OKwx2k4 Posted March 5, 2021 Report Share Posted March 5, 2021 36 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: ^^ Yep- AO really took a dive today in the long range-- If the NAO follows suit- things will get very interesting. Yep. Overall trend is down, down, down... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 6, 2021 Report Share Posted March 6, 2021 00z Euro weenieland teaser... A bunch of energy gets left behind in the southwest next week and then becomes a big bowling ball that rolls east through the central US. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 6, 2021 As @Hawkeye mentioned, the one storm that fits the LRC due around the 15th has been showing up on the various model runs. While there are a wide variety of solutions, one thing that is for certain, I believe there will be a significant storm during this period late next weekend. Why not??? It would be a fitting end to a great snow season for most of IA into NE??? Looking deeper into the 00z EPS, the model is starting to fill in the snow mean into parts of the Plains states. At this range, the EPS isn't going to see such a big snow storm like the op runs will show. I'm sure by Day 5 the EPS snow mean will look a lot different if these trends continue. The support is there for a potential mid month Big Dog. Is there one more storm on its heals??? Week 2 is looking like another late spring winter storm is on the table for those even south of I-80...what's even more "fitting" when looking at this map, is the continuation of the snow drought in the areas of the Dakotas/Prairies of SW Canada and of course our friend @FAR_Weather. Amazing how this pattern just continues to cycle. 3 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 6, 2021 Report Share Posted March 6, 2021 I been running around and didn't even realize that this storm is slamming us the same weekend I'm traveling down to hutch. Looking like we will have to modify the trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 6, 2021 Report Share Posted March 6, 2021 Haven't checked in in a few days. I'm getting in Spring mood so can't say im super excited about more cold and snow potential. I have a lot of stuff planned so warmer weather would be nice. But hey....Waterloo needs like 13" to set the record so why not! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 6, 2021 Report Share Posted March 6, 2021 12z Euro is rainier for eastern Nebraska, but I'll take it. CentralNeb gets buried. 4 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 6, 2021 Report Share Posted March 6, 2021 12Z Euro Control is loaded with potential- 3 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 This is looking like a win either way for me. Good snow still possibility in play or additional and needed rainfall. Under 2 in on the year so far. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 looking forward to the rain later in the week. Today I have a high fire danger as many of us do on the southern end. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 This would be a shock to people’s system who are enjoying 70 degree weather around here lately and into this coming week. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 With 6 days in the record books March 2021 is just about average temperature wise. Here at Grand Rapids the current mean is 31.3 and that is +0.2. So far the average H/L is 41.0/21.7 the current 30 year average is 39.0/21.7 so the days have been warmer than average but the lows have been colder than average. There has been just a trace of rain/snow. And the seasonal total remains at 42.8” and that is -21.3” At Muskegon the mean there so far 30.0 and that is a departure of -0.9 the H/L there has been 39.8/20.2 and there the H has been warmer than average and the low colder than the 30 year average. They also have had just a trace of rain/snow and their seasonal total remains at 41.6” and that is -43.4 below where they should be by March 7th The story is the same at Lansing where their mean of 30.3 is right at the 30 year average. There the days have been warmer than average with at 40.3 and the lows colder at 20.9. They have not had any rain or snow so far this month and the seasonal snow fall remains at 45.4” and that is +1.4” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 The temp has surged into the 60s already from central to southeast Iowa, but a southeast wind is slowing the warming a bit across east-central Iowa. The wind should turn to the south later this afternoon. 