CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2014 Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 Another reason I am confident in a decent snow. We will see if NWS Hastings changes their minimal snow idea in the late afternoon discussion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 Another reason I am confident in a decent snow. We will see if NWS Hastings changes their minimal snow idea in the late afternoon discussion.When I saw that sneaky SLP digging farther and farther south with each run a couple days ago, something told me to be patient and see how the models handle that energy. I think most of NE should fair well with this system. Extreme SE NE is probably not in an ideal location though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2014 Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 I think central and western Nebraska do just fine. My prediction is 4 inches at my house. I will let you know how i did. Merry Christmas and thanks for the positive words. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 I think central and western Nebraska do just fine. My prediction is 4 inches at my house. I will let you know how i did. Merry Christmas and thanks for the positive words.Hope you guys see some appreciable snowfall out of this before the arctic attack hits. Wtih temps in the mid/upper 20's for central/western NE, and 850's -8C and lower, this should be a high ratio snowfall. Maybe 15:1-18:1 snow ratios that will fluff up those totals. Meantime, 12z Euro looking better from previous runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 25, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 12z Euro may bring some surprise snows to GoSaints & Money's location. Euro gets this systems act together alot better as it heads towards the Lakes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 25, 2014 Report Share Posted December 25, 2014 Dang.....most models throwing out 2+" for my area too. Would be great to get something. Had mid 40s for highs today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Anyone have 0z NAM showfall totals? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Anyone have 0z NAM showfall totals? 12km 4km Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 New GFS is much wetter. Really hoping the Nam is wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Sign me up for that! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Yeah you're right on there, Clint. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 We have to keep in mind that ratios will be higher than 10:1. They will easily be 15:1 and maybe even nearing 20:1. I think this thing definitely has the potential to fluff up some really nice totals in Central Nebraska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Love the 00z gfs.I could get close to 6 inches in central nebraska if it verifies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Thanks for the map geos. Fluff factor could be higher. Plus mentioning gusts to 30 mph that will blow the light snow all over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Totally sucks for my area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 You guys may be looking at warning snows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Not trying to be all "pro-Omaha" or anything....but I sure wish that would drop southeast just a tad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Not trying to be all "pro-Omaha" or anything....but I sure wish that would drop southeast just a tad. Me too! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 No problem with pro Omaha. I have complained as much as anyone about misses. Hope this can spread the wealth further east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Thanks. I hope everyone had a Merry Christmas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 I hope you guys in NE cash in big on this storm system. I guarantee you some didn't believe this system would produce but it looks like it will. Good luck guys! I have to get back to my Polish party. Nazdrowie! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Very interesting run by the gfs, I'll get excited if the euro jumps on board. If someone can post that when it comes out much would be appreciated, merry Xmas everyone! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Maybe Tom can post it. I wish I could but I don't have access to EURO's snowfall totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Love the GFS, come on Euro. Excited to get the snowblower out. Only have used it once this year for the 3 inch snow from a couple of weeks back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 After this little storm and with the potential of next weeks snow places in northwest nebraska could have a foot and a half plus snow depth! Hoping this is a sign of things to come, this will all come down to ratios and moisture availability. this will be an interesting next 12 hours of model watching...... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 26, 2014 Author Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Sorry guys...I just stepped out and checked my phone. With family and having many cocktails and shots. IMO, if the GFS jumped on board, that means the model is finally seeing the energy. Euro will concur. Enjoy the snowfall! ORD will see its first significant snowfall with the Jan 3rd/4th snowfall. