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12 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Ice warning just issued for my fountain rock!  Hummingbirds not happy

0DFB8C91-243A-4D15-83F5-589015051313.jpeg

Th freezing power of continental air!  Not that far below freezing, but it does the job.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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I've been a part of several weather forums for the past 15 years and they more or less run the same. There is discussion among individuals with a large range in knowledge about weather and then there'

West side of Olympia as of 7 PM is up to approximately 5 inches and still snowing steadily. 

My front door in Troutdale this morning. Last night was incredible with 45-55 mph gusts for many hours. I'm on a hill around 300' directly facing east.

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3 minutes ago, nwsnow said:

Radar just refuses to fill in over WA county, maybe Omegaraptor had a point about it being semiarid 😂. I think that heavier stuff to the west has to push in sooner or later...

On the positive side, it has changed back over to all snow even though the preicp rate is very light. 

image.png.e07d5b1e1d4b17be7f6c3de6b72416e1.png

downsloping off the west hills

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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

The radar returns are producing here!

Looks like you are on the northern edge of the remnant deformation zone band to the south.   You just keep winning!   

You are selling me on the benefits of reverse psychology!   Expect the worst and then be pleasantly surprised when it works out.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Coastal radar is really filling in and merging with the southern moisture.  It could easily get going before dark in this area.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like you are on the northern edge of the remnant deformation zone band to the south.   You just keep winning!   

You are selling me on the benefits of reverse psychology!   Expect the worst and then be pleasantly surprised when it works out.  😀

Yep

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It should be noted the ECMWF has trended toward the GFS on keeping things colder.  They very often meet in the middle.  The GFS isn't quite as bad as people make it out to be.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like you are on the northern edge of the remnant deformation zone band to the south.   You just keep winning!   

You are selling me on the benefits of reverse psychology!   Expect the worst and then be pleasantly surprised when it works out.  😀

I think it's gets annoying when you take it to his level though.  Just brings the mood of the forum down.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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9 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

Since you live over there, I'm curious what you think Stevens Pass will be like around noon Sunday.  My daughter and some friends are taking a quick 2 day trip to Leavenworth, leaving Seattle around noon Sunday and returning Monday night. I am hoping they won't get stuck with the pass closed.

Sunday should be a much better day to drive, being in between storms.  Once in awhile they close the pass for avalanche control, but usually late at night when traffic is slow.  Stevens will get a lot of snow overnight and early tomorrow, but nothing out of the ordinary.  Guessing it will still be compact snow by Sunday, so having proper tires/chains is strongly advised.

They could also take Snoqualmie Pass and Blewett Pass if those roads look better.  Worth checking on.  

Whenever anyone from here goes to Seattle, we almost always take Blewett/Snoqualmie instead of Steven's, a bit faster, especially Seattle and anywhere south.  North Seattle is a toss-up time wise.

We are expecting snow late Sunday and into Monday, so going back Monday night should be better than Monday morning

And BTW we just moved to phase 2, so starting Sunday our restaurants can be open at 25% capacity

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think it's gets annoying when you take it to his level though.  Just brings the mood of the forum down.

Maybe... but Chris has his methods and it appears to work for him. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Mood of the forum seems fine.

I'm talking about the leading up to an event or when things are still a ways off.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Maybe... but Chris has his methods and it appears to work for him. 

I suppose.  Many of us have our own weird ways of dealing with things on here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Talk about improvement.  The ECMWF went from 50 / 38 on Tuesday on the 0z to 43 / 35 on this run.  That is a big time move.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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12 minutes ago, Cloud said:

You gotta feel good about this one. We’re about to enter the time machine back to 1950!  Jim would love this. 
 

 

The pattern is also similar in other areas... like the crazy snow and cold that is about to hit Houston.     

It also happened in January 1950:

https://bill37mccurdy.com/2011/02/02/the-houston-ice-storm-of-1950/

 

And this is what is happening in Houston now...

 

149709736_270424177776302_4691518523313539115_o.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I suppose.  Many of us have our own weird ways of dealing with things on here.

And of course all of those things ultimately have no effect on what the weather does. But they certainly affect the readability of this place at times.

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Just curious as to why NWS Seattle is only calling for 3-7" in my area when most models are showing twice that. Are they just being conservative or are they looking at something in particular?

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Exciting to see that Coastal radar getting active so soon!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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24 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

downsloping off the west hills

If anything we should be getting upsloping with the east winds. This looks like we are getting shadowed by the coast range but I don't usually see that with startiform precip...

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Just now, tjb723 said:

Just curious as to why NWS Seattle is only calling for 3-7" in my area when most models are showing twice that. Are they just being conservative or are they looking at something in particular?

being conservative likely.

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The pattern is also similar in other areas... like the crazy snow and cold that is about to hit Houston.     

It also happened in January 1950:

https://bill37mccurdy.com/2011/02/02/the-houston-ice-storm-of-1950/

 

And this is what is happening in Houston now...

 

149709736_270424177776302_4691518523313539115_o.jpg

That is pretty amazing.  One thing this certainly had in common with 1950 is the extreme N to S temp gradient over the far west.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Talk about improvement.  The ECMWF went from 50 / 38 on Tuesday on the 0z to 43 / 35 on this run.  That is a big time move.

Could continue to step down the closer we get! 

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2 minutes ago, tjb723 said:

Just curious as to why NWS Seattle is only calling for 3-7" in my area when most models are showing twice that. Are they just being conservative or are they looking at something in particular?

Once you get to that level it's already a high impact event.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Could continue to step down the closer we get! 

My thoughts exactly.  The cold solutions of the GFS may not be so outlandish after all.  Every day it stays reasonably cold makes this a much better event.  Assuming the GFS and ECMWF will move toward each other next week could be pretty decent for keeping snow on the ground.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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9 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

This! 

I won't deny what I do, it works, gonna stick to it!!

Above all else I respect honesty.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Filtered sun here now... and still windy.

Pretty weird how it got brighter when the radar showed stuff getting close.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

That is relevant how?  Don't live in the past, embrace the present!

We all have had our complaints about others' tones here at times. You have had many. ;)

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23 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Sunday should be a much better day to drive, being in between storms.  Once in awhile they close the pass for avalanche control, but usually late at night when traffic is slow.  Stevens will get a lot of snow overnight and early tomorrow, but nothing out of the ordinary.  Guessing it will still be compact snow by Sunday, so having proper tires/chains is strongly advised.

They could also take Snoqualmie Pass and Blewett Pass if those roads look better.  Worth checking on.  

Whenever anyone from here goes to Seattle, we almost always take Blewett/Snoqualmie instead of Steven's, a bit faster, especially Seattle and anywhere south.  North Seattle is a toss-up time wise.

We are expecting snow late Sunday and into Monday, so going back Monday night should be better than Monday morning

And BTW we just moved to phase 2, so starting Sunday our restaurants can be open at 25% capacity

Sounds good. Thanks!  They are skiing/snowboarding at Stevens on Monday so will be returning by that route I believe. 

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Just now, Jesse said:

We all have had our complaints about others' tones here at times. You have had many. ;)

Yes we are all guilty, of course. 

Today is a day to enjoy as a group of weather nerds the goodies that Ma Nature is about to bestow on us!!

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  • Meteorologist

Had to go to three different stores (sold out everywhere!) but was able to grab the last saucer for sledding. Definitely ready for this event to get started!

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2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Yes we are all guilty, of course. 

Today is a day to enjoy as a group of weather nerds the goodies that Ma Nature is about to bestow on us!!

I will toast to that! Let's focus on today's event. :wub:

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