Super Bowl Weekend Major Snowstorm

[BigDizBliz420]

the 12z ensembles are across the board awful, not a single good phase

[Snowlover76]

the 12z ensembles are across the board awful, not a single good phase

But they are much better than the Op is. That should be a red flag.

[gosaints]

But they are much better than the Op is. That should be a red flag.

but they are way worse than they were 12 hours ago

[Money]

but they are way worse than they were 12 hours ago

 

my god, i can't take this anymore 

[Money]

the 12z ensembles are across the board awful, not a single good phase

 

lies

[gosaints]

my god, i can't take this anymore 

Post the maps show me they are not worse than they were at 0z.

[Snowlover76]

but they are way worse than they were 12 hours ago

Makes sense that they would be worse since the op was worse. Common sense right there.

[Money]

Post the maps show me they are not worse than they were at 0z.

 

Of course they will be because GFS was a major hit, and 12z wasn't. Most are still better than the OP GFS

[gosaints]

Of course they will be because GFS was a major hit, and 12z wasn't. Most are still better than the OP GFS

So what was so bad about my comment.  It was factual. 

[james1976]

Dear God, I come here and see there are 3 pages on this storm and come to find out 90% of it is arguing with each other. Someone in charge please do something about it.

[Maxim]

the 12z ensembles are across the board awful, not a single good phase

Wrong.

[Tom]

Did anyone both to check out the 00z Euro Ensembles???  Look pretty good to me.  Anyway, its Euro time....lets see what it has in store this run....

[Maxim]

Dear God, I come here and see there are 3 pages on this storm and come to find out 90% of it is arguing with each other. Someone in charge please do something about it.

Go to the New England subforum on Amwx. This is nothing compared to some of the things that go on over there.

[Tom]

I'm hopeful the trends of last nights increased qpf totals will continue to increase.  This system is originating from the eastern pacific (just west of Baja) and will also tap into Gulf moisture as it develops in the central CONUS.  2 big sources of moisture supply would suggest a system that shouldn't disappoint (unlike the Clippers we have seen this year).

[Money]

euro coming in south/weaker

[Tony]

I'm hopeful the trends of last nights increased qpf totals will continue to increase.  This system is originating from the eastern pacific (just west of Baja) and will also tap into Gulf moisture as it develops in the central CONUS.  2 big sources of moisture supply would suggest a system that shouldn't disappoint (unlike the Clippers we have seen this year).

Looks like the GOM is wide open for business so I agree^

[Snowlover76]

euro coming in south/weaker

yuck 

[BigDizBliz420]

if you weren't being biased, this was easy to see coming

[Snowlover76]

At least it will be getting cold again. 

[Money]

if you weren't being biased, this was easy to see coming

 

One run, 3-4 days out 

[Snowlover76]

Go to the New England subforum on Amwx. This is nothing compared to some of the things that go on over there.

You have guys on there who are complaining about only getting 28" of snow in some storm.  

[Tom]

12z Euro doesn't even have a storm...geeze, can't believe the Euro lost the storm completely.  It's not like it hasn't happened before.  Crazy to see this model flip flop around.  GGEM has been the only model with a consistent storm.  If this storm does end up happening like the GGEM is saying, gotta give it some credit

[Money]

12z Euro doesn't even have a storm...geeze, can't believe the Euro lost the storm completely.  It's not like it hasn't happened before.  Crazy to see this model flip flop around.  GGEM has been the only model with a consistent storm.  If this storm does end up happening like the GGEM is saying, gotta give it some credit

 

EURO has been awful lately. Don't know what is up with it this winter. 

[Tony]

12z runs ingested bad data, maybe 0z runs ingested bad data, how do we know for sure which are correct??

[Maxim]

Seems as if all the modes have been worse than normal this year.

[winterfreak]

EURO says back to regularly scheduled programming.

[Snowlover76]

EURO says back to regularly scheduled programming.

228 hours of disappointment 

[Tom]

Just read Gary Lezak's blog and he doesn't believe this storm will phase with the northern stream.  Interesting...

[indianajohn]

Hahaha..... I assume everyone arguing are snow plow drivers and the lack of storms is affecting their income situation.

[BigDizBliz420]

Just read Gary Lezak's blog and he doesn't believe this storm will phase with the northern stream.  Interesting...

he's generally bad and just riding the euro/gfs like the hpc mets will be doing

[winterfreak]

Yep Lezak pretty much writing off winter around here. Warm.southern stream storms never do much but rain anyway. The seven to ten day range looks interesting.

[GDR]

[Jaycee]

Wow, so basically going from all models on board to the GGEM vs. GFS/EURO. Ugh. Anyone else feel like the models have gotten worse this year?? It's crazy.

 

 

 

Not that it matters as I know it's been sucky as well, but what's the GFS Parallel been looking like through all of this?? 

[centralweather44]

Should have put it in writing but didn't. Seems like anytime a need thread is started it jinx the storm lol

[gosaints]

Wow, so basically going from all models on board to the GGEM vs. GFS/EURO. Ugh. Anyone else feel like the models have gotten worse this year?? It's crazy.

 

 

 

Not that it matters as I know it's been sucky as well, but what's the GFS Parallel been looking like through all of this?? 

Parallel GFS is now the GFS. Old GFS retired

[Jaycee]

Parallel GFS is now the GFS. Old GFS retired

Oh weird! I'm slacking this year.. for a good reason though as we've had jack squat here. I hate to be that guy, but I too think I'm going to have to write of this storm. Chicago and other Midwestern folks, this is what our winter has been like for not only this year, but last year as well. Let that soak in on our hopefulness of anything. I feel bad you all have to experience this, but I hope you guys understand now why we complained, as you guys are finally getting the hint of what we had to deal with.

 

If the GGEM is somehow right though, I'd be ecstatic. Keeping my fingers crossed. If I'm going to invest anything into any models, it'd be the GFS. EURO completely sucked for that Nor'Easter, and GFS has been right atleast once this year. Hopefully that turn around occurs with the 18z runs.

[BigDizBliz420]

NAM is staying south

[Seahawkfan]

Epic Snow storm with possible blowing drifting Snow Superbowl sunday Several inches possible warning level Snows are possible. Stay tuned as more details as we get closer Superbowl Sunday Snowstorm.

[GDR]

[Scott26]

Yuck... The 18Z GFS completely whiffs on the phase. Let's hope models are just ingesting some bad data.