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March 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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4 hours ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Actually I miscalculated. 1952, 1976, and 1984 were all in the low to mid 20s for inches of rainfall those years snd average is 37.  Those were mainly a timing thing SS they saw heavy rainfall in adjacent years and a lot of them were right on the bore line of being captured in that year. 

Snoqualmie Falls almost stopped running in 1952.  You are making things sound more constant than they really are.  I still remember the insane drought in the winter of 1976 - 77.  The mountains had incredible shortfalls of snow that winter.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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A strong likelihood that we will finally have a negative monthly temperature departure. Our first since...March of last year.

It also appears that we will finish the month about -2.5" normal for rainfall so barring a miracle, we will probly be losing some more small towns this next summer.

  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 49¬†(Most recent: Apr 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3¬†(Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Problem is if they didn’t have the rules then they would be sued. 

And one school is located in a liberal strong hold while the other is not.  The left has made this worse than it needed to be, but that's for another time and place to talk about. 

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

A strong likelihood that we will finally have a negative monthly temperature departure. Our first since...March of last year.

It also appears that we will finish the month about -2.5" normal for rainfall so barring a miracle, we will probly be losing some more small towns this next summer.

No reason to think this summer will be hot.  That remains to be seen though.  You are making a bit much out of one month.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

No reason to think this summer will be hot.  That remains to be seen though.  You are making a bit much out of one month.

At this point I expect around 25 days that reach 90F+ down here.

  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 49¬†(Most recent: Apr 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3¬†(Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Kind of interesting how the models show the system that just barely clips us a few days after the Sunday system actually gives us a more solid shot of cold at the mid levels.  Clippers have a rich history of over achieving on cold.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

At this point I expect around 25 days that reach 90F+ down here.

We'll see.  We have a pretty strong -PDO this year which could favor more cool onshore flow.  The very cold coastal SST's will certainly have a moderating effect compared to recent summers.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Still looking good for a nice shot of snow here Sunday evening. 
 

GFS thinks we see April snow this year too. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

We'll see.  We have a pretty strong -PDO this year which could favor more cool onshore flow.  The very cold coastal SST's will certainly have a moderating effect compared to recent summers.

Or maybe it’ll...you know...rain once or twice. Like what used to happen.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 49¬†(Most recent: Apr 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3¬†(Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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22 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

And one school is located in a liberal strong hold while the other is not.  The left has made this worse than it needed to be, but that's for another time and place to talk about. 

Totally agree.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, Phil said:

Unfortunately there were multiple fatalities in that wedge tornado.

Any videos of the tornado and its track?

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 49¬†(Most recent: Apr 12, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3¬†(Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Gotta say this has been the most pleasant March weather-wise in the 5 years ive been here. Some more snow would have been cool but the sun:rain ratio has been real nice for this time of year. 

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54/42 today. Up to 2.24‚ÄĚ so far this month.¬†

Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39‚ÄĚ

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39‚ÄĚ

Warmest high temp-63

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Meadows at 8" of new in the last 48 hours. Snowpack leaking season is starting very soon so that's not too bad at all. Also, the pattern this March has been awesome for snowpack retention. On 3/22 Mt Hood test site had 170" of pack, in the PoR the only years with higher snowpack on that date were 1999, 2002, 2008, and 2012.

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Snoqualmie Falls almost stopped running in 1952.  You are making things sound more constant than they really are.  I still remember the insane drought in the winter of 1976 - 77.  The mountains had incredible shortfalls of snow that winter.

76/77...My first ever winter season! I don’t really remember it...

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13 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Meadows at 8" of new in the last 48 hours. Snowpack leaking season is starting very soon so that's not too bad at all. Also, the pattern this March has been awesome for snowpack retention. On 3/22 Mt Hood test site had 170" of pack, in the PoR the only years with higher snowpack on that date were 1999, 2002, 2008, and 2012.

We actually don't need mountain snow up here as we approach April.¬† ¬†¬†ūüĎć

snow 3-25.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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June is going to be a pivotal month for us. We probably need at least 6‚ÄĚ of rain to feel good going into summer.¬†

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

June is going to be a pivotal month for us. We probably need at least 6‚ÄĚ of rain to feel good going into summer.¬†

Until we are tracking the first troughs of fall 6 weeks later... which will of course hit WA and BC.¬†¬†ūüėĀ

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It sure has the right look and feel to at least make a run at freezing tonight.  At one point it didn't appear we would have any clear nights this week.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Or maybe it’ll...you know...rain once or twice. Like what used to happen.

Could very well happen.  It still remains to be seen if this run of abnormally warm summers is here to stay or not.  We've had shorter runs in the past that came to an abrupt end eventually.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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18 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

KHQM_2021032518.png

You probably have a good shot with that amazing CAA Sunday evening.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

June is going to be a pivotal month for us. We probably need at least 6‚ÄĚ of rain to feel good going into summer.¬†

6" in June?  I would say that isn't real typical.  At least here it's not.

