Chewbacca Defense Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 57 and its been cloudy all day, nothing in the rain bucket. Happy Mother's day to any moms on here, and to the poor moms married to this crazy collection of weather geeks. My wife gave birth to 3 kids, but I think she sometimes feels like she has 4 kids! 4 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 Suns been coming out more and more but we’re getting some rain here currently as well. Doesn’t look like it’ll last long. Up to 60 currently nice day. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 Looks like things have trended wetter on the euro late in the run again. We will see if it holds up. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 2 hours ago, MossMan said: TIM! Does your fancy EURO maps show any showers developing today around my area? Sorry... I am up in Bellingham power washing my parent's deck. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 Probably going to start raining again here in an hour....showers moving off the kitsap peninsula from NW to SE. I’ll take all the rain I can get this spring! 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 Pleasant day. 6 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 2 hours ago, Phil said: Has the Euro finally snapped back to reality? Probably gonna get whittled down to nothing or almost nothing for this area, just like with every other system models have promised this spring. At least it stops California/the SW from roasting for a few days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 Seabreeze convergence around noon yesterday made for some photogenic cumulus congestus. 6 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Probably gonna get whittled down to nothing or almost nothing for this area, just like with every other system models have promised this spring. At least it stops California/the SW from roasting for a few days. Raindrops are now falling here. It's working!!! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 Beautiful and mostly sunny. 64F outside. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 34 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Beautiful and mostly sunny. 64F outside. Haven't had that in a while! 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 9, 2021 Report Share Posted May 9, 2021 62 and mostly sunny. Looks like the rains done for the day. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 List of my first thunders each year in this area. In 2016 I was up to 9 days by this date. And 6 in 2013. 03/13/2011 06/04/2012 03/20/2013 03/29/2014 03/22/2015 01/19/2016 06/08/2017 04/27/2018 04/02/2019 03/17/2020 Might have to fire up the clown range CFS to see when these kick in down here Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 63/27, another dry day, whoop whoop! #DustBowl2021 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 63/49 0.02” today Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 The number of cicada holes popping up in our yard (and around the neighborhood) is mind boggling. Has to be at least 10-15 per square meter. Much more than anyone I’ve spoken to can remember from 2004. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 Whats most interesting to me is they’re popping up under pines/conifers just as much as they are hardwoods, which goes against the conventional wisdom that cicadas avoid ovipositing in conifers. There’s an eastern white pine next to hit house that has hundreds of holes clustered around it. Maybe they were oviposited in hardwoods but tunneled underground to other trees? But then again, these pines are something like 50-75ft away from other hardwoods and on a hill. I’m going to watch closely this year to see exactly where they go. Still no signs of emergence. But we’re getting close. Probably a week out. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, Phil said: Whats most interesting to me is they’re popping up under pines/conifers just as much as they are hardwoods, which goes against the conventional wisdom that cicadas avoid ovipositing in conifers. There’s an eastern white pine next to hit house that has hundreds of holes clustered around it. Maybe they were oviposited in hardwoods but tunneled underground to other trees? But then again, these pines are something like 50-75ft away from other hardwoods and on a hill. I’m going to watch closely this year to see exactly where they go. Still no signs of emergence. But we’re getting close. Probably a week out. Keep us updated Phil. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 5 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Sorry... I am up in Bellingham power washing my parent's deck. Well that proves it! It's going to rain hard and the pattern will buckle. All you gotta do is power wash your parents deck and that'll get the storms to come rolling on in! Do you think washing the car or washing the deck has better effect? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 Nice day! Had a high of 62. Was a brisk north wind blowing at the lake! 5 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 32 minutes ago, Phil said: The number of cicada holes popping up in our yard (and around the neighborhood) is mind boggling. Has to be at least 10-15 per square meter. Much more than anyone I’ve spoken to can remember from 2004. Oh my god... It is going to be MAD within the next month or so out your way! 1 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 5 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Sorry... I am up in Bellingham power washing my parent's deck. It’s okay, after the threatening clouds built they quickly dissipated so I sprayed and then went to the lake house to mow since it was finally dry enough again. