Part III: February 2021 PacNW

[TacomaWaWx 4319]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The GFS and GEFS control both have a decent cold shot in early March.  The control dropped to -9.3 on the 850s.

We’ve actually managed some decent cold the last 2 marches. Didn’t get anything besides flakes in the air in 2020 but 2019 we got some accumulations. 

[TacomaWaWx 4319]

Just now, Jesse said:

There are still huge snowpiles in basically every parking lot that plowed down here. And it has been mild down here the last two days. 

Anything that wasn't piled up is basically gone though. I guess there is still a sliver of what was our biggest drift on the NE side of the building. Might not last until sunset at this rate. 

Our snow melted pretty quickly here. Hopefully we have a long extended period of snowcover with low DPs next winter. 

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

March 2019 started pretty cold here at least in the area of low temperatures. 
I later had a storm drop 6-7" on the 10th closing schools for the day.

#Analogs

[TacomaWaWx 4319]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

My streak of sub 50 highs ended yesterday.  A nice 36 day run though.  I'm happy to see legit snow chances this week.

I’d be happy to see a trace or an inch of snow just to add to the total a little bit.

[Jesse 8835]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Our snow melted pretty quickly here. Hopefully we have a long extended period of snowcover with low DPs next winter. 

If Tacoma has a Costco I bet there is still snow in their parking lot.

[snow_wizard 11637]

Pretty major tankage of the PNA coming up.  No doubt that 10 to 15 day period is looking interesting with a lot models suggesting a long wave connection to Siberia setting up.

 

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

If Tacoma has a Costco I bet there is still snow in their parking lot.

Our parking lot Blobs in 2017 lasted until May, took our first 80 degree high to kill them.

[SilverFallsAndrew 14736]

Until February 2019, March was our snowiest month in the 2012-2018 period. We saw a decent amount of snow last March, and had significant snowfall in March 2017,18,19. In fact our two biggest snow events of the 16-17 and 17-18 winter seasons were in March. Of course it usually melts pretty quickly. March can really deliver up here, Silver Falls had a 31" snow depth at one point in March 1951. 

[MossMan 10553]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty major tankage of the PNA coming up.  No doubt that 10 to 15 day period is looking interesting with a lot models suggesting a long wave connection to Siberia setting up.

 

Won’t be dismantling the plow attachment from my mower just yet it looks like! Also the Christmas lights might have to stay up until April 1st now! 

[Jesse 8835]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty major tankage of the PNA coming up.  No doubt that 10 to 15 day period is looking interesting with a lot models suggesting a long wave connection to Siberia setting up.

 

I wouldn't mind a really cold start to spring. Maybe a March 2009/12-April 2008/11 combo.

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Until February 2019, March was our snowiest month in the 2012-2018 period. We saw a decent amount of snow last March, and had significant snowfall in March 2017,18,19. In fact our two biggest snow events of the 16-17 and 17-18 winter seasons were in March. Of course it usually melts pretty quickly. March can really deliver up here, Silver Falls had a 31" snow depth at one point in March 1951. 

 Crazy. I can see the difference between west slopes vs. east, you get more a regular flow of moisture. I've only had one month over 30" and that was Dec 2015 (33.1"). One of the local stations here got 33.4" in Feb 2019 but I personally totaled 27.5" in that one.

There was one winter in which March had the most, 15.2" in 2012 but that was a late start like this one.

[mtep 268]

Raining pretty good here right now. Big spring vibes. Would be cool to get another sloppy inch before the season ends though. December 21st was really fun. 

[Deweydog 14074]

I’m gonna be doing a local analysis this afternoon of lot piles based on retailer.  Stay tuned!!!

[Jesse 8835]

Just now, Deweydog said:

I’m gonna be doing a local analysis this afternoon of lot piles based on retailer.  Stay tuned!!!

We all know Costco will win. This was discussed days ago. 

[TT-SEA 3622]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’m gonna be doing a local analysis this afternoon of lot piles based on retailer.  Stay tuned!!!

Doesn't count.   Like non-native plants blooming in the winter.   That piled up snow would be gone without humans piling it up.  

[Deweydog 14074]

11 minutes ago, Jesse said:

We all know Costco will win. This was discussed days ago. 

It ain’t over until the GI Joe’s and Circuit City piles sing.  

[snow_wizard 11637]

14 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’m gonna be doing a local analysis this afternoon of lot piles based on retailer.  Stay tuned!!!

I was going to check Walmart to see how they stack up....pardon the pun.

