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March 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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Thread should unlock at midnight. Now we kick off the start of meteorological spring which has the potential to be interesting. Maybe we get a day in the 30s with some snow or maybe we eek out a few days in the 70s with some thunderstorms.

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EUG finished Feb +0.5F, a postive temp departure for the 11th consecutive month and also -1.52" precip and are so far still below normal for this water year again, coming off a water year that was like -17"+ and a generational firestorm at the end of it. I am concerned about the rapid warming and drying trend in this particular location. The fir trees here do not look healthy and it feels as though we are becoming more and more like the Umpqua Basin's climate. Many of the firs are turning brown and a lot of them are dying off. I really hope we can string together some negative temp anomalies. Maybe a cool and wet summer again down this way?

Mapleton finished +3.2F? Something fishy there. That's the only other station in the PNW so far that I've seen have a positive temp departure for Feb but I guess maybe it stayed in the southerlies out there? Is there a station in Florence?

Our coldest temp of the fall-winter was 23F all the way back on Oct 26...how is that even possible?

That being said

I predict Mar-Jun will be cooler and wetter than normal here and we will get a much-needed break.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EUG finished Feb +0.5F, a postive temp departure for the 11th consecutive month and also -1.52" precip and are so far still below normal for this water year again, coming off a water year that was like -17"+ and a generational firestorm at the end of it. I am concerned about the rapid warming and drying trend in this particular location. The fir trees here do not look healthy and it feels as though we are becoming more and more like the Umpqua Basin's climate. Many of the firs are turning brown and a lot of them are dying off. I really hope we can string together some negative temp anomalies. Maybe a cool and wet summer again down this way?

Mapleton finished +3.2F? Something fishy there. That's the only other station in the PNW so far that I've seen have a positive temp departure for Feb but I guess maybe it stayed in the southerlies out there? Is there a station in Florence?

Our coldest temp of the fall-winter was 23F all the way back on Oct 26...how is that even possible?

That being said

I predict Mar-Jun will be cooler and wetter than normal here and we will get a much-needed break.

SLE ended up a little below average for temps, and a little above average on precip.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EUG finished Feb +0.5F, a postive temp departure for the 11th consecutive month and also -1.52" precip and are so far still below normal for this water year again, coming off a water year that was like -17"+ and a generational firestorm at the end of it. I am concerned about the rapid warming and drying trend in this particular location. The fir trees here do not look healthy and it feels as though we are becoming more and more like the Umpqua Basin's climate. Many of the firs are turning brown and a lot of them are dying off. I really hope we can string together some negative temp anomalies. Maybe a cool and wet summer again down this way?

Mapleton finished +3.2F? Something fishy there. That's the only other station in the PNW so far that I've seen have a positive temp departure for Feb but I guess maybe it stayed in the southerlies out there? Is there a station in Florence?

Our coldest temp of the fall-winter was 23F all the way back on Oct 26...how is that even possible?

That being said

I predict Mar-Jun will be cooler and wetter than normal here and we will get a much-needed break.

I felt out of breath just reading that.

Did you get your weather station yet?

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1 hour ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

CPC out to lunch??  They have us below normal for the next 8-14 days.  I don't see it.

The 8-14 day period looks solidly below normal on the models. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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That's a pretty solid trough the models are now showing for next weekend. Haven't seen the EURO, but seems like pretty good consensus for it on the other models. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's a pretty solid trough the models are now showing for next weekend. Haven't seen the EURO, but seems like pretty good consensus for it on the other models. 

The Euro shows it but has it splitting more and going into Cali.

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Just now, Jesse said:

The Euro shows it but has it splitting more and going into Cali.

Hmmm... Well the other models have  been improving on that feature. If the GFS was the holdout I would be more concerned. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hmmm... Well the other models have  been improving on that feature. If the GFS was the holdout I would be more concerned. 

EPS looks better for that period tho.

