Sciascia Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, Tom said: Wow, looks great out there. How much would say fell so far? Walking through it, felt like at least 3, maybe 4 inches of fresh powder. I’m supposed to meet someone in Itasca around 6pm, but I’m beginning to doubt that’ll happen. 1 1 Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Pretty amazing seeing the lake plume stream southwest while the main precipitation shield is coming in moving northeast! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Snow picking up and winds are getting gusty. Hope this lasts into the night. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 17 minutes ago, Tom said: Snow picking up and winds are getting gusty. Hope this lasts into the night. Same here although my snow is not as heavy, just steady light snow. But the winds are picking up and blowing this light stuff around pretty easily. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 NOAA: 4pm package! The potential for rather high liquid to snow ratios remains on track as a deep saturated layer to 600 mb evolves with nearly isothermal conditions around -13c/-15c once wedge of relatively mild air (-8c) around H7 within the evening period of isentropic lift gives way to the extended period of deformation lift. This should yield ratios of 15:1-20:1 depending on the rate of snowfall at any given place/time. Low static stability within this layer will further enhance lift with pockets of convective instability possibly bringing locally higher snowfall rates. This seems to be supported so far by the convective nature of some elements within the surge of moisture lifting north towards the area per regional radar/satellite over the southern Ohio into Tennessee Valley regions. This all supports a swath of rather heavy snowfall totals (certainly compared to any other event this season). Suspect storm totals of 6 to 10 inches should be common with locally higher snow totals not out of the question by any means. Very cold conditions will prevail throughout this event as highs reach the mid teens late today and settle back into the single digits to around 10 above overnight and rebound only into the 15 to 20 degree range on Tuesday afternoon. Northeast to north winds will also increase as the pressure gradient tightens with the approach of the system. With gusts to 20 mph or more at times, expect wind chills readings hovering around zero this afternoon to fall to 5 to 10 below zero at times overnight into early Tuesday. With clearing skies and lighter winds Tuesday night, would expect very cold low temperatures as radiational cooling will be maximized over the fresh snow pack. Will lower temperatures into the 5 to 15 below zero range roughly, but would be very surprised if some locations did not fall further than that. Finally, wintry weather will persist for the remainder of the next as well with another good shot at accumulating snow coming by Thursday into Thursday night as the next Pacific shortwave now coming onshore over the Pacific Northwest today digs into the southern plains and then lifts into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley as another northern stream wave attempts to phase with it to some degree. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 31 minutes ago, shakjen said: Same here although my snow is not as heavy, just steady light snow. But the winds are picking up and blowing this light stuff around pretty easily. Radar looking good for much of N IL to get some good synoptic snows all night long. This storm certainly trended in the positive direction for many of us. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Some vids from the intense lake plume that inundated neighborhoods just east of ORD... 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just measured 5 1/4 in and I have some drifts over 2ft. Light snow continues to fall and snow ice cream is on the menu tonight. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just read almost half the US population is under some sort of winter weather warning/advisory.... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 My temp is holding at 3 under clearing skies and decreasing flurries. In fact, sun is shining now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 My friend sent me this from Wilmette, Illinois. Visibility less than a block for over an hour FullSizeRender.mov 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, Jaycee said: My friend sent me this from Wilmette, Illinois. Visibility less than a block for over an hour FullSizeRender.mov 7.03 MB · 0 downloads That's amazing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 12:21 PM, tbone8 said: Been snowing steady here in Northwest Indiana for a few days now. Just took this pic tho nada on the radar and tiz coming down at a good clip... I like your Davis weather station! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Texas is mostly snow covered!! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Snownado in east Tx. 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 hours ago, whatitdo said: @jaster220 looks like you got that winter storm warning! Congrats man Thanks! The GRR disco.. .UPDATE... Issued at 1114 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 We have not made major changes to our on-going forecast. We are considering upgrading a few counties in the I-69 area to a Winter Storm Warning since it now seems snowfall amounts, gusty winds and low wind chills will all be factors in this storm tonight. We have increased the snowfall amounts around a inch in most places in our CWA. That is the result of most of the recent model guidance is suggesting this. Note too that the last 8 runs, in a row, of the RAP and HRRR have had nearly the same storm total precipitation across our CWA. That would be about 0.6" at JXN, 0.5" at LAN and 0.3" at GRR. The 12z run of the NAM and the HREF are similar to those amounts. This means a 5 to 8 inch snowfall for most of our southern 2/3 of our CWA. It should too that snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches an hour are expected for 3-5 hours in the I-69 area late tonight, this by itself will cause significant travel issues. Winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30 will cause significant blowing and drifting of the snow and also cause wind chills to be in the -10 to -20 range. Latest AFD mentions 6-8+ and gusts to 30 mph. Gonna rock it at home and that latest Euro with 12+ for both of us looks awesome! Commute at 11 pm should be interesting to say the least 5 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 My storm total is 4.2 inches. Not bad for a storm that models a couple days ago said was going to miss us. Im ready for the next storm tomorrow night! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 hours ago, Tom said: Snow picking up and winds are getting gusty. Hope this lasts into the night. U will be BURIED 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 One more, and I’ll quit now since you may have seen these already. Ice storm damage, in Louisiana. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 The lake plume is shifting west and only a few miles away from me. ORD reporting 1/4 mile viz. Conditions are deteriorating quickly. Snow is blowing and drifting. It. Looks. Amazing. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 22 minutes ago, Sparky said: Snownado in east Tx. That looks like a waterspout. We get them on the Great Lakes in the fall 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goldie Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Tom said: The lake plume is shifting west and only a few miles away from me. ORD reporting 1/4 mile viz. Conditions are deteriorating quickly. Snow is blowing and drifting. It. Looks. Amazing. this has been the biggest lake snow I have witnessed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, Tom said: The lake plume is shifting west and only a few miles away from me. ORD reporting 1/4 mile viz. Conditions are deteriorating quickly. Snow is blowing and drifting. It. Looks. Amazing. Going to be wild! Can't wait to see how much you end up with. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 29 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: My storm total is 4.2 inches. Not bad for a storm that models a couple days ago said was going to miss us. Im ready for the next storm tomorrow night! That's great! Can we double our snow pack? The NAM says maybe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 Snow has begun and it came w a bang. Winds are starting up as well. It will be one heck of a snowy nite here in the Detroit Metro area. Let the fun begin..... Current temp at 14F w moderate snow & windy conditions 1 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Snowing getting harder and wind picking up. Visibility down to about a half mile. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, Clinton said: Going to be wild! Can't wait to see how much you end up with. I missed out on the earlier heavy stuff but it’s pounding now. It should be ripping all night long. Hoping for 8” or more. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 NOAA: updated and upped snowfall amounts Winter Storm Warning Issued: 6:10 PM Feb. 15, 2021 – National Weather Service ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches or more. * WHERE...Macomb, Washtenaw, Lenawee, Monroe, Oakland and Wayne Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread snow will become heavy at times tonight. Highest snowfall rates are expected between 9 PM and 3 AM with hourly snowfall rates reaching and exceeding 1 inch per hour. Snow will then weaken in intensity but continue through the morning commute. Total snowfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches or more are expected with highest amounts generally east of a line from Adrian to Livonia to Utica. Northwest winds of 20 to 25 mph may lead to areas of blowing snow particularly for those locations of open exposure. IMPACTS... * Accumulating snow may lead to slippery roads particularly on bridges, exit ramps and overpasses. * Moderate to briefly heavy snow will cause reductions of visibility to less than one half mile at times. There may be rapid fluctuations of visibility. * Blowing snow may lead to localized whiteout conditions. Rapid fluctuations of visibility will occur. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bumblin Bman09 Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Snow started pretty heavy around 610ish in Gurnee. I am on the East side of 94. Looking good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 hours ago, Niko said: I feel confident enough that you will go to a WSW as well by afternoon. If ya don't, then, that will be weird by GRR office, as your area is in for some hvy snow as well. Congrats bud....didnt I tell ya that you will get your WSW by today! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slowpoke Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 51 minutes ago, Niko said: NOAA: updated and upped snowfall amounts Winter Storm Warning Issued: 6:10 PM Feb. 15, 2021 – National Weather Service ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches or more. * WHERE...Macomb, Washtenaw, Lenawee, Monroe, Oakland and Wayne Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread snow will become heavy at times tonight. Highest snowfall rates are expected between 9 PM and 3 AM with hourly snowfall rates reaching and exceeding 1 inch per hour. Snow will then weaken in intensity but continue through the morning commute. Total snowfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches or more are expected with highest amounts generally east of a line from Adrian to Livonia to Utica. Northwest winds of 20 to 25 mph may lead to areas of blowing snow particularly for those locations of open exposure. IMPACTS... * Accumulating snow may lead to slippery roads particularly on bridges, exit ramps and overpasses. * Moderate to briefly heavy snow will cause reductions of visibility to less than one half mile at times. There may be rapid fluctuations of visibility. * Blowing snow may lead to localized whiteout conditions. Rapid fluctuations of visibility will occur. We’re getting heavy snow out here in northern St Clair county off of Huron right now, picked up over 2” in the past 90 minutes. You can see a narrow band coming off the south end of the lake and that’s what’s been hitting us the past hour or so. Pretty intense. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Still no power at either of my parents' places. My mom's place in Houston proper is now 49*F inside. Current temp at KIAH is 20*F. The all-time record there (5*F) is in danger as the forecasted low is 6 currently. 5 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, Slowpoke said: We’re getting heavy snow out here in northern St Clair county off of Huron right now, picked up over 2” in the past 90 minutes. You can see a narrow band coming off the south end of the lake and that’s what’s been hitting us the past hour or so. Pretty intense. Its ripping here as well. Winds are also gusty w blowing and drifting snow. I must have at least 2 inches here already since it started. I like the fact that it is a frigid snowstorm. Temps holding currently at 14F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 The outages are voluntary and have been dictated by ERCOT. I do not envy whoever is running the Twitter accounts of the energy companies today. They are handling this horribly and so is the state. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Looks like parts of Cook County getting raked right now. Been small flakes out this way so hope we can cash in on some of the heavy banding Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Very light snow falling here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Pure pixie dust ^^ Might see an inch if it continues all night as CAMs suggest it will. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 16, 2021 Report Share Posted February 16, 2021 Visibility now down to less than a quarter mile. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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