5 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 The wind is really increasing from the south with gusts to 25 mph. in the last half hr. or less and temps are finally over performing. Was 59° barely an hr ago and currently it’s 63°. Feels great! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 GFS has no shortage of moisture. 2.16" of QPF in Lincoln w/ much of it falling as a heavy wet snow. Euro now like Kansas. 6 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 Wow haha both maps showing big dead spots exactly where my ski hill is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 Warm weather in early March is usually just a tease in the midwest (unless we're talking about 2012). Not too surprised to see possible highs in the 30s coming into view. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2021 Report Share Posted March 7, 2021 18z GFS v16 Just posting for potential trends 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 The Cedar Rapids airport officially hit 60º this afternoon. In town we reached about 63º. 5 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 00z GFS reminds me of a warmer March verision of the 1/25 storm this year lol 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 Made it up to 89F yesterday which was 2 degrees shy of a record (91F)...high cirrus clouds obscured the suns rays so it didn't really feel all that bad. Today will be the last 80 degree day till prob next week as we COOL down into the 60's mid/late week as the PAC storms swirls off the coast of Cali and into the SW bringing much welcomed moisture. Hopefully this time around the valley scores some moisture. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 00z Euro dumping FEET of snow in the Rockies and along the Front Range which is typically what you see in late season storm set ups as such. As we are getting closer to the period, the 00z EPS is starting to spread the snow shield as expected across the Plains states. The EPS doesn't cut the storm as much as the Euro op is suggesting. It appears there will be a strong late season Arctic HP to the north allowing to press the storm track south and track more easterly than north. Thank the -EPO for those who want Snow. I'd love to see these monster snow totals come to fruition. Denver and the Front Range are in for a doozy of a storm. These are are the type of storms I'd love to witness in the months of March in CO that literally "bowl" very slowly east into the Plains where it snows for 1-2 days straight. I'll prob start a storm thread today/tomorrow as the models dial in on the anticipated powerful Mid-March Spring storm. Edit: Many I-80 specials showing up per the latest 00z EPS members...is this the last??? Prob not, maybe one more storm on its heels a couple days later. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 00z GEFS pretty similar compared to the EPS... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 3 hours ago, Tom said: 00z Euro dumping FEET of snow in the Rockies and along the Front Range which is typically what you see in late season storm set ups as such. As we are getting closer to the period, the 00z EPS is starting to spread the snow shield as expected across the Plains states. The EPS doesn't cut the storm as much as the Euro op is suggesting. It appears there will be a strong late season Arctic HP to the north allowing to press the storm track south and track more easterly than north. Thank the -EPO for those who want Snow. I'd love to see these monster snow totals come to fruition. Denver and the Front Range are in for a doozy of a storm. These are are the type of storms I'd love to witness in the months of March in CO that literally "bowl" very slowly east into the Plains where it snows for 1-2 days straight. I'll prob start a storm thread today/tomorrow as the models dial in on the anticipated powerful Mid-March Spring storm. Edit: Many I-80 specials showing up per the latest 00z EPS members...is this the last??? Prob not, maybe one more storm on its heels a couple days later. NWS and local mets already talking about the massive changes from this weekend on. These type of storms are very common in March around here. Some of our biggies ever have been in March. We will never turn down moisture. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: NWS and local mets already talking about the massive changes from this weekend on. These type of storms are very common in March around here. Some of our biggies ever have been in March. We will never turn down moisture. Your prob the lucky few who will benefit from this one based off what I’m seeing. Hope your score Bigly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 At the current time it is 56 here at my house. With 60 looking like it is a good possibility I just checked and in the last 30 years the average date of the first 60 day at GR is March 7th so we are jus about average it that department. And while we are past the average last day of a 3” or more snow fall we are still well in the range of the latest date of April 14 (in the last 30 years) so now is the time to get out and enjoy the early spring weather we are having this week but as always “Beware of the Ides of March” or what I call always look out of a March or early April surprise snow fall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 12Z Canadian Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 12Z GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 Local mets saying there is a chance of record highs on Tuesday of 80 degrees if clouds are minimal. Seen this play out many times in March that a snow storm follows warm temps like this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 Pretty sure I jinxed everyone by taking 2 sets of snow tires off my kids' cars yesterday.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 12Z Euro with only about 1 foot less snow than the 0z for my area. The temperature gradient looks to set up right over Central Nebraska. Going to be a tough forecast, probably many changes in the next 5-6 days. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 Powerhouse March storm thread.... https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/7460-313-316-powerful-march-storm/ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 12Z CMC has temps flirting near record lows next Tuesday the 16th--- 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 Made it up to 64° here yesterday and 67° today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 ORD has had the driest start to any March (1st-8th) on record. It has also been the sunniest start on record with 92% of possible sunshine !! I'm sure that must feel great back home with temps in the 60's. Boy, you have to wonder what the summer will look like this year bc there have been some very long dry spells and warm spells. I got this feeling there is going to be a large heat dome building up across the Plains this year early on that will migrate and expand east. Anyway, we made it up to 87F yesterday which will mark the end to the very warm temps we have been experiencing in the SW. Looking forward to more cooler weather and perhaps the best chance this month at seeing some decent moisture for the state of AZ. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 The official high at Grand Rapids yesterday was 57 and that that is the warmest it has been since November 20th. Here in my neck of the woods there is still snow in the woods and on the north side of buildings and of course the good old snow piles. My biggest snow piles are now down to less than 2 feet and could be mostly gone by tonight. The grass here is mostly brown so it will take some warm rains to green it up. I have some spring flowers showing up around the yard but nothing in bloom yet even the crocus are not in bloom yet. At this time it is mostly clear here and 32 with a good amount of frost. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 Nothing but near to AN highs in my extended forecast. Nice March so far. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 It's already 61º here. DVN upped today's high to 67º. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 It has always bugged me that the NWS, on the Iowa state list of current observations, puts Cedar Rapids, Clinton, and Monticello in the "northeast Iowa" section instead of "east-central Iowa". You can't get more "east-central" than Cedar Rapids. WEATHER ROUNDUP FOR IOWA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1200 PM CST TUE MAR 09 2021 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * - THESE STATIONS ARE NOT NWS STATIONS...THUS NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL. THEY ALSO DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION OR FOG. IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031>034-043>046-091900- NORTHWEST IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CARROLL * SUNNY 63 48 59 S28 29.86F CHEROKEE * SUNNY 63 41 45 S18G24 29.83F DENISON * SUNNY 64 45 48 S22G32 29.86F LE MARS * SUNNY 63 45 51 S29 29.76F MAURICE * FAIR 61 45 55 S21G29 29.77F SHELDON * SUNNY 63 45 51 S25 29.77F SIOUX CITY SUNNY 65 43 44 S17G26 29.79F 6HR MIN TEMP: 42; 6HR MAX TEMP: 65; SPENCER SUNNY 63 43 48 S22G35 29.82F 6HR MIN TEMP: 46; 6HR MAX TEMP: 63; STORM LAKE * SUNNY 63 45 51 S24G30 N/A $$ IAZ055>058-069>071-079>083-090>094-091900- SOUTHWEST IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS ATLANTIC * SUNNY 64 43 45 S22G31 29.87F AUDUBON * SUNNY 64 45 48 S22G29 29.89F CLARINDA * SUNNY 68 45 42 S23G32 29.92F COUNCIL BLFS * SUNNY 66 41 39 S21G28 29.84F CRESTON * SUNNY 66 43 42 S24 29.93F HARLAN * SUNNY 64 45 48 S25 29.85F LAMONI SUNNY 66 42 41 S20G30 29.97F 6HR MIN TEMP: 49; 6HR MAX TEMP: 66; RED OAK * SUNNY 68 46 45 S23G31 29.89F SHENANDOAH * SUNNY 68 45 42 S24 29.88F $$ IAZ047>049-059>061-072>074-084-091900- CENTRAL IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS AMES SUNNY 65 40 39 S23G31 29.93F 6HR MIN TEMP: 44; 6HR MAX TEMP: 65; ANKENY * SUNNY 66 41 39 S17G28 29.95F BOONE * SUNNY 63 46 55 S20G30 29.91F CHARITON * SUNNY 64 45 48 S22G33 29.98F DES MOINES MOSUNNY 66 41 40 S23G32 29.94F 6HR MIN TEMP: 49; 6HR MAX TEMP: 66; GRINNELL* MOSUNNY 65 39 37 S22 30.01F KNOXVILLE * SUNNY 66 41 39 S21G32 29.98F MARSHALLTOWN SUNNY 62 41 46 S24G33 29.96F 6HR MIN TEMP: 40; 6HR MAX TEMP: 62; NEWTON * SUNNY 64 43 45 S25G31 29.96F PELLA * SUNNY 67 40 36 S18G29 30.00F PERRY * FAIR 63 42 46 S23G29 29.91F $$ IAZ004>006-015-016-023>025-035-036-091900- NORTH CENTRAL IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS ALGONA * SUNNY 61 45 55 S28G37 29.85F CLARION * SUNNY 61 48 63 S28G35 29.90F ESTHERVILLE SUNNY 57 45 64 S25G36 29.83F 6HR MIN TEMP: 43; 6HR MAX TEMP: 57; FORT DODGE * SUNNY 62 41 46 S21G28 29.89F MASON CITY MOSUNNY 59 39 47 S25G37 29.93F 6HR MIN TEMP: 38; 6HR MAX TEMP: 59; FOREST CITY * FAIR 59 43 55 S23 29.90F WEBSTER CITY * SUNNY 63 48 59 S24G33 29.88F IOWA FALLS * FAIR 62 38 42 S20G28 29.95F $$ IAZ007>011-017>019-026>030-037>042-050>054-066-091900- NORTHEAST IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CEDAR RAPIDS SUNNY 63 38 39 S24G31 30.03F 6HR MIN TEMP: 42; 6HR MAX TEMP: 64; CHARLES CITY * MOSUNNY 59 41 51 S26G33 29.96F CLINTON * SUNNY 63 42 46 S20 30.13F DECORAH * SUNNY 61 37 41 S18G28 29.99F DUBUQUE SUNNY 60 39 45 S18 30.10F 6HR MIN TEMP: 41; 6HR MAX TEMP: 60; MONTICELLO * SUNNY 63 43 48 S21G26 30.08F OELWEIN * MOSUNNY 61 41 48 S24G31 30.01F WATERLOO MOSUNNY 62 39 42 S21G31 29.98F 6HR MIN TEMP: 43; 6HR MAX TEMP: 63; $$ IAZ064-065-067-068-078-091900- EAST CENTRAL IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS DAVENPORT SUNNY 66 38 35 S21G31 30.13F IOWA CITY SUNNY 68 39 34 S20 30.07F 6HR MIN TEMP: 41; 6HR MAX TEMP: 68; MUSCATINE * SUNNY 68 37 32 S24 30.09F QUAD CITIES SUNNY 69 36 29 S14G29 30.11F 6HR MIN TEMP: 44; 6HR MAX TEMP: 69; $$ IAZ062-063-075>077-085>089-095>099-091900- SOUTHEAST IOWA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON MOSUNNY 68 39 34 S16 30.11F 6HR MIN TEMP: 42; 6HR MAX TEMP: 68; FAIRFIELD * SUNNY 66 41 39 S18G28 30.06F FORT MADISON * SUNNY 66 41 39 S15G22 30.11F KEOKUK * SUNNY 66 41 39 S16G25 30.10F OSKALOOSA * FAIR 67 44 43 S22 30.02F OTTUMWA CLOUDY 64 41 42 S20G31 30.02F 6HR MIN TEMP: 45; 6HR MAX TEMP: 65; WASHINGTON * SUNNY 66 45 45 S20G26 30.05F $$ 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 Once we get through tomorrow and then it cools down, I will have recorded 60+ for highs 9 straight days in March. Only the 1st of March was below 60 to start the first 10 days. Average high and low as of yesterday(8th): 32.8/64.0 February ended at 8.2/27.2 so a 24.6 degree increase for lows and a 36.8(!!) increase for high temps this month 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2021 Report Share Posted March 9, 2021 There's another system at the end of the Euro run that drops heavy snow here as well. We just need to enjoy the current early to mid week warmth. Even if we get no snow, it'll be much cooler for a while. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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