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12 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Nice to see graphics like this in late Spring. But too little too late.

WeatherStory1.png

D9F2AEA7-D2F1-4D0B-8E5D-70B6D2131915.jpeg.25785e4e36476cec5d2843df17913d81.jpeg

Someone on Weatherwest posted this webcam from Alturas.

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1.05" of rainfall/hail yesterday afternoon/evening with the strong storms that moved through here before changing to heavy snowfall around midnight. Measured 7" this morning! Pretty incredible for May

3" of snow in 2 hours tonight and still dumping. A very good overperformer 

Clip of the storm from beginning to end.....very 😎 cool!  https://video.nest.com/clip/1fd9d2f06b77452cbc676458b5263e1e.mp4  

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1 hour ago, Link said:

The Euro is usually right.  The GFS (Garbage Forecast System) is a joke. Remember the Euro is a 'paid' model where GFS is 'free' by the government. The EURO I think is Weather Bell's subscription: so of course they have to have a higher standard or they'd lose gobs of customers whom rely on it .

The 'Free' model you take it or leave it no need to improve it unless a major push happens. You know how government red tape works.  It's like Android vs Apple. One is like monkeys on drugs making it.

Ha. I’m gonna start using that one.

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Just now, Omegaraptor said:

D9F2AEA7-D2F1-4D0B-8E5D-70B6D2131915.jpeg.25785e4e36476cec5d2843df17913d81.jpeg

Someone on Weatherwest posted this webcam from Alturas.

Atleast the last couple weeks of this spring are actually acting like a La Niña. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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30 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

D9F2AEA7-D2F1-4D0B-8E5D-70B6D2131915.jpeg.25785e4e36476cec5d2843df17913d81.jpeg

Someone on Weatherwest posted this webcam from Alturas.

Awesome. I don't know if Alturas normally gets more snow or not. Nothing accumulated at my place. Something was falling when I went to bed.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

87B4A6AA-0F7F-4448-8323-B9C183813166.gif.3f8f8b547ff789d3fe12ab00c41deedc.gif

Willamette Valley soil moisture is now ranking below the 1st percentile

So if we have a solid east wind event again and massive fires start coming into the valley, it's looking like we could lose most, if not all of our grass & grass seed...obliterating Oregon's economy. And most urban areas, esp in the south valley will be destroyed.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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47 degrees with thick clouds and drizzle in the afternoon in late May.   Not nice.

Sorry to the folks who missed out on the rain... but I am going to celebrate any pattern that leads to more sunshine and warmth.    We have had well over an inch of rain in the last 3 days and the weather has been more like winter than late spring.   

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15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

47 degrees with thick clouds and drizzle in the afternoon in late May.   Not nice.

Sorry to the folks who missed out on the rain... but I am going to celebrate any pattern that leads to more sunshine and warmth.    We have had well over an inch of rain in the last 3 days and the weather has been more like winter than late spring.   

Pretty much defines this part of the region with the exception of devastating fires.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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9 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Anyone ever read the short story “All Summer in a Day” by Ray Bradbury? 
 

https://www.mukilteoschools.org/site/handlers/filedownload.ashx?moduleinstanceid=183&dataid=731&FileName=6-All-Summer-in-a-Day-by-Ray-Bradbury.pdf

I think this is how Tim views the PNW. 

 

If I wanted 40s and 50s and drizzle all summer then I would move to Sitka or Juneau.  

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

If I wanted 40s and 50s and drizzle all summer then I would move to Sitka or Juneau.  

Juneau's record highs are actually the low 90s. A good place to see weather stats is WestJuneau.com a weather station on Nowell ave in West Juneau though he stopped doing his log after 2018 but has archives back to 2003 or so. And weather stats back to the early 80s.  One year had almost no rain in the 80s. Which is highlighted in his rainfall records.  

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

I’m surprised Tim @TT-SEA didn’t take a picture of this or perhaps he missed it. It’s at NB. Just spectacular colors.

 

 

He was hunkered down in their scattered shower underground shelter.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Just now, Cloud said:

I’m surprised Tim didn’t take a picture of this or perhaps he missed it. It’s at NB. Just spectacular colors.

 

 

Saw many pics on facebook of the sunset out here... I actually missed it.   

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Just now, Deweydog said:

He was hunkered down in their scattered shower underground shelter.

Doors were locked!  

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Saw many pics on facebook of the sunset out here... I actually missed it.   

D**n, it would’ve been amazing to see some pics from you! But too bad you missed it.

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

If I wanted 40s and 50s and drizzle all summer then I would move to Sitka or Juneau.  

You live in one of the most consistently wet places in the US. Move or stop complaining so much you big dummy. 

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2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

You live in one of the most consistently wet places in the US. Move you big dummy. 

Nah... we get plenty of nice weather here and we love it.   Its definitely not Sitka.      

And I am looking forward to some more nice weather because 40s and drizzle during the afternoon in the warm season is pretty rare here.   Thankfully!    We get enough of that in the cold season.  

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Currently 49 in North Bend in the middle of the afternoon... normal high for May 20th at the Snoqualmie Falls station is 67.

Juuuuust a bit colder than normal for this area today.    

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Currently 49 in North Bend in the middle of the afternoon... normal high for May 20th at the Snoqualmie Falls station is 67.

Juuuuust a bit colder than normal for this area today.    

56 and partly sunny here. Living close to the water means the clouds burn off a lot faster than up near the cascade crest usually. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Tim's back!!!

