June Observations and Discussion

[OmahaSnowFan]

What’s funny is we started June last year having the first 9 days above 90 degrees here. The grids all upped the temperatures for this coming week and every day is above 90 so we might do it again 

[snowstorm83]

8 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

What’s funny is we started June last year having the first 9 days above 90 degrees here. The grids all upped the temperatures for this coming week and every day is above 90 so we might do it again 

June has been as hot as July and August the past few years. The difference is it tends to be a more "dry" heat compared to later in the year. It's really not that bad other than a few hours in the afternoon. 

[IMoveALot_Weather]

A bit cooler today, probably won't hit 100, but the DP in the 60s makes it feel worse than yesterday when it was in the 40s. 97*F.

[CentralNebWeather]

We’ve been fortunate here, dew is only in the low 50’s with a strong south breeze. At 87 degrees it actually feels nice. 

[Tom]

Waking up to a balmy morning here today with a current temp of 73F along with slight SW breeze.  Love these type of summer mornings.  DP's will begin climbing farther today into the mid/upper 60's.  Pool day??? 

The 00z EPS is encouraging for the Lower Lakes region through Saturday...

 

[westMJim]

While GR has had a couple of very warm days with highs in the upper 80's with the wind and lower humidity it has not been all that bad and most felt nice out. And while the air has been on it has not been running all that much yet. We took a trip to the beach at Muskegon yesterday and at the beach area the temperature was just 67 between 2 and 5 when we were at the beach area. About 3 miles inland it was in the mid 70's and at 5 miles it was in the low then mid 80's by the time we got to Coopersville it was up to 87. 
The overnight low here was a warm 68 it looks like the official low at GRR will be 70. At this time it is clear and 71 here the winds are calm at this time.

[Clinton]

 severe weather season is winding down here over the next few weeks and it has been a dud.

[Clinton]

 we have our pool cleaned up and ready to go but the morning opened with clouds and a temperature of 69 hoping for some sun this afternoon would like to enjoy the pool.

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[IMoveALot_Weather]

2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

lol

[CentralNebWeather]

2 hours ago, FAR_Weather said:

lol

Thank goodness we’ve had record breaking rainfall. Many areas haven’t. It will start getting serious for parts of the region without irrigation if this pattern verifies. I’m sure some are already seeing drought problems. 

[IMoveALot_Weather]

48 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I’m sure some are already seeing drought problems. 

There are already water restrictions in some of the smaller towns here. It's gonna be bad if this pattern continues a couple more weeks.

[snowstorm83]

It looks like today will put a hole in the anticipated 90+ streak. Though this was only supposed to be day 3 and 90s keep getting added all the way through the forseeable future. 

[OKwx2k4]

It's not looking like the greatest summer up there or anywhere west of there into the mountain west. It sucks. Question is how long the drought lasts and where it spreads to.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

GFS and Euro both look rather wet next week. GFS brings more convection, while Euro advertises an SLP rolling through and bringing a decent spell of moderate rain here. I will take either at this point, just anything to put a dent in this stupid drought.

[CentralNebWeather]

As usual in this part of the country, we’ve jumped from a rainy and cool May to summer with no in between. 

 

[Tom]

ORD officially had a high of 89F yesterday which puts a dent into an official Heat Wave this season.  Close, but no cigar.  Looking forward to seeing pop up storms today and throughout the week.  It's one of those patterns where its hit or miss.  Hoping to cash in on a couple tropical downpours.

It's another warm and muggy morning today (73F/68F)...you can def feel the humidity today as it is creeping up higher.  Nothing but 80's in the extended and the models are seeing relief from the Heat/Humidity just past this weekend for the eastern Sub.

[Tom]

00z EPS/GEFS are starting to get on the same page in the extended....remarkably very similar TBH...

