Jayhawker85 Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, Clinton said: One last taste of Winter or one last middle finger from mother nature. Looks like about 2 degrees in temp will determine whether KC will get a heavy wet snow and snowfall rates of near 2in per hour or just a rain snow mix. Models seem to be trending towards the heavy wet snow solution. This signature storm in this years pattern has produced big snow amounts in Oklahoma and Iowa this year but not KC. Per the LRC king this morning: The track of this storm seems to be perfect for a heavy band of snow in this comma head. If it does change to snow, then 2" of snow per hour is possible for three to six hours. Add that up! That would be 6 to 12 inches of snow. Again, that is if the temperature drops to near 32 degrees. If it is 35 to 37 degrees then it will be rain with snowflakes mixed in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 30 minutes ago, someweatherdude said: KC always seems to be right on the line one way or another. KC NWS definitely not convinced. From their forecast discussion: Later Wednesday evening, cold air advection aloft on the back end of the system will allow for 850mb temperatures to dip to 0 to -5c. This could be enough for some snow to mix in Wednesday night, especially in the northern half of the area. Although the column and surface is a bit warm to support much in the way of accumulations, some small accumulations of less than 1 inch could be possible in northern MO given the dynamic nature of the system. Not surprised they arn't buying in and they may be right not to. 12z Models are not backing off so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Well, some awesome news for me. Models were showing rain this time today for a long time. I went to Cascade Mountain yesterday (it's awesome for the Midwest, they even gave me a FREE ticket since I have a pass at Alpine Valley and said I could come back again this week). The rain Portage, WI was supposed to get is actually snow, even though it's 35. What a nice surprise. The base was great but pretty thin with all the warm temps, that rain would have been horrible but this snow is awesome. It's not enough to really build up the base, but it didn't hurt it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 For what it is worth here is a winter severity map. https://mrcc.illinois.edu/research/awssi/indexAwssi.jsp As expected it shows west Michigan with a "mild" winter. It shows east Michigan with mostly a moderate winter but several locations to the west and south west of Michigan it shows with a severe to extreme winter so I guess the best way to describe that is location, location. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Wow...45% tornado probabilities in a small part of MS/AL. Don't see that too often. PDS watch out for that area. 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Looks like another 2"+ rain event possible for much of the region early next week. Could be looking at a record wet March for Lincoln if true. 3 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Storm_Prediction_Center_high_risk_days 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Regarding the upcoming snow possibility...it seems the lower level temp profiles might be better towards the KC area than in MBY to the west. I really don't have a good guess to be honest...though I lean towards mostly rain mixed with some snow at times for here. Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Live feed of the severe weather from one of the best meteorologists, James Spann from Alabama. http://abc3340.com/watch 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Looks like NWS KC is buying in on the snow now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 51 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Live feed of the severe weather from one of the best meteorologists, James Spann from Alabama. http://abc3340.com/watch James Spann is the MAN. Probably the best out there imo. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 215 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...Snow Expected Tonight into Thursday Morning... KSZ025-057-060-103>105-MOZ020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 180315- /O.NEW.KEAX.WW.Y.0009.210318T0500Z-210318T1700Z/ Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-Platte-Clay-Ray-Jackson-Lafayette-Cass- Johnson MO-Bates- Including the cities of Atchison, Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg, Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing, Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee, Lenexa, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron, Plattsburg, Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge, Parkville, Platte City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, Liberty, Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson, Kansas City, Independence, Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Belton, Raymore, Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, Warrensburg, Butler, Adrian, and Rich Hill 215 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated amounts as high as 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and north central, northwest and west central Missouri. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon CDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest snow amounts will occur on grassy and elevated surfaces. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Storm_Prediction_Center_high_risk_days D**n, just came on to post this. SPC used to hand out high risks like candy before the enhanced category became a thing, allowing for less usage of the moderate category, and as a result, the high category. