Clinton Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 Hoping one of these clusters can produce. I'm at .08in for the month. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Clinton said: Hoping one of these clusters can produce. I'm at .08in for the month. Pattern looks promising for your area throughout next week...I think a lot of us will eat away at the deficits and the drought will ease. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 3 hours ago, Tom said: Those storms that formed in IA/IL last night I'm sure were something else if you were watching them to your south. That light show was probably gorgeous. Lot's of wind/hail storm reports from them last night. My new A/C was finally installed and working by midnight last night! Gosh, I'm so thankful the techs committed to doing the job so quickly...how did people live without it back in the day??? Crazy. Anyhow, ORD tacked on yet another 90F day yesterday which makes it #8 for the season. We'll try to do it again today and tomorrow...more severe wx on deck for Father's Day??? The CAM's are showing signs of a nasty line forming over or near the IA/IL border and tracking east in the afternoon/evening on Sunday. SPC has a large area of slight risk but I think they'll be upping the ante... Another good soaking looking likely for the region on Sunday... I can confirm the light show was gorgeous. The window in my bedroom faces south and it was an incredible display of lightning. It lasted for hours. Very cool. Sadly we didn’t receive any rain here. I’m not sure if we’ve had more than a few hundredths this month. Hopefully that changes tomorrow 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, bud2380 said: I can confirm the light show was gorgeous. The window in my bedroom faces south and it was an incredible display of lightning. It lasted for hours. Very cool. Sadly we didn’t receive any rain here. I’m not sure if we’ve had more than a few hundredths this month. Hopefully that changes tomorrow Those are the type of summer nights I love, esp with a strong southerly breeze at night...glad you enjoyed it, but don't worry about precip, your in a great spot for tomorrow and the rest of next week. We're gonna make up in the precip dept in a hurry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 5 hours ago, Clinton said: Hoping one of these clusters can produce. I'm at .08in for the month. Yep, it’s rained 1x here this entire month. Thankfully was a bit more at .55”, but still not enough. Been watering the lawn for the past week now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 6 hours ago, Clinton said: The weekend looks hot and dry with only slight chances of rain today and a better shot tomorrow. It is very dry here, my father in-law stoped planting beens because the soil was to dry. It we get some rain soon he will resume if not he will hope his corn can make It. My neighbor has beans laying in dry dirt waiting on rain for awhile now. My brother planted deeper so they’re up nicely,but really need rain soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 Got a new computer and forgot to bookmark this site on my old computer. Anyway, June has been ridiculously dry around here. I am really hoping we can get two rounds of severe weather tomorrow. Looks like some strong storms should move through here in the morning and then severe weather later in the day. Heavy rainfall would be great! I am getting really tired of this hot and dry weather. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 I'm getting a bit concerned about tomorrow. Models are suggesting we could end up with just a low amount of rain from a dying MCS in the morning, followed by the evening storms mostly firing/congealing southeast of my area. It would suck to not get a solid rain event out of this. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 Fingers crossed. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 3 hours ago, Hawkeye said: I'm getting a bit concerned about tomorrow. Models are suggesting we could end up with just a low amount of rain from a dying MCS in the morning, followed by the evening storms mostly firing/congealing southeast of my area. It would suck to not get a solid rain event out of this. Yeah really hard to tell till it’s happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 37 minutes ago, Sparky said: Yeah really hard to tell till it’s happening. 18z run of models is fairly inconclusive for tomorrow. Quite a spread in solutions. Hopefully 00z runs bring a little more clarity. But I’m definitely a little concerned as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Eye of the hurricane right over Norton, Kansas. 80 mph winds following the platte river. My garden definitely doesn’t want that…butI will gladly take the rain! Until 1130 PM CDT. * At 1044 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Wilcox to near Campbell to 6 miles northeast of Inavale to 6 miles south of Red Cloud to 9 miles west of Ionia, moving northeast at 55 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Law enforcement. Law enforcement reported widespread damage across Phillips County. Additionsly at 10:35pm 83 MPH was reported at Smith Center, Kansas Airport. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Sweet 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: Sweet It’s insane how the line of storms was moving south east and then they shifted off to the northeast once it hit the platte around Kearney. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Pouring here. No hail and not much wind. Could be a multimillion dollar rain as farmers like to say. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 MCS to my west I have my fingers crossed. Tomorrow could bring severe for some of us. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 A rather delightful lake breeze kicked in late yesterday afternoon just around sun set which ushered in a cool and comfortable airmass. In the summer, this is an added bonus living closer to the lake...not so much during the Spring or in the Fall when your border line RN/SN...the perks of living in the Chicago area. It's a very comfy 61F this morning as there is a pocket of chilly air up in the GL's region. I see some upper 40's showing up in the U.P. Great start to this wonderful day....Happy Father's Day!!!! I know there are a number of you on here who have kids. Enjoy the day with family as we officially welcome in Summer.. