Tom Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 Models have been trending a wave coming up from the south and clashing with an approaching cold front out of the north that looks to bring some "surprise" snows into N IL. This system had eyes for C IL/N IN/S MI but now may spread some love a bit north. Let's discuss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 10, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 18z PGFS came a bit north as well... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 10, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 18z RGEM looks solid also.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 Now, these are the type of systems that I like. Coming from the south with gulf moisture. Friend of mine from Chicago just told me that a few days ago they were forecasting no snow at all and now forecasters are saying that snow accumulations could become likely. Wow, how quickly weather changes. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 Final call for ORD: 2.6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 Very impressive moisture with this wave for sure and we won't have to deal with mixing issues this far north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcusBeier Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Hey Washington Township..you know im ready in Northville =) The 2-3 inches of drifty, granular snow we got yesterday is beautiful, now we need depth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Just checked the new GFS Shows 0.28 for my area Temps mid 20 How much snow is that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 ORD: 2.9"MBY: 1.3" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Just checked the new GFS Shows 0.28 for my area Temps mid 20 How much snow is that? What city are you in?? IF you can, put it in your profile so ppl know where your posting from. Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Local forecast calling for 50% chance of snow tomorrow night. A few hours ago it was just a chance of flurries... Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 NAM looking like 2"-4". Nice hit for Chicago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 What city are you in?? IF you can, put it in your profile so ppl know where your posting from. ThanksBurlington IA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Burlington IAYour right on the edge and may squeeze 2" out of this. 00z RGEM...I think ORD manages to get 2" as well, if some of that banding can sit around for a bit then maybe 3". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Seems like N Cook is where the razor sharp cut-off begins.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Was hoping for another slight nudge N, but even the NAM backed off for me. Looks like maybe an inch or just a dusting this time. Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Your right on the edge and may squeeze 2" out of this. 00z RGEM...I think ORD manages to get 2" as well, if some of that banding can sit around for a bit then maybe 3".OK Thanks. Take what we can get Guess Two not bad since this pretty much come out of no where nice little surprise Snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Now we just need a big storm 7 plus would be nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Another thing i"ve noticed the warm up keeps getting pushed back Now it's Monday before we nudge above freezing. It's only looks to last a couple of days before it turns cold gain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 GGEM is nudged to the north a bit. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 00z Euro...came north a bit....closer look for Chicago area... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yerf Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Ice storm warning for the Indianapolis area. You do not see that issued often. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Not sure what to expect later today. Euro coming in farther north helps but still not convinced. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 HRRR hinting at a mini band up this way later. Will see how that goes. Right now there's quite a bit of sun out. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 16z HRRR still showing that band hitting the northern burbs as well...12z GGEM had the band north also...I think Geo's area may get 1-2" out of this actually. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 16z HRRR still showing that band hitting the northern burbs as well...12z GGEM had the band north also...I think Geo's area may get 1-2" out of this actually.Nice hit right over MBY. I find it interesting there is such a difference between the 4KM NAM and HRRR at this range. Where this band stalls is key for who will get the most. I would still favor city and south for this one, but we will see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 ABC 7's RPM Model came back north from last nights run... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 ABC 7's RPM Model came back north from last nights run... That cut off is really sharp... and close! haha Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Burlington IAAre you seeing snow out by you yet??? Radar shows bands coming through your area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 So far it's been very light Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Just started snowing here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Light snow here now Hopefully it can pick up little Still fairly light snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 the snowman has said on both his twitter and facebook pages that down state il to oh an ice storm is brewing so these areas will need to get their flaslights,candles and generators ready. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 A swath of 2-4 inches is likely for my area. I am leaning towards 3". A little disappointed, too bad the upper trough coming down from Canada will push this storm from coming north. Lets see how it will pan out. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 FXUS63 KDVN 112146 AFDDVN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 346 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2015 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 338 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2015 UPDATE TO KEEP ON TOP OF QUICKLY EVOLVING WEATHER. A LIGHT SNOW/SLEET MIX PERSISTS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34...WITH MAINLY SNOW BETWEEN HIGHWAY 34 AND INTERSTATE 80. AN ENHANCED SNOW BAND HAS DEVELOPED FROM JUST NORTH OF FAIRFIELD...THROUGH WASHINGTON TO MUSCATINE. THIS BAND IS BEING MODELED REASONABLY WELL BY THE 20Z HRRR AND THE 18Z WRF. HAVE INCREASED SNOW IN THIS AREA TO 1-2 INCHES. THIS AXIS IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE EVENING AS THE COLDER AIR PUSHES IN FROM THE NORTH AND THE FRONTOGENESIS CRANKS UP. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS...POTENTIALLY 2-3 INCHES...NOW EXPECTED FROM MT. PLEASANT AND BURLINGTON...THROUGH WAPELLO...MONMOUTH...ALEDO...AND PRINCETON. AN ADVISORY IS NOT ANTICIPATED AS THE WIND WILL BE LIGHT...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR MAX FRONTOGENESIS REGION TONIGHT. && Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Little better now here It was 1,2 Now 2,3 baby steps Hopefully we can get 4 plus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Little better now here It was 1,2 Now 2,3 baby steps Hopefully we can get 4 plusNice to see the radar starting to fill in and light up to the SW. Some nice returns that will eventually head NE all the way back from KC area. Once the snow starts falling, looks like a good 6+ hours of snowfall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Coming down good. Good sized flakes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Just need another 25 miles north progression of that band to make it up here. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted January 11, 2015 Report Share Posted January 11, 2015 Any idea what to expect up around Crystal Lake? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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