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May 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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57 and its been cloudy all day, nothing in the rain bucket.  Happy Mother's day to any moms on here, and to the poor moms married to this crazy collection of weather geeks.  My wife gave birth to 3 kids, but I think she sometimes feels like she has 4 kids!  😆

 

 

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Suns been coming out more and more but we’re getting some rain here currently as well. Doesn’t look like it’ll last long. Up to 60 currently nice day. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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2 hours ago, MossMan said:

TIM! Does your fancy EURO maps show any showers developing today around my area? 

Sorry... I am up in Bellingham power washing my parent's deck.  :)

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Probably going to start raining again here in an hour....showers moving off the kitsap peninsula from NW to SE. I’ll take all the rain I can get this spring! 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Pleasant day. 

0F88DBBF-C388-4D17-A7E5-9D6DB4434967.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

Has the Euro finally snapped back to reality?

Probably gonna get whittled down to nothing or almost nothing for this area, just like with every other system models have promised this spring. At least it stops California/the SW from roasting for a few days.

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5-8b.thumb.jpg.da1a038b3a62a95424894a0630adf6ad.jpg

5-8i.thumb.jpg.65e41e15e401a1e928a90e5ec4690f26.jpg

5-8g.thumb.jpg.93318f0402462f6c1f56484609bb71b8.jpg

5-8a.thumb.jpg.40f0440e4b70adc09d31763e24268f02.jpg

Seabreeze convergence around noon yesterday made for some photogenic cumulus congestus.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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11 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Probably gonna get whittled down to nothing or almost nothing for this area, just like with every other system models have promised this spring. At least it stops California/the SW from roasting for a few days.

Raindrops are now falling here. It's working!!!

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Beautiful and mostly sunny. 64F outside.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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34 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Beautiful and mostly sunny. 64F outside.

Haven't had that in a while!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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List of my first thunders each year in this area.
In 2016 I was up to 9 days by this date. And 6 in 2013.

03/13/2011
06/04/2012
03/20/2013
03/29/2014
03/22/2015
01/19/2016
06/08/2017
04/27/2018
04/02/2019
03/17/2020

Might have to fire up the clown range CFS to see when these kick in down here ;)

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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63/27, another dry day, whoop whoop! 🍔

#DustBowl2021

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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The number of cicada holes popping up in our yard (and around the neighborhood) is mind boggling. Has to be at least 10-15 per square meter. Much more than anyone I’ve spoken to can remember from 2004.

FAB5AB96-4D93-4717-8856-8E0D03CC381D.jpeg

A9FF09B6-12E0-43C7-B272-6E5C96A8E127.jpeg

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Whats most interesting to me is they’re popping up under pines/conifers just as much as they are hardwoods, which goes against the conventional wisdom that cicadas avoid ovipositing in conifers. There’s an eastern white pine next to hit house that has hundreds of holes clustered around it.

Maybe they were oviposited in hardwoods but tunneled underground to other trees? But then again, these pines are something like 50-75ft away from other hardwoods and on a hill. I’m going to watch closely this year to see exactly where they go.

Still no signs of emergence. But we’re getting close. Probably a week out.

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13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Whats most interesting to me is they’re popping up under pines/conifers just as much as they are hardwoods, which goes against the conventional wisdom that cicadas avoid ovipositing in conifers. There’s an eastern white pine next to hit house that has hundreds of holes clustered around it.

Maybe they were oviposited in hardwoods but tunneled underground to other trees? But then again, these pines are something like 50-75ft away from other hardwoods and on a hill. I’m going to watch closely this year to see exactly where they go.

Still no signs of emergence. But we’re getting close. Probably a week out.

Keep us updated Phil.

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Sorry... I am up in Bellingham power washing my parent's deck.  :)

Well that proves it! It's going to rain hard and the pattern will buckle. All you gotta do is power wash your parents deck and that'll get the storms to come rolling on in! Do you think washing the car or washing the deck has better effect?

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32 minutes ago, Phil said:

The number of cicada holes popping up in our yard (and around the neighborhood) is mind boggling. Has to be at least 10-15 per square meter. Much more than anyone I’ve spoken to can remember from 2004.