  • Weenie 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

We actually don't need mountain snow up here as we approach April.¬† ¬†¬†ūüĎć

snow 3-25.png

Probably no glacier retreat this year.  I think people get way too worked up about the water supply.  I can't remember the last year we had any trouble here at all.  I would love to see the glaciers thrive though.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

You probably have a good shot with that amazing CAA Sunday evening.

Amazing CAA?

ECMWF shows mid 40s on Sunday afternoon and around 40 on Monday morning.   And then probably low 50s on Monday.   I sort of feel like you taking some typical March storminess and making it sound like it's so epic and unusual.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The 18z ECMWF was faster with Sunday's system.  Upper 30s into the South Sound by 0z.  Looks like it shaved a couple more degrees off of Sunday's highs as well.  Could be a nice minus for that day.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Amazing CAA?

ECMWF shows mid 40s on Sunday afternoon and around 40 on Monday morning.   And then probably low 50s on Monday.   I sort of feel like you taking some typical March storminess and making it sound like it's so epic and unusual.  

Apparently you haven't looked at how cold it gets in the early evening with strong onshore flow.  SEA will probably be the most protected of anywhere from the cold surge.  Low Temps Sunday night are reached by 4Z or so in many places.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Apparently you haven't looked at how cold it gets in the early evening with strong onshore flow.  SEA will probably be the most protected of anywhere from the cold surge.  Low Temps Sunday night are reached by 4Z or so in many places.

Still pretty typical... its gets cold and there are probably ice pellet showers and then it clears up and its pretty nice again on Monday.   Early spring in western WA.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The 18z ECMWF shows the trough not digging out over the ocean quite so much.  Could easily be a chillier outcome for early next week.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Still pretty typical... its gets cold and there are probably ice pellet showers and then it clears up and its pretty nice again on Monday.   Early spring in western WA.

I consider upper 30 in the late afternoon pretty decent.  There is a pretty considerable GOA block behind all of this.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 52

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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9 am tee time Sunday in Redmond is looking more and more iffy . . .

Until the last few runs, it looked dry till after about 1 PM, but today's runs bring that system in several hours earlier.

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I consider upper 30 in the late afternoon pretty decent.  There is a pretty considerable GOA block behind all of this.

Sure its cold.   It happens.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

9 am tee time Sunday in Redmond is looking more and more iffy . . .

Until the last few runs, it looked dry till after about 1 PM, but today's runs bring that system in several hours earlier.

Sunday is not going to be nice... models have consistently been speeding up systems lately.    Change it to Monday.  ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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31 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

6" in June?  I would say that isn't real typical.  At least here it's not.

It‚Äôs a lot, but we had almost 8‚ÄĚ In June 2012.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

9 am tee time Sunday in Redmond is looking more and more iffy . . .

Until the last few runs, it looked dry till after about 1 PM, but today's runs bring that system in several hours earlier.

00Z NAM has the system coming in now on Saturday afternoon which is way faster than its 12Z run... I guess its possible that the front is already through by Sunday morning.

 

nam-218-all-nw-refc_cloud-6889600.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The system Sunday looking a bit better than the one two weeks ago. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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49 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM has the system coming in now on Saturday afternoon which is way faster than its 12Z run... I guess its possible that the front is already through by Sunday morning.

 

nam-218-all-nw-refc_cloud-6889600.png

00z NAM is dry till about Noon on Sunday still though.

 

ref1km_ptype.us_nw (9).png

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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Been busy building a geo tracker 4x4 for a get around rig up at my cabin.  Extremely reliable little vehicles and do good on gas plus there tiny so you can go about anyplace.  Here it is.

20210316_180133.jpg

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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18 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

00z NAM is dry till about Noon on Sunday still though.

 

ref1km_ptype.us_nw (9).png

Yeah... I saw that.     The speeding up is probably done now since it only 3 days away.    It's still going to be windy and chilly on Sunday morning as the front approaches.     There won't be a warm period ahead of the system like there would be if it was coming up from the SW with offshore flow ahead of the storm.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Been busy building a geo tracker 4x4 for a get around rig up at my cabin.  Extremely reliable little vehicles and do good on gas plus there tiny so you can go about anyplace.  Here it is.

20210316_180133.jpg

Absolutely gorgeous. Are cleanish geos tough to find these days? Ik you're a mechanic so i guess you have the ability to make more out of less 

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9 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

FB on fire with videos of this!  What time did it happen....trying to locate on my Nest Cam 

Was it just over Portland?     I was driving back from Safeway at that time but did not see anything.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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