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April 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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Made it 71* here in Shoreline, but while I was in Monroe and even Woodinville, I was seeing 75* popping up here and there. Crazy amount of people out all afternoon and into the evening - it was like a Friday!

Was definitely starting to feel like summer. Still not bad outside at 53. 

Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6", 2/15

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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For everywhere wondering/speculating about where I have been, I am very flattered We have been on a road trip to Grand Teton and Yellowstone this week. Took a nice week off before starting a new

Getting married tomorrow so that’s why I’ve not been around a ton of late. Looks like we are about 68F out there and are ready for some much-needed rainfall overnight.

Well I haven't been around in a while. Been a little, erm, preoccupied. Hope everyone's enjoying the sunshine and warmth lately! I'll be in Arizona for the weekend, and hopeful I don't melt!

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Big drop in the PNA forecast on tonight's EPS around the 24th and 25th.  We'll have to see if this might be the beginning of something that could evolve into a cold snap.

Interestingly it's almost the same temperature now that it was at this time last night in spite of a considerably higher max going into tonight.  Currently 46.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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28 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

May can be pretty wet. See 1998.

That was a nice one.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

It got started with a nice thunderstorm outbreak after a 90 degree day on April 30th. Broke the door open for an extended wet stretch. 

We are entering midlevel convection season... Can't wait!

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SEA and BLI will be running warmer than normal for April after tomorrow.  

51 here this morning with a light east breeze.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

May can be pretty wet. See 1998.

I remember that May down in San Diego... which followed the wettest winter in history.     It was still raining regularly well into May that year and it crazy lush green down there.    Of course that was coming off a super Nino.    

Looking at local data... last May was actually much wetter than May 1998 here.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Pulled off a 73/41 yesterday in Tacoma. Low of 46 this morning. Pretty nice sunset last night at Anderson island. 

3F2263B2-541A-428A-A6A9-A51728134915.jpeg

6BA21E06-C7F2-4F7E-8779-C4BF85F05BBF.jpeg

65B2E22F-B560-49C9-AA1F-0BA7AF8AD879.jpeg

5D3DF4E8-F6CF-402C-A7AE-20E75076BE65.jpeg

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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12Z GFS shows that it stays basically warm and dry through next Saturday... but it accelerates the return to rain compared to the 00Z run.    We sneak in more warm day next Saturday but rain is knocking on the door then.

 

gfs-deterministic-namer-precip_3hr_inch-9298000.png

gfs-deterministic-namer-t2m_f_max6-9308800 (1).png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 hours ago, Geos said:

Made it 71* here in Shoreline, but while I was in Monroe and even Woodinville, I was seeing 75* popping up here and there. Crazy amount of people out all afternoon and into the evening - it was like a Friday!

Was definitely starting to feel like summer. Still not bad outside at 53. 

Yeah driving back from Skykomish yesterday featured some heavy traffic...What I saw the most though was so many near head on’s with people passing other people...Something I rarely see during the week so I could tell it was people that do not regularly travel that Hwy and were in that “weekend hurry” type mode. People stay home and work in your yards if you don’t know how to drive without nearly killing others. 

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Change in precip from 1981-2010 vs 1991-2020 climatology via ERA5.

Can see the poleward shift/broadening of the Pacific ITCZ/Hadley Cell, nuclear warm pool forcing, and the expansion of the 4CH.

Ugly ugly ugly ugly ugly. 🤮 

 

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Change in precip from 1981-2010 vs 1991-2020 climatology via ERA5.

Can see the poleward shift/broadening of the Pacific ITCZ/Hadley Cell and the expansion of the 4CH.

Ugly ugly ugly ugly ugly. YUCK. 🤮 

 

Ironically shows western WA has become wetter.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Ironically shows western WA has become wetter.

But that’s a cold season phenomenon. It’s gotten drier in the warm season.

You guys need more summer precipitation. Which nowadays is more likely with a non-modoki niño regime (like 2019) than with a niña.

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

Change in precip from 1981-2010 vs 1991-2020 climatology via ERA5.

Can see the poleward shift/broadening of the Pacific ITCZ/Hadley Cell, nuclear warm pool forcing, and the expansion of the 4CH.

Ugly ugly ugly ugly ugly. 🤮 

 

Wow....huge section of China has seen a decent decrease, not good for an area that has a whole bunch of mouths to feed.  

 

Central part of Africa and large swaths of South America are definitely no bueno as well.

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1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Wow....huge section of China has seen a decent decrease, not good for an area that has a whole bunch of mouths to feed.  

 

Central part of Africa and large swaths of South America are definitely no bueno as well.

Yeah, similar phenomenon in China and the SW US, with the expanding subtropical anticyclone(s).

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OT, but check out these winter-like mountain wave clouds here today. Don’t often see these in April.

Feels downright perfect outside. 😍

D19B6D02-102D-4567-8B1E-E36B8793748A.png

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BTW @Chewbacca Defense It’s it’s snowing to the coast in New England today. You gonna make it in time for the tail end of nor’easter season?