 

 

This pattern aligns quite well with the LRC and the LR tool of the organization up in the Strat...how long will this cooler period last?  My guess is about 7-10 days before the next burst of HEAT comes right back.  From what I'm seeing in the 50mb animation below, this trough will be transient, but welcomed...and then we return towards a late month surge of warmth/humidity.  The EC ridge is going to POP and I'm anticipating a 4th of July heat wave for the majority of our central/eastern Sub.  I think the Upper MW will cool off late month and turn more active.  Let's hope this happens for the sake of the drought and sanity for @FAR_Weatherand @Beltrami Island.

 

 

 

[Clinton]

I have a very warm and muggy week ahead with slight chances of storms.  H.I. values could reach 100 by Wednesday.

[westMJim]

The overnight low both here at my house and at the airport was a warm 73. The DP is up this morning so it is a little more humid then the past few days. While it has been warm this past weekend with the lower humidity and the breeze it has not felt all that bad. I worked on the years yesterday and it was not bad at all. If it stays dry I am sure it will soon change but for how dry and sunny it has been the grass (even in areas that do now water the grass) is that the grass is still rather green. I remember past dry times when the grass was brown everywhere. At this time it is cloudy and 76 here I was just outside and to me it still feel rather nice out.

[mlgamer]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

I have a very warm and muggy week ahead with slight chances of storms.  H.I. values could reach 100 by Wednesday.

Yep, looks like a lazy summertime pattern this week around these parts. Severe weather season is winding down and it has been very quiet around here for the most part as we move into summer. It's nice to have mostly sunny days again even with the warmth and humidity.

[westMJim]

Getting a heavy shower now, while not a drought buster it will keep the grass green and growing. It is a warm rain as it is now 77 with this rain

[IMoveALot_Weather]

First slight risk of the year here tonight. I'll comment on it in a bit.

Pretty bold statement by FGF, though:

Quote

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

 

[westMJim]

It now has stopped raining here. Recorded 0.58" of rain so a rather good amount this go around. At this time it is cloudy and 75 the Dew Point here is now at 69. There is also a flood adversary out for the Grand Rapids metro area.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

I'm... not impressed by the severe potential. DPs are trash and CAPE is marginal. Good critical angle. Looks like the biggest threat will be large hail followed by maybe a weak tornado. Slight risk looks like it was the way to go here.

[Andie]

Meanwhile, Texas is above normal rain.  A heavy rain this morning.  Temps are below normal and everything generally soggy. 

We should be 90*-92* for a high.

I recall Junes like this in the late 70's, early 90's, early 2000's.  But this has been different.  More cloud cover, lower temps, higher humidity. 

Some days felt like March, not June.  While I sense a pattern, I also sense a potential entry into the GSM cycle.  If we get a repeat next year my eyebrows will begin to raise.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

4 hours ago, FAR_Weather said:

I'm... not impressed by the severe potential. DPs are trash and CAPE is marginal. Good critical angle. Looks like the biggest threat will be large hail followed by maybe a weak tornado. Slight risk looks like it was the way to go here.

Glad to have been wrong. First legitimate thunderstorm of the season and it's a doozy. Haven't reached the core yet.

[IMoveALot_Weather]

77mph gust reported about 20 miles South of me in Wolverton, MN.

[Tom]

Yet another warm and soupy morning (71F/68F) with a lot of moisture in the air.  Feels like we have fast forwarded into late July for the most part and for the majority of the eastern CONUS for that matter.  ORD recorded a trace of precip yesterday and my local wx reporting station only had about 0.08".  Just enough to wet the pavement and grass.  I'm hopeful we'll some more storm actions up north but it ain't looking good.  What is looking good, however, is the cool down the Euro is advertising for next week.  Highs in the 70's and low DP's??  Sign me up.

Gosh, the SW is really going to fire up the ridge and literally "Sizzle" in some ridiculous and likely record breaking HEAT!  The Euro has been indicating high temps in the SW deserts later next week to hit 120+F.  In fact, it's showing highs at PHX of 117F, 119F and 120F for next Tue-Thu.  That is stupid Hot.

[Stormy]

12 hours ago, FAR_Weather said:

77mph gust reported about 20 miles South of me in Wolverton, MN.

