12Z EPS shows warm up followed by a cool down followed by a warm up. We just can't get out of those woods with this progressive pattern. Its almost like climo means some dry spells in April. Need to research more.
Out here timing of the rain is more important than quantity for the vegetation. 2019 was a much drier than normal year here and yet it was by far the most lush and green summer in the last decade. 2022 was a wetter than normal year with a 5 month dry spell through the warm season and trees were dying. We could have received 60 inches of rain in March 2022 and it would have been just as bad by October.