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March 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

 

Morton, WA is about 950' and even has a bowling alley.

I'm sold with the bowling alley!

In all seriousness it is remarkable how few town there are at high elevations in the Western parts of both WA and OR.  In WA it's even true east of the Cascades. Waterville is the highest town in WA and it's only at about 2,700 feet.  A totally remarkable climate though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

 

1936!

 

 

My thoughts exactly.  That would be the only thing comparable that late.  The interesting thing is the parallel is remarkably cold in that time frame also, although not as extreme as the operational.  Given the regime we have ben in for a while a cold outcome wouldn't be shocking.  Maybe we have turned a big corner here...at least for the near future.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Valsetz was 1160' I think. Incredibly beautiful area that I wish a highway could go through as an alternate route from Monmouth to south of Lincoln City, so as to avoid the casino traffic.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I already put on my speedo. A little premature?

It's never quite the right time to go there!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Down to 35F and mostly clear. Should get a freeze tonight.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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8 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Down to 35 here.

Going to be a dandy tonight.  I think OLM has a shot at 22 or even lower.  Top tier territory for this late.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GEM does also have a pretty deep trough at day 10. 

Same classic progression.  Something is brewing here.  I'm hoping the old "rule" that one winter picks up where the last one left off holds true next season.  It happens fairly often.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

I've got a feeling that 2021-22 will be a November/January-centered winter, with an emphasis on November. Just a thought.

Exactly what I was getting at with the post I did at the same time as yours.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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I have a feeling Tim is less than thrilled with the models tonight.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Down to 37 right now. I’m going to guess 30 for the low tomorrow morning. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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96769760_download(21).thumb.png.b316afa27c7e3b32785d5a4a8b7ac997.png

On a side note, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few imbedded stronger thunderstorms in the area on Friday, especially if convection encounters any thermal pockets away from water and in the sunshine. Pretty elevated EL for this time of year. Only issue is that convective temperatures are pretty cool, so CAPE stays skinny and showers stay moderate over most of the area. But where those thermal pockets set up, and where lifted parcels can gain some ground over the environmental temperature, I wouldn't be surprised to see some fairly ornery cells or some uncharacteristically large hail (marble sized?)

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6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have a feeling Tim is less than thrilled with the models tonight.

The runs are not done yet.   And you have a long history of getting burned with your unbridled enthusiasm.   😁

Side note... just for some perspective... here is the 00Z GEFS for later next week. 

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-6803200.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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OLM is down to 28 already.  Pretty ridiculous.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

96769760_download(21).thumb.png.b316afa27c7e3b32785d5a4a8b7ac997.png

On a side note, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few imbedded stronger thunderstorms in the area on Friday, especially if convection encounters any thermal pockets away from water and in the sunshine. Pretty elevated EL for this time of year. Only issue is that convective temperatures are pretty cool, so CAPE stays skinny and showers stay moderate over most of the area. But where those thermal pockets set up, and where lifted parcels can gain some ground over the environmental temperature, I wouldn't be surprised to see some fairly ornery cells or some uncharacteristically large hail (marble sized?)

Thanks for the heads up.  I wasn't aware something like this was even on the radar so to speak.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The runs are not done yet.   And you have a long history of getting burned with your unbridled enthusiasm.   😁

Side note... just for some perspective... here is the 00Z GEFS for later next week. 

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-6803200.png

That signature often evolves into a cold tough over us. That cutoff low anomaly is pretty far west and is often one of the precursors.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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26 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have a feeling Tim is less than thrilled with the models tonight.

He’ll probably get his ridgy period during the first half of May. Sometime in that late-April to mid-May timeframe we’ll have the final stratospheric warning and a Pacific MJO which would favor a ridge in AK and along/near the West Coast. Not necessarily long lasting, but the signal is there.

Until then, it’s -PNA/troughing for the most part, maybe with transient breaks here and there but nothing meaningful (from what I can tell).

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The runs are not done yet.   And you have a long history of getting burned with your unbridled enthusiasm.   😁

Side note... just for some perspective... here is the 00Z GEFS for later next week. 

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-6803200.png

GEFS ensembles seem pretty firmly split into two camps, warm/dry and cold/dry (wetter for the coast range and Cascades).

Given the background state after the equinox I'd put my chips on the latter, but if Jim keeps jinxing it who knows.

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I wouldn’t trust any guidance depicting stable western ridging in the long range.

Some of that is ensemble smoothing, some of it is mishandling of wavetrains, but all in all there’s really nothing I can see to produce such an outcome at this point in time.

Of course I’m just a measly human and could be full of it.

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

He’ll probably get his ridgy period during the first half of May. Sometime in that late-April to mid-May timeframe we’ll have the final stratospheric warning and a Pacific MJO which would favor a ridge in AK and along/near the West Coast. Not necessarily long lasting, but the signal is there.

Until then, it’s -PNA/troughing for the most part, maybe with transient breaks here and there but nothing meaningful.

Transient breaks would be a win in a Nina spring.    And I won't believe the late April / early May stuff until it arrives.

This has a been a surprisingly quiet, sunny, and pleasant first half of March... with no snow here and none in sight.    We are due for an active, rainy pattern... unfortunately.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

GEFS ensembles seem pretty firmly split into two camps, warm/dry and cold/dry (wetter for the coast range and Cascades).