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The 12z GFS looks like it is going to be pretty good. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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53 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I felt out of breath just reading that.

Did you get your weather station yet?

Should be here Tuesday hopefully. Gonna have Andrew help me set it up so as to get an accurate reading.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Bang!

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Should be here Tuesday hopefully. Gonna have Andrew help me set it up so as to get an accurate reading.

Speaking of the Umpqua Basin (gorgeous country if you haven't been), it looks like Roseburg ended up -0.4 below average for February.

A half inch above normal for precip.

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4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Should be here Tuesday hopefully. Gonna have Andrew help me set it up so as to get an accurate reading.

I still remember ANdrews story about him and his brother and the regular thermometer and the "too warm" thermometer.

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I still remember ANdrews story about him and his brother and the regular thermometer and the "too warm" thermometer.

Gotta be careful of warm bias! 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Seems like every car or bank thermometer I’ve seen has one ;)

Except for that awesome Vancouver Mall sign (Dewey remembers)

Yeah bank thermometers are notorious. My car thermometer is pretty close. It usually runs 1F to warm. Of course if the car has been sitting in the sun, right when I start it there is usually some ridiculously warm reading, but it cools down once I start driving. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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7 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

EUG finished Feb +0.5F, a postive temp departure for the 11th consecutive month and also -1.52" precip and are so far still below normal for this water year again, coming off a water year that was like -17"+ and a generational firestorm at the end of it. I am concerned about the rapid warming and drying trend in this particular location. The fir trees here do not look healthy and it feels as though we are becoming more and more like the Umpqua Basin's climate. Many of the firs are turning brown and a lot of them are dying off. I really hope we can string together some negative temp anomalies. Maybe a cool and wet summer again down this way?

Mapleton finished +3.2F? Something fishy there. That's the only other station in the PNW so far that I've seen have a positive temp departure for Feb but I guess maybe it stayed in the southerlies out there? Is there a station in Florence?

Our coldest temp of the fall-winter was 23F all the way back on Oct 26...how is that even possible?

That being said

I predict Mar-Jun will be cooler and wetter than normal here and we will get a much-needed break.

Cooler seems like a pretty safe bet. Don’t know about wetter though, at least on the valley floor.

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3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Cooler seems like a pretty safe bet. Don’t know about wetter though, at least on the valley floor.

He lives up against the foothills FWIW.

Precip in a cool spring (if that's how this one turns out) can be a crapshoot. Sure there could be lots of NW flow that shadows your backyard, but as we get deeper into the season all it takes is a couple well placed ULLs to put us above average for months like May and June.

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BTW I am NOT getting March 2012 vibes from this  month. Not saying I don't expect cold troughing at times, all models seem to indicate this. But people forget how wet that month was. It was the 2nd wettest March on record at SLE (Wettest since 1894), and 4th wettest on record at EUG. At face value precip looks around average if not a bit below through the middle of the month. Both locations had about 10" of precip that month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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17 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Speaking of the Umpqua Basin (gorgeous country if you haven't been), it looks like Roseburg ended up -0.4 below average for February.

A half inch above normal for precip.

I was fortunate enough to go on a week-long wildfire team helping with a mobile printing service for GIS folks near Glide about 11 years ago. Indeed very beautiful and has more of a grassland feel with more shadowing and fewer fir trees.

I also ride down that way whenever we visit m'lady's family in Grants Pass on the Rogue and we will typically stop to take a whiz somewhere before or after Roseburg as the road infrastructure in the busiest part of Douglas County needs work.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I was fortunate enough to go on a week-long wildfire team helping with a mobile printing service for GIS folks near Glide about 11 years ago. Indeed very beautiful and has more of a grassland feel with more shadowing and fewer fir trees.

I also ride down that way whenever we visit m'lady's family in Grants Pass on the Rogue and we will typically stop to take a whiz somewhere before or after Roseburg as the road infrastructure in the busiest part of Douglas County needs work.