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12Z ECMWF sticking to the back door scenario that the 00Z run showed.   Troughing just blossoms in the West by Thursday.

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-9092800.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF also becomes progressive faster than the 00Z run... with rain moving in next Saturday afternoon.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-precip_6hr_inch-9308800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SEA up to 71 at Noon. Running 5 degrees warmer than yesterday which still hit 75. Upper 70's seem like a lock today with an outside shot at 80.

Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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Up to 70F. Beautiful but very dry. A whopping 0.06" on the month so far. Almost 2" below normal and we're getting close to -15" on the water year on top of the -17" from last water year.

Fuckk

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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The ECMWF is pretty good today.  A little bit of back door cool air next week, and then an undercut.  Looks like a significant change is going to happen well before the month is over.

Meanwhille...it still managed to drop to 40 here last night in spite of being so warm yesterday.  Only 6 mins above 40 here since January 12th.  Kind of a mind blowing stat.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

BTW @Chewbacca Defense It’s it’s snowing to the coast in New England today. You gonna make it in time for the tail end of nor’easter season?

Actually getting a bit discouraged...the interview with the regional director last Tuesday went great, but he wants me to talk to the site engineering manager.....the same site engineering manager who has been dragging his feet for over a month.  The director loved my strong budget/financial background combined with me having my PMP certification, the HR recruiter loves what I offer and says she really wants to get me on board, but but until they actually offer me a job its just lip service.

I talked to another moving company, and I have about 1-2 weeks before the summer rates kick in.  The job market in NH/ME has shifted away from my skillset towards chemical engineering and ex-military type stuff.  Given that I still have not heard anything as of today, I am having to shift gears and focus on a couple of opportunities here that I really can't ignore any more. 

One is at one of the refineries and the other is with a software company.  I'm really trying to not go back into aerospace if I can help it (unless its Space-X or Blue Origin).

Even though I was only laid off this past January, I have been on furlough since last May, so I am coming up on 1 year of not working, and I am so over that!  I have my frustrations with the PNW, but at the end of the day, there are much worse places to be *forced* to live in.  

That said, I'm getting daily e-mails for houses on the market there in the 2,000-3,000 sq ft range on 2+ acres for less than $500k.  Not gonna find that out here, and honestly that's my biggest frustration!

I can definitely say I hate how job searching is done now....upload your resume to a website, and you *might* hear something back.  I miss the good 'ole days of walking into the potential employer, handing your resume to an actual person, and getting the name of someone that I can call and follow up with.

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8 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Actually getting a bit discouraged...the interview with the regional director last Tuesday went great, but he wants me to talk to the site engineering manager.....the same site engineering manager who has been dragging his feet for over a month.  The director loved my strong budget/financial background combined with me having my PMP certification, the HR recruiter loves what I offer and says she really wants to get me on board, but but until they actually offer me a job its just lip service.

I talked to another moving company, and I have about 1-2 weeks before the summer rates kick in.  The job market in NH/ME has shifted away from my skillset towards chemical engineering and ex-military type stuff.  Given that I still have not heard anything as of today, I am having to shift gears and focus on a couple of opportunities here that I really can't ignore any more. 

One is at one of the refineries and the other is with a software company.  I'm really trying to not go back into aerospace if I can help it (unless its Space-X or Blue Origin).

Even though I was only laid off this past January, I have been on furlough since last May, so I am coming up on 1 year of not working, and I am so over that!  I have my frustrations with the PNW, but at the end of the day, there are much worse places to be *forced* to live in.  

That said, I'm getting daily e-mails for houses on the market there in the 2,000-3,000 sq ft range on 2+ acres for less than $500k.  Not gonna find that out here, and honestly that's my biggest frustration!

I can definitely say I hate how job searching is done now....upload your resume to a website, and you *might* hear something back.  I miss the good 'ole days of walking into the potential employer, handing your resume to an actual person, and getting the name of someone that I can call and follow up with.

That sucks man. Job hunting is a biatch for sure. Whatever happens, there’s almost always an upside, even if it’s not readily apparent. 😁

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Week 2 is wetter than normal on the 12Z EPS... but the 15-day precip anomaly for the remainder of the month is not exactly really wet overall. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-9870400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Up to 82F. Warmest day of the year so far!

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just put on shorts for the first time in 2021! 

Wow.   We are really different in that regard!   I have been wearing shorts most of the time since the beginning of March.  :)

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow.   We are really different in that regard!   I have been wearing shorts most of the time since the beginning of March.  :)

Nope wayyyyy too cold for my legs!! Haha

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6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Rapidly moving brushfire near Oregon City causing some evacuations this afternoon. Early.

Ugh 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Looks like SEA may hit 80.  Not unheard of this time of year, but pretty rare.  The air is so bone dry here with the east wind it doesn't really feel as warm as it is.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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