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April 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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17 minutes ago, Phil said:

And that change is a fraction of the size vs changes the GFS makes literally every other run. Lol. And contrary to your cherry picked frames, the two models still aren’t even in the same ballpark over the NPAC, Arctic, or North America.

In fact the GFS trended to the Euro with the southern US cutoff. And that is much closer in time.

Bottom line... you have been pushing the troughing and wet solutions for a couple weeks now and the models keep backing off once it gets within 7 days.     That eventually will change... but I need to see it to believe at this point.  The people in Oregon probably feel the same way.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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For everywhere wondering/speculating about where I have been, I am very flattered We have been on a road trip to Grand Teton and Yellowstone this week. Took a nice week off before starting a new

Getting married tomorrow so that’s why I’ve not been around a ton of late. Looks like we are about 68F out there and are ready for some much-needed rainfall overnight.

Well I haven't been around in a while. Been a little, erm, preoccupied. Hope everyone's enjoying the sunshine and warmth lately! I'll be in Arizona for the weekend, and hopeful I don't melt!

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

OK... then we will have a very deep western trough and cold air all of next week like the 00Z ECMWF showed.   Got it.     

That’s also unlikely. There’s a reason I didn’t post about the Euro or EPS last night. ;) If I believed it I would have.

Putting all this flamboyance aside, there are aspects of the GFS solution (namely wavenumber/amplified surf) that actually seem correct to me given the circumstances. However, the manner in which said wave train evolves forward in time on GFS seems bizarre and is an outlying solution from pretty much all other guidance. There’s no logical reason I can find to believe it verbatim.

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12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Bottom line... you have been pushing the troughing and wet solutions for a couple weeks now and the models keep backing off once it gets within 7 days.     That eventually will change... but I need to see it to believe at this point.  The people in Oregon probably feel the same way.  

I haven’t been “pushing” wet solutions. I was hopeful for one, yes, but that ship sailed a week ago. You could indeed argue I’ve been pushing troughy 500mb solutions, but that is already verifying, with the majority of days now projected to run cooler than average.

Also, you had mentioned the EPS showing perpetually troughy patterns in the LR. I looked back and that is not true. In fact it was the GEPS that went crazy with the jet in the long range. The EPS and GEFS were similar with precip.

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Euro looks about the same for Washington on the last 3 runs in terms of rainfall but has definitely cut back on the rainfall for the first week of may down in Oregon. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

I haven’t been “pushing” wet solutions at all.:huh: I was hopeful for one, but that ship sailed a week ago. You could argue I’ve been pushing troughy 500mb solutions, but that is already verifying.

This does not look like perpetual troughing to me... 500mb heights are above normal all of this week and again for part of next week.  

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-1619524800-1619524800-1620388800-10.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 years ago on April 27th a major tornado outbreak was unfolding. 

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Euro looks about the same for Washington on the last 3 runs in terms of rainfall but has definitely cut back on the rainfall for the first week of may down in Oregon. 

Yeah... it shifted way west with the trough next week compared to the 00Z run but that could actually end up being wetter eventually.    Oregon gets some decent rain at the end of the 12Z run when that ULL finally moves inland.

I really would like to see wet SW flow for a few days that just dumps rain on Oregon and northern CA.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... it shifted way west with the trough next week compared to the 00Z run but that could actually end up being wetter eventually.    Oregon gets some decent rain at the end of the 12Z run when that ULL finally moves inland.

We will see...somehow they always end up not getting much. 12z yesterday compared to today was not good if you live in Oregon and are hoping for more rain. 

033159D9-361D-40F5-B5F8-007D6F8A1054.jpeg

8C3C3C53-E6C3-42ED-ACEA-C6455AE0CD4A.jpeg

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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On 4/17/2021 at 3:51 PM, Phil said:

Probably nothing sustained for awhile. Maybe another legitimate ridge the first week of June? Or the end of May? Not sure on timing, but until then, it’s probably just your typical spring pattern with transient ridges here and there, sandwiched in a (mostly) troughy pattern.

This is what I actually said. ;)

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We will see...somehow they always end up not getting much. 12z yesterday compared to today was not good if you live in Oregon and are hoping for more rain. 

033159D9-361D-40F5-B5F8-007D6F8A1054.jpeg

8C3C3C53-E6C3-42ED-ACEA-C6455AE0CD4A.jpeg

Yeah... its been terrible for them down there.   Everything seems to find a way to screw them on rainfall. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

This is what I actually said. ;)

That is one of the posts you made.    But you have been pimping the troughy solutions hard... which would be fine it was verifying.     Maybe that will change next week.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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In other news..it’s warm here. For some reason my body is still in winter mode and I can’t acclimate at all.

