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GFS has some really nice weather in store for early March.  Starting on Saturday running through Wednesday, widespread highs well into the 50s for many and 60s for parts of NE early in the period before widespread 60s hit further east by mid-week.  Fingers crossed.  

 

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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My family and I took a trip up to Las Vegas, NV for the weekend to explore nature and also the lights and fun activities on the strip and our hotel/resort.  We are staying at the Hilton Grand Vacation

Due to the high winds and chilly weather, we decided to go up into the NE part of the valley where it was warmer to visit the “Valley of Fire State Park.”  Boy, was it a crazy windy day with gusts up

Waking up to a little bit of snow this morning. Temp only made it down to 34 and is now 35.

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9 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

GFS has some really nice weather in store for early March.  Starting on Saturday running through Wednesday, widespread highs well into the 50s for many and 60s for parts of NE early in the period before widespread 60s hit further east by mid-week.  Fingers crossed.  

 

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If this pattern pans out, I would expect temps to be even a few degrees warmer than this as well.  Especially now that our snowpack as been eradicated and will be completely gone by the time this rolls around.  

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It's pretty cold today with a temp in the low 30s and a good breeze.  Thankfully, it's the last cold day for a while.

My snow depth is down to 7-8".

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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12z Euro 10-day forecast for Cedar Rapids 🌷😀

29 42 41 47 52 50 52 57 60 62
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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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2 minutes ago, Madtown said:

Finally some picture worthy snowbanks!

20210228_174639.jpg

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20210228_173941.jpg

Winter finally showed up in late Feb!  Enjoy it with your kiddo's while it lasts....

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2 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

Grass is beginning to show here in spots.... pavement edge, open areas, the path I dug through my backyard.  The grass is still a bit green because we had no real cold before the snow began to pile up.  When we finally got some harsh cold, deep snow protected the grass.

I saw a post somewhere that our frost depth only got down to 5-6" I believe bc of that same reason. Wasn't cold and then it snowed, got really cold, and that insulated the ground. Should be a quick green up. We're mostly snowless here now

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1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

I saw a post somewhere that our frost depth only got down to 5-6" I believe bc of that same reason. Wasn't cold and then it snowed, got really cold, and that insulated the ground. Should be a quick green up. We're mostly snowless here now

DVN stated the frost depth was just 2" here due to the snow blanket.  

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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I've noticed that the grass looks pretty green here as well. That's pretty neat, I didn't snow cover provided an insulation like that. Even in the mildest winters in Memphis, I never saw green grass this time of year. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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I think the green in grass revealed immediately after snowmelt is left over chlorophyll in the grass preserved by below freezing temps and snow cover. The grass is dormant still until the soil warms up. If the snow melts but soil temps keep cold enough to keep the grass dormant, the residual chlorophyll eventually breaks down and the grass turns brown just like leaves change in the autumn.

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Lots of bare spots began showing yesterday, but today it didn’t melt much. The next few days will make it look much different. A few tulips are poking through on the sunny south side. 
 

I’m afraid we could have a swarm of Japanese beetles this summer since the soil didn’t freeze deeply with thick snow cover. It’s nice to have snow to insulate things, but another downside is the rabbits 🐇 do a lot more damage to shrubs etc when grass isn’t readily accessible.

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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20 minutes ago, Sparky said:

I’m afraid we could have a swarm of Japanese beetles this summer since the soil didn’t freeze deeply with thick snow cover.

The grass here late last summer was very dry and brown.  I'm hoping that hurt the beetle larvae.  The severe drought in 2012 eliminated beetles for a few years.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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5 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

The grass here late last summer was very dry and brown.  I'm hoping that hurt the beetle larvae.  The severe drought in 2012 eliminated beetles for a few years.

I hope so!  I didn’t realize that, and maybe hard dry soil makes it more difficult for the larvae to burrow into the ground too? Around here we never saw many beetles till maybe around 7 (?) years ago when they showed up en masse,  then we had them ever since, more or less. 

 

 

‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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7 hours ago, Beltrami Island said:

I think the green in grass revealed immediately after snowmelt is left over chlorophyll in the grass preserved by below freezing temps and snow cover. The grass is dormant still until the soil warms up. If the snow melts but soil temps keep cold enough to keep the grass dormant, the residual chlorophyll eventually breaks down and the grass turns brown just like leaves change in the autumn.

I think grass around here would stay green if it would warm up and never be exposed to much below freezing temperatures, but that likely won’t happen. (The grass was mostly brown here before it snowed.)  I noticed the  4” soil temp map in much of Iowa remained at or above freezing most of the winter, and the snow melt water has already soaked into the soil in front of the house where it usually sets for awhile longer. This lessons flood potential 😊. Still some runoff though, mostly because of wet topsoils?

‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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The current temperature here at my house is 12.4 I wonder it this will be the last very cold morning this season.  Here are some official readings for Grand Rapids for this past meteorological winter. The average H/L at GRR was 33.3/21.0.  The 30 year average is 33.1/20.5 The 3 month mean was 27.1 and the current 30 year mean is 26.8. So over all the winter of 2020/21 was a little warmer than the current 30 year average. Now in the snow fall department that was a different story as just 45.4” fell and that is -12.1” and for the season just 45.8” have fallen so far and that is -19.0”  For the season there were 0 thunderstorm days. 1 day with heavy rain, 17 with light rain, 51 days with light snow 3 days with heavy snow. The there was 27% pf possible sunshine with 7 clear days, 17 partly cloudy days and 66 cloudy days.

 

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"Mid March Madness"...the pattern is to ramp up and turn very active post 10th and there is a decent signal among the EPS/GEFS members that some late season snows are on the table.  I believe the pattern is ripe for nature to spin up a powerhouse storm by mid month if things line up just right from the Plains up into the Northwoods.  There is going to be a lot of late season cold lurking across the U.S./Canadian border and early Spring warmth will likely provide the fuel to produce a juicy system right around the 15th or so.

00z EPS...

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Should be mostly sunny and seasonable the first week of March.  Low to mid 40's.  Then well up into the 50's for the first half of next week.  Even if it's just a taste of Spring before more seasonable March temps come back again, what a difference it will make!.  March looks on track to be near or slightly above normal for SMI. (More if nights stay warmer, unlikely with clear skies though)  A welcome change.   

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It's enough to screw up the skiing and snowboarding and then get cold enough to stop anyone from doing outdoor activities. Lambs? Lions? This march is coming in like a POS and leaving like a POS.

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It's 46º here in town, but we've only lost 1" today because we started out cold and didn't get into the 30s until afternoon.  There is a lot of bare ground along the interstate through the city.  A golf course I drove by has only 1-2" left, with some bare spots.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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9 hours ago, Tom said:

"Mid March Madness"...the pattern is to ramp up and turn very active post 10th and there is a decent signal among the EPS/GEFS members that some late season snows are on the table.  I believe the pattern is ripe for nature to spin up a powerhouse storm by mid month if things line up just right from the Plains up into the Northwoods.  There is going to be a lot of late season cold lurking across the U.S./Canadian border and early Spring warmth will likely provide the fuel to produce a juicy system right around the 15th or so.

00z EPS...

1.png

2.png

 

 

 

I'am 100% in on this. Maybe not in iA, but dakotas' /  N.MN is going to get clobbered. PP at Accu-Wx is all over it as well. Been watching the AO and NAO like a hawk since early FEB and yes, the AO is going to be go about as + as it went - , but forecasts show it going - again , probably not to Mid-FEB levels but this time it looks like the NAO wants to go - also. Fun times ahead - even if it's not in your own backyard.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Today March 3rd is the earliest day of the year that it ever officially reached 70 or better. As stated above it reached 72 on this date in 1983 and it also reached 71 in 1974. The next March day with a record high of 70 or better is not until March 7th. Also of note it that as of today Grand Rapids has not had a thunder event yet. To bring you up to date any day that has a recorded lightning strike is considered a thunderstorm event. 
At this time it is clear here at my house and I have a temperature of 32 the overnight low was 31. I reported a trace of snow on the ground but there is between bare ground to around 5" in the yard and of course there are still a lot of big snow piles all around. But this is very typical for early March. On this date the snow depth at Grand Rapids has ranged from none in many years all the way up to 19" in 2014. And the high has ranged from that 72 in 1973 to 12 in 1943 and in 2014 the high was just 15. and the low has ranged from -9 in 1942 (it was -8 in 2014) to the warmest low of 40 in 1964 and 1974

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2 hours ago, Clinton said:

GFS ensembles are saying Winter is not over.  Mid month big dogs looking interesting.  Here is the Mean from the 12th-15th

1615831200-BeeLSjU0vAc.png

Oh wow that was a big rainer a few days ago. I hope this turns out, it means at least an extra week of snowboarding.

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Holy blizzard by the 12z GFS. Winter might make a come back in 7-10 days. Long ways out but something is brewing in the long range; it fits the LRC also as Gary Lezak talked about it in his blog this morning. 

snku_acc.conus.png

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The snow-free region of southern/southwestern Iowa continues to easily soar into the 50s while the deep snow pack area east-central Iowa is stuck in the low 40s.

