb.

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Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com

 

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6 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said:

image.thumb.png.066827febe1c4e0966c9033bd30678d2.png

image.thumb.png.fbb97dfc59ff4f8d0b433a9a5775992d.png

GFS ensemble member locations for lows 1 and 2.  PDX looks solid for being on the snow side of things for both lows.  Obviously little precip with low 1 for Puget sound but low 2 should be Ok there.

freezing rain extent in Willamette Valley looks to me to extend to Eugene. 
 

if there is white stuff on the Willamette Valley floor much of it will be sleet

We haven't seen a Euro run yet that shows SEA not getting much snow from low number one.  It has been pretty consistent showing it.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 37

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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14 minutes ago, Brennan said:

Seems that people are ignoring the fact that it’ll be in the 40s and raining early next week, and our extended cold is outta sight. Spring is just around the corner....

 

whaaaat? Someone had to do it!!!

Literally everyone knows this already

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-15

Monthly rainfall-0.47”

Cold season rainfall-32.56”

Snowfall-15.5”

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Total snow over the next 12 hours per the 12Z ECMWF...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_12hr-3016000 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12z GRAF

Really wish we had maps for the whole region from this model. Shows at least up through OLM getting pummeled with snow.

Shows a few inches of snow for nearly the whole PDX metro.

image.thumb.png.73e9b4a80fd6ae094b62a002d00d46b5.png

Text output reminds me of a bit of Jan 2004, 6+ inches of snow followed by significant icing and very cold temps.

image.thumb.png.f25abc1d1811a8fb6d1dc0ef511c613e.png

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Snow starting tomorrow morning... through 8 a.m.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_6hr-3059200.png

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Snow lifting north tomorrow between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_3hr_10to1-3080800.png

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Total snow through 6 p.m. tomorrow night... southward shift from the 00Z run and less precip overall.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-3095200.png

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Seems like today could be pretty chilly. 

Low 50's today here ;)

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 15.20"
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Clear southward shift... total snow through 2 a.m. on Friday.

00Z run on top and new 12Z run on the bottom...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-3124000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-3124000 (1).png

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