A dry, 86 degree day would feel amazing in July, but right now I’m like 🥵 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is one of the posts you made.    But you have been pimping the troughy solutions hard... which would be fine it was verifying.     Maybe that will change next week.  

Pot meet kettle. Lol, bro you only post EPS maps when they show ridging. I just try to balance out your rhetoric.

Fact remains I never predicted perpetual troughing. Though I admit I’ve sucked hard at grasping patterns lately. I’m all over the place.

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Just now, Phil said:

Pot meet kettle. Lol, bro you only post EPS maps when they show ridging. I just try to balance out your rhetoric.

Fact remains I never predicted perpetual troughing. Though I’ve definitely sucked hard at grasping patterns lately. I’m all over the place.

Therein lies the issue... we are trying to offset each other.    Never-ending circle.   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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59 now...low cloud deck has scattered but still a lot of high clouds so filtered sunshine. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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68F and mostly sunny. Very pleasant day.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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No Lives Matter. There is no life without water. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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GFS still doing that funky thing in the NPAC. Something happens ~ 96hrs in where a baby shortwave out of Siberia phases with a leftover piece of the trough.

I just can’t make sense of it. And I’d be saying it the same thing if it lead to a cold solution. Anything is possible I suppose. 😂

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1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

10 years ago on April 27th a major tornado outbreak was unfolding. 

Been another really quiet tornado season.

Hard to see much action when there's literally zero Pacific energy. Ever.

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1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Been another really quiet tornado season.

Hard to see much action when there's literally zero Pacific energy. Ever.

Pretty much the only good thing to come of this pattern. Though I suppose tornadoes are more of a problem to humans than nature. All subjective.

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

GFS still doing that funky thing in the NPAC. Something happens ~ 96hrs in where a baby shortwave out of Siberia phases with a leftover piece of the trough.

I just can’t make sense of it. And I’d be saying it the same thing if it lead to a cold solution. Anything is possible I suppose. 😂

Cutoff troughs are how we score many of our best rain events starting in May up through September.

These ones will continue to find a way to perpetually cut off 200 miles too far west to deliver anything.

Temps matter a lot less than rain at this point. An 80 degree onslaught is perfectly fine if it's at least capped off with some convection and heavy precip.

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

Pretty much the only good thing to come of this pattern. Though I suppose tornadoes are more of a problem to humans than nature. All subjective.

It's amusing when the climate change alarmists start railing on about things like extreme tornado outbreaks. The 2014-present reality seems fairly opposite with how quiet the tornado seasons have been getting, and we've gone 8 years without an EF-5 which is unprecedented.

Stands to reason that a beefed up Four Corners high would correspond with a more condensed tornado alley that's also shunted further to the east towards Dixie. 

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9 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Cutoff troughs are how we score many of our best rain events starting in May up through September.

These ones will continue to find a way to perpetually cut off 200 miles too far west to deliver anything.

Temps matter a lot less than rain at this point. An 80 degree onslaught is perfectly fine if it's at least capped off with some convection and heavy precip.

Feels like dam has to break at some point, right? When that may be..your guess is as good as mine. Doesn’t seem dry springs are necessarily correlated to dry summers out there but... 😬

Problem is U200 jet is weak/poleward and the Hadley Cell is bloated to hell. Can score plenty of western troughs w/ that, but that’s not a wet pattern. To say the last. Seems no amount of wishcasting will change that.

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14 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Been another really quiet tornado season.

Hard to see much action when there's literally zero Pacific energy. Ever.

Another thing that has been the opposite of what I expected with a Nina spring.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

It's amusing when the climate change alarmists start railing on about things like extreme tornado outbreaks. The 2014-present reality seems fairly opposite with how quiet the tornado seasons have been getting, and we've gone 8 years without an EF-5 which is unprecedented.

Stands to reason that a beefed up Four Corners high would correspond with a more condensed tornado alley that's also shunted further to the east towards Dixie. 

Any tragic or extreme wx event is seized on as political capital these days. And because it’s...well, weather, there’s a near infinite amount of material available to be propagandized. 😂

And yeah, definitely an inverse correlation between 4CH/HC and tornado counts in the plains.

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8 minutes ago, Phil said:

Feels like dam has to break at some point, right? When that may be..your guess is as good as mine. Doesn’t seem dry springs are necessarily correlated to dry summers out there but... 😬

Problem is U200 jet is weak/poleward and the Hadley Cell is bloated to hell. Can score plenty of western troughs w/ that, but that’s not a wet pattern. To say the last. Seems no amount of wishcasting will change that.

