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59 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It has nothing to do with that... I was challenging his assertion that its going to be warm and dry for the first 3 weeks of June which would be almost unprecedented and did not even happen in 2015.   I understand what he is seeing though.  Just don't believe it.  I think the 2nd and 3rd weeks of June will be troughy and cool. 

Well, to be clear I don’t think the entire first three weeks will be warm and ridgy, as I said yesterday. :)

I think there’ll be a transient cool down during the second week of June followed by another ridge mid-month.

I think a more persistent -PNA/cool west pattern can establish around the equinox. Before then it looks ridgier than it does troughy, to me.

Doesn’t mean I’m correct, though.

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1.05" of rainfall/hail yesterday afternoon/evening with the strong storms that moved through here before changing to heavy snowfall around midnight. Measured 7" this morning! Pretty incredible for May

3" of snow in 2 hours tonight and still dumping. A very good overperformer 

Clip of the storm from beginning to end.....very 😎 cool!  https://video.nest.com/clip/1fd9d2f06b77452cbc676458b5263e1e.mp4  

Posted Images

Looks like the rain is wrapping up for a few months now.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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FWIW, I said this back at the end of March. Think my original analog-based forecast was good. But I got cold feet after that and backtracked when I shouldn’t have.

Analogs even picked up this early June ridging (3rd paragraph). Of course nothing is perfect, and this probably won’t be either.

EA6ABC62-809B-402D-ADAC-FB607D899AEB.jpeg

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0.21” so far this morning. Low of 51 as well. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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12 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Where is all of this rain? Currently cloudy/windy and 51. 
.02” so far on the day. 

Ur in the rain shadow it looks like. Down here looks like the rains going to continue on and off for awhile with SW flow. Maybe you’ll get a c-zone later on? 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Ur in the rain shadow it looks like. Down here looks like the rains going to continue on and off for awhile with SW flow. Maybe you’ll get a c-zone later on? 

Randy will get plenty of rain in the post-frontal period later today into tomorrow morning.  

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-2224800.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

FWIW, I said this back at the end of March. Think my original analog-based forecast was good. But I got cold feet after that and backtracked when I shouldn’t have.

Analogs even picked up this early June ridging (3rd paragraph). Of course nothing is perfect, and this probably won’t be either.

EA6ABC62-809B-402D-ADAC-FB607D899AEB.jpeg

What was the last July with a cool/troughy pattern? Seems the best we can hope for is the lack of a monster desert high.

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Looks like what was forecast to be a pretty good rain event up here won't amount to much. Morning guidance suggests maybe another 0.1-0.2" before the end of the day. Will probably end up with less than 1" of rain total on the month. Definitely breezy outside though currently with some gusts around 30 mph.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.43 (2012)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 6.9"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" 

2020-21: 10.5" (2/10: Tr, 2/12: 0.5" , 2/13: 8.5", 2/14: 1.5")

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Here we go a nice band of rain coming in. Suns out and it’s pretty breezy here in Tacoma.  Maybe some thunderstorms later today with the added heating?

18AE7FCA-4702-4CF2-87C9-111E2C49573D.jpeg

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Here we go a nice band of rain coming in. Suns out and it’s pretty breezy here in Tacoma. 

18AE7FCA-4702-4CF2-87C9-111E2C49573D.jpeg

It’s been pretty breezy here all morning. 

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6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

It’s been pretty breezy here all morning. 

Lots of small branches on the ground here with all the trees having leaves now. Might be an interesting weather day here...that band of rain seems to be intensifying. 

3A2B0EF8-DDD3-4E9C-B19B-E21A1ABA2953.jpeg

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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28 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Lots of small branches on the ground here with all the trees having leaves now. Might be an interesting weather day here...that band of rain seems to be intensifying. 

3A2B0EF8-DDD3-4E9C-B19B-E21A1ABA2953.jpeg

I swear to god i always end up in these gaps and its soooo frustratingimage.thumb.png.dc1e6740713650cc9fad45aaef7b204a.png

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3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I swear to god i always end up in these gaps and its soooo frustratingimage.thumb.png.dc1e6740713650cc9fad45aaef7b204a.png

That’s how I felt a couple weeks ago everyone around me seemed to be getting nailed but not me. I’m right in the bullseye this time though!

