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March 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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I am in Woodinville and it is about 57¬į right now. Just a few high clouds to the west. Daffodils have sure popped open since yesterday.

Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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56/30 at SLE today. A -2 departure I believe.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Blech, the Sun is really getting strong. Car interior actually got borderline hot after 20mins in the lot today. Had to roll the windows down upon returning.

F**king depressing. ūüė≠

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Blech, the Sun is really getting strong. Car interior actually got borderline hot after 20mins in the lot today. Had to roll the windows down upon returning.

F**king depressing. ūüė≠

Fake news.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Reports that today was a ‚Äúwarm‚ÄĚ day turned out to be fake news.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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A beautiful 55/37 today. Should get some much-needed rain this weekend.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50¬†(Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3¬†(Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Down to 36 already...Heading for another sub-freezing low. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Sitting here realizing HIO hasn't hit 60 yet this year. In fact you¬†have to go all the way back to¬†November 5th for the last time¬†ūüėĪ

That's actually the last time we did too. If we slide past tomorrow it will be a solid four months.

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Next week looks pretty cool and dry. Favored locations are going to see a lot of impressive lows. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Next week looks pretty cool and dry. Favored locations are going to see a lot of impressive lows. 

I'm hoping things moisten back up on the models just a bit.

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Just now, Jesse said:

I'm hoping things moisten back up on the models just a bit.

Yeah, it's looking like a very very dry first half of the month, but maybe the negative temp anomalies next week will be a silver lining. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, it's looking like a very very dry first half of the month, but maybe the negative temp anomalies next week will be a silver lining. 

Another silver lining is that it is looking like a very good pattern for much of California, rain and snowpack wise.

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2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Another silver lining is that it is looking like a very good pattern for much of California, rain and snowpack wise.

GFS still messing around with the idea of an impressive trough late next week. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_39.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS still messing around with the idea of an impressive trough late next week. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_39.png

Yeah I figure with a La Nina pattern pretty firmly in place we'll get ours before the month is over. Although I realize the door for anything crazy in the lowlands starts to shut pretty decisively after mid-March. Still lots of time for a big foothill snow event though. :wub:

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8 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Yeah I figure with a La Nina pattern pretty firmly in place we'll get ours before the month is over. Although I realize the door for anything crazy in the lowlands starts to shut pretty decisively after mid-March. Still lots of time for a big foothill snow event though. :wub:

I have kind of given up on that idea, though I would take it if it came our way. We had a big event around the 24th back in 2018. 

One of my favorite late season troughs was in early April 2012. Not a huge snow, about 3", but a high in the mid-30s on the 4th. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I have kind of given up on that idea, though I would take it if it came our way. We had a big event around the 24th back in 2018. 

One of my favorite late season troughs was in early April 2012. Not a huge snow, about 3", but a high in the mid-30s on the 4th. 

I'm sure 2008 and 2011 also had some pretty memorable stuff in the mid-March to late-April time frame up there.

 

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5 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I'm sure 2008 and 2011 also had some pretty memorable stuff in the mid-March to late-April time frame up there.

 

 Yeah. April 2011 and 2008 are the two coldest on record up here I think. Just checked out March 2008. It was really cold, a monthly mean of 37.7, the 3rd coldest on record behind 1951, 2012. Been a pretty good run in March up here. in the 2008-2020 period only March 2013-15 have been above average. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Sadly the GFS seems to be on its own right now...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I love nothing more than waking up to fear mongering reports regarding the Gulfstream slowing down. 

Give me a f*** break, what's next, giant car sized hail in Tokyo?

Perhaps Mothra finally eeks out a victory against mega godzilla?

From the NY times (nevermind) https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/03/02/climate/atlantic-ocean-climate-change.html

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55 minutes ago, JBolin said:

I love nothing more than waking up to fear mongering reports regarding the Gulfstream slowing down. 

Give me a f*** break, what's next, giant car sized hail in Tokyo?

Perhaps Mothra finally eeks out a victory against mega godzilla?

From the NY times (nevermind) https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/03/02/climate/atlantic-ocean-climate-change.html

I think they meant to go to IceAgeNow.Info but took a wrong turn somehow. Seriously this feels like crap Robert Felix from there would spit out.  Also how the hell do you navigate that site? That article was clearly for touch phones only.

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Got down to 32 and then the high clouds ruined everything.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, JBolin said:

I love nothing more than waking up to fear mongering reports regarding the Gulfstream slowing down. 

Give me a f*** break, what's next, giant car sized hail in Tokyo?

Perhaps Mothra finally eeks out a victory against mega godzilla?

From the NY times (nevermind) https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/03/02/climate/atlantic-ocean-climate-change.html

There are a number of inaccuracies in that article. For one, a ‚Äúshutdown‚ÄĚ of the GS¬†(whatever that means) didn‚Äôt lead to a ‚Äú15¬įC cooling in Europe‚ÄĚ at the start of the Holocene. LOL.

In fact the GS itself isn’t all that important for European climate..much like the PNW it’s merely the presence of the ocean upstream that moderates the climate.

Further, there‚Äôs no evidence for these massive freshwater pulses that have supposedly ‚Äúshut down‚ÄĚ the Gulf Stream.¬†There is, however,¬†plenty of evidence (both via proxies and¬†observationally) that significant -NAO regimes can and have crippled the GS and AMOC, via the suppression of the Atlantic subtropical¬†high reversal of winds over portions of the NATL integral for overturning.

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/phoc/47/11/jpo-d-17-0064.1.xml

We saw this happen (on a small scale) in 2010 after that massive -NAO winter. The GS speed hit a record low that spring/summer. If that regime at lasted a decade, then yeah things would probably look quite different on the climate front right now (good analog for that is what happened in the 1950s/60s).

People scratch their heads¬†at what seem like massive, abrupt climate shifts that require some massive, instantaneous¬†trigger like a freshwater pulse, when what they‚Äôre really observing is a peripherally-forced abrupt change in atmospheric circulation as a quasi-unstable, nonlinear¬†response. It‚Äôs no coincidence the ‚Äúclimate patterns‚ÄĚ associated with the¬†GS/AMOC perfectly mimic those associated with the NAO.

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7 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said:

Got a lot of health problems lately so won’t be on as much. 
 

But do we still have a shot at snow next week/in March/April or is it over?

Looks like some c zone snow around day 7 on the GFS.  Pretty chilly trough. 

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25 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Jim sure disappeared.

Just like the March goodies on the GFS. He ll be back for our annual winter killing cold snap in October. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 65.58"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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17 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said:

Got a lot of health problems lately so won’t be on as much. 
 

But do we still have a shot at snow next week/in March/April or is it over?

Sorry to hear you aren't doing well. 

Chances have been diminished for anything widespread next week, but beyond that we really don't know. 

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Got back from orcas around midnight last night. Looks like we made it down to 36 here this morning. 54/35 yesterday. 

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Monthly rainfall-0.00‚ÄĚ

Warm season rainfall-5.26‚ÄĚ

+80s-27

+85s-9

+90s-3

+100s-2

Highest temp-106

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19 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

 

I'm kind of disappointed by this.  I guess people that aren't obsessed with the weather like us don't take the time to learn what the various terms mean.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Got back from orcas around midnight last night. Looks like we made it down to 36 here this morning. 54/35 yesterday. 

We did 57 / 30 yesterday and a low of 32 today.  Looks like some places are going to have a plethora of freezing low temps coming up next week.  If we aren't going to have much snow I'm perfectly ok with below normal temps and mostly dry like the models are currently showing.  The models are taking turns at bringing some kind of a Canadian cold front through at some point.  Look like it will be a pretty decent month.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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