[snow_wizard 11637]

19 minutes ago, mtep said:

Raining pretty good here right now. Big spring vibes. Would be cool to get another sloppy inch before the season ends though. December 21st was really fun. 

Never count out March.  There are a few years that have flat out snowy conditions.  March 1951 is actually the snowiest month on record for some places in NW WA.

Amazingly 1936 had a widespread event in late March that was followed by lows in the teens in some places.

[Jesse 8835]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

It ain’t over until the GI Joe’s and Circuit City piles sing.  

It’s funny I was just talking about how Chuck’s used to be a G.I. Joe’s.

Biggest we saw there was maybe shoulder high. Not too intimidating to the Kirkland Signature crowd.

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

It’s funny I was just talking about how Chuck’s used to be a G.I. Joe’s.

Biggest we saw there was maybe shoulder high. Not too intimidating to the Kirkland Signature crowd.

I remember them renaming the store to "Joe's", why not keep it G.I. Joes? lol

[MossMan 10553]

9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Never count out March.  There are a few years that have flat out snowy conditions.  March 1951 is actually the snowiest month on record for some places in NW WA.

Just looked at the temps from March 51 and the first 11 days are impressive. Can’t find snowfall data for my area during that time though. 

[Jesse 8835]

10 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I remember them renaming the store to "Joe's", why not keep it G.I. Joes? lol

Removing the G.I. was the beginning of the end for them.

[Jesse 8835]

It's finally raining here. 50 degrees. Hasn't torched as bad as I thought it might today so far.

[ShawniganLake 5443]

35 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’m gonna be doing a local analysis this afternoon of lot piles based on retailer.  Stay tuned!!!

Finally. Thank you for stepping up. !

[mtep 268]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Never count out March.  There are a few years that have flat out snowy conditions.  March 1951 is actually the snowiest month on record for some places in NW WA.

Amazingly 1936 had a widespread event in late March that was followed by lows in the teens in some places.

There was a nice quick dump of a few inches here during the first week of march '19. And last year I saw snow on april 1st up around 800' on the far east side of town!

[TT-SEA 3622]

Looks like the Cedar River Watershed station about a mile from here at the same elevation has recorded over 4 inches of rain since yesterday morning. 

[Jesse 8835]

3 minutes ago, mtep said:

There was a nice quick dump of a few inches here during the first week of march '19. And last year I saw snow on april 1st up around 800' on the far east side of town!

The first 7-10 days of March 2019 was pretty awesome the more I think about it. Would have been a decently chilly period even by mid-winter standards.

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

3 minutes ago, Jesse said:

It's finally raining here. 50 degrees. Hasn't torched as bad as I thought it might today so far.

50's in late February is surprisingly common up here. Feb 2014 was like two sides of a coin, started with snow early, ended with upper 60's right about this time 

[mtep 268]

Here's a throwback to January of last year at Silver Lake Park. My little Scion barely made it up the hill out of that parking lot. 

[snow_wizard 11637]

13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Just looked at the temps from March 51 and the first 11 days are impressive. Can’t find snowfall data for my area during that time though. 

One of the most stunning stats that month is from Clearbrook.  5 max temps of freezing or below including one insane max of 20 on the 6th.

[North_County 364]

22 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

It sure was a change of pace for my step daughters handling the fire wood because they've lived an apartment life style and had never even picked up firewood now they keep the stack near the house full without me even asking lol. 

I'm a few pages behind, but this reminded me that one of my winter-time chores growing up was bringing firewood to the house every evening. First thing I did every day after getting home from school was carting the wheelbarrow back and forth from behind the back shed to the garage; extra when we knew cold weather was coming. I used to love doing it when you could sense an imminent storm approaching, and feel the electricity in the air. One of the proudest moments of my childhood was when my dad trusted me to get the nightly fire started before he and my mom got home from work.

[SouthHillFrosty 1390]

4 minutes ago, mtep said:

Here's a throwback to January of last year at Silver Lake Park. My little Scion barely made it up the hill out of that parking lot. 

@mtep What year is that? I have a 2006 scion xa. I am just driving it till it gives out

[snow_wizard 11637]

8 minutes ago, mtep said:

There was a nice quick dump of a few inches here during the first week of march '19. And last year I saw snow on april 1st up around 800' on the far east side of town!

March 2019 was insane here.  We had a freezing wind in the mid afternoon on the 3rd and then a 76-59 temp range on the 19th for a +23 daily departure.

[Phil 11712]

Winter is ending soon.

