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May 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

I was sure the other shoe was going to drop in May... now I am starting to doubt it will drop at all.

Getting close to the time of year when even a "bad" week is still likely warm and dry enough for quite a few outdoor activities. 

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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26 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Getting close to the time of year when even a "bad" week is still likely warm and dry enough for quite a few outdoor activities. 

Group rain dance next Wednesday at 8pm @iFred house. I will also sent out a Microsoft teams link for people to attend virtually. 

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I was sure the other shoe was going to drop in May... now I am starting to doubt it will drop at all.

I think it will drop sooner or later. Possibly June. I remember the locals used to joke (or true) around here that our nice weather don’t typically start until after July 4th. As far as I can remember, that hasn’t been the case for a while now.... our nice weather is happening sooner and sooner. 
 
I’ll take a Junuary though! 

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5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

I think it will drop sooner or later. Possibly June. I remember the locals used to joke (or true) around here that our nice weather don’t typically start until after July 4th. As far as I can remember, that hasn’t been the case for a while now.... our nice weather is happening sooner and sooner. 
 
I’ll take a Junuary though! 

That would be depressing.   I don't feel it this year.   June could still end up wetter than normal from a couple significant rain events... but I don't sense an unusually cloudy or cold June like we had in 2008, 2011, or 2012.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

But hey, only 4 hours until 18z Euro/EPS.

So we’ll have our answer shortly. 

18Z EPS only goes out through 144 hours and rarely looks different than the 12Z run.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Good grief 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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18Z GFS not delaying the trough next week.    It will be interesting to see if the 00Z run picks up on the ECMWF idea.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Up to 80F and not a cloud in the sky. Now like 15" below normal for the water year on top of -17" last water year and getting worse every day. Ground is cracked and even the weeds are having trouble growing. Grass turning brown...this is very bad.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Up to 80F and not a cloud in the sky. 

It's July 5th already? 🤪

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z EPS only goes out through 144 hours and rarely looks different than the 12Z run.

Huh? Thanks not true at all, bro.

There’s also no difference in skill score between 00z/12z and 06z/18z runs. That’s a weather weenie myth.

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6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Huh? Thanks not true at all, bro.

There’s also no difference in skill score between 00z/12z and 06z/18z runs. That’s a weather weenie myth.

I said the 18Z EPS usually looks like the 12Z run.   Which it almost always does.   I did not say it worse.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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55 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I said the 18Z EPS usually looks like the 12Z run.   Which it almost always does.   I did not say it worse.

But that’s still not true. At least no more than the 00z run looks like the 18z run.

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81/34 today! Was a nice day for yard work. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Good god this place is unreadable lately.

Anyhow, wall to wall to wall to wall sun and dry day again here. 78/46.

12z Euro shows the next 10 days being completely bone dry in the Portland area, so I’m sure the other models will follow suit soon.

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Up to 82F. Buckle up for like 30+ 90F days.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

But that’s still not true. At least no more than the 00z run looks like the 18z run.

It is true... because it only goes to 144 hours and the EPS is usually quite consistent from run to run within 7 days.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It is true... because it only goes to 144 hours and the EPS is usually quite consistent from run to run within 7 days.    

You say that like it’s unique to 18z/06z.

It’s no more/less different irrespective of model cycle.

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

You say that like it’s unique to 18z/06z.

It’s no more/less different irrespective of model cycle.

I said it because the 18Z run (and the 06Z) only goes out to 144 hours and the 12Z and 00Z runs go out to 360 hours.   So you won't learn much new from the 18Z because it cuts off too early.  Very simple. No idea why this is a debate.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Jesse said:

Good god this place is unreadable lately.

Anyhow, wall to wall to wall to wall sun and dry day again here. 78/46.

12z Euro shows the next 10 days being completely bone dry in the Portland area, so I’m sure the other models will follow suit soon.

Agreed

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Some thunderstorms would brighten the mood!  Any progged on the 18z Euro?

I'll get some pics/video! If it's just a couple rumbles maybe not, hopefully more exciting than that.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I said the 18Z EPS usually looks like the 12Z run.   Which it almost always does.   I did not say it worse.

So likewise, the 00z run usually looks like the 18z run, right?

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

So likewise, the 00z run usually looks like the 18z run, right?

Exactly... it is quite consistent within a week.   So the 06Z and 18Z runs don't go out far enough to provide much new information.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Exactly... it is quite consistent within a week.   So the 06Z and 18Z runs don't go out far enough to provide much new information.

Okay. I’m not exactly sure what your point was in referencing it. Whatever, not a huge deal. 🙂

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Okay. I’m not exactly sure what your point was in referencing it. Whatever, not a huge deal. 🙂

You said we would have an answer when the 18Z EPS comes out in 4 hours... I said you never learn much new from the 18Z run because it only goes out through 144 hours.   Very simple.  And still true after this little debate.  :)

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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s3-news-tmp-77017-untitled_design_-_2019-12-02t125544.778--2x1--940.png

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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This can’t be real..right?

Blowtorch everywhere except Baffin Island is disappointingly familiar.

 

59279C61-F88B-4DDF-87F6-C341605061F2.png

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