Jump to content

Valentines and Presidents Day Oklahoma and Mid West Smasher.


Clinton

Recommended Posts

GRR has issued a WWA for my area.  2-4”.  This really trended north.  4-7” for points SE of my area.  Still haven’t issued an updated discussion.  But what a fail.   I know there is a sharp cutoff but they completed disregarded all the models outside of the old gfs.  They have not been good this winter.   I guess I put too much faith in the experts.   When it all comes down to it, anyone can read a computer and guess.  They had 2-4” before the Arctic blast and storm last week and ended up going with 1-2 feet last minute lol.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, mlgamer said:

Clinton, I hadn't noticed that this afternoon Wichita upgraded to a WSW for a lot of their forecast area for higher accumulations...I wonder if that might be expanded towards you by KC NWS later.

That would be awesome.  I just looked at the 19z RAP and it indicated I could add 4 more inches.  How is it going for you today?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, FV-Mike said:

O'hare point forecast updated to 6-10 inches

This is getting really interesting.  I’m starting to get pretty excited about this. Haven’t seen a set up like this for Chicago in a very long tome.  Very rare to say the least.  @Jaycee, your dream may come true!

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Clinton said:

That would be awesome.  I just looked at the 19z RAP and it indicated I could add 4 more inches.  How is it going for you today?

I picked up a solid 1.5" this morning. I was hoping for another inch from the wave moving in, but it is pretty light so far.

Looks like I need to make a fast trip to Chicago...lol

  • Snow 1

23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Tom said:

This is getting really interesting.  I’m starting to get pretty excited about this. Haven’t seen a set up like this for Chicago in a very long tome.  Very rare to say the least.  @Jaycee, your dream may come true!

Don't want to get our hopes up but have to say several of the last several events had lake enhancement and LE so have to go with the trend. If the numbers pan out as advertised then we are in for a treat

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Is there an area nearby that measures downtown Chicago? I know ORD is technically Chicago’s measuring station. But if there’s going to be a variance of amounts, hopefully someone can get a measurement near LSD.

...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tonight
     

    Tonight: Snow, mainly after 11pm.  Low around 10. Wind chill values as low as -1. North northwest wind 7 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

    Chance Snow
    then Snow

    Low: 10 °F

  • Washington's
    Birthday

    Washington's Birthday: Snow, mainly before 1pm.  High near 18. Wind chill values as low as -4. North wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Snow

    High: 18 °F

  • Monday
    Night

    Monday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times.  Low around 10. Wind chill values as low as -1. North northeast wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of around 5 inches.

    Heavy Snow

    Low: 10 °F

  • Tuesday
     

    Tuesday: Snow likely before 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 20. North wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Snow Likely

    High: 20 °F

    Sweet!❄️ Storm Total so far is calling for 6-10"+

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Snow 2

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

Is there an area nearby that measures downtown Chicago? I know ORD is technically Chicago’s measuring station. But if there’s going to be a variance of amounts, hopefully someone can get a measurement near LSD.

Midway is the only other official station...maybe there are some COOP’s in the city.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Personally think NWS should have gone w a WSW, not an WWA. "Big Mistake" on their end. These snow number accumulations meet warning criteria. Not sure what they are thinking.

  • Like 3

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Niko said:

Personally think NWS should have gone w a WSW, not an WWA. "Big Mistake" on their end. These snow number accumulations meet warning criteria. Not sure what they are thinking.

Yep. They could upgrade but you can see the GRR influence in the conference call. I'm now less than a county north of a Warning. How frustrating if I'm again left standing on the sidelines.

IWX

d cause reduced visibility in mainly rural areas.
Drifting snow will be an issue with the steady winds making some
roads impassable at times. taking all these factors into account
and extensive collaboration, it was agreed to place much of the
forecast area in a Winter Storm Warning and cover NW areas in an
advisory. If any further NW shift occurs in the track, this area
could also need to be included in the warning. Now you may ask why
we didn`t adjust the timing of the headlines to match the
greatest threat. Since there may not be a lull in the snowfall for
all areas and some minor travel issues are possible late tonight
into Monday morning it was decided to keep headlines as simple as
possible.

While confidence has increased, some changes in the forecast are
still possible with the axis of the heaviest snowfall possibly
still shifting.

