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May 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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HRRR shows a decent c-zone firing up later this afternoon and into this evening.    My area will probably get hit pretty good.    Tomorrow looks drier though so that is nice.

 

hrrr-washington-refc_cloud-9917200.png

hrrr-washington-refc_cloud-9931600.png

hrrr-washington-total_precip_inch-9942400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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59 and mostly cloudy here. Figured may would be wetter but only 0.4” on the euro the next 10 days....still a whole lotta month left to go though. I wouldn’t be surprised if May ended up wetter than April this year like it did last year. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS says the first half of May will be drier than normal...

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-1166400.png

Could end up being 1st or 2nd driest spring ive recorded. Record is 4.25” in 2019...at 3.84” currently so 2nd place is more likely. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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  • Longtimer
1 hour ago, Jesse said:

Of course it’s a way different story west of the mountains.

Sure, but April is still relatively dry in Western Oregon and Washington compared to November through February.  Seattle and Portland average about 2.5 inches in April, compared to 5-6 inches in the wettest Winter months.  A 1.5 inch deficit for April is better than a 4.5 inch deficit in December or January.  And actually heavy rain in April in the mountains would erode the snow pack faster than drier weather.

Would much rather have a drier April then in any winter month.  

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20 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Ocean still has water in it.  For now...

 

98593759-1D47-4F56-95BC-E320A0275ED7.jpeg

Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away.    That will be an incredible salt flat some day.   Get a dune buggy now!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

DFCC9ECF-849E-4281-B23D-E661D3955ECE.thumb.jpeg.76ca23b44f931d6022402ce584883d71.jpegB0BBB15D-83B8-49B0-937F-45E63E84F803.thumb.jpeg.1bae5701197d5b6baae3a3914c74ddbd.jpegBEB53C0A-2DE1-482D-916D-4902E7AE337A.thumb.jpeg.cfa507b293e5bbad1708b74846f563ce.jpeg8CB3286E-DC88-4BC4-9B8D-8D5D8A76C709.thumb.jpeg.f7580bd6f5893b8df188b7f8b4aeff13.jpeg

Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September!

The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture.

Very nice!

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  • Longtimer
1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Sure, but April is still relatively dry in Western Oregon and Washington compared to November through February.  Seattle and Portland average about 2.5 inches in April, compared to 5-6 inches in the wettest Winter months.  A 1.5 inch deficit for April is better than a 4.5 inch deficit in December or January.  And actually heavy rain in April in the mountains would erode the snow pack faster than drier weather.

Would much rather have a drier April then in any winter month.  

Idk. It’s pretty rare to get warm rain in the mountains in April. Usually if the pattern is active the upper airmasses are still sufficiently cool for snow at pass level or above. Snowpack situation would be a lot better for Oregon right now if it hadn’t been such a warm and dry month.

Drier weather in the winter can mean cold and snow, at least on the west side. Wet weather in April is always nice since it makes things look lush and green. This was a record or near record dry April and March/April combo for many areas on the west side so it’s pretty notable, and has been largely responsible for putting much of Oregon and SW Washington into moderate drought conditions.

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21 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Idk. It’s pretty rare to get warm rain in the mountains in April. Usually if the pattern is active the upper airmasses are still sufficiently cool for snow at pass level or above. Snowpack situation would be a lot better for Oregon right now if it hadn’t been such a warm and dry month.

Drier weather in the winter can mean cold and snow, at least on the west side. Wet weather in April is always nice since it makes things look lush and green. This was a record or near record dry April and March/April combo for many areas on the west side so it’s pretty notable.

2nd driest March April combo on record here this year with 3.84” only bested by 3.73” in 2019. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away.    That will be an incredible salt flat some day.   Get a dune buggy now!

Imagine the temps in the Marianas Trench. Death Valley will seem sub alpine by comparison.

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3 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

DFCC9ECF-849E-4281-B23D-E661D3955ECE.thumb.jpeg.76ca23b44f931d6022402ce584883d71.jpegB0BBB15D-83B8-49B0-937F-45E63E84F803.thumb.jpeg.1bae5701197d5b6baae3a3914c74ddbd.jpegBEB53C0A-2DE1-482D-916D-4902E7AE337A.thumb.jpeg.cfa507b293e5bbad1708b74846f563ce.jpeg8CB3286E-DC88-4BC4-9B8D-8D5D8A76C709.thumb.jpeg.f7580bd6f5893b8df188b7f8b4aeff13.jpeg

Drove over to Corvallis and walked around the OSU campus. I’ll be back to stay in September!

The second pic is the greenhouses. I’m not fully decided on major and minor yet but my minor might be agriculture.

Go Beavers! I graduated from there with a B.S. in Horticultural Science.  Of course that was 30 years ago, but it's still a great school.

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  • Longtimer

Ended up going back to the lake house to mow since the weather turned out way nicer than I was expecting! 