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 10 plagues of Egypt at Phil's place! 1 2 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: The number of cicada holes popping up in our yard (and around the neighborhood) is mind boggling. Has to be at least 10-15 per square meter. Much more than anyone I’ve spoken to can remember from 2004. Square meter? What is a meter? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Timmy said: Square meter? What is a meter? Its a thing you put money in when you park downtown for most major cities. 1 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 Interesting. Old fossilized trees being uncovered as ice melts and ground thaws, but at altitudes significantly higher than where they can grow now. https://www.scitechnol.com/peer-review/recent-and-past-trees-and-climates-at-the-arcticalpine-margin-in-swedish-lapland-an-abisko-case-study-review-rwGI.php?article_id=3935 “In this context the conspicuous and poorly understood subalpine heaths in the Abisko Valley (Josefsson, 1990) deserve attention. These are ‘permanently’ treeless areas in the lower subalpine birch belt. Current frost-heave in non-sorted circles have exposed pine megafossils, dating to the Medieval Warm Period around AD 1200 (Fig. 12). Apparently, they died during the subsequent Little Ice Age [10].” Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 GFS at it again. (Edited to remove misleading verbiage). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: GFS at it again. Phantom ULL at D5..this time over CA. Old GFS = No ULL for you New GFS = Phantom ULL's Can't win Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 I wonder if DJ Droppin still lurks during the Spring/Summer... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 Its not really phantom of course... there is a weak trough with some energy in that broad ridge leading up to the formation of that ULL and the models have shown a low blossoming somewhere along the West Coast in that time frame. It will happen... question is where. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its not really phantom of course... there is a weak trough with some energy in that broad ridge leading up to the formation of that ULL and the models have shown a low blossoming somewhere along the West Coast in that time frame. It will happen... question is where. Not that way, though. The GFS completely separates it from the GOA vort and tries to phase the other piece with another trough to the west, and then attempts to send it south into Antarctica. This new GFS version has been a disgrace over the North Pacific. Every other run detaches a ULL from some typical vanilla NPAC trough and envelops it in a ring of high heights. You even pointed it yourself out few times during the late winter/early spring timeframe. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, Phil said: Not that way, though. The GFS completely separates it from the GOA vort and tries to phase the other piece with another trough to the west, and then attempts to send it south into Antarctica. This new GFS version has been a disgrace over the North Pacific. Every other run detaches a ULL from some typical vanilla NPAC trough and envelops it in a ring of high heights. You even pointed it yourself out few times during the late winter/early spring timeframe. The 00Z GEFS does basically the same thing with a little ULL over CA next weekend... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 Little ULL’s can mean BIG forum trouble! 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I wonder if DJ Droppin still lurks during the Spring/Summer... He does, just not as prolific in spring/summer months 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Little ULL’s can mean BIG forum trouble! Big model trouble too! I think it was a little meandering ULL that set up our April warm spell loveliness. ULLs giveth and taketh away. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The 00Z GEFS does basically the same thing with a little ULL over CA next weekend... That looks fine to me. I suppose my verbiage wasn’t helpful. The way I described it is technically wrong, I suppose. These processes aren’t conveyed well via 500mb height anomalies. I’ve just been looking at them long enough to see it. How the GEFS handles the evolution of NPAC shortwave is actually quite different vs how the operational GFS handles it. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: That looks fine to me. I suppose my verbiage wasn’t helpful. These processes aren’t conveyed well via 500mb height anomalies. I’ve just been looking at them long enough to see it. How the GEFS handles the evolution of NPAC shortwave is actually quite different vs how the operational GFS handles it. Basically the same result though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Basically the same result though. The result looks monumentally different to me, lol. Compare the D5-10 GOA/NE-Pacific evolution on the GEFS vs the GFS operational and you’ll see what I mean. I think. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 8 hours ago, Omegaraptor said: Raindrops are now falling here. It's working!!! It's been so dry here. When there is a chance of rain it just doesn't seem to want to rain much, just very light... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 10, 2021 Report Share Posted May 10, 2021 8 hours ago, luminen said: It's been so dry here. When there is a chance of rain it just doesn't seem to want to rain much, just very light... it’s like all of your evil wishes for this region are coming true 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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