I noticed those good storms up there last night. That’s what we need, though not as windy!

[westMJim]

I recorded 0.63" of rain fall here at my location yesterday. The heavier rain fall was not widespread the official amount at the airport was 0.46" at Muskegon 0.08" at Kalamazoo 0.19" Holland and to the east at Lansing just just 0.05" fell. The overnight low here at my house was 67 and at this time it is cloudy with some light fog and 68 with a Dew Point of 67. 

[Stormy]

5 hours ago, westMJim said:

I recorded 0.63" of rain fall here at my location yesterday. The heavier rain fall was not widespread the official amount at the airport was 0.46" at Muskegon 0.08" at Kalamazoo 0.19" Holland and to the east at Lansing just just 0.05" fell. The overnight low here at my house was 67 and at this time it is cloudy with some light fog and 68 with a Dew Point of 67. 

Good for you guys.
Hopefully we can get a few pop up storms in se. Ia this afternoon, and maybe just a bit more numerous than yesterday. At least a few spots are seeing something.

[bud2380]

I just barely missed a nice thunderstorm. Just a couple miles to my north. We got a few sprinkles and a very brief shower is all 

[Hawkeye]

45 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

I just barely missed a nice thunderstorm. Just a couple miles to my north. We got a few sprinkles and a very brief shower is all 

The cell moved right over me.  I picked up a quick 0.25" of rain, enough to fill the rain barrel and moisten the soil a bit.  There was a bit of light thunder.  I wasn't expecting anything, so I'm happy.

[CentralNebWeather]

The faucet has turned off around here. 

 

[Stormy]

At least heard plenty of distant thunder while watering the garden again with clouds covering the hot sun.

[OttumwaSnomow]

The Ottumwa  Iowa area were fortunate  to catch some popups  monday and Tuesday  afternoons.   At my home .04 monday and at our shop 2/10  today.  A few scattered locations   no doubt approached half inch.  Generally  speaking  I'm thankful   as our part of iowa is  hanging on. I panted 4 trees monday and was quite damp, almost muddy a few inches down

[CentralNebWeather]

Turned on the sprinkler system today. First time this year. Things are still green, but I am starting to see a few center pivots have been started. Hot and windy weather will do that. 

[westMJim]

Here at my house there was 0.03" of rain fall overnight. The official high of 87 was reached briefly just after 4PM but most of the day was in the low 80's The overnight low here at my house was 70 while the official overnight low was 69 at the airport. At this time it is 75 here at my house with a DP of 72 so it is humid this morning. But I was just outside and it is rather nice out and there is a nice smell in the air from some roses blooming in the area.

[james1976]

I was in Pennsylvania all weekend. It was virtually the same weather as it is here at home, 90 and sunny. Doesn't look to change much over the next week. Grass is getting brown.

[CentralNebWeather]

Muggy morning.  Our HS athletes had weights/running/plyos this morning from 6:30-8:00.  They were drenched when they finished.  Dew is in the upper 60's.  In the next few weeks irrigation will be in full swing, so the dews will only get worse.  I've had relatives from Texas say that Central Nebraska feels worse in July and early August than Texas when the crops are putting out moisture along with irrigation.  Makes me long for fall.  

[Sciascia]

Was forecast to get thunderstorms yesterday, and sadly not a single drop of rain occurred.

[Grizzcoat]

6 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Muggy morning.  Our HS athletes had weights/running/plyos this morning from 6:30-8:00.  They were drenched when they finished.  Dew is in the upper 60's.  In the next few weeks irrigation will be in full swing, so the dews will only get worse.  I've had relatives from Texas say that Central Nebraska feels worse in July and early August than Texas when the crops are putting out moisture along with irrigation.  Makes me long for fall.  

No doubt. Iowa is similar with crops. Maybe worse. Especially SW and W.Central Iowa. Seen some dewpoints in 87-89F range over the years. None official of course. But it's miserable none the less. This summer is starting out dry, the question is whether a guy wants the moisture or not. It works it's evil both ways. I dream of last FEB. Summers here are too D**n long for someone raised in Minny.

