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12Z ECMWF showing a warm and sunny weekend ahead... as does all the models now.    

And it looks like its on track to crash early next week which would also be nice.   Timing is everything.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1.05" of rainfall/hail yesterday afternoon/evening with the strong storms that moved through here before changing to heavy snowfall around midnight. Measured 7" this morning! Pretty incredible for May

3" of snow in 2 hours tonight and still dumping. A very good overperformer 

Clip of the storm from beginning to end.....very 😎 cool!  https://video.nest.com/clip/1fd9d2f06b77452cbc676458b5263e1e.mp4  

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2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Do you have a link to the meteograms?  The site I’ve been using is shutting down. 

WeatherBell is where I view them but as said, it's like $25-$30 a month. I use sports betting winnings to pay for my subscription but only from Nov-Feb. Since I've purchased it, we have proceeded to have a grand total of zero inches of snow and we're still in the midst of like 1500+ days since our last sub-freezing high.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Saw a 77 year old man fell off the trail and died recently. Be careful. 

Yeah looks like quite a few spots have steep narrow cliffs.

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Well, Euro/EPS held firm. As did GFS.

One of them is bluffing.

I think its going to be troughy and wet in the Monday-Wednesday period.   

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Up to 65 after a low of 45....64/42 yesterday. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Well, Euro/EPS held firm. As did GFS.

One of them is bluffing.

Euro looked troughier than 00z, but the EPS moved things through a lot faster.

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4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

WeatherBell is where I view them but as said, it's like $25-$30 a month. I use sports betting winnings to pay for my subscription but only from Nov-Feb. Since I've purchased it, we have proceeded to have a grand total of zero inches of snow and we're still in the midst of like 1500+ days since our last sub-freezing high.

Ok, thanks.  I like the at a glance aspect of the meteograms despite their inaccuracies but it doesn’t seem worth subscribing to Weatherbell to get them. 
 

I’m more interested in your secrets to actually making a profit on sports betting, as I tend to run a deficit there.  😀

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40 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Ok, thanks.  I like the at a glance aspect of the meteograms despite their inaccuracies but it doesn’t seem worth subscribing to Weatherbell to get them. 
 

I’m more interested in your secrets to actually making a profit on sports betting, as I tend to run a deficit there.  😀

Set a consistent unit price. For me I use 1% of my bankroll on each unit. Each pick for the day should be based on that number, sometimes it's worth it to go 1.5 units and sometimes only 0.5 units. Unit placement is one of the most important things but also quite difficult to do well.

Single games only. NBA player props, NFL player props. Follow good cappers on twitter (there are several that hit at a 60% clip). With the props, one has to be ready to get the line very quickly or it will move higher and the player will have more trouble reaching that figure.

Bet on the opponent to cover the spread vs the Seahawks XD (don't actually bet emotionally)

Almost never do parlays because that's basically pulling a slot machine. 6 point NFL teasers are ok just don't do too many.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Absolute perfection today.    I appreciate nice weather in May and June more than in any other months.   Its pretty depressing when its dark and gloomy during the longest daylight of the year.   I don't mind some rain and gloomy days mixed in... but these extended periods of sunshine are a real treat.   And knowing that summer is just getting started.     I realize its always this way in Oregon... but not always up here.

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Absolute perfection today.    I appreciate nice weather in May and June more than in any other months.   Its pretty depressing when its dark and gloomy during the longest daylight of the year.   I don't mind some rain and gloomy days mixed in... but these extended periods of sunshine are a real treat.   And knowing that summer is just getting started.     I realize its always this way in Oregon... but not always up here.

Going to be BBQ’ing on the deck this evening!! 

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Has anyone checked on Jesse?🙏🏻

Just got home, and I was posting as recently as this morning. Today was a pretty day. Just because this weather pattern is about the farthest thing from ideal right now for our region doesn’t mean I can’t appreciate a day at face value. Got some nice hiking in this weekend too.

Anyway, I apologize for not being on as much lately. I know I should be filling this place with harrowing anecdotes and endless pages of whining and complaining like certain people would be doing if the meteorological tables were turned right now. Since that is so productive ;)

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Took most of the day off work. 

E5FD40F0-A12C-4216-A1CF-026F5396FBBB.jpeg

3273D456-12EC-47CA-9543-151E435419C0.jpeg

96F03529-7278-4A2D-A636-4D40650C23BA.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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17 minutes ago, MossMan said:

As real as Jesse’s hatred towards sunny warm weather!! 

