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West side of Olympia as of 7 PM is up to approximately 5 inches and still snowing steadily. 

I've been a part of several weather forums for the past 15 years and they more or less run the same. There is discussion among individuals with a large range in knowledge about weather and then there'

My front door in Troutdale this morning. Last night was incredible with 45-55 mph gusts for many hours. I'm on a hill around 300' directly facing east.

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I think folks up in Clark County could still end up with 6-10" if this all works out right. Starting to put the pieces together on a classic late blooming Nina winter. 

Just need to have some early March anafront action for our friends down in Eugene to put a cap on it. 

Still doable. Comes down to avoiding the sleet today with this constant influx of precip. Luckily the steady rates have managed to quell that, so if that pattern persists we're looking at a nice amount of snow still to come.

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1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z UKMET finally catching up to the other models on totals now. Still shows some east wind inhibiting totals out here but much less than previous runs.

sn10_acc.us_nw (10).png

I'm cool with a foot in seattle! 

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2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z UKMET finally catching up to the other models on totals now. Still shows some east wind inhibiting totals out here but much less than previous runs.

sn10_acc.us_nw (10).png

That map still looks pretty crazy... basically nothing here and a foot in Seattle.   I can't remember that ever happening.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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26 degrees and snowing hard this morning. The wind has backed off a bit too so everywhere has finally been able to get a nice coating. Closing in on 3” here since yesterday.

 

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8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Man, people in the foothills are spooked on Twitter. They think we will get nothing because some wawx folks started screaming yesterday that the east wind will eat everything.

FWIW, the 12z GEM moved towards the Euro for totals out here. Doesn't show it being as much of a problem as previous runs. 

Keep in mind, this is only through 4AM Sunday. It shows more after this for Sunday PM.

2021-02-12 08_57_31-Window.png

We're spooked because we got skunked last night, I think.  We keep hearing "north of King county the snow will taper off..." and a lot of us are thinking, we're still South of Seattle! Why aren't we getting any? Guess we're getting left out... 

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Just now, MossMan said:

I feel like Tim punched me in the gut this morning with those WRF maps...Unfortunately it will probably verify. 
 

Back to a non event...Wonderful. 

 

Have no fear... the WRF will just remind us how bad it is.   Never believe the WRF unless the ECMWF agrees with it and it most certainly does not agree.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, PuyallupChris said:

We're spooked because we got skunked last night, I think.  We keep hearing "north of King county the snow will taper off..." and a lot of us are thinking, we're still South of Seattle! Why aren't we getting any? Guess we're getting left out... 

I’m still traumatized by the east wind last night. 

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Snowfall totals so far

20200212_totalsnow_0900.thumb.png.a3e26cb56cc3399f12249b82a7c62df2.png

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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2 minutes ago, PuyallupChris said:

We're spooked because we got skunked last night, I think.  We keep hearing "north of King county the snow will taper off..." and a lot of us are thinking, we're still South of Seattle! Why aren't we getting any? Guess we're getting left out... 

Yo Chris, I also live in Puyallup. We’re not in the foothills and we will get hella snow😎😎

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Temp down to 29.5 now. There go my hopes for a quick thaw. ZR seems to be increasing. We'll see how much the trees can take. 

East winds have backed off a bit, so probably going to help areas near the gorge get more precip. Looks like Vancouver has moderate snow. 

I think we are going to see a lot of sub-freezing highs today. Record min-max at PDX is 35, so they will break it. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I just checked the ODOT cams around Portland... looks pretty crazy down there.

I-84 looks like Nebraska...

 

i84@257th_pid1583.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Hopefully PDX can do better than the 0.1" they put up yesterday. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, PuyallupChris said:

We're spooked because we got skunked last night, I think.  We keep hearing "north of King county the snow will taper off..." and a lot of us are thinking, we're still South of Seattle! Why aren't we getting any? Guess we're getting left out... 

Yeah, and I get that. Yesterday sucked... even though, keep in mind, most areas around us didn't get much either. 

The largest difference between yesterday and tonight/tomorrow is precip rates. Much higher precip rates will have a much easier time overcoming the east wind. 

Although, not sure how prone you are to east winds down there to begin with. Really don't think you have anything to worry about.

Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com

 

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12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That map still looks pretty crazy... basically nothing here and a foot in Seattle.   I can't remember that ever happening.

I believe it was Feb 1994 or 1995 something like that happened.  The canal got like 3 feet and the Seattle area and to the east was very dry with a raging east wind. Even i had about a 30mph east wind which is very rare over here.  If you have Time do some Research on that storm it might be a good analog.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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I like this timing better... my wife was able to be at work today (after I told her earlier in the week there would be no way that would happen) and she is getting her second vaccine dose this afternoon in Seattle.    Then the craziness starts after the commute later today and its the weekend!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, JBolin said:

Charging your battery?

Nah, it’s a TDI, so I have a coolant heater installed.  It’s a very short drive for me to get to Mt Baker Hwy, so I like to have some heat in the engine before I have to go romping on it.

