Niko Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 @Tom This Lake will serve you good! Check out all that moisture coming off from the lake. 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 12z GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 12z Canadian 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 15z RAP 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Niko said: This is an unprecedented event for them down there. Yes, it is. This level of cold happens once every 40 years on average. They haven't reached single digits since the infamous 1989 Barney rampage, and it looks like they will on Monday night. Coolest it ever got in my 13 years there was 16. 6 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 24 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Yes, it is. This level of cold happens once every 40 years on average. They haven't reached single digits since the infamous 1989 Barney rampage, and it looks like they will on Monday night. Coolest it ever got in my 13 years there was 16. Hard to picture Dallas, TX having highs in the teens and lows in the S.D's w a headline reading "Winterstorm Warning." Crazy! This goes for other places in the south as well. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 4 hours ago, Clinton said: Wind Chill Warning and WWA issued. They are going conservative with 1-3 but with how things have gone around here this season it's a good call, hope I can do better though. ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO NOON CST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Warning, dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 20 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central, north central, northwest and west central Missouri. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Warning, from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Monday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 6 AM Sunday to noon CST Monday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until noon CST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. Map shows I could get 3-4. I hope they are under doing the totals and we end up with 5 inches. They can always go up on totals! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, Jayhawker85 said: I hope they are under doing the totals and we end up with 5 inches. They can always go up on totals! Me too, I think it will all depend on how long it will take to saturate the air. The earlier the snow starts tomorrow the better our totals will be. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Lake really adding to totals on Euro 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 EURO crushes SMI w over a foot! 1 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 3 hours ago, FAR_Weather said: Houston is gonna see powder from this. The couple of times it snowed when I grew up there, we got slop. Memphis is weird. The sloppy southern sliders always missed is to the south. If there’s precip around freezing, it’s rain or freezing rain. Most snowfalls came following an arctic front so straight powder. Wet snows happen, but less often 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Congrats to @tom and our other Chi-town friends. 10 of snow inches is nothing to sneeze at. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 18z NAM looking good for KC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 3km NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 18z HRRR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 18z RDPS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Updated snowfall forecast from KC office. Nice little bump to my totals. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 18z totals look weak up this far north. Don't buy it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 18z GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Starting to look a lot more like a solid 5-6 out of the first part. I'm more than happy with that. The second part looks intense too. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said: Starting to look a lot more like a solid 5-6 out of the first part. I'm more than happy with that. The second part looks intense too. GFS is looking strong on the storm Wednesday. Snow on top of snow! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Kuchera off 12z is crazy. Both storms. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 21z RAP with some big totals along and south of I-70. We shall see if it holds. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Not too often you see MEG (Memphis NWS) put out a map like this. Memphis officially hasn't recieved a 6"+ storm since January 1988. You don't get into top 10 territory until 8.1". Can't find any tables, but theres numerous snowfalls in the 6-8" range as well prior to 1988. Nebraska has its moments, but MEM is the anti snow king. 5 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 26 minutes ago, Clinton said: 21z RAP with some big totals along and south of I-70. We shall see if it holds. Most runs of the first punch have placed me between 4-6. I'm good with that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 The largest state in the country is almost entirely covered by a winter storm warning 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 I like this person's humor at NWS. Wanted to share this for history's sake. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 17 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: The largest state in the country is almost entirely covered by a winter storm warning Criteria is relaxed to basically nothing the further south you get, but still very impressive. Especially with the cold/zr/snow mix happening so far south. Houston's high of 20 on Monday has me rolling. It couldn't get that cold here all winter until last week. 5 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 18z Euro: Wx Bell is using ridiculously high ratios of 30-1 so I would shave a few inches off these totals. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Clinton said: 18z Euro: Wx Bell is using ridiculously high ratios of 30-1 so I would shave a few inches off these totals. Very high snow ratios w temps in the "Single Digits" Monday nite. Very cold snowstorm. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, snowstorm83 said: Criteria is relaxed to basically nothing the further south you get, but still very impressive. Especially with the cold/zr/snow mix happening so far south. Houston's high of 20 on Monday has me rolling. It couldn't get that cold here all winter until last week. In Houston the WSW criteria is 0.15" of ice or 2" of snow. Yeah, not much. 3 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 0z HRRR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 It's so odd seeing HGX mention blowing and drifting snow in Houston. 1 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, Clinton said: 0z HRRR The models are getting wetter and wetter! I’m loving it!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Jayhawker85 said: The models are getting wetter and wetter! I’m loving it!! Me too! Models getting wetter is something we are not use to this year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 3km NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 0z RDPS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 14, 2021 Report Share Posted February 14, 2021 This is the odd storm where the outlier model, which is also definitely the most dry, is the euro. I still like a 4-6 call over my region for the 1st wave. Trends are our friends. If I get under that convective thunder band, I'll be one excited fella. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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