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Woah, this is turning into a significant severe wx threat today for the lower lakes region... I'm rather concerned in the strong wording...seasons biggest Severe Wx threat on the table for Chitown and the local region... Quote The disruptive potential of this interaction is unknown. Even so, it appears a corridor of strong instability should evolve from northern IL into southern lower MI. Approaching convectively induced short-wave trough, strong heating, and the potential for a low-level confluence zone to be draped across this region suggest the potential for significant severe. Have opted to extend the ENH Risk downstream across southern lower MI and adjacent portions of northern IN/northwest OH as forecast soundings are impressively buoyant and strongly sheared. Profiles favor supercells but the early-day MCS will likely continue, in some form, through the day as it spreads downstream. If supercells evolve, tornadoes and large hail threat will increase with this activity. Otherwise, damaging winds can be expected. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 The models are dialing up some heft precip totals far and near...here is the 00z Euro for today's event... Then through Friday...I'm still thinking a strong nocturnal MCS is on table Thu pm... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Much of the rain in Iowa comes from the morning MCS, which is mostly just a big blob of light to moderate rain. Unfortunately, the big MCS also ruins the potential for later today. Most models don't show much developing across Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 I thought last year was HOT in PHX...this year is off to an even hotter start...Holy smokes! #SWSizzle...looking out in the LR, the much anticipated Monsoon is showing signs of igniting. Unlike last year, this year, there will be a Monsoon season. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 The morning rain is drying up as it tries to progress toward the MS river. It has been very light here. 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Happy Farhers Day to the dad's out there. No rain here overnight and chances this evening look ify. Hope the Euro that Tom posted comes to fruition I'll be putting more water on the garden today. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Even though we aren't getting much from this morning's disturbance, it's nice to have a pleasantly cloudy and wet morning (windows open, sound and smell of light rain). We had not had one in a long time. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: The morning rain is drying up as it tries to progress toward the MS river. It has been very light here. I’m hoping for some pm sunshine which would help destabilize. Only 0.10” so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Happy Fathers Day! We will have to see how todays possible storm event plays out. The overnight low here was 58 the official overnight low at GRR was 59. At this time it is clear and 71 here at my house. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Everytime it looks like the heavier rain is going to move in here, it weakens. Last check I only had .05”. I really hope we at least get a quarter inch. But that may not happen. Very disappointing so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Nice area of scattered storms moving through KC right now. Hopefully our KC friends are getting a drink. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 3 hours ago, Hawkeye said: Much of the rain in Iowa comes from the morning MCS, which is mostly just a big blob of light to moderate rain. Unfortunately, the big MCS also ruins the potential for later today. Most models don't show much developing across Iowa. The HRRR is still showing strong storms moving through Cedar Rapids this evening. It's already clearing out in western Iowa so I am not worried. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 My digital gauge only says 0.12” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 This rain area is crapping out sooner than models suggested. Maybe that's a good thing for later. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Gauge had 0.75” last night. Beautiful, straight down rain that didn’t come too fast and wash away. Things look amazing this morning. Corn and soybeans needed the drink, especially if they aren’t irrigated. The yards were looking a little stressed yesterday, but this morning they look much better. Amazing what rain can do over a sprinkler system. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted June 20, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Things are beginning to show signs of a bumpy afternoon... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Latest HRRR is looking really good for Cedar Rapids. Shows a strong line of thunderstorms moving through between 6-8pm. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 I picked up only 0.20" from the morning disturbance. A cluster of decent cells just popped east of CR, but it was nothing but light rain and sprinkles here. Again, however, it's nice to have a cloudy, wet, cool day after all the full sun, hot days we've had this month. Monday is going to be only low 70s with a good north wind. We haven't had a day like that in a while, either. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 9 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: Gauge had 0.75” last night. Beautiful, straight down rain that didn’t come too fast and wash away. Things look amazing this morning. Corn and soybeans needed the drink, especially if they aren’t irrigated. The yards were looking a little stressed yesterday, but this morning they look much better. Amazing what rain can do over a sprinkler system. Picked up 0.60 overnight and this morning in my backyard in Southwest Omaha, NE. I was hoping for a bit more but we will have to take what we can get right now. Any moisture is helpful to try to make up some of the deficits that have developed over the past couple of months. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 Severe thunderstorm watch for northern Iowa. Surprising and hopefully a good sign for us further south that storms will fire and sink south later. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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