Tom Posted April 30, 2021 Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 I've been so busy lately that I completely forgot about a May thread. Let's keep it short and sweet....is there an April repeat?? A very warm start to the month is expected this weekend but then the pesky Greenland block appears to lock in for the forseeable future. How will this impact our weather among other drivers? An active storm track will likely continue through the heartland and hopefully bring much needed moisture to those around the MW/GL's region where drought conditions are expanding. If the 00z EPS is right, the upcoming 2 weeks may bring a big dent into the dry conditions... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 CFSv2 temp/precip trends... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 The JMA weeklies from yesterday spell a similar theme for the "merry month of May"...very wet ag belt which could end up being too much of a good thing??? I know farmers are anxious about getting out and beginning planting, however, the cooler conditions coming next week and quite active weather, it may hold things up. Thoughts? Temp/Precip... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 My long standing call was for a cooler overall month of May but I did expect a surge of summer warmth/heat to build in from the west late in May in to early June. Well, I'm glad to see the Euro Weeklies advertise this potential. Hopefully it holds on to the idea, but it has busted bad in the LR, esp the upcoming 2 week period of cooler weather that is forthcoming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 30, 2021 Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 3 hours ago, Tom said: The JMA weeklies from yesterday spell a similar theme for the "merry month of May"...very wet ag belt which could end up being too much of a good thing??? I know farmers are anxious about getting out and beginning planting, however, the cooler conditions coming next week and quite active weather, it may hold things up. Thoughts? Temp/Precip... Planting is going full speed here. Many that I know started on Monday the 26th, so this is day 5 of the spring plant. Quite a bit done in my county. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 8 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Planting is going full speed here. Many that I know started on Monday the 26th, so this is day 5 of the spring plant. Quite a bit done in my county. That’s good to hear. Hopefully the weather cooperates. Would love to see a banner year for crop production this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted April 30, 2021 Report Share Posted April 30, 2021 The weather over the next 10 days (minus the next 2 days) looks very cool. Many days models are showing highs in the 50s for large portions of the area. That's disappointing, I was hoping we would at least have temperatures near normal in May. Normal highs for May 1st in Iowa City and Cedar Rapids is 66 degrees. By May 11th, Iowa City's average high is 70. The 12z GFS shows the high in Iowa City on May 11th to be in the upper 40s to around 50. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Welcome to May! The last month of met Spring and it will feel like it this weekend for literally all of us on here. Taking a look at the regional temps this morning, the Sub is practically experiencing two seasons as some might have the A/C on this morning while others may have the furnace! As the locals typically say, today is the epitome of "May Gray". Unfortunately, the marine layer has blown in off the cooler waters of the PAC ocean as westerly winds have taken over. The current water temp here is chilly 61F. As a result, it is a much different scene this morning compared to yesterday. Friday was a gorgeous day at the beach with perfect temps in the upper 70's and sunny skies. I'll post some pics/vids in a later post. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 As Bud mentioned, quite a cool pattern setting up for a lot of members next week. I would not want to be up north where the 00z Euro is predicting several Sub 30F nights across the North woods later next week and weekend. CPC Outlook for the month... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Already 81 degrees here in my backyard. Should hit the low 90s this afternoon! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 I'm up in Fargo all weekend. Already 75. I see back home its already 84! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 On 4/30/2021 at 11:55 AM, CentralNebWeather said: Planting is going full speed here. Many that I know started on Monday the 26th, so this is day 5 of the spring plant. Quite a bit done in my county. Planting is in full swing in Iowa as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Another hot, windy day on the way to the low 90s. I just can't believe that I'm still in the same location I was in February 4 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Only risen to 86 so far so only 5 degrees in the last 4 hours. I see my parents up in Yankton are at 95 degrees 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 55 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Another hot, windy day on the way to the low 90s. I just can't believe that I'm still in the same location I was in February Basically 50” of snow this winter and it quit snowing February 20th 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Looks like I made it to 87 today. Forecast for Monday is now low 50’s with north winds gusting over 30 mph. Good chance of rain and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 This would be welcomed. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 The overnight low here at my house was a warm 63 and the official overnight low at GRR was a summer like 65. If it stays above 62 at the airport until midnight that 65 would set a new warmest minimum for May 2nd at Grand Rapids. There was just 0.01" of rain fall here yesterday and overnight as several periods of sprinkles came thru. At this time it is partly cloudy and 66 here and the last reading at GRR was 67. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Trimmed at my relatives house this morning after church. Thought it felt humid. Just checked and dew is 59. Yesterday it was in the 30’s. Storms with potentially 1-2” of rain tonight then cloudy, windy and cool tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Probably the most humid day of the season so far. Checked and we have a dew of 63 with a temp of 77. You can see when the moisture really surged back into the area last night after 10p. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 The latest reading at GRR was 78 with a DP of 58. And yes it still is windy. Here at my house I have a temperature of 80 with a DP of 58. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Uh oh, I'm pretty sure the last map I saw had LNK over 1" Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 NWS DVN has a good lengthy AFD. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/disc/DISC_KDVN.shtml Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Very cool week ahead. today will be the only day this week that exceeds 70 degrees. Not a lot of rain in the forecast the best chance of rain looks to be early tomorrow morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Waterloo had a record high of 93 on Saturday. Might be a while before we hit that again. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 3, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 I had a wonderful time in So Cal during our short road trip. The climate in the region is quite diverse in a rather short distance if you've never been down there, esp during the Spring "shoulder" season. Interestingly, one of the mets down there made a comment on why the waves were higher than normal. There were a lot of surfers out during our stay riding 3-5 foot swells. As you know, Winter is just getting going down in the southern hemisphere near Australia and they call it the "Roaring 40's". Powerful winter storms produced huge waves and they flow into the western shores of Cali during the spring. This is the first time I've heard of it before and it makes a lot of sense. Quote https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/roaring-forties.html Sunday was a chilly, breezy, cloudy and cool day as we departed Carlsbad up through Temecula (wine country) onto the I-10 east bound into Palm Springs. Right before we approached Palm springs, the cloud deck disappeared and howling NW/W developed causing dust to obscure viz and looked like a ground blizzard. I've never driven through one before and this was a first for me. I'll post a couple vids but they don't do justice from what I experienced it firsthand. There was a Wind Advisory out for gusts up to 55-65 mph right between the towering mountains on both sides of I-10 heading into the valley of Palm Desert when the "squeeze effect" occurs. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 3, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Here are some more short vids and pics from my trip. Thursday and Friday were the best days weather wise. Spending time along the ocean is such a treat when HP is over the region in the spring. The locals say June-Oct is prime time as one would expect to see. The only issue I have with Cali living, is the traffic and pricy gas ($4.20/ gal regular)! It ain’t cheap living there. IMG_0436.MP4 IMG_0428.MP4 IMG_0423.MP4 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 First tstorms of the season last night. Non severe, but had some gusty winds and pea sized hail. Ended up with .81" of rain 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Several landspouts last night out by Aurora including twins! Even some damage was reported. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 53 degrees with low clouds and north winds gusting to 26 MPH. Wind chill in the lower 40's. What a change from the previous 3 days of 80's pushing 90 and humid on Sunday. Temps looks to be mainly 50's, 60's and some lower 70's for the foreseeable future. Any planting is stopped due to the heavy rains of last night. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 I had over 1.5" in my gauge. Very slim heavy rain corridor, but some nice rains for the area. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 This wave is moving quicker and more cloudiness than expected is lowering any severe risk here and probably lower rainfall . But at least rainfall rates are higher than they appear on radar with higher atmospheric moisture. Currently some rain falling here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Radar is looking like much of the rain will pass north and south of Cedar Rapids. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Heavy rain just missing south for now though it keeps developing to the sw. Some light thunder at times. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 Sparky is either getting heavy rain or is about to. I'll be lucky to get more than a few hundreds as the rain area moving through CR is crap. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 (edited) Just as the brightest reds moved in it weakened and it appears the heavier cores scraped by just nw. and south. Still had good downpours for awhile. I just checked my gauges and was pleasantly surprised to see nearly 1” fell so far. Crazy robin had pooped into 3 of my gauges before it rained so was glad I had cleaned them, but noticed dirt on one again from muddy feet from hopping in the garden. Sure enough that gauge had less rain because it sat there while it rained. Max. rainfall rates around 3.5” at times (which isn’t real high), and the wind gusted over 30 mph. Edited May 3, 2021 by Sparky 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 We had a nice downpour here on the SW side of CR. The airport will update their rain totals in about 10 minutes or so, I'm curious to see what we got. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 3, 2021 Report Share Posted May 3, 2021 This is from todays NWS discussion " WHILE THIS MAY NOT BE NOTICED MY MANY, THE MJO IS 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL AND IN QUAD 1. THIS IS A STRONG COLD SIGNAL FOR MICHIGAN. IT IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS INTO QUAD 2 BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT GUESS WHAT, QUAD 2 IS COLD FOR US TOO. IT HAS BEEN MY EXPERIENCE THAT IF THE MODELS DO NOT MATCH THE MJO FORECAST, THE MODELS WILL BE WRONG. THE BOTTOM LINE IS EXPECT AT LEAST 2 WEEKS OF COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THIS MEANS FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE MORE THAN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. WE ALREADY EXPECT FROST OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS THURSDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY NIGHT WE MAY HAVE A HARD FREEZE. WHILE WE DO NOT CLEARLY HAVE THIS IN OUR GRIDS YET, BUT I STRONGLY BELIEVE IT WILL HAPPEN NONE THE LESS. SO, IF THIS IS A PROBLEM FOR WHAT YOU, DO PLEASE CONSIDER THIS A REAL PROBLEM." It looks like the start of May has a good chance of being on the cool side to say the least 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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