Hawkeye Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 00z GFS, GFSv16, GDPS 2 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 UK went from suppressed south this morning to way north this evening. Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 00z Euro, like the UK, is also way north. Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 11 Author Report Share Posted March 11 00z EPS...backing away from any meaningful snows for NE members... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 6z GFS Mean. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 11 Author Report Share Posted March 11 Nice.... Quote Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Denver CO 427 AM MST Thu Mar 11 2021 COZ038>041-043-112330- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0001.210313T0700Z-210315T1200Z/ Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield County-North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-Central and South Weld County- Including the cities of Elbert, Roggen, Arvada, Larkspur, Boulder, City of Denver, Aurora, Littleton, Brighton, Highlands Ranch, Fort Lupton, Loveland, Kiowa, Eaton, Longmont, Fondis, Denver International Airport, Golden, Parker, Castle Rock, Lakewood, Fort Collins, Greeley, Nunn, and Hereford 427 AM MST Thu Mar 11 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 15 to 25 inches possible. Accumulations up to 30 inches possible near Boulder and Fort Collins. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Fort Collins, Boulder and the western suburbs of Denver, Denver, Castle Rock, and Greeley. * WHEN...From late Friday night through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Even better... Quote ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations of 18 to 32 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Areas of southeast Wyoming along and east of the Laramie Range to the Nebraska Panhandle. * WHEN...From Thursday evening through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact travel Thursday evening through Sunday. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 6z Euro Contol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" Average: 25.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 2 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Well the snow talk was fun while it lasted, but chances for snow around here look slim. On the other hand, this forecast should put a large dent in the drought. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 GFS looking more like the Euro now. Backed off on snow totals dramatically. The GFsv16 still hanging on though. Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 8 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Row, row, row your boat. Wow. 2 1 Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 27 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Row, row, row your boat. Wow. Haven’t seen a precipitation map like this since the flood of July 2019. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 Canadian still lays down the snow Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 This is decreasing lately. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 I feel like we go through this every year. Models show one last major dump and it always ends up a big nothing burger. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 12z Euro. The snow chances continue to disappear for most of the region. What could have been. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 11 Report Share Posted March 11 Euro is way north again. What's happening is that, on a few models, the upper ridge that was forecasted to be directly north of the system, which forced the system due east, is now sliding off to the east more, which allows the system to cut north. 1 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 11 Author Report Share Posted March 11 3 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: Euro is way north again. What's happening is that, on a few models, the upper ridge that was forecasted to be directly north of the system, which forced the system due east, is now sliding off to the east more, which allows the system to cut north. Slower ejection is the problem, otherwise this would have been a great set up for a major snowstorm in the heartland. On the flip side, it’s Good to see all that moisture. The trowal is going to be fierce looking on radar. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 My sister lives in denver and my wife has alot of family in Ft. Collins. Sounds like they are going to get a thumping. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 More blocking has returned on tonight's Euro, snow is back south. 2 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 00z Canadian still has snow across Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 12 Author Report Share Posted March 12 5 hours ago, Hawkeye said: More blocking has returned on tonight's Euro, snow is back south. GFSv16 & GGEM for the win??? It's really been the only 2 models that have been rather consistent showing the ribbon of snow across the MW. The Euro has been the most inconsistent it seems from way north to south. Interesting battle among the various models. Around these parts, the long awaited storm has made it into the valley and yes, it is raining heavily in the central valley across PHX metro and points west. The band of precip is having a tough time tracking east but it will eventually. Up in the mountains, the models have been upping the snowfall amounts in excess of 1 Foot for Flagstaff/Snowbowl Ski Resort and the White Mountains in the eastern part of the state. I am really digging this potential as I might have to take a trip up north to see this snowfall. 00z Euro... Historic snows are still looking like a good bet for the Foothills/Front Range and Denver metro.... This system may produce cold core convective storms later today in the valley... Quote By this afternoon, weakening mid-level winds will be turning more out of the west across south-central Arizona, while the vorticity forced ascent also begins to shift over eastern Arizona. This will likely bring a brief lull in the shower activity early this afternoon, but steepening mid-level lapse rates from Phoenix westward into the Lower CO River Valley and some peaks of sunshine are likely to bring scattered convective showers and low-topped thunderstorms. Rainfall rates with these convective cells will be better than what will occur this morning, but most areas should again see light rainfall amounts as the cells will be quite progressive in nature. These cold-core convective type showers and/or thunderstorms will also be capable of producing small hail, which is typical for a deep closed low weather system early in the spring. By Saturday, I think we will be seeing some snow capped mountain peaks to my east as snow levels drop to 3,500 feet. This should produce some gorgeous views of the landscape transformed to Winter. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 12 Author Report Share Posted March 12 Pretty substantial change for IA peeps per the latest 00z EPS... 00z Euro Control... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 12 Author Report Share Posted March 12 Flagstaff already reporting 9.8" of snow...Let it Snow...hope they can score a couple Feet by the time things end late Saturday.... Sheesh, Snowbowl ski resort is already up to 17"! https://www.snowbowl.ski/?q=webcams Flagstaff web cams... https://www.flagstaffarizona.org/webcams/ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 Models are still shifting around early next week. The NAM is now in range. It had the snow centered farther south on last night's 00z run, but it has shifted north somewhat this morning. The GFS is drifting back south, but not back to where it had been. 12z NAM, GFS, GFSv16 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 12z GDPS (Canadian) - No change, very consistent. 1 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 12z UK Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 12z Euro - A bit north and slightly weaker than the 00z run. 1 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 I missed the 00z run of the Euro, been super busy this morning. Good to see it has come back with the possibility of snow further south. Overall looks like we are nowhere near locking this one in yet. Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 Here is the Euro Kuchera as well. Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 I'm really trying not to get too sucked into this, but it's looking pretty good here for me at this point. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 24 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Here is the Euro Kuchera as well. I guess this was bound to happen. Each year we go through this and Spring takes longer to kick in unfortunately. If it's going to snow then lets get a storm like the Denver area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 12 Report Share Posted March 12 NWS Model Blend Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 00z NAM is a bit south and colder. The snow band reaches Cedar Rapids around sunrise Monday, so the timing is pretty good. 2 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 00z RDPS Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 00z GFS/GFSv16 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 00z GDPS 2 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 00z UK Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 00z Euro - Most models still favoring northern Iowa. 2 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 06Z NAM-- shifting S and W--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 3km- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 DVN says 2-5” Along and north of I80. Higher possible I’m further northwest. DMX has already issued WSW and saying 5-7” for portions of northern Iowa. 1 Quote Season Snowfall: 39.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 13 Author Report Share Posted March 13 00z Euro upping the ante for Denver metro...that would be something if they can score 32" from this storm and top the #1 spot for a March snowstorm... 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 12z nam rocks C.Ia 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 37 degrees and pouring rain. Oh what might have been if this low had been quicker to eject and farther east. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 Had a moment to check in. Wow...surprised to see I'm in a winter storm watch! Looking pretty solid for mby. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 13 Report Share Posted March 13 This is looking more like a northern Iowa snow event. Several models show Cedar Rapids and Iowa city getting mostly mix. 1 Quote season snowfall: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" '16-17: 17.9" '15-16: 20.0" '14-15: 30.4" '13-14: 48.3" '12-13: 34.1" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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