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Radar really filling in. Going to be a LOT of snow and ice today.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 9.8"                        2020-21: 40.47"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I like this timing better... my wife was able to be at work today (after I told her earlier in the week there would be no way that would happen) and she is getting her second vaccine dose this afternoon in Seattle.    Then the craziness starts after the commute later today and its the weekend!  

Here's to no ill-effects from the second dose! 

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28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looking ahead, the GFS has been pretty consistent showing a very wet system late in the week. This run dumps about 2" of rain in a 24 hour period from EUG-SLE. Followed by tons of mountain snow and some pretty low snow levels. 

Further out, there has been a pretty strong signal for a cold trough with potential lowland snow flirtations a few days later. I think winter is going to stick around a while. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_46.png

Jack Nicholson Reaction GIF

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2 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Nah, it’s a TDI, so I have a coolant heater installed.  It’s a very short drive for me to get to Mt Baker Hwy, so I like to have some heat in the engine before I have to go romping on it.

Ahh, got it, smart.

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I will take a stab at this. From Bremerton west and south towards Shelton and Olympia I'm thinking 9-15 inches and 12-20 inches right along the Canal. 7-10 for Seattle looks fair. For Sunday and Monday 2-5 inches north of Seattle and 4-10 along hood canal.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I just checked the ODOT cams around Portland... looks pretty crazy down there.

I-84 looks like Nebraska...

 

i84@257th_pid1583.jpg

Yeah it's really picked up down here in the last hour or so after a fairly unambitious start.

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Just now, Austin Wright said:

Can someone tell me when we think the snow is going to hit tonight in the south sound? Trying to tell my boss if we should close our restaurant early.

next storm should hit by evening. snow probably starts falling around 6 or 7pm.

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4 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Here's to no ill-effects from the second dose! 

No doubt!    She had no effects from the first dose... but people in her office have been hit much harder with the second dose.  

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No doubt!    She had no effects from the first dose... but people in her office have been hit much harder with the second dose.  

Second dose is what takes people down - count on at least 12 hours staying in bed.

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No doubt!    She had no effects from the first dose... but people in her office have been hit much harder with the second dose.  

Yeah, my sister-in-law is in law enforcement and she had both already. She was fine, just a little tired, but some of her coworkers had fevers and aches for a day or so. 

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11 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Yeah it's really picked up down here in the last hour or so after a fairly unambitious start.

I was actually pretty bummed at the end of the day yesterday when we only had a windswept half inch or so and the radar looked empty.

It has already snowed more this morning than it did all of yesterday.

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9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I will take a stab at this. From Bremerton west and south towards Shelton and Olympia I'm thinking 9-15 inches and 12-20 inches right along the Canal. 7-10 for Seattle looks fair.

I love living near the ferry on Bainbridge, but I miss the Central Kitsap snows.  Today looks good for me. 

Couple of pics from last night and this am.

63480073003--55F1C52C-2096-4049-B3AC-F7E73529B7AE.jpg

IMG-4081.jpg

IMG-4082.jpg

IMG-4083.jpg

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Winter Weather Advisory from SEA NWS for Skagit and Whatcom. Calling for 1-3" for tonight/tomorrow's storm. Totals could be a little higher than that if models are to be believed, more in the 3-6" range, but winds could definitely limit totals.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No doubt!    She had no effects from the first dose... but people in her office have been hit much harder with the second dose.  

We have a couple nurse friends who said they got incredibly sick after the second dose. Made them really scared what it was doing to them. One is still experiencing adverse symptoms days later. 😳😕

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1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Real quick before the show starts

Just wanted to see it's been a blast this past week with riding all these models. I feel like we've hardly slept.

One thing I appreciate is how you guys bring up the possibilities. Sure it may be fantasy a week out, but it's something to look out for cause you never know. Hate it when mets don't do that, but that's understandable.

Appreciate all your passion guys! I feel like a kid on Christmas morning 

LETS GET IT!!!

Going to be a no sleep weekend for all of us weather freaks! 

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31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Have no fear... the WRF will just remind us how bad it is.   Never believe the WRF unless the ECMWF agrees with it and it most certainly does not agree.

Yet! You still posted it! Way to go, you completely traumatized Mossman! ;(

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26 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Temp down to 29.5 now. There go my hopes for a quick thaw. ZR seems to be increasing. We'll see how much the trees can take. 

East winds have backed off a bit, so probably going to help areas near the gorge get more precip. Looks like Vancouver has moderate snow. 

I think we are going to see a lot of sub-freezing highs today. Record min-max at PDX is 35, so they will break it. 

Pretty even temperatures west-to-east across the valley.  No warm nosing, just light northerly flow.  You will (probably, hopefully?) get warm-nosed once southerly flow arrives ahead of the low.

31.5 here, light icing on windshields, not much on anything else.  Definitely going to rise above freezing in the next few hours.

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