FAB5AB96-4D93-4717-8856-8E0D03CC381D.jpeg

A9FF09B6-12E0-43C7-B272-6E5C96A8E127.jpeg

Oh my god... It is going to be MAD within the next month or so out your way! :lol:

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Sorry... I am up in Bellingham power washing my parent's deck.  :)

It’s okay, after the threatening clouds built they quickly dissipated so I sprayed and then went to the lake house to mow since it was finally dry enough again. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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10 plagues of Egypt at Phil's place!

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

The number of cicada holes popping up in our yard (and around the neighborhood) is mind boggling. Has to be at least 10-15 per square meter. Much more than anyone I’ve spoken to can remember from 2004.

FAB5AB96-4D93-4717-8856-8E0D03CC381D.jpeg

A9FF09B6-12E0-43C7-B272-6E5C96A8E127.jpeg

Square meter?  What is a meter? 

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Interesting. Old fossilized trees being uncovered as ice melts and ground thaws, but at altitudes significantly higher than where they can grow now.

https://www.scitechnol.com/peer-review/recent-and-past-trees-and-climates-at-the-arcticalpine-margin-in-swedish-lapland-an-abisko-case-study-review-rwGI.php?article_id=3935

“In this context the conspicuous and poorly understood subalpine heaths in the Abisko Valley (Josefsson, 1990) deserve attention. These are ‘permanently’ treeless areas in the lower subalpine birch belt. Current frost-heave in non-sorted circles have exposed pine megafossils, dating to the Medieval Warm Period around AD 1200 (Fig. 12). Apparently, they died during the subsequent Little Ice Age [10].”

 

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

GFS at it again.

Phantom ULL at D5..this time over CA.
 

5880A112-85EF-4913-A085-50AF0CDD7275.gif

Old GFS = No ULL for you

New GFS = Phantom ULL's

Can't win

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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I wonder if DJ Droppin still lurks during the Spring/Summer... 🤔

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Its not really phantom of course... there is a weak trough with some energy in that broad ridge leading up to the formation of that ULL and the models have shown a low blossoming somewhere along the West Coast in that time frame.    It will happen... question is where.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its not really phantom of course... there is a weak trough with some energy in that broad ridge leading up to the formation of that ULL and the models have shown a low blossoming somewhere along the West Coast in that time frame.    It will happen... question is where.

Not that way, though. The GFS completely separates it from the GOA vort and tries to phase the other piece with another trough to the west, and then attempts to send it south into Antarctica.

This new GFS version has been a disgrace over the North Pacific. Every other run detaches a ULL from some typical vanilla NPAC trough and envelops it in a ring of high heights.

You even pointed it yourself out few times during the late winter/early spring timeframe. 

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

Not that way, though. The GFS completely separates it from the GOA vort and tries to phase the other piece with another trough to the west, and then attempts to send it south into Antarctica.

This new GFS version has been a disgrace over the North Pacific. Every other run detaches a ULL from some typical vanilla NPAC trough and envelops it in a ring of high heights.

You even pointed it yourself out few times during the late winter/early spring timeframe. 

The 00Z GEFS does basically the same thing with a little ULL over CA next weekend...

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1123200.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Little ULL’s can mean BIG forum trouble!

Big model trouble too!   I think it was a little meandering ULL that set up our April warm spell loveliness.    ULLs giveth and taketh away.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The 00Z GEFS does basically the same thing with a little ULL over CA next weekend...

 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1123200.png

That looks fine to me. I suppose my verbiage wasn’t helpful. The way I described it is technically wrong, I suppose.

These processes aren’t conveyed well via 500mb height anomalies. I’ve just been looking at them long enough to see it. How the GEFS handles the evolution of NPAC shortwave is actually quite different vs how the operational GFS handles it.

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

That looks fine to me. I suppose my verbiage wasn’t helpful.

These processes aren’t conveyed well via 500mb height anomalies. I’ve just been looking at them long enough to see it. How the GEFS handles the evolution of NPAC shortwave is actually quite different vs how the operational GFS handles it.

Basically the same result though.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Basically the same result though.

The result looks monumentally different to me, lol.

Compare the D5-10 GOA/NE-Pacific evolution on the GEFS vs the GFS operational and you’ll see what I mean. I think.

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8 hours ago, luminen said:

It's been so dry here. When there is a chance of rain it just doesn't seem to want to rain much, just very light... :huh:

it’s like all of your evil wishes for this region are coming true :huh:

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