446224329_COD-GOES-East-local-Iowa_02.20210303.173113-overmap-bars.thumb.gif.641e2c3b23efe9c0cb8aeca3dfc8361a.gif

iowa_tmpf.thumb.png.92f702c75b82311f0b28bfd90797a05a.png

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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47 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

Holy blizzard by the 12z GFS. Winter might make a come back in 7-10 days. Long ways out but something is brewing in the long range; it fits the LRC also as Gary Lezak talked about it in his blog this morning. 

snku_acc.conus.png

https://www.kshb.com/weather/weather-blog-ingredients-for-severe-thunderstorms

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I'm kind of torn now. I am nearly in spring mode because I have flowers coming up already. One last blizzard would be kinda nice, but after the forecasted high of 60 on Tuesday.... Ugh

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye said:

The snow-free region of southern/southwestern Iowa continues to easily soar into the 50s while the deep snow pack area east-central Iowa is stuck in the low 40s.

446224329_COD-GOES-East-local-Iowa_02.20210303.173113-overmap-bars.thumb.gif.641e2c3b23efe9c0cb8aeca3dfc8361a.gif

iowa_tmpf.thumb.png.92f702c75b82311f0b28bfd90797a05a.png

Eastern IA seems to be the ideal place if you want to hold on to snow cover forever lol. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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Somehow, the Cedar Rapids airport actually fell by one degree from noon to 1pm... now sitting at 41º.  Here in the city it's near 50º.

Satellite shows the city as a big dark spot because of all the snow melt.  Meanwhile, the airport is still in the middle of a bright white area in between Cedar Rapids and Iowa City where there is still good snow cover.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye said:

Somehow, the Cedar Rapids airport actually fell by one degree from noon to 1pm... now sitting at 41º.  Here in the city it's near 50º.

Satellite shows the city as a big dark spot because of all the snow melt.  Meanwhile, the airport is still in the middle of a bright white area in between Cedar Rapids and Iowa City where there is still good snow cover.

I had to go downtown on my lunch break and it was 52 degrees over off H Ave and 380.  I got back to work which is just down from the airport and my car said 42.  

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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30 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

Once again, this is the time of year that I'm so jealous of Nebraska weather.  It's always so much warmer than in eastern Iowa.  

Our snow cover is essentially gone.  Big piles and snow on north side of houses still remains.  Should all be gone by this weekend, except the biggest of snow piles.

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On 3/2/2021 at 10:55 AM, Stacsh said:

Should be mostly sunny and seasonable the first week of March.  Low to mid 40's.  Then well up into the 50's for the first half of next week.  Even if it's just a taste of Spring before more seasonable March temps come back again, what a difference it will make!.  March looks on track to be near or slightly above normal for SMI. (More if nights stay warmer, unlikely with clear skies though)  A welcome change.   

Hasn't been a truly cold March since 2014 and before that Maybe 2009? Can almost bank on a "non-wintry" month any more. 1982 was true winter

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Does anyone know what happened to Jim Flowers' facebook? I was curious what he thought about the upcoming pattern in Mid-March and went to Facebook and there is nothing there anymore. Seems a little odd.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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1 minute ago, Grizzcoat said:

Does anyone know what happened to Jim Flowers' facebook? I was curious what he thought about the upcoming pattern in Mid-March and went to Facebook and there is nothing there anymore. Seems a little odd.

He took it down. Will be back next winter or potentially if a storm would develop in the next month. 

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The storm that hit So Cal yesterday tracked just enough far north that it missed the valley but hit the mountains with some meager amounts of snowfall (1-4").  Any moisture is good moisture in my book.  The cool down in the 60's won't last because a nice ridge quickly pushes in and temps shoot up into the mid 80's Thu-Sun.  The benefits of coming out here in the Spring time is the instantaneous transition into summer like weather.  March weather can be volatile, however, and I'm anticipating some storms later next week to hopefully deliver moisture into the valley.

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14 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Hasn't been a truly cold March since 2014 and before that Maybe 2009? Can almost bank on a "non-wintry" month any more. 1982 was true winter

Cold is one thing, but average is still dreary and annoying.  Looking forward to a more active up and down pattern.  I'll take a 60 if it means a day of snow and then  back to 40's and 50's after.  Looks like we might get a cold rain/snow storm mid-month after a surge of warmth.  But then bounce back after.  

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Yesterdays official high of 50 at Grand Rapids is the warmest it has gotten this year so far.  This is much later then the average first 50° day witch is February 8th The earliest is January 1st in 2011 and the latest is April 4th 1912. In the last 30 years the average first 50° day is January 26 with a range of that January 1 in 2011 to the latest of March 15 in 2003.  At this time it is partly cloudy here and 29. There is still a reportable trace of snow on the ground here along with a good amount of snow piles.

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11 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

Does anyone know what happened to Jim Flowers' facebook? I was curious what he thought about the upcoming pattern in Mid-March and went to Facebook and there is nothing there anymore. Seems a little odd.

As stated he took it down. He takes it down at end of every winter season. Likes to focus on winter storms and then fish the rest of the season 🤣

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