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May 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

I think Washington had a great display the otehr day, this was on my way into/and at work.  I had to stop and pull over at the river.  Was only the 2nd time I've seen anything other than a standard halo/sun dogs.  No apologies about the logo haha, and Facebook really crapped on the quality too :0

186496949_245381740557361_1456354079973093526_n.jpg

185560586_245379003890968_2404825360943796683_n.jpg

Amazing Tyler!

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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18z is like a miracle. 

 

4DDE5BD2-2B77-44B1-8A55-586D42180DBF.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 hours ago, AlTahoe said:

Interesting that they experienced an extreme drought the same time as the west coast. 1975-1977 was considered the all time mega drought for California. But now 2019-2021 has beaten it for a large part of California, with 2013-2015 coming in 2nd or 3rd place depending on the region of California. Is there currently a large drought in Europe? 

Actually there is. They had an historical dry spring last year and I think summer. This spring is also dry but really cold for them with daily night frost till about now. Now they are having mild storms that look to be 'stuck in a rut' pattern.  It appears the UK is in for a 2010 style BBQ washout! 

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45 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

18z is like a miracle. 

 

4DDE5BD2-2B77-44B1-8A55-586D42180DBF.png

Gfs and the euro are looking pretty good next week. Hopefully it’s a start to a wet pattern sticks around for awhile. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1325680395_gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25(1).thumb.png.99674ddc4cfe1a92ac3bd4658cd3d6b5.png

1483103723_download(28).thumb.png.bdbaf30395dddceed6cbd9c1b31d1a68.png

Inject this; all of this; into my veins.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Glancing at preliminary May weather data, temperatures are around average (+/-0.5F) in Western WA, and slightly above (+0.5 to 1.5) in Western OR. Uniform precip departure west of the cascades , with most areas running around 2/3 of normal. If this upcoming pattern depicted by the models holds, which it might not, a cooler/wetter than normal May could be in store for the lowlands (the cooler emphasized especially for Western WA given the neutral anomalies right now). Reeeeally rooting for this given the drought in place; plus we haven't had a cooler than average May since 2012(!).

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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I’ll be gone much of next week, but I will be in Oklahoma where it looks very wet. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

18z is like a miracle. 

 

4DDE5BD2-2B77-44B1-8A55-586D42180DBF.png

Beautiful 

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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57 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Glancing at preliminary May weather data, temperatures are around average (+/-0.5F) in Western WA, and slightly above (+0.5 to 1.5) in Western OR. Uniform precip departure west of the cascades , with most areas running around 2/3 of normal. If this upcoming pattern depicted by the models holds, which it might not, a cooler/wetter than normal May could be in store for the lowlands (the cooler emphasized especially for Western WA given the neutral anomalies right now). Reeeeally rooting for this given the drought in place; plus we haven't had a cooler than average May since 2012(!).

Even getting a normal May would be a win at this point. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Link said:

Aha! So that's why the pattern is breaking down! The truth comes out. 

I love your sense of humor. 

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  • Storm 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Enjoying the sun on the deck right now and I have a visitor... 

20210513_143508.jpg

Got a pretty nice close up glimpse of a bald eagle hunting today at the lake but unfortunately it was a little bit too fast for me to capture on camera. It then flew right over me and a couple of crows chased it away. Quite majestic. 

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81/36. Those north winds really made for a nice day.

  • Windy 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante.   

 

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-1900800.png

Wow... That would provide the region with just under May's entire monthly average total over the course of a week.

  • Rain 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... 00Z GFS ups the ante.   

 

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-1900800.png

Off on its own too. Not seeing the euro, gem, or ensemble support for this much rain or low development after Tuesday night. Really a wild forecast for 995 MB to get to Columbia in May.

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For anyone interested in solar activity, it certainly looks at this point like the sun is having a bit of a hard time getting out of bed after this last minimum. Possibly another 6 months before real activity returning to the disc. Never really seen such a slow start to a maximum before...even the Oulu gamma ray monitor is showing elevated levels and at this point last cycle we were in the negative reading for that.

 

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Low of 51 this morning.

And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday.

Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend 😁

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26 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Low of 51 this morning.

And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday.

Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend 😁

Definitely weakened the late week storm.

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32 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Low of 51 this morning.

And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday.

Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend 😁

Ur still cranky.

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40 minutes ago, Jesse said:

This clears things up 

WWB in the IO pushes water towards the Maritime Continent. Hence downwelling and warming in E-IO into Indo region.

Warmer waters/convection in IO/Maritime Continent domain strengthens Walker Cell/trades thru WPAC, pushing the system into -ENSO/-PDO state.

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Last nights euro run seemed pretty similar to the previous...about 1” of rain throughput western OR with just a bit less in western WA. Gfs still way wetter but I’m thinking it’s overdoing rainfall a bit. Good odds of the PNW getting some nice rain totals next week. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Low of 37, today looks like upper 70's so a few duhgreez cooler. 

Still a green light for t'storms today, and SPC also has me shaded on Sunday. We'll see how this goes.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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