270A8378-EDE9-47E1-AEE1-E1265254815A.jpeg

ABE70D9F-8F9E-48B7-A17F-AA6D258DE558.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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gfs_apcpn_nwus_38.thumb.png.427aad977d4294405b127a6fe5e5cbc0.png

Pretty ideal precip distribution on the 18z GFS. Hopefully it sticks. At the very least, substantial Oregon precip starts as soon as hour 120.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 hour ago, T-Town said:

62 here and kinda breezy. Good day for gettin stuff done. 
 

Azalea is at its peak. Rhodies are a few days away. 
 

 

6A6153B6-A0F0-4C4B-89B1-3C4E7C17B64B.jpeg

A2B706D6-764E-4FC8-B8FC-6FD64D47C1DA.jpeg

Rhododendrons are just starting to go here at my place too. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Ended up going back to the lake house to mow since the weather turned out way nicer than I was expecting! 

270A8378-EDE9-47E1-AEE1-E1265254815A.jpeg

ABE70D9F-8F9E-48B7-A17F-AA6D258DE558.jpeg

Nice!

Jesse should be here soon to puke all over your pics.  😀

Wetter than normal water year... wetter than normal year to date... mountains have almost 150% of normal snowpack... and you take joy in the small things like a sunny day in western WA.   If there was a way to puke on your photos 20 times I would!  

jesse.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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40 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

gfs_apcpn_nwus_38.thumb.png.427aad977d4294405b127a6fe5e5cbc0.png

Pretty ideal precip distribution on the 18z GFS. Hopefully it sticks. At the very least, substantial Oregon precip starts as soon as hour 120.

That would be nice. 

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  • Longtimer
50 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice!

Jesse should be here soon to puke all over your pics.  😀

Wetter than normal water year... wetter than normal year to date... mountains have almost 150% of normal snowpack... and you take joy in the small things like a sunny day in western WA.   If there was a way to puke on your photos 20 times I would!  

jesse.png

You really do have way more of an issue with what others post and think than any other person on this forum, and it's not even close.

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  • Longtimer
38 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Some heavy rain here now... and a loud chorus of frogs out there.  

44 and breezy/dry here. Enjoy the CZ! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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The 00Z ECMWF was much drier than the last few runs with that late week trough.    

10-day precip total and anomalies...

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-total_precip_inch-0777600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-qpf_anom_10day-0777600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Unfortunately the sun is in the process of expanding and eventually it will get close enough to evaporate the oceans away.    That will be an incredible salt flat some day.   Get a dune buggy now!

Up to grab some Cowboy Chemtrails before it all evaporates away?

 

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Picked up .40 overnight with that c-zone... and .80 since Friday.   

Should be basically dry out here today with more rain tomorrow afternoon into Tuesday morning. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12 hours ago, T-Town said:

Pretty sunset. 

1E70ACB9-9F76-4FED-9EB4-FB309817D20B.jpeg

Didn’t have as good of a westerly view where I was last night but was pretty nice! 

E03139CA-BA8A-4DBB-AFEA-804D6BAA467A.jpeg

7FF9ED74-9249-4E83-B75A-88CFB24D446D.jpeg

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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The highlight in the 10-day forecast is obviously the two days showing mid 50's Fri/Sat here ;)

That better come with some moist fronts and post frontal convectives.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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19 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Tim! How does the latest cloud cover map look for today? 

Partly cloudy... but probably cloudy at times.   Clouds are bubbling up with the sun.

I am out mowing a sopping wet lawn right now.   Feels like May! 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The clouds earlier this morning were very much welcomed. Now back to assault torrential UV rays.

  • Sun 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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One year ago vs. right now. Crabapple tree has major delayed blooming.

710824271_IMG_1785-2254-Copy.jpg

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Nice. Is that a park or private property?

It’s a private property...friends house right up above Ruston waterfront. Walk down to get photos there all the time. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Wedding went off without a hitch! And it didn't rain on us, it came through overnight!

Looks like Springfield managed to pick up a half inch of rain but the airport only had 0.33 good lord what a disaster.  And it looks like more warmer and drier than normal weather on the way...shocker.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Wedding went off without a hitch! And it didn't rain on us, it came through overnight!

Looks like Springfield managed to pick up a half inch of rain but the airport only had 0.33 good lord what a disaster.  And it looks like more warmer and drier than normal weather on the way...shocker.

Glad everything went well for you! 

Yeah, May doesn't look incredibly wet anywhere. That could change late month going into June hopefully.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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  • Longtimer
3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Partly cloudy... but probably cloudy at times.   Clouds are bubbling up with the sun.

I am out mowing a sopping wet lawn right now.   Feels like May! 

Did some weedeating and weed spraying. Not too bad of a day! 

7FCDB254-8BFC-45B9-87C3-F04487C85754.jpeg

167ED8F1-284B-4210-90E1-BCF7FA12DB79.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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