2/4 - 2/5 Clipper System

[FarmerRick]

Looks like OAX is sitting on their hands……again. 

 

 

Yeah, it's surprising considering how consistent the models have been... just gradually moving the track to the north ever so slowly.

[Sven]

Can we trust the NAM though...? It performed decently last storm just totals too high. 

Whats the best model this close, RGEM, something else? 

[Sven]

North Platte Just went WSW...information to follow. 

[Sven]

North Platte WSW: 

 

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 10 PM CST /9 PM MST/ THIS EVENING TO NOON CST /11 AM
MST/ WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND WEST CENTRAL
NEBRASKA THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA AFTER MIDNIGHT. A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SNOW IS
EXPECTED. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE HEAVY SNOW BAND IS
EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80. THERE IS
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW
BAND...AND ONLY A MINOR SHIFT TO THE SOUTH WOULD BRING THE HEAVY
SNOW INTO THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES THIS
EVENING. SNOW WILL END WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

 

[Snowlover76]

Can we trust the NAM though...? It performed decently last storm just totals too high. 

Whats the best model this close, RGEM, something else? 

The RGEM is an awesome model.  Super accurate. 

[Sven]

The RGEM is an awesome model.  Super accurate. 

And how is it looking? 

[Snowlover76]

And how is it looking? 

havent gotten around to it today.  Been pretty busy. 

[NEJeremy]

The 20Z RAP shows the heaviest band right through central Nebraska and through 14Z tomorrow(8am) has very impressive amounts already, including Omaha. Shows 2"/hr rates! Has .25" qpf for Omaha and at the ratios it should fall at could easily be 4-5". Already not looking forward to tomorrow's drive!

[Tom]

12z RGEM...

[Tom]

18z RGEM...

[winterfreak]

Solid two to three inches looks likely with this. Don't want to jinx it though.

[jcwxguy]

should check out the 18z high res wrf     

[Seahawkfan]

Looks like a solid 3 inches Wednesday am that give us a foot on the ground.

[jcwxguy]

00z nam has started, let see what it does for everyone 

[CentralNebWeather]

Anxiously awaiting the NAM and GFS later.

[jcwxguy]

latest plume for lincoln

 

http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/latest%20plume_zpsep5iir9w.png

[jcwxguy]

00z nam looks north so far

[Sven]

keep the updates rolling 

[jcwxguy]

http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/00z%20nam_zpszkkgqjty.png

[winterfreak]

Sigh another whiff. Enjoy NE people.

[jcwxguy]

00z gfs is coming in slightly wetter then before and is just south of the nam now 

[jcwxguy]

http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh287/jnc3985/00z%20gfs_zps3ceflvzh.png

[CentralNebWeather]

Good observation. I like the gfs better than the nam for my location, but I am just being greedy. Will be fun to watch where the heavy band sets up in the morning.

[Geos]

Zoomed way in for the Nebraska members.

 

[jcwxguy]

Zoomed way in for the Nebraska members.

 

NEsnow_0zNAM020415.jpg

nam? 

[CentralNebWeather]

That is the nam.

[Snowlover76]

Luv the GFS.  Are this 10:1 ratios too? 

[jcwxguy]

Luv the GFS.  Are this 10:1 ratios too? 

nope

[jcwxguy]

looks like all locals are calling for 3-5 inches, except wowt omaha, calling for 1-3 for omaha metro

 

 

 

(hrrr has been trending less over last several runs), showing only 2-3 inches

[Sven]

So GFS and NAM qpf numbers newest runs?

[NEJeremy]

local met says it appears at least initially the snow is developing further north. too early to say how this will transpire as the band moves east. a couple of the mets are now saying 3-4" for Omaha

[jcwxguy]

06z gfs is very similar to 00z, only has the 6" amounts in a narrower band and stretches it farther east and maybe just a few miles north of the 00z run

[jcwxguy]

really ripping in lincoln right now

[Andrew NE]

Heavy snow currently in Omaha. Around 1" in the last hour already.

[jcwxguy]

anyone else in lincoln hear thunder?    (dont know if it was a truck or thunder )

 

 

(edit: now grlevel 3 says cell b0 )  hmmm

[Jack Frost]

If only we could stall this system right here! Its pouring snow right now!

[pack402]

Piling up quickly in west Omaha. Radar looks good for moderate snow through the morning hours. We could easily see 4+ in the metro!

[Snowlover76]

Dumping pretty good

[FarmerRick]

Had probably 2" already in Southern Washington County.  Snow was drifted in waves on my county road, kinda neat looking.

 

Nice big flakes coming down now in NW Omaha.

[gabel23]

Just pouring out there! Very impressive snow rates at the moment, currently sitting at 4" and it's still coming down. I'm shocked when they extended the wsw they stopped where they did.