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April 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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For everywhere wondering/speculating about where I have been, I am very flattered We have been on a road trip to Grand Teton and Yellowstone this week. Took a nice week off before starting a new

Getting married tomorrow so that’s why I’ve not been around a ton of late. Looks like we are about 68F out there and are ready for some much-needed rainfall overnight.

Well I haven't been around in a while. Been a little, erm, preoccupied. Hope everyone's enjoying the sunshine and warmth lately! I'll be in Arizona for the weekend, and hopeful I don't melt!

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4 hours ago, MossMan said:

Had a low of 32. And wow the woods were alive last night, I believe our resident owls (Barred I believe) just had some young. Here is a short clip...Of course one of my dogs starts drinking water right when I started recording. 

Yup, definitely a barred owl. The one that hoots “Who cooks for you?”

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Just gorgeous all of next week per the EPS... 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_5day-8617600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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And it keeps going into the next week per the 12Z EPS.   Hopefully it has the right idea this time. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-8920000.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Not that it matters... but I wish the troughing later this week was the wet SW flow variety and not colder and drier NW flow.  A couple inches of 60-degree rain would be nice.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Jesse said:

I can already smell the wildfire smoke 🤤 

Nah it’s just a product of the Pacific-transiting MJO that happens to be well timed w/ seasonal wave pool climo for warmth in the PNW. Mentioned it a few weeks ago IIRC.

The subseasonal base pattern will (probably) transition into something more Jesse-favorable by mid-May, and maybe even more substantially so during the 2nd half of June and July.

There’s probably a warm week sandwiched in there during the first half of June, FWIW.

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2 hours ago, Jesse said:

5BAA657A-5102-480F-89FF-F1DC7A7033C3.png.11bad36c07c46bdd50a398f45b5633eb.png

Ugh 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Not that it matters... but I wish the troughing later this week was the wet SW flow variety and not colder and drier NW flow.  A couple inches of 60-degree rain would be nice.

A couple inches of rain would be nice...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Hardwoods leafing out too. The ones that haven’t are well into bud-stage. Love spring..it’s so fleeting yet beautiful.

C497B6C7-EDB9-41FF-87B0-B8638EA7BA3E.jpeg

2F0009F4-3916-4717-9328-0D04F580B5E1.jpeg

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

And it keeps going into the next week per the 12Z EPS.   Hopefully it has the right idea this time. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-8920000.png

I can feel the 🔥 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Up to 58...DP is 32. Feels pretty warm out there today. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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58F out there with beautiful sunshine.

Once the south valley burns this Aug-Sept then I guess maybe it'll be time to move?

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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This video is legit. Newnan GA tornado (or rear flank downdraft) in the distance, followed by close CG strikes after 3:10.

 

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Pretty day here. 60/30 spread with morning frost and lots of afternoon sunshine. Just a few puffy clouds around.

Clear and 54 currently.

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55 / 30 for the day with a 45.6 average for the month to date.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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25 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yikes. Pray for Hadley Cell contraction.

 

I can't imagine how bad their fire season is going to be.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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57/30 Federal Way today with lots O sun ☀️ 
Stopped off at the Nisqually National wildlife refuge on my drive back and enjoyed.  Parking lot was full but managed a spot while circling the lot like a bird of prey 😁

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

This video is legit. Newnan GA tornado (or rear flank downdraft) in the distance, followed by close CG strikes after 3:10.

 

That is some ridiculous lightning!  Pretty much like a strobe light.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I can't imagine how bad their fire season is going to be.

I’m worried about it. Broad Hadley Cell, -PMM, and a nuclear hot Indo-Pacific. That just screams large 4CH and dry CONUS.

The PNW (probably) avoids it for the most part, but the interior west, desert SW, Plains, etc, could be in some trouble.

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Judging by the temps on the coast those SSTs have got to be really cold.  Lots of low to mid 40s with NW winds.  That is some bloody cold onshore flow.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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7 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

What is up with the infatuation with chery blossoms?

What is up with infatuation with frost?   Or the infatuation with the air being slightly cooler than the long term average for the blip in time that we have been recording weather data in the western US?  

People like what they like! 

