TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 37 minutes ago, Jesse said: I can’t possibly enjoy the outdoors unless there is some sort of regional drought in progress. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Good Lord... another day of preference battles. So stupid! I will always enjoy any sunny weather nature sends our way. It could be in a wet period or in a dry period... does not matter to me. Even drier than normal weather for a couple months is still wet here. I was out there working in mud just now and the grass is soggy. Which is always the case at this time year. And its still wetter than normal for the year and the water year. And we have massive snowpack in the mountains so our water supply is doing great. So yeah. Its a different world up here. Just accept it. No one is telling Oregon people not to cheer for rain or worry about drought. Content is still better than having to endure yours and Phils courtship for most of the past week. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 57 minutes ago, Phil said: I’m certain half of this forum would be happier living in Phoenix or Death Valley. Strawman building... Every. Single. Day. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Content is still better than having to endure yours and Phils courtship for most of the past week. Yeah... that is pretty stupid as well. No doubt. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Better conserve those weenie and downvotes...You will be seeing lots of these pictures over the summer!! I just have no clue why it bothers him if you want sun. Can you make it sunny? He is pissed off at nature and global warming and expanding hadley cells and whatever else he is pissed off about today... but nature does not give a flying crap. There used to be palm trees in the arctic. And there used to be ice at the equator. Nature does not care... and its always changing. If it decides to go the other way it gets much colder and wetter here... then we will move. Life is very short. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 WA snowpack update below. SEA is still +1.57 for the year... so this 'record dry' has not been enough to even offset the wet weather in January and February. Interestingly... the Cedar Lake station near me was about 9 inches above normal for the year at the end of February and then was 9 inches below normal for March and April. And that puts that station perfectly normal for precip for the year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: WA snowpack update below. SEA is still +1.57 for the year... so this 'record dry' has not been enough to even offset the wet weather in January and February. Interestingly... the Cedar Lake station near me was about 9 inches above normal for the year at the end of February and then was 9 inches below normal for March and April. And that puts that station perfectly normal for precip for the year. Someone in the March thread posted horrible looking April precip maps, making it look like we are in a massive drought. April east of the Cascades is normally dry. Wenatchee, for example, averages 0.53" of rain, Yakima 0.57. Spokane is a bit above an inch. So even a rainless April is only about a half inch below normal for most of Eastern WA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 2 hours ago, Phil said: Good news post: We will soon be entering a regime of IPWP-centered trades w/ IO convection, a critical component in almost every multiyear niña. Also: note the MJO bifurcation/dissolution into a faster propagating CCKW while the lower frequency component slowly propagates eastward thru the IO. That will render unfiltered RMMs difficult if not useless for assessing true state of MJO. Get into June with an E-IO/Maritime Continent low pass signal, and it suddenly becomes a much more productive pattern for -PNA/western troughing. That is great news for the SW where the drought is very real. We definitely want to stick with the current regime where WA and BC continue to get the bulk of precipitation. A Nino would give them some hope... but its all good news. No hope for them. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Someone in the March thread posted horrible looking April precip maps, making it look like we are in a massive drought. April east of the Cascades is normally dry. Wenatchee, for example, averages 0.53" of rain, Yakima 0.57. Spokane is a bit above an inch. So even a rainless April is only about a half inch below normal for most of Eastern WA. Of course it’s a way different story west of the mountains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Mostly cloudy and 57 here. Pretty decent day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 12Z EPS says the first half of May will be drier than normal... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 HRRR shows a decent c-zone firing up later this afternoon and into this evening. My area will probably get hit pretty good. Tomorrow looks drier though so that is nice. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September! The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 59 and mostly cloudy here. Figured may would be wetter but only 0.4” on the euro the next 10 days....still a whole lotta month left to go though. I wouldn’t be surprised if May ended up wetter than April this year like it did last year. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS says the first half of May will be drier than normal... Could end up being 1st or 2nd driest spring ive recorded. Record is 4.25” in 2019...at 3.84” currently so 2nd place is more likely. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 Ocean still has water in it. For now... 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Jesse said: Of course it’s a way different story west of the mountains. Sure, but April is still relatively dry in Western Oregon and Washington compared to November through February. Seattle and Portland average about 2.5 inches in April, compared to 5-6 inches in the wettest Winter months. A 1.5 inch deficit for April is better than a 4.5 inch deficit in December or January. And actually heavy rain in April in the mountains would erode the snow pack faster than drier weather. Would much rather have a drier April then in any winter month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Ocean still has water in it. For now... Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away. That will be an incredible salt flat some day. Get a dune buggy now! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said: Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September! The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture. Very nice! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Sure, but April is still relatively dry in Western Oregon and Washington compared to November through February. Seattle and Portland average about 2.5 inches in April, compared to 5-6 inches in the wettest Winter months. A 1.5 inch deficit for April is better than a 4.5 inch deficit in December or January. And actually heavy rain in April in the mountains would erode the snow pack faster than drier weather. Would much rather have a drier April then in any winter month. Idk. It’s pretty rare to get warm rain in the mountains in April. Usually if the pattern is active the upper airmasses are still sufficiently cool for snow at pass level or above. Snowpack situation would be a lot better for Oregon right now if it hadn’t been such a warm and dry month. Drier weather in the winter can mean cold and snow, at least on the west side. Wet weather in April is always nice since it makes things look lush and green. This was a record or near record dry April and March/April combo for many areas on the west side so it’s pretty notable, and has been largely responsible for putting much of Oregon and SW Washington into moderate drought conditions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, Jesse said: Idk. It’s pretty rare to get warm rain in the mountains in April. Usually if the pattern is active the upper airmasses are still sufficiently cool for snow at pass level or above. Snowpack situation would be a lot better for Oregon right now if it hadn’t been such a warm and dry month. Drier weather in the winter can mean cold and snow, at least on the west side. Wet weather in April is always nice since it makes things look lush and green. This was a record or near record dry April and March/April combo for many areas on the west side so it’s pretty notable. 2nd driest March April combo on record here this year with 3.84” only bested by 3.73” in 2019. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 61 here. Just a few small breaks in the clouds through the day mostly overcast. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 1, 2021 Report Share Posted May 1, 2021 62 here and kinda breezy. Good day for gettin stuff done. Azalea is at its peak. Rhodies are a few days away. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away. That will be an incredible salt flat some day. Get a dune buggy now! Imagine the temps in the Marianas Trench. Death Valley will seem sub alpine by comparison. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 3 hours ago, Omegaraptor said: Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September! The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture. Go Beavers! I graduated from there with a B.S. in Horticultural Science. Of course that was 30 years ago, but it's still a great school. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Ended up going back to the lake house to mow since the weather turned out way nicer than I was expecting! 5 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 61/48 today. Lot more sunshine this afternoon and evening than the rest of the day. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Pretty ideal precip distribution on the 18z GFS. Hopefully it sticks. At the very least, substantial Oregon precip starts as soon as hour 120. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 hour ago, T-Town said: 62 here and kinda breezy. Good day for gettin stuff done. Azalea is at its peak. Rhodies are a few days away. Rhododendrons are just starting to go here at my place too. 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Ended up going back to the lake house to mow since the weather turned out way nicer than I was expecting! Nice! Jesse should be here soon to puke all over your pics. Wetter than normal water year... wetter than normal year to date... mountains have almost 150% of normal snowpack... and you take joy in the small things like a sunny day in western WA. If there was a way to puke on your photos 20 times I would! 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 40 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Pretty ideal precip distribution on the 18z GFS. Hopefully it sticks. At the very least, substantial Oregon precip starts as soon as hour 120. That would be nice. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 60/48 day here. Partly to mostly cloudy skies. 0.00” rainfall month to date. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 50 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Nice! Jesse should be here soon to puke all over your pics. Wetter than normal water year... wetter than normal year to date... mountains have almost 150% of normal snowpack... and you take joy in the small things like a sunny day in western WA. If there was a way to puke on your photos 20 times I would! You really do have way more of an issue with what others post and think than any other person on this forum, and it's not even close. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 We had some daylight here today, it was comfortable, it is starting to get darker as night falls. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Down to 49. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post T-Town Posted May 2, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Pretty sunset. 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 It did not rain here today, a welcome relief after yesterday's close call. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 Some heavy rain here now... and a loud chorus of frogs out there. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 38 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Some heavy rain here now... and a loud chorus of frogs out there. 44 and breezy/dry here. Enjoy the CZ! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2021 Report Share Posted May 2, 2021 The 00Z ECMWF was much drier than the last few runs with that late week trough. 10-day precip total and anomalies... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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