 

[snow_wizard 11637]

6 minutes ago, North_County said:

I'm a few pages behind, but this reminded me that one of my winter-time chores growing up was bringing firewood to the house every evening. First thing I did every day after getting home from school was carting the wheelbarrow back and forth from behind the back shed to the garage; extra when we knew cold weather was coming. I used to love doing it when you could sense an imminent storm approaching, and feel the electricity in the air. One of the proudest moments of my childhood was when my dad trusted me to get the nightly fire started before he and my mom got home from work.

I've always thought it would be cool to live in Sumas.  Some true winter there at times.  The area is really nice too.  My aunt used to live between Everson and Sumas and I loved it there.

In doing research for my book I found some really amazing stories about that area from Jan 1950.

[mtep 268]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

@mtep What year is that? I have a 2006 scion xa. I am just driving it till it gives out

It was an '05! It died last April when the AC compressor went out Would've cost about what it was worth to fix it so I decided it was time to let someone else 'love' it! That thing really was a beast in the snow and on forest roads for what it was though. Wishing yours many more miles!!

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

12 minutes ago, mtep said:

Here's a throwback to January of last year at Silver Lake Park. My little Scion barely made it up the hill out of that parking lot. 

 

Scenes like this are very picturesque; reminds me of the fogrise pics I got last month 

 

[SouthHillFrosty 1390]

8 minutes ago, mtep said:

It was an '05! It died last April when the AC compressor went out Would've cost about what it was worth to fix it so I decided it was time to let someone else 'love' it! That thing really was a beast in the snow and on forest roads for what it was though. Wishing yours many more miles!!

Dang that sucks I'm sorry. How many miles did you have on yours?

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

10 minutes ago, Phil said:

Winter is ending soon.

 

Every day is a day closer to thunderstorm season 

[iFred 5153]

19 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Seeing 30mph+ gusts in Everett. Can you confirm? @iFred

My neighbor had their garbage fly into my yard. It was windy.

[mtep 268]

2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Scenes like this are very picturesque; reminds me of the fogrise pics I got last month 

 

K Falls is such a beautiful town I had the pleasure of driving through there the morning of the 3rd or 4th (i think) of January '17 right after that insane storm. The sun actually came up as we were getting close to town it was gorgeous. 

[MossMan 10553]

MASSIVE RAIN falling!! 

[Timmy_Supercell 2223]

1 minute ago, mtep said:

K Falls is such a beautiful town I had the pleasure of driving through there the morning of the 3rd or 4th (i think) of January '17 right after that insane storm. The sun actually came up as we were getting close to town it was gorgeous. 

That one just may be my biggest storm at one time until the day I'm no longer in town. Very rare one. Since then it has taken a week or longer to total that much snowfall, like Jan 9-16 2020.

[Jesse 8835]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I've always thought it would be cool to live in Sumas.  Some true winter there at times.  The area is really nice too.  My aunt used to live between Everson and Sumas and I loved it there.

In doing research for my book I found some really amazing stories about that area from Jan 1950.

How is your book coming along? I bet it will be better than Cliff Masses.

[mtep 268]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Dang that sucks I'm sorry. How many miles did you have on yours?

Only about 83k! I bought it with 55k I think. It had a rebuilt title with frame damage though so it wasn't worth much by the time the AC went out. I'm by no means a mechanic but from what I understand the belt/pulley system on those cars doesn't allow for an easy AC bypass kit which is too bad 

[1000'NorthBend 274]

3 hours ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

2.62” of rain since midnight. Can we get 5”+ (current pace)?! I hope not 

3 hours later: 3.55” of rain since midnight. 

[North_County 364]

31 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I've always thought it would be cool to live in Sumas.  Some true winter there at times.  The area is really nice too.  My aunt used to live between Everson and Sumas and I loved it there.

In doing research for my book I found some really amazing stories about that area from Jan 1950.

My dad wasn't alive yet in 1950, but he tells stories from the '60s of tying a rope from the house to the barn so he and his brothers wouldn't get lost in those 30 yards in a blinding outflow blizzard while checking on the cows.

[Jesse 8835]

3 minutes ago, North_County said:

My dad wasn't alive yet in 1950, but he tells stories from the '60s of tying a rope from the house to the barn so he and his brothers wouldn't get lost in those 30 yards in a blinding outflow blizzard while checking on the cows.

Sounds like December 1968.

[snow_wizard 11637]

Could somebody please post the link for the global temperature average graph that has shown up on here recently?

[TacomaWaWx 4319]

Rain has pushed SE of here...0.69” today and 0.41” last night to hit 1.10” for the event. 5.05” for the month.