Cherry blossoms are just a symbol of spring and renewed life.   At least is what the Japanese have been celebrating each spring for thousands of years.  :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Cool effect down at the refuge as well!  Steam rising and blowing across the mud flats.  Felt like I was in Jellystone Park with the geysers. You can sort of see them in this photo.   The lighter areas 

8322FE71-8F17-40D3-9F95-02FB68997F75.jpeg

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

What is up with infatuation with sunshine?   Or the infatuation with the air being significantly warmer than the long term average for the blip in time that we have been recording weather data in the western US?  

People like what they like! 

Rainfall is just a symbol of spring and renewed life.   At least is what the I have been celebrating each spring for the last 15 years.  :)

Fixed.

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18 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’m worried about it. Broad Hadley Cell, -PMM, and a nuclear hot Indo-Pacific. That just screams large 4CH and dry CONUS.

The PNW (probably) avoids it for the most part, but the interior west, desert SW, Plains, etc, could be in some trouble.

The backpedaling has been epic this year. 😂

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Fixed.

Also very true.   I actually mentioned my wish for some warm rain earlier today.  :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

What is up with infatuation with frost?   Or the infatuation with the air being slightly cooler than the long term average for the blip in time that we have been recording weather data in the western US?  

People like what they like! 

Cherry blossoms are just a symbol of spring and renewed life.   At least is what the Japanese have been celebrating each spring for thousands of years.  :)

Why do you have to bring race in to the conversation?  I was just asking about cherry blossoms.

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It was 85 today in Minneapolis.

Meanwhile it snowed in many parts of Europe today as they've been hit with an unusually strong cold April cold wave.

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Everett Snowfall

 

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

 

1/10: 0.5"

1/12: 5.5"

1/13: 1"

1/14: 1.5"

1/15: 2"

 

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Yikes. Pray for Hadley Cell contraction.

 

I Mt Biked up Tahoe Mt today after work. Not a patch of snow to be seen at 7200' and the dirt was very dry. Only other time you could ride in April was 2015 but at least that year the ground was still wet. This will be a very long summer up here. 

20210405_163811.jpg

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

I’m worried about it. Broad Hadley Cell, -PMM, and a nuclear hot Indo-Pacific. That just screams large 4CH and dry CONUS.

The PNW (probably) avoids it for the most part, but the interior west, desert SW, Plains, etc, could be in some trouble.

FWIW, a strong 4CH can sometimes trigger a decent monsoon season. Hopefully that is one silver lining for the SW. There were stories of 100 year old saguaro cacti just toppling over dead all over the Phoenix area last summer and fall thanks to the record breaking heat and drought.

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Yet another clear night where it's cold early with dps below freezing.  Already down to 41 here.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 hour ago, bainbridgekid said:

It was 85 today in Minneapolis.

Meanwhile it snowed in many parts of Europe today as they've been hit with an unusually strong cold April cold wave.

I think those of us who wanted a very amplified regime have gotten their wish.  Going to be some fun times over the next year I think.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Jesse said:

FWIW, a strong 4CH can sometimes trigger a decent monsoon season. Hopefully that is one silver lining for the SW. There were stories of 100 year old saguaro cacti just toppling over dead all over the Phoenix area last summer and fall thanks to the record breaking heat and drought.

I hadn't heard that.  I wonder if the 4CH can get to the point of being too bloated to be of benefit to them.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 hour ago, AlTahoe said:

I Mt Biked up Tahoe Mt today after work. Not a patch of snow to be seen at 7200' and the dirt was very dry. Only other time you could ride in April was 2015 but at least that year the ground was still wet. This will be a very long summer up here. 

20210405_163811.jpg

That is astonishing for 7200 feet.  Up here it is still dead of winter that high.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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16 minutes ago, Jesse said:

GFS is still way nicer than the Euro in the mid range.

I think there is still wiggle room on the possible major / cold trough.  I like the little extension the GFS adds onto the chilly period.

I'm hoping that tomorrow's runs will dig the weekend trough in a little bit harder.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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My new keyboard just came so I won't to go back and retype everything now! 😎

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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00Z ECMWF is a little less deep with the trough on Friday night into Saturday... and quicker with eastward progression than the 12Z run.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I just found out that OLM set another record low today.  They tied the record of 26 from 1961.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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