T-Town Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 40 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Enjoying the sun on the deck right now and I have a visitor... Had an eagle in the tree across the street yesterday. Had to bring the chihuahua in the house. You think bunnies are tough... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: I think Washington had a great display the otehr day, this was on my way into/and at work. I had to stop and pull over at the river. Was only the 2nd time I've seen anything other than a standard halo/sun dogs. No apologies about the logo haha, and Facebook really crapped on the quality too :0 Amazing Tyler! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Not common to have a sub 1000 low meandering just offshore in May, but that's what 18z gfs is showing for late next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 13, 2021 Report Share Posted May 13, 2021 Up to 70 for the first time in 2 weeks. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 18z is like a miracle. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 10 hours ago, AlTahoe said: Interesting that they experienced an extreme drought the same time as the west coast. 1975-1977 was considered the all time mega drought for California. But now 2019-2021 has beaten it for a large part of California, with 2013-2015 coming in 2nd or 3rd place depending on the region of California. Is there currently a large drought in Europe? Actually there is. They had an historical dry spring last year and I think summer. This spring is also dry but really cold for them with daily night frost till about now. Now they are having mild storms that look to be 'stuck in a rut' pattern. It appears the UK is in for a 2010 style BBQ washout! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is like a miracle. Volcanos finally kicking in! 1992 here we come! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 71/49 today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 45 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is like a miracle. Gfs and the euro are looking pretty good next week. Hopefully it’s a start to a wet pattern sticks around for awhile. 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Inject this; all of this; into my veins. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Glancing at preliminary May weather data, temperatures are around average (+/-0.5F) in Western WA, and slightly above (+0.5 to 1.5) in Western OR. Uniform precip departure west of the cascades , with most areas running around 2/3 of normal. If this upcoming pattern depicted by the models holds, which it might not, a cooler/wetter than normal May could be in store for the lowlands (the cooler emphasized especially for Western WA given the neutral anomalies right now). Reeeeally rooting for this given the drought in place; plus we haven't had a cooler than average May since 2012(!). 5 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 I’ll be gone much of next week, but I will be in Oklahoma where it looks very wet. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is like a miracle. Beautiful 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 57 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Glancing at preliminary May weather data, temperatures are around average (+/-0.5F) in Western WA, and slightly above (+0.5 to 1.5) in Western OR. Uniform precip departure west of the cascades , with most areas running around 2/3 of normal. If this upcoming pattern depicted by the models holds, which it might not, a cooler/wetter than normal May could be in store for the lowlands (the cooler emphasized especially for Western WA given the neutral anomalies right now). Reeeeally rooting for this given the drought in place; plus we haven't had a cooler than average May since 2012(!). Even getting a normal May would be a win at this point. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’ll be gone much of next week, but I will be in Oklahoma where it looks very wet. Aha! So that's why the pattern is breaking down! The truth comes out. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, Link said: Aha! So that's why the pattern is breaking down! The truth comes out. I love your sense of humor. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Pretty sunset. 76/47 day here. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 6 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Enjoying the sun on the deck right now and I have a visitor... Got a pretty nice close up glimpse of a bald eagle hunting today at the lake but unfortunately it was a little bit too fast for me to capture on camera. It then flew right over me and a couple of crows chased it away. Quite majestic. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 81/36. Those north winds really made for a nice day. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. 3 1 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. Wow... That would provide the region with just under May's entire monthly average total over the course of a week. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. I’m in the light blue! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 23 minutes ago, MossMan said: I’m in the light blue! Randy in the hole always works out for everyone 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Negative tilt... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Terrible summer crashing GFS run Lets hope the 99 in 100 odds of that not verifying work in our favor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. It looks as if the kind captain has upped the ante! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. Off on its own too. Not seeing the euro, gem, or ensemble support for this much rain or low development after Tuesday night. Really a wild forecast for 995 MB to get to Columbia in May. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante. I’ve never seen things this dry this early in the season and not have a substantial wet period before real summer arrives. The rain is coming. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 For anyone interested in solar activity, it certainly looks at this point like the sun is having a bit of a hard time getting out of bed after this last minimum. Possibly another 6 months before real activity returning to the disc. Never really seen such a slow start to a maximum before...even the Oulu gamma ray monitor is showing elevated levels and at this point last cycle we were in the negative reading for that. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Low of 51 this morning. And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday. Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 26 minutes ago, Jesse said: Low of 51 this morning. And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday. Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend Definitely weakened the late week storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 32 minutes ago, Jesse said: Low of 51 this morning. And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday. Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend Ur still cranky. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, Phil said: Ur still cranky. Yeah that was way out of line. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Just now, Jesse said: Yeah that was way out of line. Sorry 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, Phil said: This clears things up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 40 minutes ago, Jesse said: This clears things up WWB in the IO pushes water towards the Maritime Continent. Hence downwelling and warming in E-IO into Indo region. Warmer waters/convection in IO/Maritime Continent domain strengthens Walker Cell/trades thru WPAC, pushing the system into -ENSO/-PDO state. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Last nights euro run seemed pretty similar to the previous...about 1” of rain throughput western OR with just a bit less in western WA. Gfs still way wetter but I’m thinking it’s overdoing rainfall a bit. Good odds of the PNW getting some nice rain totals next week. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 14, 2021 Report Share Posted May 14, 2021 Low of 37, today looks like upper 70's so a few duhgreez cooler. Still a green light for t'storms today, and SPC also has me shaded on Sunday. We'll see how this goes. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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