Yeah... none of you would be complaining about 20 degrees above normal today.    I will remember that during the next warm spell.  😁

 

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3 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

87B4A6AA-0F7F-4448-8323-B9C183813166.gif.3f8f8b547ff789d3fe12ab00c41deedc.gif

Willamette Valley soil moisture is now ranking below the 1st percentile

That has to be wrong here. The bay breeze is kicking up puffs of dust as I type this. Never seen it this dry in May before. Only years I can remember that come close are 2012 and 2008.

Been almost a month since we’ve seen more than a sprinkle.

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... none of you would be complaining about 20 degrees above normal today.    I will remember that during the next warm spell.  😁

 

And it only took a brief hiatus to one of the sunniest, driest springs on record for you to tell us!

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Just now, BLI snowman said:

And it only took a brief hiatus to one of the sunniest, driest springs on record for you to tell us!

Yep... its been a lovely spring.     But I was reporting on the current weather.    And I am still looking forward to nicer weather returning.     👍

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6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

And it only took a brief hiatus to one of the sunniest, driest springs on record for you to tell us!

Imagine another summer like 1964. That would be some top notch entertainment.

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I’ve resigned myself to the fact this summer is going to blowtorch massively. Thought we could pull off a 2008 but that ship has sailed.

Entrenched IPWP w/ dual EHEM/WP low pass signal w/ strong Walker and wide/poleward WHEM Hadley Cell(s). This will paint the entire lower-48 a deep shade from of red (especially mid/late summer) unless something miraculous happens. Could beat 2016.

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Flurries 15 minutes ago here. Occasional sunbreaks and pretty windy out.

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’ve resigned myself to the fact this summer is going to blowtorch massively. Thought we could pull off a 2008 but that ship has sailed.

Entrenched IPWP w/ dual EHEM/WP low pass signal w/ strong Walker and wide/poleward WHEM Hadley Cell(s). This will paint the entire lower-48 a deep shade from of red (especially mid/late summer) unless something miraculous happens. Could beat 2016.

I am sensing a warm and dry summer too.    Just a hunch without any scientific back up.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Watch us pull off a summer 2019 repeat now. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’ve resigned myself to the fact this summer is going to blowtorch massively. Thought we could pull off a 2008 but that ship has sailed.

Entrenched IPWP w/ dual EHEM/WP low pass signal w/ strong Walker and wide/poleward WHEM Hadley Cell(s). This will paint the entire lower-48 a deep shade from of red (especially mid/late summer) unless something miraculous happens.

Try as I might.....I always get lost when Phil launches into his alphabet soup.  I did realize today that imaging Christopher Walken is reading Phil's posts to me is a total game changer.  Give it a shot, you will not be disappointed!

 

I too have a gut feeling that this summer is gonna be toasty.  In the near term, I'm not liking the hot weather showing on the maps the first week of June both here and the South east....I'm supposed to be going back to Atlanta to help get my mom moved into an assisted living facility (finally getting her out of the hospital/short term rehab facility), so not looking forward to the heat/humidity.  Hopefully it does provide for some thunderstorm activity at some point while I'm there....

 

 

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am sensing a warm and dry summer too.    Just a hunch without any scientific back up.    

Grass already looks like late July here.

Even have some green leaves shriveling up and falling off the trees. Though some of this might be cicada related.

 

64869EEF-2790-4197-9B6A-8548C643D21D.jpeg

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

Grass already looks like late July here.

Even have some green leaves shriveling up and falling off the trees. Though some of this might be cicada related.

 

64869EEF-2790-4197-9B6A-8548C643D21D.jpeg

Another possibility is that Jim stopped by and stripped the leaves off your trees.   😄

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4 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Try as I might.....I always get lost when Phil launches into his alphabet soup.  I did realize today that imaging Christopher Walken is reading Phil's posts to me is a total game changer.  Give it a shot, you will not be disappointed!

 

I too have a gut feeling that this summer is gonna be toasty.  In the near term, I'm not liking the hot weather showing on the maps the first week of June both here and the South east....I'm supposed to be going back to Atlanta to help get my mom moved into an assisted living facility (finally getting her out of the hospital/short term rehab facility), so not looking forward to the heat/humidity.  Hopefully it does provide for some thunderstorm activity at some point while I'm there....

 

 

Hope all goes well with your mom. Wishing you the best.

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My unscientific hunch says summer at least won't be as sizzling as 2015. 

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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16 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Watch us pull off a summer 2019 repeat now. 

Yeah... it usually does not follow any plan that we lay out on here.     Although Phil was telling us the summer of 2019 was going to be wet during the spring.   He is not telling us that about this summer.  

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Looks like Portland is in the line of fire now... hopefully some meaningful rain down there.

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17 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

My unscientific hunch says summer at least won't be as sizzling as 2015. 

Perhaps not quite that bad in the PNW, but it could be worse than 2015 in the SW. I think?

Some of the subseasonal analogs suggest troughing returns to the Great Lakes/NE US in June, so maybe the nasty stuff can be delayed out this way. But deterministic guidance isn’t buying it yet. Would be tough to pull off.

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Currently 49 in North Bend in the middle of the afternoon... normal high for May 20th at the Snoqualmie Falls station is 67.

Juuuuust a bit colder than normal for this area today.    

Arctic outbreak and 20ft of snow in NB if this was January. Deal with it!

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

I am sensing a warm and dry summer too.    Just a hunch without any scientific back up.    

I'll take what you said if only we somehow miraculously pull off a summer without the fire and smoke. Very difficult to do these past few years.

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May 20th has been cold like this before, just remembered a high of 42 and 0.55" rainfall at KLMT on 5/20/2016.

A little drier and warmer today by the looks of it.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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5 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Rain Totals:

Day: 0.12”

Week: 1.14” 

Month: 4.14”

Berry-picking season is soon.. 

Month: T"

Mind sharing? 🤣

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
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Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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