clintbeed1993 Posted January 28, 2014 Report Share Posted January 28, 2014 Possible Winter Storm for Nebraska and Kansas during the first week of February! Thoughts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 28, 2014 Report Share Posted January 28, 2014 No. Lol jk. It doesn't look out of the question, but the EURO/GGEM (as of recent too) are well south. Kansas definitely has a better chance than us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 28, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 28, 2014 We shall see what the EURO shows tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 28, 2014 Report Share Posted January 28, 2014 The GFS was beautiful but it's to far out to get excited. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted January 29, 2014 Report Share Posted January 29, 2014 Won't happen. We get very little and Eastern Iowa on East will get nailed again. Story of this "Winter." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFanOMA Posted January 29, 2014 Report Share Posted January 29, 2014 GFS has been looking amazing for the past week when looking at 300+ hours, but as it gets closer the storms turn into nothing or shift away. Losing hope fast for this winter. Bring on the warm! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 30, 2014 Report Share Posted January 30, 2014 Step in the right direction with the 18z GFS. Two bad things to go with that though; still 130+ hrs out and it's the 18z GFS...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 30, 2014 Report Share Posted January 30, 2014 18z GFS with healthy WAA for good chunk of Plains. Looks like it could be Omaha first major snows of the season. Wide swath of 6-8 inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted January 30, 2014 Report Share Posted January 30, 2014 Flowers said that more precip will probably occur if the northern branch doesn't get involved. He said that .5" down south will move more north!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/00zsnow2ndsystem_zps04859c5f.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 GFS is lame for me. Still have some time though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 GFS is lame for me. Still have some time though.Your system is the one tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Your system is the one tomorrow.No it's not lol. We're only expecting 1-2" from that. The potential biggy is the Tuesday storm. If that does't pan out we're are screwed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 No it's not lol. We're only expecting 1-2" from that. The potential biggy is the Tuesday storm. If that does't pan out we're are screwed.KC will be okay IMO. I think the storm will have a large defo band and Kansas City will still get in on some of the heaviest. It seems that most times we do good you guys do okay too at the least. EURO should be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 No it's not lol. We're only expecting 1-2" from that. The potential biggy is the Tuesday storm. If that does't pan out we're are screwed. There's another system in the 192 hr range thats on all the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 There's another system in the 192 hr range thats on all the models.Yeah but that's so far out. I'll give wait until after Tuesday to even think about that one or I'll drive myself crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 KC will be okay IMO. I think the storm will have a large defo band and Kansas City will still get in on some of the heaviest. It seems that most times we do good you guys do okay too at the least. EURO should be interesting.Not always the case. That's a soar subject for us here given our history withthe dreaded rain/snow line and dry slot lol. Although we've done well in recent years with the exception of 2011-2012 winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 EURO was bad news. Tonights runs were pretty bad. We'll see what happens tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 Omaha looking solid with 6-8 inches with 06z GFS. Less north maybe a little more south. Looks good for up to 8-9 inches for you winterfreak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 GFS hits you guys pretty good as well with 10-12 amounts... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 GFS hits you guys pretty good as well with 10-12 amounts...Thx for posting that Dom. Now, does that include what falls tonight or is that just what happens on Monday into Tuesday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 I think it's just for the event. Hopefully we can get some snow later today or else this system (today) is a total bust. 12z GFS though why can we just not be at the event yet?!?! http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=OAX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 31, 2014 Report Share Posted January 31, 2014 I think it's just for the event. Hopefully we can get some snow later today or else this system (today) is a total bust. 12z GFS though why can we just not be at the event yet?!?! http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=OAXWOW been a while since I've seen that clown map look that good for our area! I wish it was here already, too many things can go wrong before this event gets here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sludge Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Not sure I am going to panic shop yet, but I may actually look for my ski gloves and sleds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 The GF S backed way off on snow totals this run. The NAM should be coming into focus soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro onlyl shows 6". By Monday it will be down to 1-2". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 06 gfs didnt look good at all (except those in northeast kansas). Least there is time for it to change Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 The NAM looks great for me but sadly I have no faith in it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 my initial forecast is 2-4" here in Nebraska more south and east of here as Chicago and the same places get hit again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Went from snow likely down to a 50/50 chance. Not liking this se shift in the models, long way to go just hope this isn't a trend... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaBubble Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 We get shafted again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFanOMA Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 well, it was fun while it last! Think I'm gonna put the snow blower back in the shed! Not going to need it this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 My gosh people. This is why I wish I was in the Great Lakes forum sometimes. The GFS was consistent for like 3 days, you can't expect it to be like that every single time. It's one model. EURO was great, even with the lack of precip, still shows 6-8", and we're in a perfect spot for that backside defo-band that usually hits Eastern Nebraska with storms like this. I'll lose optimism if the trends keep moving further away from this point, but don't throw in the towel from just one model!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 My gosh people. This is why I wish I was in the Great Lakes forum sometimes. The GFS was consistent for like 3 days, you can't expect it to be like that every single time. It's one model. EURO was great, even with the lack of precip, still shows 6-8", and we're in a perfect spot for that backside defo-band that usually hits Eastern Nebraska with storms like this. I'll lose optimism if the trends keep moving further away from this point, but don't throw in the towel from just one model!!!!!If you recall the x mas blizzard of 2009 the models flipped back and forth up until 24 hrs before the event. Euro looked good plus the storm won't be on shore until tomorrow night, things could get better or worse time will tell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Here is what kc/pleasant hill nws is thinking for storm track. Long way to go, this could wobble one way or the other. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Yeah my point exactly! Its the rookies on this forum that dont understand this is how it works. That storm was the exact one i was referring to when i said that! I really dont hope it goes any further south though. Hope GFS goes back north on the 18z! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sven Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Weather forecasting is about following trends. 18z and 06z are notoriously inaccurate models. It is not on shore, but about 72 hours out where we are sitting is fine. The GFS is not the end all be all. To early for my amounts, but without a doubt the most snow in one shot yet this season. 6 inches or more looks good for now Omaha on South Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Take it with a grain of salt as it's the 18z nam, this would make all of us very happy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Here is what the HPC boys are thinking, need this thing to blow up to make everyone happy..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 1, 2014 Report Share Posted February 1, 2014 Shift more nw please!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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