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 42 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: James Spann is the MAN. Probably the best out there imo. I was just thinking about his coverage of the 2011 outbreak the other day and wondered if he's still on the air. Great to see he is, his severe wx coverage is truly one of the best, if not the best, in the country. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 DVN radar is back up this afternoon. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 17, 2021 Report Share Posted March 17, 2021 17 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Storm_Prediction_Center_high_risk_days Here’s the frequency of different levels of severe outlooks across the CONUS. It goes back only to 2002, and since then it looks like parts of eastern Iowa never had a high risk and not many moderate risks, but my state seems to be a hotspot for slight risks which do seem common here. (There should’ve been a high risk in Iowa for the derecho last August!) Edit: Oops, I stated that wrong, so I deleted that sentence. The maps that I posted are current up until March 17, 2021, just not the one in this link. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/onsite/features/cat.php?day=2021-03-17 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 This system really ended up quite far south. Tonight's deformation zone precip didn't even make it up to Kansas City. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Clinton Posted March 18, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 Waking up to a little bit of snow this morning. Temp only made it down to 34 and is now 35. 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 18, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 I forgot who it was exactly, but I think one of our members in IA went down to the Panhandle of Florida for Spring Break this week. Panama city is getting nailed right now with severe wx. I hope his family is safe. Quote Tornado Warning Tornado Warning FLC005-045-181215- /O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0017.210318T1148Z-210318T1215Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 648 AM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021 The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Gulf County in the Panhandle of Florida... East central Bay County in the Panhandle of Florida... * Until 715 AM CDT. * At 648 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles west of Wewahitchka, or 12 miles east of Callaway, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Stonemill Creek and Wewahitchka around 705 AM CDT. Major outbreak occurred yesterday and the severe wx reports indicate just that... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 There was a total of 0.06" of rain in the rain gauge this morning that brings the March total of 0.11". I can not recall the last time there was a wind advisory for a NE wind in this area. There are many time with a deep low to the south that the east side of the state gets a strong NE wind off of Lake Huron or the Saginaw Bay but I don't recall a wind advisory for a NE wind on this side of the state. At this time the rain has ended and it is cloudy and 35 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 4 hours ago, Clinton said: Waking up to a little bit of snow this morning. Temp only made it down to 34 and is now 35. No snow and only 0.18" of rain at my house, so not much happened here. 2 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 Just now, mlgamer said: No snow and only 0.18" of rain at my house, so not much happened here. This system tracked further south than what the models were predicting and we never got cold enough to switch all over to snow. Welp! we can always cheer for next winter to be better to us! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 17 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: Welp! we can always cheer for next winter to be better to us! For once we did get a true arctic cold spell this year so maybe snowier winters are around the corner! 4 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 Well, gotta say, after the last week and the slow meandering climb the last month back to beautiful weather, this 39° with drizzle and 26° wind chill is a slap back to reality. That was a beautiful few days of weather though, even in the storms this morning. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 GFS is more signaling now that we're going to get shut out on the warm close to March. I'm honestly surprised. Typically (in years past) longer term this time of year, you see a progression like this go a lot warmer after the severity of the past month's cold outbreak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 Looks like an amazing stretch of weather coming for SMI. Saturday thru Wednesday of next week. Cold nights mild to warm days (low 60's) plenty of sunshine. So much better than the last few March's. Spring is here! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 Only 0.19” of the rain here. Models had been showing much more earlier, so they busted again. It’s nice to see the sun though, but the wind is howling out of the nne. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 19, 2021 Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 Nice 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted March 19, 2021 Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 23 hours ago, Tom said: I forgot who it was exactly, but I think one of our members in IA went down to the Panhandle of Florida for Spring Break this week. Panama city is getting nailed right now with severe wx. I hope his family is safe. Major outbreak occurred yesterday and the severe wx reports indicate just that... You are correct. Still down here but that line of storms the other night was intense. Lost power for a bit. Was fun watching the lightning on the gulf and 6ft waves roll in. