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May 2021 Pacific Northwest Weather Obs


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Had some light rain a couple hours ago but nothing since. Looks like the main slug of precipitation is starting to move in though. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Very impressive bout of IO forcing coming up. Water is on fire across the basin and convergence from trades is building.

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9 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Had some light rain a couple hours ago but nothing since. Looks like the main slug of precipitation is starting to move in though. 

12Z ECMWF is actually pretty impressive with this little event... it rains from this afternoon into tomorrow morning out here.    Might pick up another .75 which will put us at over 3 inches of rain in the last 9 days.   

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-0151200.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Very impressive bout of IO forcing coming up. Water is on fire across the basin and convergence from trades is building.

This will produce a trade burst smack dab over the IPWP/Maritime continent with time. It reminds me of the 2010-12 period which had lots of WPAC trades and brief warm season DOKWs/ENSO spikes. Though there’s distinction w/ WPAC OHC this season.

If this were midsummer we’d probably be looking at an ugly pattern that would roast everyone (except the PNW, ironically 😂). But in May it is a changeable relationship statistically. Much more state dependent.

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  • Longtimer

Today’s dose of Skykomish! Still some scattered snow up the hill. Currently 60 here. 

6AE509CA-8B74-4585-91C1-6B3E99D7CF8E.jpeg

784C4D70-9A4A-4172-8EA3-5D92EFCD6CDA.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer

Walked out on the bridge at Skykomish since I had a few extra minutes...I just love this area! Oh and the bridge was built in 1939...Analog? 

DCC28EAA-151F-4C2A-A623-F480C33C93FB.jpeg

F080D574-6EF9-473D-A54B-788C1E8ADD47.jpeg

2BB3B5BA-02B0-49D9-A71B-FD5057BE98DC.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Here’s a helpful resource from Dr. Paul Roundy on seasonal cycle of MJO relationship(s) to the extratropical wave field.

I’d recommend bookmarking it. 🤓

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/index200reg.html

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As can be seen, the ugly phases for the West during midsummer are phases 5-8 (Pacific/WHEM), while phases 1-4 (Indian Ocean/EHEM) are troughier out there.

But that relationship changes markedly from season to season.

 

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is actually pretty impressive with this little event... it rains from this afternoon into tomorrow morning out here.    Might pick up another .75 which will put us at over 3 inches of rain in the last 9 days.   

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-0151200.png

0.30”-0.40” here not bad. Euro shows my location being among the wetter ones over the next week. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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  • Longtimer
1 hour ago, The Blob said:

For those of you who love Death Valley.

USER_SCOPED_TEMP_DATA_orca-image-1203355678.jpeg

October-April look lovely! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Moderate rain moving in now... this is the 7th day in the last 10 days with rain here.    And it will likely be 8 out of 11 with rain continuing into tomorrow morning.     If the ECMWF is right... we will be well over 3 inches of rain in that 11 day period.

It does not seem too droughty up here.    Its been pretty normal since the end of the April warm spell.   And currently right around normal for the year so far as well.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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71F and partly cloudy. Very pleasant and dry day. North/south precip gradient just won't stop.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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  • Longtimer
36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Moderate rain moving in now... this is the 7th day in the last 10 days with rain here.    And it will likely be 8 out of 11 with rain continuing into tomorrow morning.     If the ECMWF is right... we will be well over 3 inches of rain in that 11 day period.

It does not seem too droughty up here.    Its been pretty normal since the end of the April warm spell.   And currently right around normal for the year so far as well.  

My conditions have been different and I hate you for that.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

Here’s a helpful resource from Dr. Paul Roundy on seasonal cycle of MJO relationship(s) to the extratropical wave field.

I’d recommend bookmarking it. 🤓

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/rmmcyc/index200reg.html

@TT-SEA You had asked for something like this last week, right?

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Speaking of the IO..wowzers. Those waters are about to spontaneously combust.

cdas-sflux_sst_global_1.png

That has been a common theme in the weather lately.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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So not surprising to see a standing wave set up there in IO. The EPS goes balls to the wall with it.

 

42EAC5B4-D0E6-4620-A8AC-6F93512B74BE.png

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May 3rd and cracking skin. Mid Spring shouldn't be this dry.

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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45 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

May 3rd and cracking skin. Mid Spring shouldn't be this dry.

Welcome to the beginning of the end of our beautiful SW Oregon biome. The Biscuit fire is going to be topped.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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10 minutes ago, Link said:

And what does that entail? Combust has to do with heat so your saying we are in for a wild hot ride?

And/or a fiery ride in a few months.

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Raining again... play with sound up if you want to be soothed by our wetness.    No cracked ground up here.  

*HANGOVER CURE* - Click on video for instant results!

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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11 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

I am reminded of the weakness of man every time I read a Tim post. 

I am very weak... that is true.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Raining harder here now.   

And SEA has picked up .21 just in the last couple of hours.

"This is a Sim Copter emergency news broadcast: Citizens have reported mysterious water droplets appearing from the sky and the bright orange (now a days white) disc in the sky obscured. This liquid is NOT  harmful to breathe or digest and the bright disc in the sky will reappear real soon. Now pay attention to your flying."

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43 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Raining harder here now.   

And SEA has picked up .21 just in the last couple of hours.

That will probably be all I get in May. But watch K-Falls get 2" in one hour in August. lol

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Raining again... play with sound up if you want to be soothed by our wetness.    No cracked ground up here.  

Now THATS what I call a beautiful spring day. 😁 Have you considered making a sleeping sound soother track with that?

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Raining harder here now.   

And SEA has picked up .21 just in the last couple of hours.

Just 0.10” here so far. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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58 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

No noisy critters emerging from the ground either like back on the East coast 😱

 

 

They started emerging in the DC heat island last night. But so far it’s confined to the warmest locations only.

Not nearly as much UHI here so we probably won’t see them until next week. But we’re also surrounded by old woods and protected land, so when they do emerge it’ll be in much larger numbers than downtown DC. In 2004 it was full on bonkers.

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Marmots screaming and now the possums are angry at everything. A few drops of rain is all I ask ;)

c5ea64e6066b428da95d64a3edcdaab8.jpg

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 23
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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NOAA released the new 30yr climate normals today.

Avg July high now peaks at 90. 🤮 My little talking point that any 90+ day is above avg is officially shattered. 

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  • Longtimer
8 minutes ago, Phil said:

New climate normals can be accessed here.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/

Thank you!

Not surprising, but still startling to see PDX now bottoms out for their average high on Christmas and starts to bounce three days later.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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