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3 minutes ago, Bryant said:

I take that back, Jesse's house can turn to rain as soon as possible

Nice! I hope you get lots of snow, but later on in the pattern after southerners have had a day or two to enjoy some.

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I've been a part of several weather forums for the past 15 years and they more or less run the same. There is discussion among individuals with a large range in knowledge about weather and then there'

West side of Olympia as of 7 PM is up to approximately 5 inches and still snowing steadily. 

My front door in Troutdale this morning. Last night was incredible with 45-55 mph gusts for many hours. I'm on a hill around 300' directly facing east.

Posted Images

The second low on the GFS is insane to say the least.  The surface obs maps showed temps in the low to mid 20s while the heavy snow comes down.  That could make insane totals with higher ratios.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

The second low on the GFS is insane to say the least.  The surface obs maps showed temps in the low to mid 20s while the heavy snow comes down.  That could make insane totals with higher ratios.

This is the type of stuff we dream of coming. Amazing we could have 2 historic winters in 3 years. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-80

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Look at the UKMET 00z relative humidity maps, the moisture is farther north so I can only assume that the precip will be farther north than 12z.

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4 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Nice! I hope you get lots of snow, but later on in the pattern after southerners have had a day or two to enjoy some.

I was rooting for all of us and you down voted me lol 

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7 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

There were still snow piles left in March, 2019 on Bainbridge.

We had snow piles here from December 2008 that lasted until the second week of February! 

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2 minutes ago, SalemDuck said:

The GEM is all over the place and it doesn’t see the gorge at all. It’ll be okay...

An inch and three quarters of ice and it doesn’t see the gorge at all?

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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8 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

I don't think there's a Washington view. 

download (68).png

Looks further south.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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7 minutes ago, wxmet said:

Look at the UKMET 00z relative humidity maps, the moisture is farther north so I can only assume that the precip will be farther north than 12z.

I think there's an issue with it. The 00z isn't even showing on weathermodels. 

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Just now, Kolk1604 said:

I think there's an issue with it. The 00z isn't even showing on weathermodels. 

I'm looking at Pivotal.

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9 minutes ago, SalemDuck said:

The GEM is all over the place and it doesn’t see the gorge at all. It’ll be okay...

The GEM isn't saying it will be too warm at the surface. It is mostly thinking the 850s will be a bit warm, just by a hair. The gorge doesn't do much of anything at that level. The flow is actually out of the SW at 850mb for this.

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2 minutes ago, wxmet said:

I'm looking at Pivotal.

I know, I was too. Pivotal said it was done, but everything was blank. I looked on Weathermodels and the 00z run wasn't an option.

Looking at Pivotal and now it started. 

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I know no one cares, but the mid/long range GFS is really active with insane amounts of mountain snow. Looks like 3 separate wet snow onshore flow events here next week, so I will be tracking those if we end up a little to far south this week. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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The 00z HRDPS, the highest resolution Canadian model is a little further South compared to the RGEM at hour 48.

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_48.png

hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_48.png

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<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

UKMET is reloading now on Pivotal.

Hopefully that wasn't the old run being plotted before.

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5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Randy must have really pissed off the snow gods when he told his wife about all this way too early.

Luckily it doesn't seem to have affected anything, but he still must pay the price.

gem-all-seattle-total_snow_kuchera-3336400.png

Now that is almost comical...I’m definitely paying the price for all my whining on that map!! 

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Cannot even begin to imagine the implications of a slight wobble. Just insane and way too complex. "Nowcast for IMBY" is the best forecast.

What is the latest analysis from our satellite experts? 

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