Phil Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 But hey, only 4 hours until 18z Euro/EPS. So we’ll have our answer shortly. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: I was sure the other shoe was going to drop in May... now I am starting to doubt it will drop at all. Getting close to the time of year when even a "bad" week is still likely warm and dry enough for quite a few outdoor activities. 3 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 26 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Getting close to the time of year when even a "bad" week is still likely warm and dry enough for quite a few outdoor activities. Group rain dance next Wednesday at 8pm @iFred house. I will also sent out a Microsoft teams link for people to attend virtually. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: I was sure the other shoe was going to drop in May... now I am starting to doubt it will drop at all. I think it will drop sooner or later. Possibly June. I remember the locals used to joke (or true) around here that our nice weather don’t typically start until after July 4th. As far as I can remember, that hasn’t been the case for a while now.... our nice weather is happening sooner and sooner. I’ll take a Junuary though! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cloud said: I think it will drop sooner or later. Possibly June. I remember the locals used to joke (or true) around here that our nice weather don’t typically start until after July 4th. As far as I can remember, that hasn’t been the case for a while now.... our nice weather is happening sooner and sooner. I’ll take a Junuary though! That would be depressing. I don't feel it this year. June could still end up wetter than normal from a couple significant rain events... but I don't sense an unusually cloudy or cold June like we had in 2008, 2011, or 2012. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: But hey, only 4 hours until 18z Euro/EPS. So we’ll have our answer shortly. 18Z EPS only goes out through 144 hours and rarely looks different than the 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 67 and mostly sunny...could hit 70 for the first time this month. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 70 here now... and at SEA. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 Good grief 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 Warm! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 18Z GFS not delaying the trough next week. It will be interesting to see if the 00Z run picks up on the ECMWF idea. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 Up to 80F and not a cloud in the sky. Now like 15" below normal for the water year on top of -17" last water year and getting worse every day. Ground is cracked and even the weeds are having trouble growing. Grass turning brown...this is very bad. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Up to 80F and not a cloud in the sky. It's July 5th already? 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 18Z EPS only goes out through 144 hours and rarely looks different than the 12Z run. Huh? Thanks not true at all, bro. There’s also no difference in skill score between 00z/12z and 06z/18z runs. That’s a weather weenie myth. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, Phil said: Huh? Thanks not true at all, bro. There’s also no difference in skill score between 00z/12z and 06z/18z runs. That’s a weather weenie myth. I said the 18Z EPS usually looks like the 12Z run. Which it almost always does. I did not say it worse. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 72 and sunny... another perfect May day. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 12, 2021 Report Share Posted May 12, 2021 55 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I said the 18Z EPS usually looks like the 12Z run. Which it almost always does. I did not say it worse. But that’s still not true. At least no more than the 00z run looks like the 18z run. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Looks like we avoided hitting 70 today...68/53 67 currently. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 81/34 today! Was a nice day for yard work. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Good god this place is unreadable lately. Anyhow, wall to wall to wall to wall sun and dry day again here. 78/46. 12z Euro shows the next 10 days being completely bone dry in the Portland area, so I’m sure the other models will follow suit soon. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Up to 82F. Buckle up for like 30+ 90F days. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: But that’s still not true. At least no more than the 00z run looks like the 18z run. It is true... because it only goes to 144 hours and the EPS is usually quite consistent from run to run within 7 days. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It is true... because it only goes to 144 hours and the EPS is usually quite consistent from run to run within 7 days. You say that like it’s unique to 18z/06z. It’s no more/less different irrespective of model cycle. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, Phil said: You say that like it’s unique to 18z/06z. It’s no more/less different irrespective of model cycle. I said it because the 18Z run (and the 06Z) only goes out to 144 hours and the 12Z and 00Z runs go out to 360 hours. So you won't learn much new from the 18Z because it cuts off too early. Very simple. No idea why this is a debate. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Jesse said: Good god this place is unreadable lately. Anyhow, wall to wall to wall to wall sun and dry day again here. 78/46. 12z Euro shows the next 10 days being completely bone dry in the Portland area, so I’m sure the other models will follow suit soon. Agreed 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Some thunderstorms would brighten the mood! Any progged on the 18z Euro? 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Some thunderstorms would brighten the mood! Any progged on the 18z Euro? I'll get some pics/video! If it's just a couple rumbles maybe not, hopefully more exciting than that. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: I said the 18Z EPS usually looks like the 12Z run. Which it almost always does. I did not say it worse. So likewise, the 00z run usually looks like the 18z run, right? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: So likewise, the 00z run usually looks like the 18z run, right? Exactly... it is quite consistent within a week. So the 06Z and 18Z runs don't go out far enough to provide much new information. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 22 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Agreed More meat pictures would definitely help. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Exactly... it is quite consistent within a week. So the 06Z and 18Z runs don't go out far enough to provide much new information. Okay. I’m not exactly sure what your point was in referencing it. Whatever, not a huge deal. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Okay. I’m not exactly sure what your point was in referencing it. Whatever, not a huge deal. You said we would have an answer when the 18Z EPS comes out in 4 hours... I said you never learn much new from the 18Z run because it only goes out through 144 hours. Very simple. And still true after this little debate. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: More meat pictures would definitely help. 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: More meat pictures would definitely help. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 1 1 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 15 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 32 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Guessing he and Phil already started exchanging meat pics awhile ago. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Rained a bit this morning. Was mostly cloudy the rest of the day. Didn’t rain much but enough to keep the dust down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 00Z ECMWF brings the rain in on Tuesday... which is faster than the 12Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 This can’t be real..right? Blowtorch everywhere except Baffin Island is disappointingly familiar. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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