I think at that point the change in vegetation has to do less with shadowing and more with longer, warmer summers overall and typically being farther south of the mean storm track, especially during the shoulder seasons. Once you cross the Calapooyas you start to see a lot more oak and west side ponderosas for that reason.

I've never noticed their roads being too bad down there. I think roads might be your second favorite thing to complain about besides weather. ;)

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GEM opens up a very deep cold trough over the PNW starting next weekend. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I think at that point the change in vegetation has to do less with shadowing and more with warmer summers overall and typically being farther south of the mean storm track, especially during the shoulder seasons. Once you cross the Calapooyas you start to see a lot more oak and west side ponderosas for that reason.

I've never noticed their roads being too bad down there. I think roads might be your second favorite thing to complain about besides weather. ;)

You should hear my sports rants IRL, I get even more enjoyment complaining about stupid shitt like in MLB the runner on 2nd to start every extra inning. But yes, I like to provoke local thought about our roads and hope for improvement.

  • scream 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 40F (Nov 21, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Nov 17, 2021)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 4 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

BTW I am NOT getting March 2012 vibes from this  month. Not saying I don't expect cold troughing at times, all models seem to indicate this. But people forget how wet that month was. It was the 2nd wettest March on record at SLE (Wettest since 1894), and 4th wettest on record at EUG. At face value precip looks around average if not a bit below through the middle of the month. Both locations had about 10" of precip that month. 

If the deep troughing ends up further offshore it could be more wet and anafronty like 2012.

But yeah as of now most models have it centered more directly over us.

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The parallel brings a genuine Arctic front through with 850s dropping to -12 over SEA on this run.  Every run now has at least one of the two GFS models nailing us quite solidly.

  • scream 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Already in the mid 40s and partly sunny.   Feels like early March out there!

20210301_092041.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Tomorrow night is looking pretty cold at this point.  Widespread freezing low temps being shown.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The parallel brings a genuine Arctic front through with 850s dropping to -12 over SEA on this run.  Every run now has at least one of the two GFS models nailing us quite solidly.

The operational is still far better IMO than the GFSv16. GEM looks really good IMO. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Already in the mid 40s and partly sunny.   Feels like early March out there!

20210301_092041.jpg

I'm glad to be out of that dreadful gloom.  This month will have a much different look than what we have seen much of the winter.  Probably going to be the biggest month this season for freezing low temps for many locations.

  • Weenie 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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CFS shows a massive trough about every 10 days through the beginning of April. 

prateptype_cat.na.png

prateptype_cat.na.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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February ended up with a mean temp of 39.2 degrees, which consisted of the highest temp (52) occurring yesterday and the lowest temp (22) occurring on the 12th. Ended the month with 5.53 inches of rain, bringing the 2021 yearly total to 13.18 inches.

Ready to start looking forward to warmer temps and hopefully a bit more sunshine while recognizing that this spring will probably end up being pretty wet, unfortunately.

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Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com

 

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm glad to be out of that dreadful gloom.  This month will have a much different look than what we have seen much of the winter.  Probably going to be the biggest month this season for freezing low temps for many locations.

Yesterday was the nicest day since early December here. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: T"                         2021-22: 8.44" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The operational is still far better IMO than the GFSv16. GEM looks really good IMO. 

The GEM looks great.  Already plenty of cold by day 10 and a reload looks likely.  Rather interesting to note the GEFS has a few members dropping to -10 by the 8th now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yesterday was the nicest day since early December here. 

I remember a handful of crystal clear, cool and sunny days leading up to the mid-Feb cold spell.

Of course maybe nice means it has to be warmer than average too. I can never keep track of what nice means.

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2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

February ended up with a mean temp of 39.2 degrees, which consisted of the highest temp (52) occurring yesterday and the lowest temp (22) occurring on the 12th. Ended the month with 5.53 inches of rain, bringing the 2021 yearly total to 13.18 inches.