He also happens to loathe fire weather. Which you can come and enjoy down here immediately.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Lovely evening!! 

D7B70A36-4847-4E79-B84A-D41F9ACEBF4A.jpeg

7AD857B2-6803-4867-BAC7-3BDF2E1B70A7.jpeg

Mmmm!

Medium rare for me please! Pink with a red center!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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40 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Mmmm!

Medium rare for me please! Pink with a red center!

Don’t you mean red with a white arrow shaped center? 

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11 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Don’t you mean red with a white arrow shaped center? 

That’s your spring shtick, not mine.  I would dare steal your tropic thunder.  

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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32 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

That’s your spring shtick, not mine.  I would dare steal your tropic thunder.  

It’s pretty benign all things considered. Although I realize making a HUGE deal about whatever I happen to be doing is usually yours.

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1 hour ago, Jesse said:

It’s pretty benign all things considered. Although I realize making a HUGE deal about whatever I happen to be doing is usually yours.

I’ll tell you right now what IS gonna be a huge deal...

Wait for it...

 

Here it comes...

 

December.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’ll tell you right now what IS gonna be a huge deal...

Wait for it...

 

Here it comes...

 

December.

Isn’t there like a whole section of bar exam on the art of deflection?

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12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’ll tell you right now what IS gonna be a huge deal...

Wait for it...

 

Here it comes...

 

December.

The Seahawks should be wrapping up their regular season choke-job around that time.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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6 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Isn’t there like a whole section of bar exam on the art of deflection?

Hey look! Jesse wants to fight about something other than the weather!

Weird year!

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Legal argument winner odds:

Dewey -450

Jesse +500

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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Trout for dayz. Gorgeous day in the valley and on the central coast. Down to 48 now, just finished gutting the fish. 

FC41EC0F-BCF0-4989-8465-265C208F25B3.jpeg

811BC789-9947-49D7-AB4E-12FB5AFEB129.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Trout for dayz. Gorgeous day in the valley and on the central coast. Down to 48 now, just finished gutting the fish. 

FC41EC0F-BCF0-4989-8465-265C208F25B3.jpeg

811BC789-9947-49D7-AB4E-12FB5AFEB129.jpeg

You might end up Level Tim for forum daughter pics at this rate.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Certainly some hints in the models that an exceptional cool period may be in store later in the month.  We shall see.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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20 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Probably not at my location.  2011 and 2012 were pretty cold La Nina springs.  This La Nina spring has been fairly mild.  Lots of cool nights, but not cold.

What made this La Nina so different then the cold 2011? On Britain's Extreme Weather Season 1 they explain this very thing around 2009 thru 2012 Britain suffered unusually cold weather till 2013. In fact 6 summers in a row were total washouts till the great heat of 2013 on episode 4 about heat. 

Obviously we weren't alone in the 2009 thru 2012 cold department here in the PNW.

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6 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Hey look! Jesse wants to fight about something other than the weather!

Weird year!

Seems like you’ve been trying to pick one for weeks now. Sorry that my hysteria about the warm and dry spring hasn’t met your hopes/expectations :(

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Next week looks like it could be a bit rainy at times. Hopefully it holds up...rest of this week looks nice. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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5 hours ago, Link said:

What made this La Nina so different then the cold 2011? On Britain's Extreme Weather Season 1 they explain this very thing around 2009 thru 2012 Britain suffered unusually cold weather till 2013. In fact 6 summers in a row were total washouts till the great heat of 2013 on episode 4 about heat. 

Obviously we weren't alone in the 2009 thru 2012 cold department here in the PNW.

The overall year of 2009 wasn't as cold as 2008 in the PNW. There was maybe a stretch of 3 years from 2010-2012 that were considered statistically cold. Don't forget we had a hot summer in Jul/Aug 2009, and later that winter was an El Nino season with pretty much little or snow events aside from the one right before my birthday.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Severe clear in Salem.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Going to be interesting to see how the rest of this month plays out. I could definitely see us getting close to normal precip for the month. We are at 1.69" right now, which is close to normal. We have done pretty well with upslope precip with the weak systems that have moved through. Looks like maybe another 1/2-1" of rain is possible next week if current trends hold. 

Either way May will not be a repeat of 2018 which is good, June now becomes a pivotal month. Praying for ULL's and onshore flow!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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