TacomaWaWx Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: It seems like the majority of this group believes that the PNW only encompasses a an area from Tacoma to Bellingham and from the coast to the cascade crest. Objectively, it has been a warm and historically dry spring for a large portion of the PNW. That trend will continue at least through the middle of June. A day or two of troughing here and there doesn’t change that fact. What are you calling me out for? 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: It seems like the majority of this group believes that the PNW only encompasses a an area from Tacoma to Bellingham and from the coast to the cascade crest. Objectively, it has been a warm and historically dry spring for a large portion of the PNW. That trend will continue at least through the middle of June. A day or two of troughing here and there doesn’t change that fact. Its been a little colder than normal up here for the last 3 months. It has not been that cold... but it certainly has not been a warm spring. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Very nice spring so far, here, imby, very nice!! Lots of variety and a very green golf course up the hill!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: I do think the troughs out there have had a more meridional flavor to them vs recent years. More GOA high overall. But I suppose conditions on the surface are what matter. Definitely. The amount of cool, dry advection this spring has seemed pretty anomalous. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 What happened to the 40 degree rain come Memorial Day Might see my first 90 degree day of the year tomorrow. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Funky pattern this week... this is only 72 hours out and both the GFS and ECMWF show the same thing. Its a ULL party to the north. Can't remember seeing 4 separate storms clustered so close together before. Pretty sure they will all line up and take turns moving through WA state. 2 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Funky pattern this week... this is only 72 hours out and both the GFS and ECMWF show the same thing. Its a ULL party to the north. Quadruple udders! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 30 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Very nice spring so far, here, imby, very nice!! Lots of variety and a very green golf course up the hill!! Its definitely been a great spring... one of my favorites in terms of sunshine and pleasant days. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Staying with my cousin for a couple of days and it’s kinda funny…she and her husband like to sit outside in the evenings, but my cousin got cold and had to go put long pants and a sweatshirt on. I pulled out my phone and checked the temp….65 LOL!! Thankfully easing in to the hot weather, it won’t hit 80+ for another day or 2. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Funky pattern this week... this is only 72 hours out and both the GFS and ECMWF show the same thing. Its a ULL party to the north. Can't remember seeing 4 separate storms clustered so close together before. Pretty sure they will all line up and take turns moving through WA state. Not an easy pattern to simulate by any means. Tbh I’m surprised at the degree of western troughing advertised by guidance attm. Intraseasonal forcings aren’t well suited for it at all. If this were 2018 we’d be staring down the barrel of a gargantuan western ridge. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Not an easy pattern to simulate by any means. Tbh I’m surprised at the degree of western troughing advertised by guidance attm. Intraseasonal forcings aren’t well suited for it at all. If this were 2018 we’d be staring down the barrel of a gargantuan western ridge. Models are all over the place. Nice improvements on the 00Z GFS though. I am sure the next run will be totally different. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 19 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Staying with my cousin for a couple of days and it’s kinda funny…she and her husband like to sit outside in the evenings, but my cousin got cold and had to go put long pants and a sweatshirt on. I pulled out my phone and checked the temp….65 LOL!! Thankfully easing in to the hot weather, it won’t hit 80+ for another day or 2. Same here. Tomorrow mid-70s, then low/mid 80s next week. Then probably hellish again by next weekend. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Models are all over the place. Nice improvements on the 00Z GFS though. I am sure the next run will be totally different. I’m still not sold on the deep troughing. I think it’ll be quick hitting with another cycle of ridging mid-June. Am much more bullish on legitimate troughing starting around (or just after) the solstice, running into July. The tropical forcing and in-situ system state align almost perfectly for it. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 40 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Funky pattern this week... this is only 72 hours out and both the GFS and ECMWF show the same thing. Its a ULL party to the north. Can't remember seeing 4 separate storms clustered so close together before. Pretty sure they will all line up and take turns moving through WA state. BTW..it amazes me how this^^ pattern finds a way to flex the eastern ridge. That’s just sickening. It’s always something. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 July troughing. Okay Phil. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 250 acre Sycan River Fire now burning uncontrolled in South Central Oregon. 3 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Sycan River Fire plume was pretty apparent on satellite earlier. Conditions over there aren't ideal for firefighting considering very dry fuels and vegetation, high temperatures, and no precipitation in sight. 1 1 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 250 acre Sycan River Fire now burning uncontrolled in South Central Oregon. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Good lord have a wonderful holiday y’all 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 31, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: July troughing. Okay Phil. Coolest August since 1995. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 43 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Coolest August since 1995. Back when it used to rain the summer here. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Got down to 48 this morning. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Last nights euro run was definitely better for rain lovers than the gfs...for WA and OR. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Oh look at that. Almost all the rain gone from the GFS. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Last nights euro run was definitely better for rain lovers than the gfs...for WA and OR. 06z EPS improved as well. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Oh look at that. Almost all the rain gone from the GFS. It trended wetter at Tim’s house. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 4 years ago! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, Phil said: It trended wetter at Tim’s house. Of course... we are drought proof here. Its never a concern. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Can really hear the cicadas in this video. Probably the loudest day so far. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Warm morning. Surprise 90 in spots in western Oregon today? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Ghost showers here in Sedona. Sadly no exciting weather here 62* 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 30 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Warm morning. Surprise 90 in spots in western Oregon today? 'twould not be a surprise. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 18 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Ghost showers here in Sedona. Sadly no exciting weather here 62* Looks like a great road trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 64 here at 10am. Warming up quick! We will see if we hit 80 here near the water. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 42 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Warm morning. Surprise 90 in spots in western Oregon today? How can it be a surprise when it was literally forecasted since middle of last week it was going to be hot this weekend? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 31 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Ghost showers here in Sedona. Sadly no exciting weather here 62* Ghost showers in the sky?Riders In The Sky (Unedited Version)- Spike Jones And His City Slickers-1949 - YouTube 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: Can really hear the cicadas in this video. Probably the loudest day so far. CNN is about as useful as the Daily Prophet by Rita Skeeter....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 Significant improvement out there on the 12z GFS. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted May 31, 2021 Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 14 minutes ago, Link said: How can it be a surprise when it was literally forecasted since middle of last week it was going to be hot this weekend? I don’t see any forecasts calling for 90 today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 31, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 31, 2021 I’m going to Seattle next weekend and it looks like I’m going during a trough. Maybe I’ll finally get to see what Tim and Mossman are talking about. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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