[OttumwaSnomow]

I wanted to get you  folks comments on dewpoints.  My davis pro reached 77 yesterday.    In the past several  yrs it will pass 80 dewpoint   quite  a few times.  I feel its accurate  since i live in a wooded area, along  a tributary of the desmoines  river and theres  some wetlands nearby.   It seems to me the most humid air pools in low spots of the Mississippi  basin iowa, Illinois  into southern wisc. A look a dewpoint  records bears that out. I think my highest is 84..  i must say  this seems quite extreme  compared  to other locations  ive lived at.  I  have my doubts its corn, soybean crop based. As this area was historically   swamps, wetlamds and high prarie grass. Which reminds me that  despite  extreme  humidity it often will not rain here.   There simply  is no lift in the atmosphere during  droughts, despite   horrid amazon like humidity.  Thoughts?

[CentralNebWeather]

56 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

No doubt. Iowa is similar with crops. Maybe worse. Especially SW and W.Central Iowa. Seen some dewpoints in 87-89F range over the years. None official of course. But it's miserable none the less. This summer is starting out dry, the question is whether a guy wants the moisture or not. It works it's evil both ways. I dream of last FEB. Summers here are too D**n long for someone raised in Minny.

Great point. I’m also noticing our dews seem to have consistently been higher in the last decade. I’ve talked to several farmers that say it may be due to most in the area switching to center pivot irrigation. Used to be that everyone used pipe irrigation or even siphon tubes, that is all that my late grandfather used. Have looked for studies to see if our thoughts of increased dews are valid, but can’t find anything of consequence. 

[CentralNebWeather]

45 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

I wanted to get you  folks comments on dewpoints.  My davis pro reached 77 yesterday.    In the past several  yrs it will pass 80 dewpoint   quite  a few times.  I feel its accurate  since i live in a wooded area, along  a tributary of the desmoines  river and theres  some wetlands nearby.   It seems to me the most humid air pools in low spots of the Mississippi  basin iowa, Illinois  into southern wisc. A look a dewpoint  records bears that out. I think my highest is 84..  i must say  this seems quite extreme  compared  to other locations  ive lived at.  I  have my doubts its corn, soybean crop based. As this area was historically   swamps, wetlamds and high prarie grass. Which reminds me that  despite  extreme  humidity it often will not rain here.   There simply  is no lift in the atmosphere during  droughts, despite   horrid amazon like humidity.  Thoughts?

Very interesting. You would think you’d consistently have torrential downpours. Might be missing that triggering mechanism. I do get close to a dry line coming off the high plains of Colorado in summer occasionally, which fires storms here at night. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Possible MCS Friday morning?  

 

[james1976]

Hit 94 today. Still at 81. Couple pop up storms this evening but nothing here. Next 10 days little to no rain with upper 80s, low 90s. 

[Tom]

As the sun is rising above the horizon of Lake Michigan, we were seeing a partial Solar Eclipse.  Nothing compared to the one we had back in 2017 I think it was when it turned dark outside.  I remember that day vividly. 

Yesterday, we had a very comfortable lake breeze kick in later in the afternoon which brought down temps into the upper 70's.  It almost felt "chilly" with a somewhat strong NE wind.  I also felt a couple rain drops midday when the lake breeze interacted with the buoyant airmass.  Meantime, if your a fan of the Heat, some of us across the heartland could be experiencing 2012 type heat as a broad area may be seeing temps exceed 100F late next week!

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

Not a fan of the potential heat wave in the NWS morning disco. 
“The extended forecast period still appears to be mostly dry as ridging builds overhead. There are some very low-end chances for thunderstorms Sunday/Monday as weak disturbances persist under the ridge, but most spots will likely stay dry. High temperatures will trend upward back into the 90s through the end of the forecast period. In fact, the latest EPS ensemble shows 11 straight days of 90+ temperatures starting on Sunday. If this occurs, this would be the longest 90 degree stretch since 2012 (which was a significant drought year,”