Hard to say, since June makes up the bulk of our JJA precip but it's still very much a hybrid month for us in how it operates. July and August precip is a different animal and is far more random usually anyways.

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40 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Hard to say, since June makes up the bulk of our JJA precip but it's still very much a hybrid month for us in how it operates. July and August precip is a different animal and is far more random usually anyways.

Exactly.  Hard to believe last JJA was my wettest in the 10 years I've been recording out here.  At my Vancouver station it was the 2nd wettest in the 25 years of record there.  Of course, we all know about the fires.

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

conference calls GIF

 

tenor.gif

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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1 hour ago, Tyler Mode said:

Exactly.  Hard to believe last JJA was my wettest in the 10 years I've been recording out here.  At my Vancouver station it was the 2nd wettest in the 25 years of record there.  Of course, we all know about the fires.

There was basically no smoke and very few fires through the end of August last year... its was that record cold trough that lit the fuse and then everything exploded down there.   Very unfortunate.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

There was basically no smoke and very few fires through the end of August last year... its was that record cold trough that lit the fuse and then everything exploded down there.   Very unfortunate.

Yeah, had no more than a few scattered smoke days through the entirety of July and August. I don't often go almost all of August with breathable air in K-Falls, I did this for two consecutive summers (people joke how smoky August is in southern Oregon). 

Of course the September fires were pretty bad though. Sep 2020 did bring me record high AQI's in K-Falls.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

There was basically no smoke and very few fires through the end of August last year... its was that record cold trough that lit the fuse and then everything exploded down there.   Very unfortunate.

Yup, was so bad we had to wear gas masks in the house and my head scars began to really hurt. AQI was over 500ppm for like 5+ days.

I expect worse this year...much, much worse.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

There was basically no smoke and very few fires through the end of August last year... its was that record cold trough that lit the fuse and then everything exploded down there.   Very unfortunate.

Last summer was pretty nice right until the very end. Even had some not a lot of rain in July and august...and a wet June. Just the right set up for an inferno at the end. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.14”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.02”

Warmest high temp-84

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12 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yup, was so bad we had to wear gas masks in the house and my head scars began to really hurt. AQI was over 500ppm for like 5+ days.

I expect worse this year...much, much worse.

Won't much be worse... the main east-west channel into Eugene has much less fuel to burn now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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46 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Yeah, had no more than a few scattered smoke days through the entirety of July and August. I don't often go almost all of August with breathable air in K-Falls, I did this for two consecutive summers (people joke how smoky August is in southern Oregon). 

Of course the September fires were pretty bad though. Sep 2020 did bring me record high AQI's in K-Falls.

I was pretty lucky having smoke-free skies when I went to the Shasta area in late August 2019. Drove past an RV park near McCloud which was watering the grass with sprinklers (that probably would not have happened in any summer between 2013 and 2018).

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A little fishing to get my mind off the drought. Sure is nice.

97354CE4-3B5F-4F5D-90E9-61323D06595F.jpeg

DD76E19D-0D28-47A6-A769-68ACD80A2AF5.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Creek is getting a little low, the south fork above South Falls is a basalt bottom stream so it will have a lot of aquatic plant growth/algae soon. The north fork fishes strong most of the summer, so I hit the south fork early and switch the north fork once the water gets low enough to wade easily. Used to only be open Memoral Day weekend through Halloween, but now it’s all year restricted to flies and lures. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Won't much be worse... the main east-west channel into Eugene has much less fuel to burn now.

Jasper Mtn & Pisgah are a tinderbox fidna explode and any east wind event in that scenario is game over here.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Jasper Mtn & Pisgah are a tinderbox fidna explode and any east wind event in that scenario is game over here.

You have a killer view of Pisgah from your roof. I went on a great hike there last July 4th. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Wanna see something really crazy? The GFS has shifted almost 1000 miles west with the southern ULL over the last 18hrs...all inside day 4. Lol.

 

F4BABEBE-FF2C-489E-9B05-D9BA6B01C3FD.gif

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You have a killer view of Pisgah from your roof. I went on a great hike there last July 4th. 

02FD0C08-6CFA-4866-B5D4-A97E8DE35140.jpeg

1AE84957-118C-4CFB-B019-30DFB776003F.jpeg

 

CB31EA07-762F-4BDF-8B7A-5A55B75D95B9.jpeg

5949DFAF-F58D-4201-B65B-CE3AE5334EBC.jpeg

3BE32A5A-8318-4FD8-8B3C-3B1AA5309D95.jpeg

It's a beautiful area. I'm concerned for the plants and the wildlife there.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Phil and Tims budding romance was getting too sickening to watch, had to say something.

There’s always room for a third. ;) 

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