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 After this little storm and with the potential of next weeks snow places in northwest nebraska could have a foot and a half plus snow depth! Hoping this is a sign of things to come, this will all come down to ratios and moisture availability. this will be an interesting next 12 hours of model watching...... Being in Minnesota, congratulations guys on atleast having something to track within 60 hrs! I'd love for you guys to have a hefty snowpack, despite my absence. I hate to be a Debby downer, but Eastern Nebraska is looking like it will once again be missed. Feeling for you guys out in Omaha and Lincoln. I really hope things turn the corner for us. I'd love to come home to a solid snowpack and not brown grass and dreary conditions, sick of the blehh weather we've had the past year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 I'll post the EURO--- here is the CAN through 48 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 same time frame from the 00Z Euro Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Being in Minnesota, congratulations guys on atleast having something to track within 60 hrs! I'd love for you guys to have a hefty snowpack, despite my absence. I hate to be a Debby downer, but Eastern Nebraska is looking like it will once again be missed. Feeling for you guys out in Omaha and Lincoln. I really hope things turn the corner for us. I'd love to come home to a solid snowpack and not brown grass and dreary conditions, sick of the blehh weather we've had the past year. I'm guessing this is the warmest/least snowiest winter in Minnesota for a while! Drive safe, hopefully this system can throw some more surprises for everyone. Here is the current snow forecast from Hastings.....WWA just off to my west/NW. Just give me 2" and i'll be happy, anything over that would be a bonus. Can't get greedy or complain since who knows when our next chance of snow will be with this pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Finally snowing in Holdrege. Took awhile. I will update snow totals when it finishes tonight. It is very light so it is blowing easily. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 Visibility 1 mile or a little less with a 25 MPH wind out of the north. 1 day late for a white christmas but will take this small storm to lay down a base. Next storm on the 30th should give us several more inches before the arctic air hits. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 and fitting with the theme so far this winter- they've lowered the totals here in Omaha to less than an inch tonight, and then that's it for the rest of the month. What a December to remember- as a dud! Should finish with less than an inch of snow this month and up to 3" for the year now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2014 Report Share Posted December 26, 2014 My guess is when the snow ends we will top out close to 3 inches, assuming it can snow for several more hours. A little less than I predicted, (I thought for sure close to 4 inches), seemed like it started alot later than advertised. Really looking at the Monday, Dec. 30th for several inches. One site is saying 3-6 for this area but I think it will really be one of those "as it is happening events" to see where the heaviest band sets up. Some are putting it in Northern Kansas, while others keep the heaviest amounts in Western and Central Nebraska. Time will tell. That is too bad for Eastern Nebraska, really know what you are going through with our poor winters of the past couple of years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 My guess is when the snow ends we will top out close to 3 inches, assuming it can snow for several more hours. A little less than I predicted, (I thought for sure close to 4 inches), seemed like it started alot later than advertised. Really looking at the Monday, Dec. 30th for several inches. One site is saying 3-6 for this area but I think it will really be one of those "as it is happening events" to see where the heaviest band sets up. Some are putting it in Northern Kansas, while others keep the heaviest amounts in Western and Central Nebraska. Time will tell. That is too bad for Eastern Nebraska, really know what you are going through with our poor winters of the past couple of years.What site are you looking at that has 3-6" for central Nebraska on Monday the 29th? I'd love to have something to follow but I'm not seeing anything close to that where I'm looking. NWS for you area has maybe an inch, and the models I've looked at agree. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 Accuweather has us in 3-6. Don't always trust them but they were spot on with this storm. GFS 18Z is showing 3-5 and the NAM is less and has more of the snow in Northern Kansas. Local mets only mentioning a couple of inches of wind blown snow but they also just listed flurries several days ago for this storm so I don't always trust them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 Under a nice band of snow now. Lots of blowing of the snow around. Winter Weather Advisory for 2-4 inches looks right on target. NWS North Platte mentioned places NE of North Platte would be closer to 6 inches with a persistent band. I think here in Holdrege there is still another batch of snow in NW Kansas that is moving northeast so snow should continue for a few more hours before ending. I will try and get a final amount when it ends. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 From Accuweather- for Monday, Dec. 30th ( day and night) for what it is worth, Hope they are correct. Breezy and colder with snow at times, accumulating 1-3 inches. Brisk and bitterly cold with snow, accumulating 1-3 inches; storm total snowfall 3-6 inches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 From Accuweather- for Monday, Dec. 30th ( day and night) for what it is worth, Hope they are correct. Breezy and colder with snow at times, accumulating 1-3 inches. Brisk and bitterly cold with snow, accumulating 1-3 inches; storm total snowfall 3-6 inches Your first problem is listening to Accuweather. They have about 0% accuracy rate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted December 27, 2014 Report Share Posted December 27, 2014 Still haven't seen a flurry here in Lincoln. Today NWS was calling for an inch. Now saying lucky if we see a 1/2 inch. I'm just hoping we can see at least 1-2 more 2 plus inch storms so that I can put my blades on the ground. The snow business in SE Nebraska has become very difficult the past couple or years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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