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April 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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Yeah... the ECMWF is completely caving to the GFS now.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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For everywhere wondering/speculating about where I have been, I am very flattered We have been on a road trip to Grand Teton and Yellowstone this week. Took a nice week off before starting a new

Getting married tomorrow so that’s why I’ve not been around a ton of late. Looks like we are about 68F out there and are ready for some much-needed rainfall overnight.

Well I haven't been around in a while. Been a little, erm, preoccupied. Hope everyone's enjoying the sunshine and warmth lately! I'll be in Arizona for the weekend, and hopeful I don't melt!

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Looks like the ECMWF shaves another one to two degrees off of Saturday nights lows.  In fact it is showing colder than it has with any the four or five previous troughs.  Going to be some records in all likelihood.  Recent runs look favorable for huge diurnal spreads in some places around mid week.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Lots of sunshine here again this morning and snowing at Tim’s house happy April. Last couple days have felt more nina like I guess. 

397141C4-2278-4040-ABCA-132322C2471E.jpeg

It's not like it hasn't been Nina like.  We have had numerous cold troughs over the past 6 weeks.  We have also had a lot of cold mins.  People get hung up on thinking a Nina April has to be wet with chilly daytime highs.  Not always the case.  I assure you the cold troughs wouldn't be happening with a Nino.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the ECMWF is completely caving to the GFS now.  

Going to be interesting to see what it really ends up looking like.  Pretty weird looking pattern.  

It seems the ECMWF doesn't do well with this highly amplified regime we are in.  It has folded to the GFS numerous times recently.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

More snow than we saw all of March...

20210408_094959.jpg

Was thinking you must have gotten some last night. Mt. Si had snow on the trees almost all the way to North Bend at 400 feet. A foot of new snow here at Snoqualmie Pass! Amazing for mid April.

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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Some snow possibly on hour 84 on the euro in the C-zone north of Seattle. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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56 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like the ECMWF shaves another one to two degrees off of Saturday nights lows.  In fact it is showing colder than it has with any the four or five previous troughs.  Going to be some records in all likelihood.  Recent runs look favorable for huge diurnal spreads in some places around mid week.

Yeah we might even get close to freezing here near the sound if it verifies. Some more nice diurnal range days for sure. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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Up to 49 and partly cloudy. Really nice day again. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Some snow possibly on hour 84 on the euro in the C-zone north of Seattle. 

84 hours is Sunday evening and its sunny everywhere at that time.

That little bit of snow is shown on Saturday morning... 48 hours out.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

84 hours is Sunday evening and its sunny everywhere at that time.

That little bit of snow is shown on Saturday morning... 48 hours out.

I meant to type 48 lol. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

Beautiful shot, putting on sunscreen down here 

Its been pretty much sunny here since I took that pic.   👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Pretty cold airmass in Nw Washington today. Unfortunately the trough didn’t really dig into Oregon, just brushed by us. Seasonably cool here. Been a common theme this winter, when we get some troughing it has trouble making it south. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Noticeably chillier than yesterday for sure, still solid sunshine though.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 05/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Pretty cold airmass in Nw Washington today. Unfortunately the trough didn’t really dig into Oregon, just brushed by us. Seasonably cool here. Been a common theme this winter, when we get some troughing it has trouble making it south. 

Geez I wonder why..................🤔 (Dripping with sarcasm off)

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4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

More snow than we saw all of March...

20210408_094959.jpg

A lot more than I currently have on the ground. ;)

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 05/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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3 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

A lot more than I currently have on the ground. ;)

There is no snow left at all now... so its a lot more than I have as well.  👍

  • Storm 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

There is no snow left at all now... so its a lot more than I have as well.  👍

Including last night too. There hasn't been a snow here since March 25th.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 05/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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That next trough might be cold enough to give Shawnigan some flakes.

  • Snow 1
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Fircrest said:

Beautiful day here in Carmel-by-the-Sea. 60°

IMG_20210408_141626016.jpg

Nice. We did a day trip from San Francisco one time, down highway 1 to Carmel. Lunch on the boardwalk in Santa Cruz, did the drive through Pebble beach and Pacific Grove. Really enjoyed it. 

 

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Up to 61F and mostly sunny. Beautiful day after .06" of rain overnight.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Cherry blossoms still going strong at UW campus in Seattle...

uw campus 2.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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43 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Nice. We did a day trip from San Francisco one time, down highway 1 to Carmel. Lunch on the boardwalk in Santa Cruz, did the drive through Pebble beach and Pacific Grove. Really enjoyed it. 

 

We flew into San Luis Obispo and spent some time in Cambria. Then drove north on 101 because of the road closure north of Ragged Point on highway 1. Staying in Monterey now and went south to Big Sur today.  Spectacular scenery! Really enjoyed the 17 Mile Drive yesterday.

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28 minutes ago, Fircrest said:

We flew into San Luis Obispo and spent some time in Cambria. Then drove north on 101 because of the road closure north of Ragged Point on highway 1. Staying in Monterey now and went south to Big Sur today.  Spectacular scenery! Really enjoyed the 17 Mile Drive yesterday.

Sweet. Always wanted to get down to Big Sur for the scenery and because I’m a big Kerouac fan. Although he didn’t particularly enjoy his time there. At any rate, definitely on my to do list. 

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Starting to think the system tomorrow night is the last cold front to come in from the NW for quite awhile.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Starting to think the system tomorrow night is the last cold front to come in from the NW for quite awhile.  

Looking forward to a warm up!! 

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Was chilly today. Only mid-40s at the house. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Cold! At least it’s now sunny. 

We actually bumped up to 57 down here today. Felt pretty warm throughout the day but maybe you had less sunshine up there. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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Stevens picked up a foot and Snoqualmie 9” of new snow. 152” and 122” base respectively still. And Mt. Baker at 202” with more to come this weekend! Snowpack looking very healthy heading into the summer. 

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10 hours ago, Jesse said:

12z Euro doubles down with the big changes for next week. Much cooler. Still a mostly dry pattern though. Energy digs in from the NE and hangs back over the west

Even though I am a fan of less warmth, I also feel this change could also potentially delay the eventual switch to a wetter pattern. 

That wet pattern is still several weeks away. Wouldn’t read too much into it.

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5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Cherry blossoms still going strong at UW campus in Seattle...

uw campus 2.png

Our peak came and went in a few days. Those really warm days actually shorten the duration of the bloom.

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2 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We actually bumped up to 57 down here today. Felt pretty warm throughout the day but maybe you had less sunshine up there. 

We spiked to 50 today but it felt much colder probably due to the low DP’s. Currently 39. 

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4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Starting to think the system tomorrow night is the last cold front to come in from the NW for quite awhile.  

They’ll be back next month.

In fact it won’t be long until that -PNA pattern starts showing up in the clown range again.

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I really like how the trough is trending a bit sharper in the home stretch.  The 531 height line sags well into WA now on the GFS.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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No doubt the models are full out cold for Saturday night.  A hard frost for many areas.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Starting to think the system tomorrow night is the last cold front to come in from the NW for quite awhile.  

Maybe.  The GOA ridge is going to be the favored background state this year.  How about the change being shown for Monday vs earlier runs?  561 heights on last night's GFS vs slightly below 552 on tonight's run.  Long live the frost!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Down to 31 already.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Talk about a very rare configuration for April.  Needless to say this would be cold in the winter.  As it is frost will continue well into next week with this.

 

cold.png

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Down to 31 already.

Wow!  And this is warm compared to what Saturday night will be.  The models are advertising a colder night than any of the recent troughs on that night.  Could be some top tier lows for this time of year.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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