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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Looks like the next band is already developing behind it. Clouds are dark and the rains starting here. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Randy will get plenty of rain in the post-frontal period later today into tomorrow morning.  

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-2224800.png

Been a lovely day so far just super windy...I wish it would stay this way! 

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Up to 0.31” today after that shower. Suns fully out now and the ground is steamy. The sun inbetween these heavy shower bands should help make things interesting this afternoon. 

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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Kind of day that can look nice or very stormy or both at the same time... depending on which way you are looking.

20210527_120721.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Garden does not seem to mind though... 

20210527_121326.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 hours ago, GobBluth said:

What was the last July with a cool/troughy pattern? Seems the best we can hope for is the lack of a monster desert high.

2016? That was generally cooler than average regionally.

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14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Power flickering. But still sunny and lovely other than the wind! I should go home and mow. 

Hope it's not the power to your mind flickering.  :)  Finally we got 0.40 of rain down here mostly this morning.  Now we can enjoy Tim's green grass heaven.

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1 minute ago, Link said:

Rub it in our faces down here will ya? 

Yeah... I am sure no one in the Portland area has a thriving garden right now.  🙄

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, Farmboy said:

No thanks.  Hope those folks are insured...

Yesterday was legit. No hail here but just as windy.

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1 minute ago, Link said:

Hope it's not the power to your mind flickering.  :)  Finally we got 0.40 of rain down here mostly this morning.  Now we can enjoy Tim's green grass heaven.

Exactly .40 on the day here as well.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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A massive 0.05" for Springfield. So long rain, see y'all again in late Sept. If the city is destroyed then I guess it'll help put out the extent of the fires but the desolation will be unprecedented if we go HAM on 90F+ for 3+ months.

  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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3 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

Looks like what was forecast to be a pretty good rain event up here won't amount to much. Morning guidance suggests maybe another 0.1-0.2" before the end of the day. Will probably end up with less than 1" of rain total on the month. Definitely breezy outside though currently with some gusts around 30 mph.

Just had to run down to Mt. Vernon to get some stuff from the Lowe's there, and the dust blowing off the fields was pretty bad right there north of the Cook Rd.  Going into it, it looks like it was reducing visibility to a very scary degree (crazy multicar pile up bad), but as I got into it, it was like a regular foggy day (with brownish/reddish fog).

 

Currently 61 here IMBY, and we have picked up .27" so far.

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3 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

Looks like what was forecast to be a pretty good rain event up here won't amount to much. Morning guidance suggests maybe another 0.1-0.2" before the end of the day. Will probably end up with less than 1" of rain total on the month. Definitely breezy outside though currently with some gusts around 30 mph.

Wow! Even though we have only had .02” on the day I am at 1.92” for the month, way more than you. 

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The sporadic short burst of showers is quite intense all day. I’ve picked up 0.44”. Pretty much been switching back and forth between rain and sunshine. Only thing that’s consistent is the wind. 

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Nice random gusts today. Kind of a 2017 vibe in the way that there hasn't been a completely calm week here for seemingly a long time. Of course the moisture situation is a total 180* from that year. 

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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0.35” so far today...1.22” for the month as of today. Bout to start dumping here again shortly. Have only had 2 lightning strikes in western WA today...up near the Canadian/US border in the San Juan’s. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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My ex wife sent me this from north of Tulsa today. 

CEABA524-1126-42D7-8309-625853D9102D.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My ex wife sent me this from north of Tulsa today. 

CEABA524-1126-42D7-8309-625853D9102D.jpeg

I'm so jelly. Thanks for sharing ;)

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (1)
05/14, 06/--
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Looks like showers are starting to move more out of the west than the south on radar. Looks like we’re about to get some more rain here shortly. Has been windy all day...gusts 25-35mph. 

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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