Ready to start looking forward to warmer temps and hopefully a bit more sunshine while recognizing that this spring will probably end up being pretty wet, unfortunately.

Sometimes Nina springs can feature quick hitting cold troughs with lots of sunshine and frosty nights.  Would love to see that.  Still a very legit snow threat as well.  My stats were very close to yours with your monthly average a tad colder which makes sense with your slightly higher elevation and being a bit more east.  Precip was remarkably close.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I remember a handful of crystal clear, cool and sunny days leading up to the mid-Feb cold spell.

We had two days with quite a bit of sunshine with highs in the low 40s and lows in the 20s.  That was really nice.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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23 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

You should hear my sports rants IRL, I get even more enjoyment complaining about stupid shitt like in MLB the runner on 2nd to start every extra inning. But yes, I like to provoke local thought about our roads and hope for improvement.

Going further south, it looks like Medford ended up over a degree below average for February, and just a little below average for precip.

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Another cold run on the GEFS control model as well.  Can't wait to see how this plays out.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

We had two days with quite a bit of sunshine with highs in the low 40s and lows in the 20s.  That was really nice.

We had some sunny and crisp mid-40s/mid-20s type days too. They didn't seem mean.

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27 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

You should hear my sports rants IRL, I get even more enjoyment complaining about stupid shitt like in MLB the runner on 2nd to start every extra inning. But yes, I like to provoke local thought about our roads and hope for improvement.

I hadn't heard about the runner on 2nd thing.  That is lame.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

CFS shows a massive trough about every 10 days through the beginning of April. 

prateptype_cat.na.png

prateptype_cat.na.png

Maybe a 1955 type regime setting up.  I could live with that.  TT would loathe the summer though, although it did have a very dry / crisp August.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2021-22 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 29

Lows 32 or below = 7

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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57 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I think at that point the change in vegetation has to do less with shadowing and more with warmer summers overall and typically being farther south of the mean storm track, especially during the shoulder seasons. Once you cross the Calapooyas you start to see a lot more oak and west side ponderosas for that reason.

I've never noticed their roads being too bad down there. I think roads might be your second favorite thing to complain about besides weather. ;)

The differences between the ponderosa subspecies are pretty interesting. The east side ponderosas start to occur a couple miles west of Hood River on 84, and Roseburg gets about the same annual precip as Hood River (31"/year). It's probably more than just precipitation that prevents the eastside ponderosas from doing well when transplanted to the west side - I think the eastside ponderosas might require colder winters to grow well, which the westside valleys do not have.

Far enough south the westside pondies exist on both sides of the Cascades. The Pit River basin in NE CA has westside ponderosas despite being east of the Cascades and having cold winters (then again the Cascade rainshadow is not too strong down there and it's more of a slow gradient than a rapid drop in precip). A small sliver of Modoc and Lassen counties on the east slopes of the Warners is the only place in CA with eastside pondies according to Wiki.

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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Maybe a 1955 type regime setting up.  I could live with that.  TT would loathe the summer though, although it did have a very dry / crisp August.

We are always talking about the most extreme years happening again... but they usually don't.

The summer of 1955 is one of those years... although I just looked it up and there was nice warm spell in June and a 2-week dry period in July and it only rained on a couple days here from August 1st through the middle of September so it was not a total loss.    

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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This is not a new topic, but it's crazy how much colder February has been than January in recent years.

In my backyard this February with an average temperature 39.6F, was the 5th February since 2014 that was below 40F. For comparison, that's only happened once in January since 2014. In that time (2014-2021) my average temperature for February is 40.7F vs 42.4F for January and I've had 76 freezes in February since 2014 versus 59 in January. 2021 was also the third February in a row that was my coldest month of the winter.

Ended up with 5.56" of rain, which was only slightly drier than last year's 5.65" (wettest February I had recorded).

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 0"

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