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Here at my house another 0.09" of rain fell in a brief but heavy downpour. Here everything is now nice and green my grass will need cutting again soon and the tomato plants are growing the best in years. The overnight low here was a warm 67 and at the time it is clear and 68. The DP is down to 64 this morning and in fact it feels nice out side and while my AC is on it is not running at this time

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Another hot and humid day ahead with temps in the lower 90s and heat index around 100.  Things are starting to dry out and for the first time this year I'm in need of some rain.  Hoping for that MCS to roll across Neb and then turn south Friday night.

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

As the sun is rising above the horizon of Lake Michigan, we were seeing a partial Solar Eclipse.  Nothing compared to the one we had back in 2017 I think it was when it turned dark outside.  I remember that day vividly. 

Yesterday, we had a very comfortable lake breeze kick in later in the afternoon which brought down temps into the upper 70's.  It almost felt "chilly" with a somewhat strong NE wind.  I also felt a couple rain drops midday when the lake breeze interacted with the buoyant airmass.  Meantime, if your a fan of the Heat, some of us across the heartland could be experiencing 2012 type heat as a broad area may be seeing temps exceed 100F late next week!

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The GFS is much cooler in the same time frame.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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15 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Great point. I’m also noticing our dews seem to have consistently been higher in the last decade. I’ve talked to several farmers that say it may be due to most in the area switching to center pivot irrigation. Used to be that everyone used pipe irrigation or even siphon tubes, that is all that my late grandfather used. Have looked for studies to see if our thoughts of increased dews are valid, but can’t find anything of consequence. 

My .02 is it's usually enivrotranspiration- especially later in the year. A little early for full fledged envirotransp. But it's usually when you see that first 80F+ dewpoint. Carroll,IA has histroically high dewpoints because of the location of the sensor, airport surrounded by crops. MN all time dewpoint record of 88F in July of 2011 was taken literally in a cornfield in Madison,MN - the Morehead one has been questioned by many in the field. 134 heat index with that 88F dewpoint, that's absurd and has to be skewed by crops.

I know this is about MN, but they do a really good job there tracking climo/weather compared to most other sites (DSM being one) across the Upper Midwest. It's a good read on the dewpoint in the Twin Cities.

https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/twin_cities/mspdewpoint.html

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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1 hour ago, Grizzcoat said:

My .02 is it's usually enivrotranspiration- especially later in the year. A little early for full fledged envirotransp. But it's usually when you see that first 80F+ dewpoint. Carroll,IA has histroically high dewpoints because of the location of the sensor, airport surrounded by crops. MN all time dewpoint record of 88F in July of 2011 was taken literally in a cornfield in Madison,MN - the Morehead one has been questioned by many in the field. 134 heat index with that 88F dewpoint, that's absurd and has to be skewed by crops.

I know this is about MN, but they do a really good job there tracking climo/weather compared to most other sites (DSM being one) across the Upper Midwest. It's a good read on the dewpoint in the Twin Cities.

https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/twin_cities/mspdewpoint.html

Thanks for posting this. Very interesting. 

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2 hours ago, Clinton said:

Another hot and humid day ahead with temps in the lower 90s and heat index around 100.  Things are starting to dry out and for the first time this year I'm in need of some rain.  Hoping for that MCS to roll across Neb and then turn south Friday night.

Same here. Extended outlook for precipitation not looking great. 

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Today will be the hottest of the year so far in my area.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Today's our first day with humidity and we have a heat advisory to show for it. DP is currently 68. Thankfully the corn isn't tall here yet or else we could be well into the 70s.

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 8.9"

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I've been house sitting up in the northern parts of NE IL in a town called Volo, IL which is in Lake county.  It's a rural town with plenty of open land and a peaceful place to live.  I enjoy coming out here and being away from the busier urban areas of the suburbs and the annoying traffic.  Anyway, I noticed on my drive yesterday how brown the grass is getting up here and the crop which has grown certainly needs a healthy "drink" from nature.  There is some hope that Saturday will deliver and I'm hopeful the "rain God's" deliver the goods.

What a difference a year makes as Chicago is on one of those not so good streaks...I'm situated right in that Severe Drought in NE IL.

 

FEATURE06112021.jpg

 

In other news, Chicago is the 1st large metro in the U.S. that is going to be fully open today!  Yay, at least we have that positive thing going for the city.  

 

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23 minutes ago, Tom said:

@FAR_Weather, it's going to get a bit wild in a few up by you....nice looking severe line coming right for ya...

Winds weren't overly impressive, but the rain is definitely appreciated. It was 82 before the MCS moved in.

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 8.9"

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Quite the differences among the models for mid/late next week where and how much the west coast ridge may poke into the central CONUS.

The 00z Euro op blossoming a rare 600mb ridge over the 4 corners region which will fire up the SW deserts.  I'm sure you'll be hearing the media hype this Heat (as usual).  I've lived through some incredible Heat last year in PHX, but this upcoming Heat Wave has some legs.  There could be a string of days with 115F+ heat next week.  

ecmwf_z500a_namer_6.png

 

The GFS seems to be on an island of its own for the cooler look next week.  Meanwhile, the 00z ICON/EURO bake the central Plains.

icon_T2m_ncus_56.png

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For all you Father's out there, it appears that a much welcomed "cool down" is coming for a lot of us.  IMHO, based on the LR clues and forecasting methods, the mid month trough appears to be heading our way.  I'm leaning more towards the GEFS in the extended that are signaling a cooler and dare I say...wetter pattern??

