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6 minutes ago, Esquimalt said:

What is your personal prediction about amounts?

It'll probably vary across the Peninsula again but I'm thinking 5~6" through the southern half and 4~5" through the northern half with the Friday/Saturday system. Then maybe another 4" before the changeover with the next one.

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West side of Olympia as of 7 PM is up to approximately 5 inches and still snowing steadily. 

I've been a part of several weather forums for the past 15 years and they more or less run the same. There is discussion among individuals with a large range in knowledge about weather and then there'

My front door in Troutdale this morning. Last night was incredible with 45-55 mph gusts for many hours. I'm on a hill around 300' directly facing east.

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Dewpoints below 0 across a decent part of E. WA now. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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8 minutes ago, SalemDuck said:

I really think you will do well by early Saturday 

Agree, I think the 2nd system will deliver the juice needed.

Doesn't look like anyone in the metro has gotten even up to an inch yet tonight. Thinking I wake up to 1-2 inches tomorrow.

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Good news for northerners! In addition to the ICON looking better, the RGEM has moistened! Still not great, but better than the <1" amounts it was showing earlier today.

20210212_RGEM_00Z.thumb.png.4802a387b7ce83362f31e8ee6499b408.png

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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Been switching back and forth between a few flurries to nothing. This may be it for around here. Current radar imagery shows precip continuing to sink SSE.

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Down to 24°F here.

Communicating snow probabilities to the general public is tough. I actually think NWS’ new graphics are pretty slick and effective for portraying range of possibilities for different regions. 

On the other hand, our neighborhood and local Facebook pages are convinced Snowmaggedon 2.0 is coming and expect feet of snow by Saturday. Not sure what NWS can do if they won’t even pay attention. 

 

 

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Down to 32.7. Just went outside, precip is pretty light. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Picture off of the Trilogy Parkway in Redmond. 

20210211_191519.jpg

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Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6", 2/15

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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Looks like another band developing on the C. Oregon coast.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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5 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Down to 24°F here.

Communicating snow probabilities to the general public is tough. I actually think NWS’ new graphics are pretty slick and effective for portraying range of possibilities for different regions. 

On the other hand, our neighborhood and local Facebook pages are convinced Snowmaggedon 2.0 is coming and expect feet of snow by Saturday. Not sure what NWS can do if they won’t even pay attention. 

 

 

I really like their graphics where they show the probability of certain snow amounts for different cities. I think that's a really smart way to do it because that's inherently what we're dealing with. It shows the uncertainty of the forecast and tells people a range of depths/what's possible. Definitely better than just saying "2-12 inches."

nws_snowfall_probs.thumb.jpeg.1cc0d8bab873067e4927fcb42d556dea.jpeg

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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Checked outside and getting a mix of sleet and freezing rain here now it seems. Wasn’t quite expecting that at this stage.

Temp is down to 30.

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My current thinking is that west of I-5 has the best chance of seeing a foot of snow in King county with the highest amounts closest to the Sound.

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49 minutes ago, wxmet said:

Just went outside to measure and we're closing in on 1". Looks like the NAM 3km brings close to a foot here which would be nice to see.

Impressive.

The radar looks the same all over King County... but I was trying to figure out where its accumulating.

From what I can tell... it looks like from 520 northward and from I-5 westward.   I see snow along 520 in Bellevue and Redmond and north into Woodinville... and from about downtown Seattle northward.    SEA is reporting light snow but it looks drier there.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Any predictions for NW Oregon as to how this next storm plays out?

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Just to also be clear. We are at a point now where I consider the region to be in storm mode so I will reference professionals a lot more for reliable information rather than misinterpretation of data to get information out. 

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27 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Roads are turning white here. Down to 29. 

Yeah I thought precip was winding down but still more snow to the north so could go for awhile. Roads turning white here along with everything else a nice surprise and a good appetizer for tomorrow!

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-25

Coldest high-32

Freezes-14

Monthly rainfall-5.05”

Cold season rainfall-31.87”

Snowfall-15.5”

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15 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Down to 24°F here.

Communicating snow probabilities to the general public is tough. I actually think NWS’ new graphics are pretty slick and effective for portraying range of possibilities for different regions. 

On the other hand, our neighborhood and local Facebook pages are convinced Snowmaggedon 2.0 is coming and expect feet of snow by Saturday. Not sure what NWS can do if they won’t even pay attention. 

 

 

Yeah... its crazy cold out there now.     Also 28 in North Bend.

Just drove to Snoqualmie Ridge to drop off my son who is on his way to Mexico.   There was a few flurries up here... then bone dry in North Bend... then some very light snow at the Snoqualmie Parkway exit on I-90... and very windy and totally dry at Snoqualmie Ridge.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Checked outside and getting a mix of sleet and freezing rain here now it seems. Wasn’t quite expecting that at this stage.

Temp is down to 30.

It was interesting.  Driving out to and back from Washougal I hit sleet in exactly the same spot about an hour and a half apart.  Only for about a mile on SR 14 near 164th.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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GFS 00z is a bit more interesting for King county this run. It doesn't show precip stopping in King county (especially the western most areas) till the next system comes in. Looking at the radar trends, I would not be surprised if this was true. 

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

It was interesting.  Driving out to and back from Washougal I hit sleet in exactly the same spot about an hour and a half apart.  Only for about a mile on SR 14 near 164th.

I think a lot of the “changeover” could have to do with precip intensity right now. Precip is very light.

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13 minutes ago, wxmet said:

My current thinking is that west of I-5 has the best chance of seeing a foot of snow in King county with the highest amounts closest to the Sound.

Was thinking the same thing. That is rarely the case.  The models have shown that with events though and ended up not being the case but hopefully that is the case!

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PDX is going to dramatically overperform tonight and I predict pretty much everyone in the metro north of the Multnomah/Clackamas County line is going to wake up to a shocking amount of snow. Pretty much all the short range models are showing the radar absolutely blowing up over the next several hours with one hell of a deformation band right over the metro. This is gonna get exciting soon.

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00z looks much better for Puget Sound tomorrow night. Quite a bit more moisture. This is going to be a snowy run.

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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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Score! GFS is so much better for up here! Doubles precipitation amounts by Saturday evening!

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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