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Valentines and Presidents Day Oklahoma and Mid West Smasher.


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My first flurries falling from the lake band...let the show begin...I'm going to go out and shovel the 1.5" of snow that fell overnight and "pave the way" for the main event.

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Took some pictures yesterday before and after shoveling the light and fluffy powder.  This was 30:1 ratio snow and it blew and drifted quite easily creating some beautiful drifts. That’s one of the pe

This might be the funniest thing yet. 🤣    

Pics from mom in desoto county MS. Looks like it might be lower end of forecast there, but 4-5” and still snowing. Why does she take better pics than me LOL

Posted Images

3 hours ago, Clinton said:

Nice snow, what your local office saying about tomorrow nights snow?

Giving me around 6-8 more total for second part. I can't disagree with it as we underperformed here vs higher maps and kuchera totals even though temps are off the wall cold.

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17 minutes ago, shakjen said:

First flurries have started here. Seems to be earlier than predicted. I thought 2-3:00 range is when it was suppose to make it this far north

LOT had an update mentioning the earlier start for you 

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Pics from mom in desoto county MS. Looks like it might be lower end of forecast there, but 4-5” and still snowing. Why does she take better pics than me LOL

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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11 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

getting light to moderate snow here in Lawrence ks. We are at 3.5-3.75 inches now with another 1 inch possible with the bands from the deformation band. snow is blowing and drifting so it makes it a little hard to measure

Glad your getting some snow, hope we get a little more Wednesday.

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2 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

me too! Ill gladly take another 2-4 Wednesday. How are you doing with snow totals today?

I'm doing ok I'm at 4.5 in total, 1in for the day.  Snow is still falling but it hard to tell what falling and whats blowing.  Great day to be off work and enjoy the weather.

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I'm having a hard time believing we'll get 1/2" here IMBY let alone the 2.5" the latest HRRR is showing.  The LE in Chicago looks amazing, hopefully you guys over there score big.

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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5 minutes ago, Niko said:

Excellent place you have there amigo! I like the set-up and view.

Thanks I love living out in the country, lots of space and lots of room to run my ATVs but not today too cold!

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11 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

These are from my travels after work from Harwood Heights back into Elmwood Park.

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Wow, looks great out there.  How much would say fell so far?

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8 minutes ago, Tom said:

Wow, looks great out there.  How much would say fell so far?

Walking through it, felt like at least 3, maybe 4 inches of fresh powder.

I’m supposed to meet someone in Itasca around 6pm, but I’m beginning to doubt that’ll happen.

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...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover...

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17 minutes ago, Tom said:

Snow picking up and winds are getting gusty.  Hope this lasts into the night.  

Same here although my snow is not as heavy, just steady light snow. But the winds are picking up and blowing this light stuff around pretty easily. 

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NOAA: ❄️👍 4pm package!

The potential for rather high liquid to snow ratios remains on track
as a deep saturated layer to 600 mb evolves with nearly isothermal
conditions around -13c/-15c once wedge of relatively mild air (-8c)
around H7 within the evening period of isentropic lift gives way to
the extended period of deformation lift. This should yield ratios of
15:1-20:1 depending on the rate of snowfall at any given place/time.
Low static stability within this layer will further enhance lift
with pockets of convective instability possibly bringing locally
higher snowfall rates. This seems to be supported so far by the
convective nature of some elements within the surge of moisture
lifting north towards the area per regional radar/satellite over the
southern Ohio into Tennessee Valley regions.
This all supports a swath of rather heavy snowfall totals (certainly
compared to any other event this season). Suspect storm totals of 6 to 10 inches
should be common with locally higher snow totals not out of the
question by any means. 
Very cold conditions will prevail throughout this event as highs
reach the mid teens late today and settle back into the single
digits to around 10 above overnight and rebound only into the 15 to
20 degree range on Tuesday afternoon. Northeast to north winds will
also increase as the pressure gradient tightens with the approach of
the system. With gusts to 20 mph or more at times, expect wind
chills readings hovering around zero this afternoon to fall to 5 to
10 below zero at times overnight into early Tuesday. With clearing
skies and lighter winds Tuesday night, would expect very cold low
temperatures as radiational cooling will be maximized over the fresh
snow pack. Will lower temperatures into the 5 to 15 below zero range
roughly, but would be very surprised if some locations did not fall
further than that.
Finally, wintry weather will persist for the remainder of the next as well
with another good shot at accumulating snow coming by Thursday into
Thursday night as the next Pacific shortwave now coming onshore over
the Pacific Northwest today digs into the southern plains and then
lifts into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley as another northern stream
wave attempts to phase with it to some degree. 

 

 

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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31 minutes ago, shakjen said:

Same here although my snow is not as heavy, just steady light snow. But the winds are picking up and blowing this light stuff around pretty easily. 

Radar looking good for much of N IL to get some good synoptic snows all night long. This storm certainly trended in the positive direction for many of us.

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On 2/14/2021 at 12:21 PM, tbone8 said:

Been snowing steady here in Northwest Indiana for a few days now. Just took this pic tho nada on the radar and tiz coming down at a good clip...

02142021.jpg

I like your Davis weather station!

‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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3 hours ago, whatitdo said:

@jaster220 looks like you got that winter storm warning! Congrats man

Thanks!

The GRR disco..

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1114 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021

We have not made major changes to our on-going forecast. We are
considering upgrading a few counties in the I-69 area to a Winter
Storm Warning since it now seems snowfall amounts, gusty winds and
low wind chills will all be factors in this storm tonight.

We have increased the snowfall amounts around a inch in most
places in our CWA. That is the result of most of the recent
model guidance is suggesting this. Note too that the last 8 runs,
in a row, of the RAP and HRRR have had nearly the same storm
total precipitation across our CWA. That would be about 0.6" at
JXN, 0.5" at LAN and 0.3" at GRR. The 12z run of the NAM and the
HREF are similar to those amounts. This means a 5 to 8 inch
snowfall for most of our southern 2/3 of our CWA.

It should too that snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches an hour are
expected for 3-5 hours in the I-69 area late tonight, this by
itself will cause significant travel issues.

Winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 30 will cause significant
blowing and drifting of the snow and also cause wind chills to be
in the -10 to -20 range.

Latest AFD mentions 6-8+ and gusts to 30 mph. Gonna rock it at home and that latest Euro with 12+ for both of us looks awesome! Commute at 11 pm should be interesting to say the least

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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2 hours ago, Tom said:

Snow picking up and winds are getting gusty.  Hope this lasts into the night.  

U will be BURIED

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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The lake plume is shifting west and only a few miles away from me.  ORD reporting 1/4 mile viz.  Conditions are deteriorating quickly.  Snow is blowing and drifting.   It.  Looks. Amazing.

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5 minutes ago, Tom said:

The lake plume is shifting west and only a few miles away from me.  ORD reporting 1/4 mile viz.  Conditions are deteriorating quickly.  Snow is blowing and drifting.   It.  Looks. Amazing.

this has been the biggest lake snow I have witnessed

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14 minutes ago, Tom said:

The lake plume is shifting west and only a few miles away from me.  ORD reporting 1/4 mile viz.  Conditions are deteriorating quickly.  Snow is blowing and drifting.   It.  Looks. Amazing.

Going to be wild! Can't wait to see how much you end up with.

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