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_6.png

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_8.png

 

 

 

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No rain to report from my house. The overnight low here was 69 and it looks like the official low at the airport should be 68. At this time it is a warm 73 here with a DP of 68. I know there are some people who do not like this humid weather but working outside at night it is not been bad at all in the shade. Of course if one is in the sun that is a different story. But it looks like there will be a "cool" down next week for a while at that will give people a break. There are some hints that after that break there could be some more above average temperatures and more humid weather to end June and start July. 

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Another hot and humid day with some hope for some late afternoon storms.  Have a feeling the band of storms forecasted to travel down the MO river today will be severe with very strong winds (possible derecho).

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Not one drop here. Forecast was completely wrong. Everything stayed much farther northeast. The only good news is the dew is crashing, now down to 50 and going lower. I saw dews of 30’s not to far west of here. I’ll enjoy the short reprieve as the heat cranks for several weeks and rain chances are minimal at best. Water and A/C usage will increase bills for sure. 

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It looks like Lincoln is about to get smacked by the squall line. I’m in clarinda, Iowa today where it should reach here in the afternoon (probably weaker)

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"  

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" 

Average: 25.9"

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Lucked out here that’s for sure. Ended up with 1.3” of rain and was a welcome relief! I have a mowing business and I was outside for nine hours yesterday, then had my daughters eight and under softball game that night.  I’m about sick of this heat and yards are in stress. This rain will help them bounce back for a bit. 

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1 hour ago, gabel23 said:

Lucked out here that’s for sure. Ended up with 1.3” of rain and was a welcome relief! I have a mowing business and I was outside for nine hours yesterday, then had my daughters eight and under softball game that night.  I’m about sick of this heat and yards are in stress. This rain will help them bounce back for a bit. 

Congrats. It is not looking good for the extended for any moisture. Yards will start to get stressed and slow down for sure, which is not what you want if you have a lawn service. My brother and I paid for our college by mowing from the age of 10 and up. 

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The general consensus around the F-M metro is 1.3-1.4". I'll take it when combined with Monday's total.

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>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 8.9"

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The main squall line is just missing me to the north and east. Warnings for wind gusts to 80 mph just east of here with a significant weather alert for MBY and areas westward for 50-55 mph winds. All I want is a decent rain to soak in the fertilizer and weed killer I put down this morning...lol.

 

Screenshot 2021-06-11 at 14-30-41 Topeka, KS.png

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  • 21-22 snowfalls >=3": none; Season total: 0.0" (0% of normal 17.0")
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3 minutes ago, mlgamer said:

The main squall line is just missing me to the north and east. Warnings for wind gusts to 80 mph just east of here with a significant weather alert for MBY and areas westward for 50-55 mph winds. All I want is a decent rain to soak in the fertilizer and weed killer I put down this morning...lol.

 

Screenshot 2021-06-11 at 14-30-41 Topeka, KS.png

You look like a good bet to get some rain, hopefully you miss out on the 80mph wind.  Lots of fuel down my way if they can make it.

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7 minutes ago, Clinton said:

You look like a good bet to get some rain, hopefully you miss out on the 80mph wind.  Lots of fuel down my way if they can make it.

lawrence is about to get a good beating. hopefully there will be some back building that you can get a good downpour @mlgamer

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2 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

lawrence is about to get a good beating. hopefully there will be some back building that you can get a good downpour @mlgamer

The HRRR is really struggling with this line.  Looking forward to some cooler air tonight.

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A few cells popped along an outflow boundary and dropped 0.13" in my yard.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Well...there is redevelopment in the area but I picked up only 0.10" so far which was good for wetting down my fertilizer and weed killer, but I was hoping for a bit more. I didn't notice any real wind to speak of which has been the case pretty much every time this spring. On radar it looks like the line is weakening a bit in places, so hopefully you guys downstream manage some decent rain without anything too severe.

@Jayhawker85@Clinton

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  • 21-22 snowfalls >=3": none; Season total: 0.0" (0% of normal 17.0")
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9 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

I'm in leawood Ks and we just had about 60 mph winds and some pea size hail move through. still pouring at a pretty good clip

update: winds increased to 80 mph and we have quarter size hail coming down. it sounds like im at a Airport listening to jets taking off its hitting my office building so hard

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5th consecutive  90 degree day today. High of 94f. High  dewpoint of 80f!!!! Thats highest dewpoint  of the year.  Yesterday  high temp was 95f.    Fyi theres no corn within  about 1 mile of my davis pro. Woods and  grassy swamp land, creek bottom. What corn is within 2  miles is about 10 to 15 inches high

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Ended up with .55” of rain at my place and no severe weather. Not going to be enough to last the next dry week coming up though. First rain in almost 2 weeks.

Had our first watch of the season and it was a severe tstorm watch covering 8a-11a of all times🙄🙄

I’m free all next week to chase anything and not surprisingly looks like nothing happening again. 

 

 

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I spent the day yesterday at the water park (Barefoot Bay) with my nephews up in Mundelein which is in Lake county.  It was the quintessential summery day that I tend to enjoy.  The location was right underneath the lake breeze boundary that bubbled up storm clouds and produced some nice views up in the sky.  The sun was in and out of the towering cumulonimbus clouds which was a perfect setting.  Today, the models are signalling a repeat performance but with more coverage in NE IL along the lake breeze boundary.  I'm praying we see some downpours.

The battle continues next week with regards to the heat dome poking into the MW.  GFS continues to suggest a cooler look while the Euro baking the Plains/MW.  Someone will cave...who will that be???

 

 

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