Given the background state after the equinox I'd put my chips on the latter, but if Jim keeps jinxing it who knows.

Exactly.    Keep it going Jim!    😁

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, smerfylicious said:

I hope you get buried in snow :)

Ha I wish. Sadly this is just a case of extremely dry air in the boundary layer. Won’t last.

Haven’t seen precip in 2+ weeks so either way it helps!

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

 

1936!

 

 

Here's another one for you. Martin's Ultimate Tribute Canada (Both versions in one film) I linked to the start of the 80s version and went to as close to the film start as possible. The rest is technical stuff and queue.  I love the 80s version as they show far more and isn't 'jokey' unlike the 2nd one much later in the film. The 1st Canada version is the best! :) They should've never retired it.

 

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52 minutes ago, Phil said:

Ha I wish. Sadly this is just a case of extremely dry air in the boundary layer. Won’t last.

Haven’t seen precip in 2+ weeks so either way it helps!

Well then you just need to move to my neck of the woods :)

Apparently they got 4 feet this winter. Not too bad, considering I missed all of it.

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1 minute ago, smerfylicious said:

Well then you just need to move to my neck of the woods :)

Apparently they got 4 feet this winter. Not too bad, considering I missed all of it.

In Gold Bar?

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

In Gold Bar?

Yeah. My neighbor showed me pics from this winter. They racked up quite a bit in December and scored in February. The last bit of snow melted off our lawn the day we moved in :(

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9 hours ago, mtep said:

Just took a drive to escape finals and saw that Stewart and Sumas mountains are both covered in snow down to about 1500'. Do other people often think about how different the climate would be for many if elevations above 1000' were more developed in W WA? Overall im glad they arent, because the highlands are so pristine, but its fun to think about. 

Yeah I do! Also I wonder how it would be if we had a low valley that would funnel cold air in like the Columbia River Gorge, but in the central Sound region. Of course we get the cold from the Frasier River Valley, but something that was really close would be a big influence to the climate here in the Seattle metro. 

Skykomish is not at 1500', but 1000'. They are really good at holding onto the cold air and snow for a lot longer than areas further down the valley like Gold Bar, Sultan, and Monroe. Not a lot going on up there though. Couple restaurants, a gas station, railway museum and I think a library. In the winter if I happen to go up that way, I have noticed snow on the ground at Index and eastwards, even when other valleys to the north and south at the same elevation do not any snow or very little. 

 

Some high clouds got in the way of radiational cooling in the last couple hours. Sitting at 34*.

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Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6", 2/15

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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Down to 32. Nice to have another freeze.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Still cloudy here this morning... 36 degrees. 

00Z ECMWF and 00Z EPS looked pretty decent.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Looks like low to mid 30s around the Seattle area from about 1-5 eastward where the clouds hung tough all night.   Hopefully it will clear up this morning and we see some sun today.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SaleM and Eugene hit at least 28. PDX sitting at 31, Hio at 25.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Interesting stat... If SLE can pull off 4 more freezes this month it will be the 4th year in a row they had more freezes in March than January...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 hours ago, Geos said:

Yeah I do! Also I wonder how it would be if we had a low valley that would funnel cold air in like the Columbia River Gorge, but in the central Sound region. Of course we get the cold from the Frasier River Valley, but something that was really close would be a big influence to the climate here in the Seattle metro.

Wanting to be nearer such a source of cold air (and thus have more and better chances of winter weather) was one factor in my deciding to move to Bellingham.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

Pretty sad when the coldest temp of the winter is March 16th, got down to 23 briefly, currently 25.  This is bullshitt.

Have I told you about the one year in my teens in the southern Rockies where the heaviest snowfall of the season, the only one above 4", was in May?

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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At 30° right now. 

Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6", 2/15

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Have I told you about the one year in my teens in the southern Rockies where the heaviest snowfall of the season, the only one above 4", was in May?

That would be agonizing.

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Just now, GHweatherChris said:

That would be agonizing.

Maybe for you. I thought it was fun. Snow fell so fast and in such quantity they let school out early.

But it was an uphill battle to boast about it to friends and family members elsewhere. It was hard enough to convince many of them that it actually snowed in New Mexico, routinely in places. One would just convince them of that then the subject of how early or late in the season it could snow would come up. Talk about getting 8" in May and they were sure you were pulling their leg all along.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Maybe for you. I thought it was fun. Snow fell so fast and in such quantity they let school out early.

But it was an uphill battle to boast about it to friends and family members elsewhere. It was hard enough to convince many of them that it actually snowed in New Mexico, routinely in places. One would just convince them of that then the subject of how early or late in the season it could snow would come up. Talk about getting 8" in May and they were sure you were pulling their leg all along.

Don't get me wrong, snow in May would be amazing for me to see, but having to wait until May would noy be awesome to see anything some what substantial.

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The 25 at Hillsboro appears to be a new record low for the date. Broke the record from 1955. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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37 here after a low of 35... looks like its finally about to clear from the west now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Don't get me wrong, snow in May would be amazing for me to see, but having to wait until May would noy be awesome to see anything some what substantial.

May sun is strong. Literally August strong. The next day was sunny and that 8" melted. All of it.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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