 

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, jaster220 said:

Yep. They could upgrade but you can see the GRR influence in the conference call. I'm now less than a county north of a Warning. How frustrating if I'm again left standing on the sidelines.

IWX


d cause reduced visibility in mainly rural areas.
Drifting snow will be an issue with the steady winds making some
roads impassable at times. taking all these factors into account
and extensive collaboration, it was agreed to place much of the
forecast area in a Winter Storm Warning and cover NW areas in an
advisory. If any further NW shift occurs in the track, this area
could also need to be included in the warning. Now you may ask why
we didn`t adjust the timing of the headlines to match the
greatest threat. Since there may not be a lull in the snowfall for
all areas and some minor travel issues are possible late tonight
into Monday morning it was decided to keep headlines as simple as
possible.

While confidence has increased, some changes in the forecast are
still possible with the axis of the heaviest snowfall possibly
still shifting.

 

I strongly believe that by tomorrow mornings 4am package or at the very latest by the 4pm package, we will get upgraded to a WSW. I am thinking that they wanted to separate both parts, so w part 1 going w a WWA and part 2 will eventually put us in a WSW that will involve the bigger snow accumulations.

  • Popcorn 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, someweatherdude said:

This has been as close to a complete bust as possible without actually being a complete bust.  According to all the models, KC is done.  And we got MAYBE an inch despite all models as of this morning giving us between 3 and 7 inches today/tonight.   It's remarkable how bad the models are and how well KC avoids snow.

Dang it, I hoped you guys would do better.  I hope the band tomorrow adds to your totals.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Sciascia said:

Is there an area nearby that measures downtown Chicago? I know ORD is technically Chicago’s measuring station. But if there’s going to be a variance of amounts, hopefully someone can get a measurement near LSD.

I usually do! Haha but I’m actually in Miami right now, where it’s 80 degrees at 7pm. I hope the snow sticks around til I’m gone, I have a feeling the lake effect will pummel my area (Edgewater/Evanston, less than 1/4 mile inland from the lake). 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, someweatherdude said:

This has been as close to a complete bust as possible without actually being a complete bust.  According to all the models, KC is done.  And we got MAYBE an inch despite all models as of this morning giving us between 3 and 7 inches today/tonight.   It's remarkable how bad the models are and how well KC avoids snow.

The dry air was definitely too strong today. I’m in Lawrence and i think we have about 2 inches today. Hopeful for another band as the low moves by tomorrow morning

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Jaycee said:

I usually do! Haha but I’m actually in Miami right now, where it’s 80 degrees at 7pm. I hope the snow sticks around til I’m gone, I have a feeling the lake effect will pummel my area (Edgewater/Evanston, less than 1/4 mile inland from the lake). 

Hope you get to enjoy some of it when you get back. Will be a great hit for your area.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Local forecasters are saying that SEMI will go to a WSW by tomorrow for part 2 of the storm, as heavy snow spreads late in the day, right after a small lull.

  • Like 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, Niko said:

Local forecasters are saying that SEMI will go to a WSW by tomorrow for part 2 of the storm, as heavy snow spreads late in the day, right after a small lull.

Your going to get crushed. Tomorrow's storm and the system behind it look amazing for your area.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

The dry air was definitely too strong today. I’m in Lawrence and i think we have about 2 inches today. Hopeful for another band as the low moves by tomorrow morning

It looks like we have a good chance of adding a extra 2 in tomorrow. Also think we could add a few more Tuesday night thru Wednesday morning.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

57 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Your going to get crushed. Tomorrow's storm and the system behind it look amazing for your area.

Thanks amigo..they are calling for 8-12"+. 😀❄️ Im going to lowball it and say 6-10"+.

You do well also w 6"+.

  • Like 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Winds will also be a factor w this snowstorm.......there is going to be some serious blowing and drifting of the snow.

https://m2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2021021500/027/sfcgust_mph.us_mw.png

  • Like 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Memphis already has an inch from a weak wave earlier today. Oh, and there's another storm Wednesday after 6-10" with this one. There probably hasn't been snow on top of snow there since the 80s. I've been at work most of the day so I've been trying to catch up on everything going on everywhere lol. UNL cancelled in person stuff tomorrow and Tuesday, but still has virtual. Fortunately both of my proffesors tomorrow cancelled! 

  • Like 1

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...