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 1 hour ago, BMT said: You are correct. Still down here but that line of storms the other night was intense. Lost power for a bit. Was fun watching the lightning on the gulf and 6ft waves roll in. Glad your alright! Hey, at least you got to experience some fun wx down there and got a taste of what may be coming to your area up north later this Spring/Summer across the MW. I'm sure the scene was beautiful to see the lighting bolts across the ocean. Gosh, it's been a while since I've been down near the GOM or the tropics. It makes me want to take a trip this year and dip my feet into the ocean! Have fund down there! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Tom Posted March 19, 2021 Author Popular Post Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 My family and I took a trip up to Las Vegas, NV for the weekend to explore nature and also the lights and fun activities on the strip and our hotel/resort. We are staying at the Hilton Grand Vacations on the strip and I'm rather impressed with this place. Vegas is buzzing with people for this weekend as it opened up a couple weeks ago. The hotels are at 50% occupancy but the buffets and bars/clubs remain closed. March Madness is attracting a lot of gamblers to the city this weekend and of course, it's St Patty's weekend! Our first stop was Red Rock Canyon before we checked into the hotel. You would never know there are hidden gems near Vegas. The mountains here are formed by towering cliffs (3,000ft high) reaching heights of over 8,000ft in elevation with a bit of snow still on top from the storm system earlier this week. I posted some pics and a short vid of the scenery. IMG_0260.MOV 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 19, 2021 Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 My wife am me did the Red Rock Canyon the last time we were in Vegas. Boy that was a long time ago must have been in maybe 2000 or before as it was before there was as much security to get on a plane. We also went to Mount Charleston. There was still snow up in the mountains and it was late April. It is to the west of Vegas and it is a short drive. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 19, 2021 Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2021 3 hours ago, westMJim said: My wife am me did the Red Rock Canyon the last time we were in Vegas. Boy that was a long time ago must have been in maybe 2000 or before as it was before there was as much security to get on a plane. We also went to Mount Charleston. There was still snow up in the mountains and it was late April. It is to the west of Vegas and it is a short drive. I visited Mt Charleston about 15 years ago and it was during Thanksgiving week when we visited my sister when she lived here. Very nice place and quite a steep ride up. I think we’re heading there in a bit to take a look and see how it is up there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 20, 2021 Report Share Posted March 20, 2021 With light winds clear skies and low dew point the temperature has now dropped down to 20 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 20, 2021 Welcome to Spring! It's a windy morning here in Sin city where the breezes will be ramping up later today. We didn't make it out to Mt Charleston yesterday, but it's on the agenda today. Winds are forecast to gust up to 60 mph there today! The storm tracking into the Rockies is certainly whipping up the winds out here. LAS reached 80F for the first time this year yesterday. On avg, March 15th is their 1st 80F or better day. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 20, 2021 Report Share Posted March 20, 2021 5 hours ago, Tom said: Welcome to Spring! It's a windy morning here in Sin city where the breezes will be ramping up later today. We didn't make it out to Mt Charleston yesterday, but it's on the agenda today. Winds are forecast to gust up to 60 mph there today! The storm tracking into the Rockies is certainly whipping up the winds out here. LAS reached 80F for the first time this year yesterday. On avg, March 15th is their 1st 80F or better day. You're in Vegas now? Dang! 52, sunny and windy up here in St Paul Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 20, 2021 Report Share Posted March 20, 2021 On 3/18/2021 at 7:33 PM, snowstorm83 said: Nice Oops this link didn't age well Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 20, 2021 Report Share Posted March 20, 2021 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Tom Posted March 21, 2021 Author Popular Post Report Share Posted March 21, 2021 Due to the high winds and chilly weather, we decided to go up into the NE part of the valley where it was warmer to visit the “Valley of Fire State Park.” Boy, was it a crazy windy day with gusts up to 50mph that could knock you down if you weren’t paying attn. In the video clip below, we were in between towering cliffs and the wind tunnel created winds of at least 60mph at times. The sand was pelting your face walking up against the wind. Quite the experience and views in and around the state park. This place was created by an ocean over 500 million years ago. It’s amazing how much this earth has changed and will do so ever so slowly. We are just living a spec in time and to witness the history of how majestic nature is was pretty neat. While visiting the tourist info center, I learned the past history of this place and when the early man lived here over 11,000 years ago using rocks and old school methods to live off the land. Very interesting to say the least. The petroglyphs (4,000 years ago) on the walls told a story of the past. I was hoping to see some “ET’s” or images of “The God’s” on the walls who they respected from the stars but not this time. We came across some wild game (bighorn sheep) that popped up outta now where just as we were driving through. IMG_0288.MP4 IMG_0302.MP4 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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